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Discuss the backup PG decision

Sergio didn't play a minute tonight. I did not hear about an injury.

 

UPDATE: Folks have confirmed that Nate did make the decision to go with Bayless at backup PG

Star-divide

Are we witnessing a decision for the backup PG duties? We all know that splitting time between Sergio and Bayless has not been working. All that I've read on the topic has inidicated that Nate expected less time for Bayless as we head toward the playoffs.

Nate has always leaned toward vets over rookies, especially at the PG position. Thoughts? Info?

 

Discuss...

 

UPDATE: Since we have confirmation, what do people think? Will this help us win this year? A move for the future?

I tend to think Nate is a little harsh on Sergio. He's tough on all PGs, but Bayless has made way more mistakes in the past month than Sergio. Don't get me wrong, because I prefer Bayless, but this doesn't make a ton of sense from what I've seen on the court lately. Perhaps, it's all moot since we'll be seeing less of the backup PG anyway during the stretch run and playoffs. If I had to guess, it was the defense that really clinched it for Bayless.

Poll
Did Nate make the right call on the backup PG by giving it to Bayless?
Yes
97 votes
No
50 votes
Who really cares, it's a backup PG?
15 votes

162 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 195 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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I've also noticed Brandon advancing the ball more.

I find myself thinking we’re down to a three guard rotation soon; Broy, Rudy and Blake.

I’m sure Nate’d love to dnp both Surge and JB.

Perfect practice makes perfect.

by Ojala John on Mar 16, 2009 9:22 PM PDT reply actions  

Martell will be back in April, April, April...

We might see him picking up some minutes in that rotation also.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 9:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nate made it before the game

He apparently told Quick and the Mike’s before the game because they all talked about it.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 9:23 PM PDT reply actions  

Barrett and Rice

said during the telecast that Nate had decided to go with JB in the back up PG role. I guess it’s his job for the taking, and hopefully he doesn’t let go. I just want somebody to take that job and keep it.

by SalemORguy on Mar 16, 2009 9:23 PM PDT reply actions  

wow. thanks for the info

I only get league pass, and I got the memphis feed. Any more info about why?

Bring back the Uncle Cliffy!

by hawkblogger on Mar 16, 2009 9:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think Nate has made his decision, just what I think no source

I feel like it is time for KP to get something for him this offseason, Nate is done

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Mar 16, 2009 9:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Jason Quick said Sergio's TO at Atlanta did him in...

The play where Sergio jumped with nowhere to pass and threw the ball to Josh Smith was apparently the last straw. Quick brought this up on Primetime before the game.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 9:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

I heard it from Antonio on 95.5 the game too

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Mar 16, 2009 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Really, a jump pass did Sergio in?

Something that Jack did repeatedly last year? Something that Bayless has done all season long? A jump pass? Really? Sometimes I just think Nate is off his rocker…

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Mar 16, 2009 9:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, Jack is also gone

And Bayless has been wasting his minutes lately. 3 turnovers in 11 minutes.

He’s a rookie and not ready to play in games at this point in the season because he didn’t get enough minutes earlier in the year. I think the Blazers deal Sergio and give Bayless more minutes in the early season next year and see if he produces.

by baduk on Mar 17, 2009 9:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

funny

that Nate pulled sergio for that, replacing him with Blake, who did the same thing about 3 mins later. Nate must have a good punching bag at home to take out his frustrations that arise from the Blazers point guard play.

by usmcr3049 on Mar 17, 2009 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sergio wasn't....

the only one making passes to nobody..I can remember a few errant passes that game…We might as well have benched the whole team on that one.

by blazersrock on Mar 16, 2009 10:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless getting time in the next fifteen games

would be very valuable in the summer… he’d have tape to look at, full of blatant mistakes for him to work on.

I love Sergio, but he’d be better in a different system.

draft dejuan blair

by Cablinasian on Mar 16, 2009 9:26 PM PDT reply actions  

I agree with you completely

I too love Sergio, but I don’t think he can fit into our system. He’d be great for a running team like New York or Golden State.

Hello Dum Dum

by ryryslyry on Mar 16, 2009 9:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless playing now, but little in the playoffs...

I think this is a great move right now. Not that Sergio is garbage, it is that I just feel that Sergio isn’t the right fit in this team. Granted, Sergio is a “natural” point guard, that pass first player that many are saying we need. Sergio isn’t amazing right now, but as it is known that PG is one of the hardest positions to learn and Sergio has had his ups and downs, and I think he will be a solid to good pro…. Just, not with the Blazers long term. I guess what I am saying is that the “natural” point guard thing really isn’t what I see these B-Roy Blazers needing… and for this current move, I back it BIG TIME.

Sergio has decent trade value, especially when you look at his age and contract. That contract with his abilities in these economic times allow Sergio to be a high value player if he is to be on the market….

With Bayless getting extended playing time over the next 15 games, JB has his SECOND shot at showing what he can do over a certain period of time where he will be in the mind set that he is going to be getting those extended minutes. In his first shot, when Blake went down with the shoulder, Bayless showed a lot. JB was spectacular in the open court and got to the free throw line, but we knew that. JB wasn’t bad at defense, but he will need to show some improvement there in this last 15 games. I do believe Jerryd Bayless IS OUR ANSWER to one of guards in the big plan to have our key 8-man rotation… but that is not yet here.

The biggest reason that I like this move is because I really really really like Jerryd Bayless’ competitive fire. NOW, in the home stretch of the season, is the best time to unleash a player like Jerryd Bayless into the mix. Last time he played extended minutes he was a fire bomb in the lineup many nights… helping to ignite the rest of his unit out of his competitive fire. Hopefully this ATTITUDE that JB brings will help Portland max out thier wins in this last 15 games.

The other aspect to this decision that is great for the Blazers is that Jerryd Bayless will get to play a lot of his minutes with Greg Oden. This will give Nate and the brass a chance to evaluate JB on the basis of how he plays with the marquee yet young big man. We all can agree that Oden is meant to be the centerpiece of this roster and players whose games work with or compliment big Oden’s is a good decision making tool when deciding who to keep and who to move. So Jerryd playing time with Oden is likely to mean a lot for the future of these two young studs and IF they are going to be teamed for the long-haul here in Portland…..

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 10:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

How long did it work for Jack?

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Mar 16, 2009 9:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

Dude is gone...

It is over. Let it go. Godspeed JJ!!!!

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 9:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless' Assist/Turnover Ratio during February 2.3:1

You are right, and his play during Blake’s absence showed that he can do much better.

Part of what has happened during the past five or six games, is that Nate has taken the ball out of Bayless’ hands. Roy has been playing point and Bayless has essentially been playing SF on offense. Which means standing in the corner and provides few opportunities for assists.

by upper left corner on Mar 17, 2009 8:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

but apparently plenty of chances to turn it over.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless can play defence Sergio cant.

enough said.

