Tominhawaii Statistical Playoff Predictions

As you all know, using my unfaultable statistical analysis, I correctly predicted on March 25, 2008 that the Boston Celtics would be the NBA Champions. Some of you might be familiar with my work, and if you are not, here are the original posts regarding my work with statistics. (Here and Here)

If you are familiar with me, you probably have noticed that I do not put much thought into the things I say and do. Making up your own stats takes a lot of work. I thought I was going break down teams more in the off-season by analyzing just the starters or the rotation, to see if I would get a different outcome. It turns out I am too lazy to do that, and I can care less about the past.

This is an odd numbered year so the team with the lowest TiH has the highest probability of winning it all. This year, as with last year, the team to win it all will come out of the East. This year the TiH’s predict the Orlando Magic will take home the Larry O’Brien Trophy. Tragically, the Las Angeles Lakers have the second lowest TiH and are therefore expected to win the West.

Here is this year’s breakdown:

East
Orlando Magic – 156
Chicago Bulls – 185
Washington Wizards – 206
Cleveland Cavaliers – 220
New York Knicks – 229
Toronto Raptors – 243
Miami Heat – 250
Indiana Pacers – 250
Atlanta Hawks – 258
Philadelphia 76ers – 270
Charlotte Bobcats – 274
Milwaukee Bucks – 294
Boston Celtics – 302
Detroit Pistons – 316
New Jersey Nets – 334

West
Los Angeles Lakers – 163
Phoenix Suns – 204
Oklahoma City Thunder – 211
Los Angeles Clippers – 233
Golden State Warriors – 271
Minnesota Timberwolves – 271
San Antonio Spurs – 274
Memphis Grizzlies – 276
Sacramento Kings – 291
Dallas Mavericks – 309
Utah Jazz – 338
Houston Rockets – 259
Denver Nuggets – 290
New Orleans Hornets – 344
Portland Trail Blazers – 370

The first thing you should have noticed is that there are some teams that seem to be in contention and we all know they are not. That’s why I apply Dragline’s Theorem of Crapativity, which states, "Why the heck you bothering with those crappy teams? Screw them!" So as you can see, I lined out the crappy teams.

The good news is that next year the team with the highest TiH will win it all, and with Oden (52) and Batum (88) on the roster, the Blazers have a serious chance of taking the title from the Magic. I imagine both guys will stay on the roster so potentially the Blazers will win a championship every other year, just like the Spurs. Kevin Pritchard will have to work some magic to get a ring every year.

When we actually know the match-ups in the playoffs, I will do another analysis so we can see how things will play out.  Right now it looks like it will the the Lakers and the Magic in the Finals.  I wish I would have predicted a different outcome but the numbers do not lie.