FanPost

Schedule Favors Blazers Winning NW!

You can assess the difficulty of schedules by adding up the visiting team's road records for our home games, and by adding up our opponents home records for our road games.  For example, Philly, whom we play at home, is 14-19 on the road, while OKC, whom we play away, is 14-22 at home.

If you add all remaining games up and calculate a percentage, Portland comes in at 0.447, Utah at 0.556, and Denver at 0.457.  Conclusion: Utah has a much tougher remaining schedule, while Portland and Utah look the same.

Another way to view it is by looking at whether you play the nine Western playoff contenders at home or away.  Portland has six of these games, with 4 at home and 2 away.  For Utah, it looks pretty bad: 2 home games and 7 away games against these playoff contenders.  Denver has 1 home game and 5 away games against playoff contenders.  Conclusion: Utah again has it the worst, with Portland (4H/2A) looking much better than Denver (1H/5A).

Yet another way is to compare your home record to your home opponent's road record for each game, and vice versa (compare your road record to your road opponent's home record).  If your record is better, you should win.  Doing it this way, Portland finishes 10-2, Utah 6-7, and Denver 7-5.  It would be fantastic if we finished 10-2!

Under this approach, Portland wins all home games, and loses at Houston and San Antonio on the road, and wins 3 road games: OKC, Memphis, and Clippers.  Utah wins its home games and loses its away games.  Denver wins its home games and loses all of its away games except Minnesota.

Adding these totals to the current records gives Portland 54-28, Utah 49-33, and Denver 52-30.  We could actually win this thing!  And I make a case that the schedule favors us doing so!

 

 

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