"Great Oden's raven!" - Ron Burgandy

by danevan on Mar 16, 2009 9:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Bayless has been pretty bad

hopefully the next fifteen games help him get enough film to refine his game over the summer.

draft dejuan blair

by Cablinasian on Mar 16, 2009 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

one thing I will say...

is Bayless has shown signs of really benefiting from consistent time. his struggles over the past month have coincided with totally unpredictable runs. If he could find his jumper in time for the playoffs, that could be huge, especially considering he’ll be playing with Oden soon.

Bring back the Uncle Cliffy!

by hawkblogger on Mar 16, 2009 9:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

I doubt he'll find his jumper

his mechanics are completely haywire right now. After a summer to remake his form, he’ll be fine.

I am a huge Bayless homer, and I think he’ll be good… I like the fact that he is getting minutes. Minutes are good, especially for a point guard. They take a long time to develop.

draft dejuan blair

by Cablinasian on Mar 16, 2009 9:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

and

If Bayless can hold the backup PG duties for the rest of the season, he may have more confidence over the summer, or see opportunties for next year. The uncertainty around the Sergio situation has not helped him, seemingly.

by Woodduck on Mar 16, 2009 10:06 PM PDT up reply actions  

While sergio played better frequently recently

I do like bayless and think he has more potential and fits our system better. I do feel this was the right choice, this gives bayless more tape to work with over the summer. For the playoffs, especially if webster is back, we will frequently be looking at a three guard rotation for 90% of the minutes. For the other minutes, it makes more sense to have bayless in to play D. Especially if Oden ends up coming off the bench (and I think he will, prizbilla has been huge lately), bayless will fit in well with Oden in the second unit. This is what was meant to be in prep for the playoffs, and for next year.

I would love to see sergio stick around because he has real potential. If he can not be happy next season riding the bench behind two better players, he needs to improve enough to deserve playing time. The way blake has played that will be tough—if bayless makes the strides we expect of him over the summer.

by lurtsman on Mar 16, 2009 10:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

+1

It continues to amaze me how many words are written in this debate and how few of them are about defense.

by upper left corner on Mar 17, 2009 8:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

Right move

I was initially hoping that they could split the Sergio/Bayless minutes going forward, but that has shown to be bad for both of them. I think Nate needed to go one way or the other (barring injury) and the fact of the matter is Nate has never been comfortable with Sergio’s game. Hopefully Bayless can make the most of this opportunity, and Portland can get about 15-20 productive mpg from the backup PG slot going forward.

I believe in Greg Oden. To all the haters - get down with the program or stay off the wagon for all time. #52

by blazeraddict on Mar 16, 2009 9:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Good move

It was obvious that sharing backup PG minutes did not work. It makes sense to pick one or the other for 15 backup minutes or so a game. Flip a coin really – neither has earned much PT over the past month. But, I think Sergio has had plenty of chances over the past 3 years and has not done much with his chances – he is pretty much the same player as he was 3 years ago. As for Bayless, now its his time to make a case that he should be the backup. Maybe he will, maybe not.

by Woodduck on Mar 16, 2009 10:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Of course

Bayless did little tonight to justify Nate’s decision. Still, I think Bayless has shown that he plays better with regular, predictable minutes. Or, at least he forces things less. We just need some capable PG minutes out of him to give Blakey a rest, really. And no turnovers.

by Woodduck on Mar 16, 2009 10:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Ummm

Sergio showed the same thing when given the chance. Sergio was never given predictable minutes off the bench. Even when Bayless racked up DNPs, if Sergio screwed up, Blake was back in.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

But honestly, we all knew Nate was going to settle on Bayless, so why did we have to wait until March of 2009 to make this decision?

We're just kids trying to make it in this game
Trying hard to knock on that door called fame
WORD UP.STAY.FRESCO

by Dheepan on Mar 16, 2009 10:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I trust Nate

And I really like Bayless in the future. He hasn’t looked so hot lately, so hopefully if he knows that he will get consistent minutes he can get into a rhythm and pick his game up. I thought it would be Sergio getting the minutes this stretch run, but a decision for either Sergio or Bayless only getting all the minutes has been overdue in my opinion. Nate knows this team better than we do, so I have faith in his decisions. Hopefully Oden comes back on Saturday, as that will really help us.

by KitIsh on Mar 16, 2009 10:12 PM PDT reply actions  

Here's my crazy idea to solve this quandry, which could've been solved already if Kirk Hinrich was here.

Anyhow, since Hinrich is still playing for the Chicago Bulls, Kevin Pritchard should immediately waive Michael Ruffin, sign D-League standout Blake Ahern — who’s essentially a poor man’s Steve Blake — and send both Jerryd Bayless and Sergio Rodriguez to the pine. I’m totally done with those whole Bayless versus Rodriguez debate, for neither one of them is fit for the backup point guard role.

by AK1984 on Mar 16, 2009 10:15 PM PDT reply actions  

stop complaining about not having hinrich

Experience is helping Bayless.

You’ll be drinking the kool-aid 2 when the blazers are rocking the dynasty.

by lurtsman on Mar 16, 2009 10:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

breaking the rules....

the Rules of NO should-woulda-coulda’s on player After the Trade Deadline and before the end of the season… and for that AK1984… I gotta say it….

AK1984 = Handwringer

go root for the bulls….

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 10:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

Okay, I'll lay off of the Kirk Hinrich praise.

Yet, that notwithstanding, I still abhor Jerryd Bayless’ style of play with a passion. I hated his game in college, I hate his game today, and I’ll hate his game throughout the dude’s entire career—and that’s that!

by AK1984 on Mar 16, 2009 10:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

What Jerryd Bayless does bring...

1.) Spectacular Finish through traffic in the half court
2.) Spectacular Finish on the fast break
3.) Excellent speed in the open court and fast break
4.) Ability to draw contact and get that AND-1 (bonus Free-Throws)
5.) Competitive fire, desire to be a great PRO… Toughness
6.) Confidence to do what needs to be done in the clutch

Also Jerryd has solid shooting, which Channing Frye called in the off-season “the best shooter on our team”, even though he has only shown it in practice this far.

Once Jerryd gets to focus on the pick-and-roll offense in the offseason with Oden, Aldridge, and the wings, we should see Jerryd’s impact on our team sky-rocket. Aside from the pick-and-roll, Jerryd NEEDs to get much improved ball-handling and experience to improve his Chemistry with the guys who play all the time…

I don’t think that Jerryd has to dominate the ball in order to produce for the Blazers, some think that. I do like Jerryd’s game and believe that he will be a more than solid NBA point guard. I BELIEVE!!!

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have nothing but hope that the guy will succeed

but if I see one more person list “solid shooting” as a strength of Bayless’s right now, I’m going to puke. Really, the results on the court say to me a whole lot more than what Channing says. The stats show that Jerryd has been the third WORST shooter in the entire NBA this year. Plenty of guys adjust their shooting form; Tony Parker, a common comparison I see, completely rebuilt his shot since his rookie year, and yet, his worst eFG% (as a rookie younger than Bayless) was 8 points higher than Jerryd’s.

Until he starts shooting an eFG% north of 40% (still awful), can we put a rest to the “shooting is a strength” argument?

Worst Shooters by eFG

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless' shot has been nothing short of aboniable

Its broken and its going to take all summer to fix. His college stats appear to show its fixable, but wow is it bad right now.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pretty much anyone's shot is "fixable"

but until it’s fixed, it’s not a strength, and it’s severe weakness. Literally, it’s like seeing people say slashing was a strength of Travis’s last year/

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

At least you didn't make up your mind too soon

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Mar 17, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions  

Making up our minds...

I think it was good that Sergio was given “first dibs” at the second unit PG this season… He has been in the league longer and has shown a certain amount of skills and flair, so why not at least let him prove what he can do in his 3rd pro season? It was important for both Nate and KP to give Sergio enough fair shakes to decide whether Sergio’s game fits well with the PLAN and with the crew that is for sure… B-Roy and Aldridge, Pryz and Oden. Unfortunately, it looks like Sergio is gonna need to move on, as he wasn’t able to break out this year or show enough improvement that they couldn’t keep him out of the lineup. Just the opposite, they have decided to take him OUT of the rotation, this late…. THe end.

For Bayless, I am nothing shy of EXCITED about his natural athleticism and competitiveness. These are the UNTEACHABLES that scouts, coaches and GM’s drool over. for the point guard spot, Jerryd Bayless has great size, great speed, great hops, great competitive fire, great work ethic and he is only 19 years old. Those are the “can’t teach” attributes that he brings. So I am excited. I believe that NATE can and will do something with this kid and we will see it by the beginning of next season.

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 17, 2009 4:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless is now horrible

He’s all about himself, one on five. Tired of that stuff.

There is probably no more terrible instance of enlightenment than the one in which you discover your father is a man — with human flesh.
Paul Muad'Dib - Dune (Frank Herbert)

My Translation: My Dad is a dude just like me, and my sons are dudes like me also. I love that.
Season Tix: Section 315, with my sons

by johnv59 on Mar 16, 2009 10:19 PM PDT reply actions  

bad call...

It is way premature to just label Bayless as selfish. Just because he is a scorer doesn’t mean he is selfish.

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 10:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think

he’s showing some rookie tendancies. He just needs some time, I would not put him in during crunch time for sure. Man, the turn overs and stupid passes are killing him…. I do like him, but for real…..

There is probably no more terrible instance of enlightenment than the one in which you discover your father is a man — with human flesh.
Paul Muad'Dib - Dune (Frank Herbert)

My Translation: My Dad is a dude just like me, and my sons are dudes like me also. I love that.
Season Tix: Section 315, with my sons

by johnv59 on Mar 16, 2009 10:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

He looks like...

a young Tony Parker

Parkers top attribtues when he came over were his ability to drive the lane and finish. Also his speed and confidence. Parker developed his ball-handling and shooting, and lowered his turnovers by learning Coach Popavichs’s system. He wasn’t immediately the Tony Parker we see today.

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 11:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

He looks

Nothing like a young Tony Parker.

Parker was younger, yet showed better decision making & passing skills then Bayless has ever even flashed.

Bayless has the talent around him. Like Parker did. A good defensive minded HC like Parker did, but he has yet to show all the skills that Tony showed as a rookie who was younger then Bayless.

Poor comparison.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 12:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

-1

all opinion, no fact.

IMO the core strengths are the same. Also, any PG playing with Tim Duncan will appear to have more passing skills. Hopefully we can say that about Oden and LA in two years.

by lurtsman on Mar 17, 2009 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

-1

Parker was playing with a team that had already been to the finals and won a Ring, his team wasn’t TALENT, it was established veterans. It is proven that rookies who are surrounded by Vets have an easier transition into the pro game, compared to players who are on teams simply full of youth.

Look at the Celtics youth since the Big 3 came to town. Paul Pierce and KG have a ton to do with the development and expectations of players like Rando, Powe, and Perkins… Same with Tony Parker and Manu Ginobli, when they were rooks they came to the Spurs a winning team with great veteran leadership, ultimately Parker and Ginobli became plug and play guys who excelled in their given roles.

Bayless is a 19 year old on a team led by a 24 year old and a 23 year old. All the guys are young and still developing (aside from Pryzbilla and Blake). But Blake and Pryz are a far cry from KG/Pierce or Championship Spurs…

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 17, 2009 4:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Actually not.

It was a three day running affair, with the Armada basically whole and still an effective fighting fleet at the end of that time.

Three things doomed them. The army was unable to come out from the Flemish ports to be escorted across the channel. The prevailing winds and tides prevented the fleet from working it’s way back to the Kentish coast. Finally, it was storms on the return trip around Scotland and Ireland that did the majority of damage.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Mar 17, 2009 8:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

3 days in the history of world power is a very short time.

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Mar 17, 2009 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Honestly, I'm glad a decision's been made

but the way Nate has handled this entire thing has been atrocious. I recall last year him getting angry at some beat writer who asked a question about Sergio and saying it was ridiculous that he had to justify not playing him because on any other team, the 4th guard/3rd PG wouldn’t see minutes. Even towards the end of the year when it was obvious we weren’t going to make the playoffs, this view didn’t seem to change and he never saw it necessary to try and find Sergio a little more PT rather than force feed Jack minutes.

And yet, this year, he never had any issues with everything, despite dealing with an fairly identical situation. The Blake injury was really the worst thing that could have happened to Sergio, since it led to this idea of having to “find minutes” for every guy, which led to this horrible handling of the situation where each would play something like 7 minutes a night and an incredibly short leash for both guys, which gave us basically a vacuum at backup PG for about a month and a half.

To be honest, it feels like Nate has wanted to make this move for about 2 months. If that’s the case, he should’ve just sucked it up right when Blake came back, or at the very least limited Blake’s minutes a little bit to let both of the backups have a reasonable amount of burn.

I really think it’s obvious at this point that Nate, for all his virtues, is terrible with young PGs. Sergio was incredible as a rookie, Bayless looked great in summer league, Jack was demonstrably worse between his second and third years despite getting to play against second stringers. The jury’s still obviously out on Bayless, but I really find it hard to believe that Nate had nothing to do with each of those guys just developing awfully. Not saying he isn’t a good coach, but I think it’s pretty clear that he’s been flat out awful with dealing with young PGs.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 10:20 PM PDT reply actions  

Not to disagree

However you point out that the worst thing to happen to sergio was the blake injury. To compound that point, if sergio deserved playing time, this would’ve been the best thing for him. It gave us a real look at his game, and at bayless’s game. It allowed for a more informed decision.

by lurtsman on Mar 16, 2009 10:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I believe it was

because it muddled the PG roles at the time. We’re fairly unique in terms of NBA teams in that we play a lot more of two distinct units rather than mixing in starters and bench players when the starters start to head to the bench. He had really been looking good developing chemistry with that second unit, and then was suddenly thrust into a completely different unit where he had a different role. This is kind of an extreme analogy, but if you were to swap Steve Nash and Mo Williams, both guys would probably be significantly worse because they’re asked to do far different things.

Plus, it put us in this situation after Blake got back of “having to find minutes for Bayless”, despite him showing almost no ability to produce in limited minutes. If you wanted to play Blake 35+ mpg, then it didn’t make much sense to get Bayless minutes. He’s had maybe one decent game with fewer than 15 minutes, while Sergio had shown at the start of the year that he could be effective in that limited role. But instead we got the muddle that we saw, effectively killing off Sergio’s chance to be effective for the rest of the year.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 10:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nate definitely has a short leash with point guards...

