Projections after 3/25

by jscot on Mar 26, 2009 1:08 AM PDT Comment 10 comments

Projection explanation in my Sched Ahead Threads.

Projections

1	L.A.	65.9
2	S.A.	54.3
3	Denver	53.1
4	Houston	52.3
5	Portland	51.1
6	N.O.	50.8
7	Utah	48.7
8	Dallas	48.4
9	Phoenix	45.7

I GOOFed

I had one Phoenix game mis-entered. As a result, I've been approximately 1 win too low on my projections for them for the last week and a half. Fixed today.

Utah misses a chance to bolster their road resume, Phoenix stays alive. A win tonight for Phoenix would be huge. A loss doesn't finish their chances, but it finishes their chance of catching us. It also solidifies the gap between us and Utah and Dallas. For Utah to finish ahead of us, they will have to win in Portland after playing NY the night before.

We also have a chance to really put pressure on N.O. after their home loss to Denver. With their injury problems, they are in danger of dropping back into the 6-8 conversation, rather than 3-6. If we take care of business, we're now almost certainly a top five seed. Their last seven games are brutal.

On the other hand, Denver's win makes it harder for us to win the division. We really need them to drop at least one of their two remaining games this week.

Manu is back, and the Spurs didn't even need Duncan to win in Atlanta. When Duncan is out, Parker totally dominates.

Get this win tonight. The Suns have owned the NW this week -- at home. Now they are on the NW trail. If they are going to win at a NW team to keep themselves alive, let it be at Utah on Saturday.

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Comments

jscot, you rock my world.

I enjoy your posts immensely. Can’t wait for you to take over the world. It’ll be a better place.

You were my bedge choice for PA’s screen name here, by the way.

Bedge or go home.

by Ojala John on Mar 26, 2009 1:54 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

LOL

Money can’t buy happiness. PA may have tons more money, but I bet he isn’t as happy as I am.

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Mar 26, 2009 4:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

I´m a little confused when I´m watching all those commercials... but now I think I understand how PA has made that much money.

He buys many Mc Donalds one dollar menus and gets 2.500 dollars back for each one. America is awesome!

Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16

by amlmart1 on Mar 26, 2009 5:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Go Blazers!

What does a Blazer do? He blazes! Where? Up the trail. Why? Portland dunks the ball! Believe RubiOden will happen.

by by on Mar 26, 2009 3:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Greg looks ready.

I mean scary ready to mix it up and get it on with anyone. Tonight is another huge step in his developement. Come the 4th quarter, If he competes with Shaq (and that is a big IF), it will change everything as we come down the stretch.

Is tonight the night we have been waiting for all year? I have a good feeling about the MO’ that is coming our beloved teams way .

I agree Scotty, we may have more dyelitheum crystals than we orginally thought. A 5th seed is possible. But tonight a win is crucial for the team to get on the roll it will take to get us there.

The Oden Era, Day 644

by Heymoe on Mar 26, 2009 8:25 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Do you mean...

A win tonight for Phoenix would be huge. A loss doesn’t finish their chances

A win for Portland?

by The Thinker on Mar 26, 2009 10:05 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

No, I was talking about Phoenix

A win tonight would really, really help them. A loss doesn’t finish them, but a win would be immense.

Their stretch drive is going to consist of cupcakes and home games. Assuming they can win those (they are acting like they can), then their success comes down to four away games, at Portland, Utah, Dallas, and New Orleans. If they can win two of those, they’ve got a chance, especially if they win the ones at Dallas and Utah (since those are the teams they have the best chance to catch, so to dish out a home loss on those teams would be huge).

If they win tonight, that’s one of those two tough away wins they need to give themselves a chance, and they can still hope for a couple more. Lose tonight, and they have to win all their home games, all their road games against weak teams, and 2 of 3 in Utah, N.O., and Dallas to give themselves a decent chance. Pretty hard to do.

A win for Portland would finish their chances of catching us, though. Five games behind with 10 left? Won’t happen, even if they win all of their remaining games.

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Mar 26, 2009 10:24 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Defining Moment

This game is an opportunity to be a defining moment for the Blazers.

Do they show up, dominate the Suns, and establish themselves as in the playoffs (even if the magic number is still >0).

Or…do they lose the game, and start looking over their shoulders, getting nervous.

The fat lady won’t sing either way tonight, but defining moments are not always the last game of the season or a game 7.

by DucRider on Mar 26, 2009 11:47 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

against it was nice to once again really see the blazers' depth

in that while lamarcus was dominant, rudy also was heroic, sergio got 8 assts and played with the sort of verve we haven’t seen from him for a long time, brandon amassed 26 pts almost unnoticeably, batum had big plays, aldridge and oden emphatically blocked shots — this was a very impressive TEAM.

for which a great deal of credit must go to nate.

ignacio

by ignacio on Mar 26, 2009 11:34 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs