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Go for the Gold!

Three point shots are often called the “fool’s gold” because they are generally low(er) percentage shots that are taken in favor of driving to the hoop. This blog post will analyze the Blazers’ three point shooting trends and what they can do to help them win more games.

 

Star-divide

Portland is one of the NBA’s top three point shooting teams with 38% three point percentage. This number, however, fails to put into consideration Portland’s streaky 3 point shooting. On a good night, Blazers might take smart, wide open shots. They might hit 12 out of 15 three pointers. However, on a bad night, such as like the game against Houston, player such as Rudy might take 6 3 pointers and only make one. Think about this: Portland’s overall shooting percentage is 46%. Instead of taking just one three point jumper, and not being able to have a chance at a rebound, if Portland’s guards and small forwards attacked the hoop, they could create high percentage shots, dunks, and layups, along with a higher amount of offensive boards, and higher percentage shots are easier to rebound by the Blazers’ big men.


Patience is the key to success at three point shooting. Instead of running off 8-12 seconds from the 23 second shot clock, making one or two passes around the perimeter, then taking a 3 pointer or long jumper that rims off or airballs, and then is rebounded by the other team 90% of the time.  Portland should actively attack the hoop, and barring a high percentage shot, kick the ball back to the perimeter and move it around with a few passes, then take a wide open corner 3 pointer. Doing this will do two things: firstly, most Blazer three point shooters (and I say most because Bayless has yet to develop a good shot) are dead-eyes if left wide open. Drawing in defenders and then passing around the perimeter will give precision shooters such as Rudy Fernandez and Nicolas Batum easy three point baskets. In fact, they can probably hit 65%-75% of these wide open shots. This will really improve Blazer scoring. The second thing that this will do is really help out the big men. Producing good looks at three point shots forces defenders to really close out. Once a defender closes out, Aldrige and Oden can really get to work in the post, without fear of too much defense in the low post; if an opposing center or power forward goes for a block or tries to close out on a three point shooter, Oden and Aldrige can easily catch a lob and dunk it or put up a high percentage layup or hook shot.

In conclusion, the three pointer is a dangerous risk that can be turned into a powerful offensive weapon. With a little (OK, a lot) of work, Portland can turn into THE premier three point shooting team in the NBA while improving all aspects of their game, including offensive boards, shooting percentage, points in the paint, and assists. If this young Portland team realizes the potency of three pointers used correctly, they can turn the “fool’s gold” into quick scoring platinum.

 

Please visit www.blazers.synthasite.com for records of my blog, and to learn how to support a 16 year old's blogging career.

 

Poll
Who is the Trail Blazers' best three point shooter?
Nicolas Batum
4 votes
Brandon Roy
12 votes
Steve Blake
24 votes
Rudy Fernandez
22 votes
Travis Outlaw
8 votes
Jerryd Bayless (lol!)
4 votes
Sergio Rodriguez
1 votes

75 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 20 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I wanted to vote for Shavlik

he’s 100% on threes this season.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Feb 26, 2009 10:56 PM PST reply actions  

Lol

Ok, 100% in the 2 or so minutes he played…

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Jerryd Bayless has only taken 26 three pointers this season

And he shot .407 from three in college. I know that three point line was a lot closer but I think we will find that when Bayless gets regular burn he will be a quality three point shooter.

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Feb 26, 2009 11:00 PM PST reply actions  

True

But at this point, he’s not a great, or even good 3 point shooter. Batum and Fernandez are both great pure shooters with the best of form.

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

I think it is way to early to say one way or the other on Bayless

IMO the biggest difference from Bayless and the other two is that they are regulars in the rotation.

Personally I think Fernandez’s form is butt ugly, but it works. However, he really needs to stop with the falling sideways three pointers because that is not a .400 shot for anyone.

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Feb 26, 2009 11:07 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Butt Ugly?

If Fernandez’s perfect form is butt ugly, then who has amazing form? Outlaw?

lol

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Fernandez has no jump in his jump shot

It doesn’t look like the jumper that great shooters like Reggie Miller and MJ graced this league with.