First, this is the reason why Blake is so valuable to the Blazers. Blake is steady enough, for all his faults and for his limited upside, but the one key element that he has is THE TRUST OF NATE.

Nate’s achilles heel may be the development of point guards, even though Brandon Roy’s game has flourished. Not that B-Roy is a point guard, but he sure controls the ball a ton. It is clear that steady time is ESSENTIAL for any players to develop. We say tonight that Conely jr. finally is looking good, thanks to being coined “The Man” in Memphis.

Sergio hasn’t been handled great, but I still believe his skills and upside will likely still make him a solid NBA point guard, just not with the Blazers.

If this move that Nate made IS in fact for the remainder of the season and JB CAN INDEED prove himself to Nate, so Nate buys into JB’s place on this team, that would be the best case scenario for JB and us Blazers fans… hopefully solidifying a tighter rotation in the guards next season. JB’s 15 game try-out should have a lot of bearing on this roster going into the off-season.

I will say this… I HAVE A LOT OF FAITH that Jerryd Bayless is going to have a great showing to close out this season. GO JB!!!!

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 10:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Now that I've thought about it

I honestly think the problem with developing our PGs might not be Nate necessarily, but the combo of Nate and Blake. Over Nate’s time here, the one time we’ve seen significant development in young PGs was 2006/07, when Blake was gone. Jack had turned into a decent starter, and Sergio was a dynamic rookie. Then, Blake comes back the next year and both those guys regress.

Maybe it’s just because Nate sees so much of himself in Blake that he can’t trust these other guys? I don’t know. Still, it’s a strange situation.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

and this is a bad thing?

Honestly, if he can get somebody to play like he did as a Sonic this team would be set.

by nikolokolus on Mar 17, 2009 12:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

I just want someone

Who can defend the 1, hit the open 3 & make good quick passes to open team mates. The rest like driving, flashy passes or dunking is gravy.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 12:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

It's not a bad thing, but

ask the Mavs if they would have preferred Avery Johnson not spend the last 4 years trying to get Devin Harris and Jason Kidd to be exactly like he was as a player. At some point, maximizing talent should take precedence of preference a coach has for a specific position archetype.

In 2 years, I’d much rather have a Bayless or Sergio fulfilling their “potential” as our PG than Blake or one of those guys trying to force themselves to be Nate.

by Royster on Mar 17, 2009 6:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

I honestly don't know how I feel about your conclusion

I have a hard time agreeing that Jack was “demonstrably worse” in his third season. He had a very different role as a back up combo guard and put up similar numbers.

I think Sergio’s problems have been his own and not Nate’s. He looked great for the first maybe 3/5ths of his rookie season and has never really adjusted to how team’s have played him since. he has some great skills but his weaknesses keep him from using those skills effectively on a consistent basis.

And Bayless is still a rookie finding his way. He was never going to get to play with the big boys the way he did in summer league. At least not this year.

I guess if Sergio goes to another team and thrives, Bayless falls flat on his face next year, and Jack usurps TJ Ford in Indiana, we will know the answer.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 10:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just looking at the stats

we’ve had three young guys, all of whom showed promise at some point in their careers, and yet each has been underwhelming after that initial promise to say the least. Like I said, Bayless still has the jury out, but his rookie year’s basically been wasted. For all the talk about how putrid Conley was last year, he was still significantly better than Jerryd has been. Just check out this comparison of 20/21 year old PGs (all of whom find their way into these convos at some point) over their rookie years:

http://www.basketball-reference.com/fc/tiny.cgi?id=7OxxA

Jerryd’s been by far the worst. And the minutes argument is starting to lose luster, since he’s averaging more mpg than Sergio was his rookie year, and has been significantly worse than he was then.

Also, as far as Jack, look at his splits since the AS break in Indy when he’s been starting, and tell me that he isn’t thriving there. Even with Granger out for a decent amount of time, he’s shooting 4.5% better than he did last year on more shots while shooting 37% from three.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 10:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

he's been playing mostly 2 guard lately

he thrives when he doesn’t play PG. In Portland we need someone who can guard PGs. That’s not Jack. It may or may not be Bayless.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

fair enough, I'll eat crow there

I thought TJ’s glass spine was still acting up. Although I’ve always thought Jack could do a semi-decent job on guarding PGs, to his credit.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree though

the early returns on Bayless are anything but promising.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

early returns on Bayless are promising...

when given a shot at steady minutes in his rookie season, Jerryd Bayless was exciting and showed his fair share of valuable skills and natural elite level talents. I would say JB is a very promising prospect.

by Portland Dynasty on Mar 16, 2009 11:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bayless has shown flashes of potential

but so did Sebastial Telfair in his rookie year.

While I think Bayless certainly has the potential become a useful defender of PGs and combo guard on offense, his overall numbers on the season are about as good as Telfair’s rookie year… when Bassy was a year younger.

We need to see a MAJOR step forward from Bayless next year, or it will be time to worry.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Like I said, I don't disagree...

I am just not sure if I would characterize it the way you do. Is Sergio really that good? I think his weaknesses limit his effectiveness. People have been saying for two years that he needs consistent minutes to be effective. What has the stretch from the end of the first quarter until about midway through the second been? Consistent minutes for him to prove himself for pretty much the past two years. More often than not, he falls flat.

My point with Jack was that he was good in both his second and third years just as he has been good in Indy this year. I think we would have been better this year with Jack instead of Bayless and Rudy. I think both of them will be better than Jack in the long run (Rudy for sure.) So I am not sure how Nate mishandled him.

I guess I just have a hard time putting the PG problem squarely on Nate when I look at what he has had to work with. Good but not spectacular PGs.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 11:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

The thing is

if Jerryd was putting up the same stats this year that Sergio was his rookie year, we’d be falling all over ourselves to make him the starter. And yet, his reward for the next season, was seeing his minutes fall to under 9 per game. That’s not consistent minutes, at all. I don’t think anyone’s saying he needed 25 mpg, but almost every backup PG averages 15+, which Sergio only did early in this year, coincidentally the time he’s looked best since his rookie year (obviously there’s some causality issues there, but whatever).

Just from watching the games, it’s pretty clear how ridiculous the leash was with him last year, especially in a year that should have been more of a development year rather than milking Blake and Jack for 56 MPG.

My main issue with Jack is that I don’t remember him being all that stupidly turnover prone until last year, and from what I can tell, has largely improved that in Indy (although I really wouldn’t be able to say).

I don’t necessarily think Jack or Sergio would be Steve Nash and Tony Parker, but I really find it hard to believe that the reason they haven’t/hadn’t improved at all since their promising early years is entirely on their shoulders, especially looking at the large number of PGs drafted since Jack who are looking pretty solid these days.

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Distance makes Jack look a little better

he’s still pretty inefficient with a PER of 12.5 and a roughly 1:1 A/TO ratio, the main difference is that you aren’t watching him play every night I’d guess.

by nikolokolus on Mar 17, 2009 12:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

Look at Toronto

Gave Calderon 22MPG two seasons in a row, 22 starts.

Next season he broke out, but he was a rookie at 24. Sergio already has 3 seasons under his belt & he is only 22 !

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think Bayless

Is capable of defending better then Sergio ATM, Blake definitely. Bayless shows flashs of being a Baron Davis type in being able to get to the rim, but lets not give up on Sergio.

Primary reason being he has almost 3 NBA seasons under his belt & he is only 22. 3 more then Calderon had in his first year in the league at age 24. Plus he costs less then a million against the cap.

by Air Norv on Mar 16, 2009 10:27 PM PDT reply actions  

Why do people think defense is only played on the ball?

And even then, why do people think that fouling someone every 5 minutes makes Bayless an awesome on the ball defender?

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:55 AM PDT up reply actions  

What exactly makes Sergio a good defender?

He doesn’t fight through screens. Albeit he is quick, he gets continually beaten to the basket by quicker guys. And not just the stars, also players like JJ Barea. He doesn’t get a lot of steals. His only defense late in quarters is to take the remaining foul – if there is one.

I’m not saying Bayless is great, but at least he has the physical potential.

by Norsktroll on Mar 17, 2009 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

Sergio's

steals per minute is actually pretty high, check it out.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

actually, i just looked it up.

20th in the NBA among guards.

That’d be in the top 3rd among NBA starters and top 17% figuring 4 guards getting PT per team. Not bad. Not sure what stats you were looking at considering I specified steals per minute in the original post.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

yeah it sucks

when it disproves your ideas. when discussing how often a player gets a steal it’s pretty dumb to rank totals for them against players getting more than double the minutes per game.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

It sucks always. No player ever consistently plays 48 minutes, and this extrapolation tends to vastly overrate role players with little minutes

Steals per foul might be a decent indicator as stated below, though that too has limitations as you said. Besides, I didn’t want to base a discussion about defense on steals alone. Knight, Watson, Carter, Ridnour, Sergio are all in the top 15 in S/48, and there is no stat that can tell me those guys are top 15 defenders.

by Norsktroll on Mar 17, 2009 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

i didn't say he was a good defender.

You said: “He doesn’t get a lot of steals.”

I pointed out that for every minute he is on the floor, he is the 17th best guard at getting steals in the NBA. That is all.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

It only overrates role players if they get the numbers.

Use 36 minutes then since plenty of people play 36.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

Often it underrates players with little minutes

A lot of players play much better when they get 30 minutes per game than they do with only 10 minutes per game. Sergio, Bayless, and Frye are all players who struggle when they only get spot minutes but can play decently if they get more playing time.

by trk on Mar 17, 2009 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

my bad

he’s 20th among all players, he is actually 17th among guards.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

considering

at least 1/3 of his fouls are instructed by the coach when we have a fouls to give at the end of quarters, that stat is even more impressive.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

I can't say that I feel bad for Sergio

He has no one to blame except himself. On the other hand, Bayless hasn’t shown much to deserve any meaningful minutes at PG. My only hope is that one of them can step up and contribute. I couldn’t care less if it was Sergio or Bayless. This team needs one of them to play better.

I can’t believe we are even at this point again. KP HAS to make a move this summer to shore up the PG position. I don’t see Blake, Sergio, or Bayless as a future solution.

The cake is a lie. Do not bake it.

by blzrfan on Mar 16, 2009 10:32 PM PDT reply actions  

Calderon

Didn’t even play an NBA minute until he was 24. He stayed in Spain like Rudy & developed. But Sergio is developing over here. He already has nearly 3 full NBA seasons & is only 22 years old. Plenty of room to grow.

by Air Norv on Mar 16, 2009 10:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

Could you attempt to explain how Sergio has no one to blame but himself?

Did he not work hard? did he not attempt to do everything that Nate wanted him to do? heck you might be right in the sense that since Nate tried to ween all Sergio’s true gifts and tried to form him into a different kind of point guard that Sergio actually was, Sergio should have, in retrospect, told Nate to go jump in a lake a long time ago.

Nate’s “development” of points guards has been and continues to be an absolute joke.

by Blazersaurus on Mar 16, 2009 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sergio has not improved at all from his rookie year

If anything he’s regressed. Blame Nate if you wish, but a number of players have shown improvement under Nate. While I don’t thnk anyone would argue Nate’s been perfect in his PG related decisions, Sergio has to take some of the blame for failing to make any strides.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

The way Nate has treated Sergio would be akin to telling.....

LMA that he can no longer shoot outside jumpers. Its back to the basket moves or the bench. Sergio is terribly misused, but thats just one man’s opinion…

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Mar 16, 2009 11:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

touche

But if it were to the benefit of the entire 2nd unit it might be worth allowing them to take more risks and play more freely. Who knows though, I honestly just want to see one of these young pg’s have some success….

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Mar 16, 2009 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

22 years old

Sergio is. Calderon was still playing in Spain, yet Sergio almost has 3 years of experience. KP is not going to give up on him for this reason. Calderon didn’t even play in the NBA till he was 24.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

If you want to compare Spanish players to one another, then Sergio Rodriguez is ...

way, way more similar to Raul Lopez than Jose Calderon. Unlike Lopez and Rodriguez, Calderon can actually shot the rock at an efficient rate.

by AK1984 on Mar 17, 2009 1:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ummm

Doesn’t matter what KP wants if Nate isn’t going to play Rodriguez.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

A number?

1. Blake
2… not Telfair, Jack, or Rodriguez.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Sergio's played himself out of the rotation

He can only blame himself for jumping into the air without knowing what to do, letting opposing PGs have their way with him, or shooting bricks at the basket. Sergio hasn’t done anything to distinguish himself to warrant guaranteed minutes. With his recent poor play, it opened up the possibility of Bayless stepping into the backup position.

What true gifts are you referring to? Sergio does only one thing well. Pass. It is completely negated by any competent defense forcing Sergio to be a scorer, which he cannot do. For all his passing skills, he can’t run a good fast break because he’s not a threat to finish. Sergio is great against the lower tier teams that play horrific pick and roll defense.

The cake is a lie. Do not bake it.

by blzrfan on Mar 16, 2009 11:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

in the stretch that got Bayless the job

Bayless got MORE minutes than Sergio, and did less with them, but you are still trying to make us believe this change has to do with performance? It has been very rare this year for Sergio to turn in a sub-par game when getting 15 minutes, the problem is Nate loves to give him 5 and then the bench, which is very, very hard for a PG to deal with.

God, and if I hear about Sergio jumping in the air and passing again as the reason for being benched I’m gonna kill myself—Bayless has done that about 10 times for every once Sergio has this season.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 7:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

jump pass

flying through the air and throwing the ball if an opportunity presents itself

want a bottle of pain killers?

Just teasin, you make some good points, Sergio may be traded at some point because in new york 4 years from now he could be quite a star. It won’t happen in Portland, not the way Nate wants the team to play.

by lurtsman on Mar 17, 2009 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

Let's look at this

Jumping in the air and passing = Awful move, little chance for success
Driving into a triple team at the 3 point line = Awful move, no chance for success (barring a foul call.)