Once again I said it works because thats what he does so he should keep it up.

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Feb 26, 2009 11:11 PM PST up reply actions  

lol

Just read your siggy, funny stuff :-)

Keep up the good work, thanks for your feedback! Visit my website and leave something on the guestbook, it looks more naked than Jessica Alba on a good day.

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Bayless shot is also not nice

He uses a slight shot put motion. I haven’t analyzed yet what he does wrong, maybe he has his arms too low, his hand doesn’t bend enough on release or he doesn’t put the ball on the top of his fingers, but the end result is that the shot has a wrong form. That doesn’t mean he can’t hit that, Peja e.g. flings his threes (from much higher above his head) yet is super-efficient with it. And Bayless’ shot form is much better than say Marion or Kevin Martin. At least it usually has some arc, on which Sergio is still working.

Proud Odensheeple

by Norsktroll on Feb 27, 2009 1:31 AM PST up reply actions  

lol

And who the freak is voting for Steve Blake! Come on…

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Are you serious

Blake is shooting .420 on the season and has taken 207 three point attempts

There won't be clean officiating in the NBA until David Stern is forcibly removed by the US Congress in 2013 for fixing games.

by 123_G.O._RipCity on Feb 26, 2009 11:10 PM PST up reply actions  

OK

Someone did their hw :0

Congrats :-)

I just don’t see Blake shooting 6-8 threes a game like Rudy, so I don’t really think of him as an amazing 3 point shooter.

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Bayless shot 3s pretty well

during the 14 games Blake was out.

Three point shooting can be a rhythm thing, and he seemed to find his rhythm. I’m not concerned about his distance shooting.

In general, I agree with your post, that 3s are most effective in the flow of an offense to generate open 3s. One minor quibble — the average offensive rebound rate on 3s is a pretty good percentage. The reason for this is that they often take long bounces, which can negate the inside position which defensive rebounders usually get. The defensive rebounder works his tail off to box out the offensive guy, and the stupid ball bounces long off the rim to the offensive guy.

But you are right that penetration to break down the defense can generate offensive rebounding advantages as well.

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Feb 26, 2009 11:10 PM PST reply actions  

Thanks

Thanks for your feedback! That’s three blogs in a row you’ve helped me out with now! Thanks so much :-)

Thanks for reading my post! Remember to please check out my website at http://blazers.synthasite.com to help a 16 year old start his blogging career!

by MHarianto on Feb 26, 2009 11:14 PM PST up reply actions  

batum
But at this point, he’s not a great, or even good 3 point shooter. Batum and Fernandez are both great pure shooters with the best of form.

I disagree about Batum being a pure shooter with perfect form. He has a pretty awkward delivery, doesn’t follow through that well, and doesn’t end his shot on balance very well. He’s shooting 36% which is good, especially for a rookie, but keep in mind that almost every look he gets there is no one within 8 feet of him, I mean if Martell was getting those same shots he’d be shooting like 50% lol.

by Pat28K on Feb 26, 2009 11:51 PM PST reply actions  

Hmmm, now that I look at the list

I would say no person is a “good” 3pt shooter. Maybe our high percentage has to do with not having a bad shooter chucking up shots. Our 3 pt shot making is highly situational meaning you as an experienced fan generally can feel when one of players is in their “spot” and has a good chance of making a shot. There is no Ray Allen type who can go bonkers from any particular spot or in a large number of situations.

by Sound_Automatic on Feb 26, 2009 11:51 PM PST reply actions  

I voted for Rudy

Just because Martell is not on the list.

Karma

by Sabonis4Ever on Feb 27, 2009 2:49 AM PST reply actions  

Rudy

If he shot the same 3s as Blake there wouldn’t be a contest between their percentages.

Unfortunately, he doesn’t shoot the smart 3s like Blake, hence the much lower %.

by Zaig on Feb 27, 2009 9:08 AM PST reply actions  

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