Okay then.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don't approve of the move

It is true that sometimes bayless brings energy, that is indisputable. However, Bayless brings consistency in a few key areas: Picking up horrible fouls by playing overaggressive in the backcourt and above the 3-point line, making stupid turnovers, not distributing well, and getting his shot blocked due to bad decision making inside.

Bayless leads the team in % of shots being blocked (if you don’t count ruffin and his 3 shots), his TO to Assist ratio is abysmal…for a center, let alone a PG.

If you paid attention in tonights game you will have noticed something that tends to happen when Brex comes in; everything changed, sometimes its for the better, like when we are struggling to get points on the board, but most nights, like tonight, he absolutely killed what we had going on, we had a huge lead in the first quarter until he came in.

+/- isn’t always a reliable stat, but it really represents the change in court dynamics when Bayless comes in, tonight he was -11, in an 11 point win, only one play on EITHER team had lower.

Frye-lock and I'm on top rock you like a cop

by pklym on Mar 16, 2009 10:34 PM PDT reply actions  

of course

none of the above is to say Sergio is a perfect PG, he has is errors too, but I believe he is more consistent, he passes much better (actually gets assists) and has a slightly better shot (both are abysmal at jumpshooting, Sergio had a sting of games that he could hit the 3 but those seem to be gone).

Frye-lock and I'm on top rock you like a cop

by pklym on Mar 16, 2009 10:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

How does Sergio win his spot back?

He has outplayed Bayless in the last month, in almost every game, and Bayless gets this promotion during Bayless’ worst string of performances of the season. Bayless really couldn’t play much worse, so I don’t see how Sergio can possibly get back into the rotation. I guess Sergio is done.

As was pointed out in the game day thread, if Sergio turned in the 1st half performance Bayless did today, no way would he see the court in the 2nd half. But Bayless got to come back in after a truly miserable start—a luxury Sergio is never afforded. (if you are curious Sergio, hasn’t turned in a 2 TO and 0 assist stint all season, not to mention adding 0-2 shooting to that)

Everyone says Bayless will play better with more consistent minutes, which Nate appears to be on the verge of giving him, but so would Sergio: look at recent game logs—he hasn’t gotten reliable backup PG minutes to do anything with either. Nate has bungled this all so badly, it is absurd. If Bayless was going to get this promotion regardless of performance, why screw around with Sergio all this time?

Anyway, i think this is bad for the team. When we are playing our best, our second unit is a true unit, and i think it is stronger when lead by Sergio. Because the question isn’t who is a better PG (where Is till think Sergio has the edge), but who is a better PG for our second unit.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 16, 2009 10:35 PM PDT reply actions  

c'mon

lets be fair now…

Bayless had THREE turnovers tonight, and he went 1-3 for 4 pts.
But his 2 FTs came after he got away with a very blatant charge, that kid is always out of control on drives (but he sure can finish when he doesn’t get blocked).

Frye-lock and I'm on top rock you like a cop

by pklym on Mar 16, 2009 10:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

rookie point guards often look terrible

look at Conley. He was pretty putrid his rookie year.

draft dejuan blair

by Cablinasian on Mar 16, 2009 10:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

But then again

Conley showed a lot more in his rookie year then Bayless has.

by Air Norv on Mar 16, 2009 11:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Apples and oranges

They’re both super athletic, highly drafted 20 year-old point guards. But Conley started as a rookie and had every opportunity to develop his game, AND he was already a pure point guard. And he still struggled. The NBA is a tough place to learn on the fly, and the point is the toughest position to do it.

Bayless is not a pure point guard, has played more two, and has had very little playing time to develop. He’s going to be on a much slower curve.

(As an aside, my boy Conley looks great lately. He’s got all-star potential. Time to revisit the trade – Blake/Trout for Conley was apparently on the table. I would hate to see Trout learning to slash for another squad, but wouldn’t it be nice to have a legit young point guard with world class athleticism blossoming into a future all-star, instead of one good back up (Blake), one maddeningly inconsistent back up (Sergio), and one shooting guard (B-Rex) trying to fit a square peg into a round hole?)

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Mar 17, 2009 6:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah...

I’m all for getting good calls, since we usually don’t, but Bayless got a break there. He avoided a 2 point 4 turnover game by a narrow margin.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 8:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

I mostly agree

I will say that Sergio has played a lot more minutes than Bayless over his career and has not shown much (if any) improvement from his rookie year. With Bayless, there is a lot more upside.

You have a 3rd year player who is a modest upgrade over a rookie. There is a certain logic to playing the rookie— we’re pretty sure Sergio is not a long term answer whereas with Bayless we don’t know yet.

I am with you that Sergio makes Rudy and Travis better more than Bayless does. I would keep Sergio as the backup, but I do think there is a logic to playing Bayless— if the difference between the two isn’t great, it makes some sense to let the high upside rookie get some experience.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 10:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

I would think that logic goes out the window considering we are in a serious playoff race....

The guy most prepared for the job should get it. I don’t think 8 mpg is going to make or break Bayless’s development, but I do pick up what you are throwing out good buddy….

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Mar 16, 2009 10:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree with you

That’s why I wouldn’t have made the same decision as Nate.

I understand Nate’s move, but I don’t think now is the best time to make it.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sergio

Is having a much better year this season, bouncing back after the terrible 07 season.

by Air Norv on Mar 16, 2009 10:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

no

his PER was over 14 his rookie year. This year its under 12.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 10:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sorry I was looking at the "rating" on the career stats page.

Again keep in mind Calderon didn’t start a game till he was 24 years old.

Nash didn’t have a decent season till he was 24 and he only started 40 games.

by Air Norv on Mar 16, 2009 11:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

what concerns me isn't Sergio's low PER

its the lack of improvement. He’s essentially the same player he was as a rookie.

by jksnake99 on Mar 16, 2009 11:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

And Nash still

Can’t play defense or win a title

by Odenrising on Mar 16, 2009 11:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

....how is that a relevent comparison?

Steve Nash is a 2 time MVP winner, and a multi year all star.

Sergio Rodriguez can barely play decent minutes as a backup point guard.

We're just kids trying to make it in this game
Trying hard to knock on that door called fame
WORD UP.STAY.FRESCO

by Dheepan on Mar 16, 2009 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions  

My point

is you cant compare them and MVP’s and all stars are not the definition of the ultimate achievement. Good players are allstars, great players win MVP’s, THE GREATEST players win titles. Some win them all.

by Odenrising on Mar 16, 2009 11:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

Comparing their first two seasons

Is not far fetched at all, in fact he only started 11 games.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

LOL

So every player who hasn’t won a title is bad?

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

I hear ya...

Early in our season, when our 2nd unit was clicking and providing an advantage for this team, it was with Sergio at the helm. I have never scene Bayless effectively run an offense. We have seen the one man show, we have seen some nice drive and kicks, but really have not seen an effective team attack with the carnivorous one. Oh well, I have wasted too much of my life wondering why Sergio continues to lose confidence and continues to get shafted by his own coach. Its Bayless or bust now, even if it feels like a trainwreck waiting to happen….

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Mar 16, 2009 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Its about fit

Sergio is completely clueless on D. Thats after 2 3/4 seasons. The dude also cannot shoot a lick. Thats after 2 3/4 seasons. He has had almost unlimited resources to complete his game yet he is still chucking up air balls in crucial games and unable to finish at the rim. Sergio seems like a good enough character guy… he just hasn’t shown growth in his game. Its almost playoff time.. I think Nate is considering what will help us in the playfoffs the most and that would be defense at the point…Bayless has the best ability to do that at the backup PG

by Odenrising on Mar 16, 2009 10:35 PM PDT reply actions  

Explain the clueless on D'

Again, him and Rudy lead the team in opponent FG%. Is it because they come off the bench? If so, why aren’t Frye, Trout, and Bayless on this list?

Here’s one possibility. Because defense is more than on the ball and going through picks. Getting into passing lanes, staying on guys without the ball, and other issues all come into play. Either the Euro guys do this better, or there has been a 60+ game fluke.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

i dont like either

sign a d leaguer whos been around the block

I am starting the coalition to BRING BACK IKE.

by DNP (CD) on Mar 16, 2009 10:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Bayless chance

to impress. If he can’t be the backup and Sergio can’t be the backup then a move will be made in the off season. Possibly making Steve the backup. So far KP has made NO mistakes so if he makes a change it will be for good reason.

by Odenrising on Mar 16, 2009 10:41 PM PDT reply actions  

The PG position is the toughest to watch the last three years

And that includes the Center position.

The majority of fans seem to feel about Bayless (now) the way they felt about Sergio two seasons ago. And Sergio is still amazingly young, just like Bayless.

I have to wonder, will this cycle repeat itself over the next two years?

by Timmay! on Mar 16, 2009 11:02 PM PDT reply actions  

Heck, let's move up and grab Brandon Jennings

why wait another year to grab our next designated project PG?

by Royster on Mar 16, 2009 11:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

Heheheh

I have a feeling a PG will be joining the team over the Summer. And not in the draft.

We’ll probably lose one or two also.

by Timmay! on Mar 16, 2009 11:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Johnny Flynn for the win!

He not even be any good as an NBA player, but you have to admit that has a nice ring to it?

by nikolokolus on Mar 17, 2009 12:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

look, no one can defend bayless' play as of late

but the thing is, sergio is in his 3rd freaking year. in 3 years, if bayless is playing as crappy as sergio is right now, you better believe the fans are gonna be calling for the next young point guard “x” and kicking bayless to the curb. thats pretty much how it should be. step up or get the hell out of the way. we have a championship to win. plus I’ve read enough comments on here complaining about Nate’s indecisiveness. at least he finally picked one!

The Blazers as a whole are far more like my wife than like me in the sense of their physicality on defense.
-Dave

by chrischa on Mar 16, 2009 11:08 PM PDT reply actions  

3rd year under Nate

Nate is afraid to run, afraid of turnovers, afraid to trust his players, afraid to develop them. I like Nate’s first unit half court offense but that’s all he knows. If he could release the second unit to do what it does best, attack and attack some more, than we could do damage to the opposing teams 2nd unit by simply out scoring them.

by Blazersaurus on Mar 16, 2009 11:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Is it possible that defenses have adjusted?

Now the players and the coach have to adjust. When players are one-dimensional, it makes it much tougher to make adjustments.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Mar 16, 2009 11:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

wait what?

nate can coach a first unit but not a second? whats changing here, the coach or the personnel? I agree he’s not big on the transition game but afraid to develop? I’m pretty sure we’ve had a few guys develop under his watch. again, whats the difference, the coach or the players who aren’t developing? I love me some offense, I love the highlight plays, but I’d rather have a fundamentally sound squad that plays DEFENSE than a poor man’s phoenix suns circa 2006

The Blazers as a whole are far more like my wife than like me in the sense of their physicality on defense.
-Dave

by chrischa on Mar 16, 2009 11:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

Not sure Nate can coach first unit

It just doesn’t matter when it’s led by Brandon Roy.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

As long as

Frye doesn’t get most of the touches on outside jumpers. I completely agree Blazersarus.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

uh, its gonna be one or the other dude.

as long as both those guys are on the same team plus blake, no one could develop them like “normal players.”

The Blazers as a whole are far more like my wife than like me in the sense of their physicality on defense.
-Dave

by chrischa on Mar 16, 2009 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

The team has a player option on Blake at the end of this year

I don’t think his return is a done deal. KP does like him though, probably as a long term backup.

by Timmay! on Mar 17, 2009 12:26 AM PDT up reply actions  

Really?

Because Nate McMillan & Gary Payton seemed to thrive on that competition.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

If the Blazers get swept out of the playoffs...

there would still be basically 0% chance Nate gets fired this summer.

The goal for this young team was playoffs, and especially considering the injuries, they’re exceeding expectations in a Western Conference that’s even tougher than expected.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Mar 17, 2009 6:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

I love this decision by Nate, have been hoping for it for a long time, and hope it stays.

B rex is already better than Sergio at many things, on just his first year. I love Sergio’s game when it’s on, but he is so wildly inconsistent it’s very frustrating to watch. Sergio will make 2-3 very bad decisions in a row on consecutive possessions. Drive right into a double team, let the defender push him out to almost half court late in the shot clock, and completely blow pick and roll defense so bad its embarrassing. Yes, B rex screws up plenty too, but a lot of them are rookie mistakes, and should improve with time and experience. B rex has the best chance of becoming our PG of the future, so he needs to play now.

by dario argento on Mar 17, 2009 12:39 AM PDT reply actions  

Sergio

Can still develop in the offseason and compete for the starting spot, if not he would be perfect for a fast paced team in need of a PG.

by Air Norv on Mar 17, 2009 1:07 AM PDT up reply actions  

We need to figure out what we have in Bayless

This summer we are going to have some cap space, which will give the Blazers a lot more flexibility for trades and free agent signings. That cap space will be available until next year’s trading deadline, then it will disappear and we won’t have cap space again for the foreseeable future. Considering that KP prefers to make trades during the summer rather than during the season, it is very likely that he will make some trades before the start of next season.

At this point it looks like the PG position is the position that is giving us the most trouble, so it is reasonable to think that the Blazers will try to address the PG position. However, it is difficult to address the PG position if we still don’t know much about Bayless. Can we expect Bayless to become a solid rotation player? A starter? Would we be making a big mistake by trading him away?

An additional 15 games as a backup still isn’t long enough to make a good evaluation of Bayless’ potential, but it is better than nothing. With more information about Bayless, KP will be better equipped to make good decisions over the summer, and hopefully he will be able to resolve our point guard difficulties.

by trk on Mar 17, 2009 12:55 AM PDT reply actions  

How the coaching looks at it. My scenario:

1. We’ve gotta back up Blake with Somebody.
2. Giving each guy 5 to 6 minutes a game is obviously not working.
3. Both Sergio and Bayless are playing Poorly offensively.
4. Bayless has vastly outplayed Sergio defensively, and stops of opposing PGs are crucial down the stretch.
5. Sergio has now had nearly 3 full years to get his act together and hasn’t really succeeded.
6. Bayless has Potential; he was a lottery pick; give him the chance Sergio failed at.
7-PS. Don’t overlook the fine hand of KP in this.

Giving Bayless the minutes is the right call. Sergio will still get some time, but given an offensive standoff between the two, Bayless’ D and potential wins the backup day.

by blazerwizard on Mar 17, 2009 3:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Again

2 games ago Sergio plays 5 minutes in the first half
1-1 shooting, 2 assists, 0 turnovers

Sergio didn’t see a second in the second half.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nate said repeatedly he expects confident play from Sergio

Demonstrating that he is the backup with more experience. He knows Sergio’s outside shot and on-ball defense is not really good, that’s not what he expects from him. But showing that he is the one who knows the offensive game plan and can get his teammates in motion.

If he can’t do that, Bayless is the more gifted player to create his own shots and defend the opposing guards. Then Nate might as well play with him an accept some boneheaded rookie mistakes along the way while Bayless learns.

If that was the decision, then happy trails Sergio and good luck Bayless.

by Norsktroll on Mar 17, 2009 7:07 AM PDT reply actions  

he expects confident play

but pulls him after one error and 3 minutes of PT, REPEATEDLY. Dear Nate, this is a way to remove confidence from a player, not instill it. PGs make errors, they have to be allowed to play through them.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 7:27 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not so sure it wasn't a case of using one guard in the front end of a back-to-back and the other in the tail end.

What is clear is that the dueling backup PG situation wasn’t working. Since Blake has been back, the decent Sergio/Rex tandem has been suckocious…

Sergio (and Frye) should have been dealt at the deadline for somebody who can help in the stretch run — a toughie 4. That didn’t happen, which implies continuation with what has been working…

Rex very clearly is not ready for primetime as he sits. But he’s just a bay-beeeee. It’s bizarre to expect a college sophomore to step in and play significant minutes at the top level in the world. Rex has the same monster hole in his game that Sergio has, a gross (congenital?) inability to hit contested perimeter jumpshots… Hell, he bricks the wide open looks that Sergio puts down once in a while…

Not sure that 15 regular season games are going to be enough to get Rex to the next level. It seems like the last possible minute to make this change — which I would have advocated two months ago. We’ll see.

Like I say, it makes so little sense that I wonder if Rex playing last night was a factor of it being tail end of a back-to-back…

Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...

by timbo on Mar 17, 2009 8:26 AM PDT reply actions  

the stats say...

Sergio is better defensively than B. See Basketball reference and 82games.com

Sergio has been shooting better than B,especially on three pointers.

Sergio’s PER and Wins Produced are better than Bs by a healthy margin.

by soci on Mar 17, 2009 8:58 AM PDT reply actions  

yep, that's my point.

Nate always says players earn PT, but this is clearly a time where that is not true. Nate picks Bayless for the future, and is apparently choosing to give him the chance he never gave Sergio (minutes based on potential not performance, not punishing for mistakes and poor performances).

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

Nate decided this a long time ago

He finally decided to do it. If this was already decided, I don’t get why we kept Sergio. The system is set up so that it’s impossible for him to beat Bayless. Again, mentioning 2 games ago.

(I was wrong earlier, he did have 1TO.)
5 minutes, 1-1 shooting, 2 assists, 1 TO, 1 rebound, 1 foul

So instead we bring in Bayless to do this.
11 minutes, 0-2 shooting, 2 assists, 1TO, 1 rebound, 2 fouls

Clearly Sergio wins here, granted they both have a – but 5 minutes isn’t much of a sample size.

Next game.
Sergio 6 minutes, 0-1 shooting, 1-2FT, 1 rebound, 3 fouls, 1 turnover. Pretty bad, and that 1 turnover was his jump pass. So we bring in Bayless!
Bayless 10 minutes, 0-0 shooting, 0-2FT, 0 assists, 0 rebounds, 1 turnover, 0 points.

This is the game that Bayless won the backup job with? 0 pts, 0 rebounds, 0 assists in 10 minutes. Find me a game that Sergio played 10+ minutes in and did this EVER, and I will never debate Sergio vs Bayless again.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 9:21 AM PDT reply actions  

yes, that's the craziest part of this to me

that it happened right now. Bayless has never played worse and Sergio has actually had some good games recently, and Bayless has not. In the first half of the lakers game, he was excellent, and he had excellent games against the spurs both away and at home. yet somehow everyone just talks about how horrible he is. btw, i have no idea what Nate was thinking putting Serg back in the Lakers game after Rudy went down. Obviously his head wasn’t in it, and as it was a blow out, Bayless would have been a much better idea.

"It's like, 'Urrrrrrgh!'" Rodriguez says, his cupped hands turning into fists. "It is a good feeling. Good feeling."

by sergioFTW on Mar 17, 2009 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions  

If this is indeed a real change of the backup 1, it's not a question of "what have you done for me lately," in which Sergio has been a D+ and Rex has been a D-...

…………………………. Rather, it’s a matter of Nate pulling the trigger at the LAST POSSIBLE INSTANT in the regular season in hopes of having Rex playing at a competent level for the playoffs. Rex’s crunch-it-and-score-it game is the way that playoff basketball is played. If Sergio is shaky and Rex abysmal shooting contested jumpers, it’s not that aspect that Nate is looking at — clearly. Rather, it’s probably defensive matchups and offensive intensity. When Bayless was hitting on all cylinders, he was gooooood.

Lately, it has been a very discouraging suck-a-thon. Not just Rex, Sergio, too.

It will be interesting to see how this turns out. It should have happened at least a month ago, in my opinion; the writing has been on the wall for a long time.

Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...

by timbo on Mar 17, 2009 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions  

Looking at the stats will not provide the answer

It has been clear for a long time that Sergio is not the long term answer for the Blazers. Just about every trade we speculated on before the deadline had Sergio going somewhere else.

At the moment the second unit is struggling to score points and to defend. Sergio is not helping change that. He has constantly shown that he can pass well, but has trouble creating for himself. At the moment he is not helping the second unit. What is the upside of playing him now?

Everyone knows that Bayless has potential. He is physically strong, defends aggressively and can finish well at the rim. I do not think he has had the green light from McMillan to score. McMillan has always said that he would get playing time if he defended well. So Bayless has tried to focus on playing defense and distributing the ball. He has not aggressively looked for his shot.

Who knows, if Bayless gains his confidence as a scorer, he could be a great weapon come the playoffs.

by The Thinker on Mar 17, 2009 9:39 AM PDT reply actions  

That seems to be the wager Nate is making...
Who knows, if Bayless gains his confidence as a scorer, he could be a great weapon come the playoffs.

Pontiff of the Pryz for Prez Posse...

by timbo on Mar 17, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

The best part of all this

If Bayless is still the backup when Oden returns, it will make him look better. Nate should have waited 2 more games before playing Bayless.

by Zaig on Mar 17, 2009 10:02 AM PDT reply actions  

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