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A Bitter, Bitter Pill


  I never wanted to write this fanpost. I never wanted to have to say the things I'm about to say. But Blazer fans have a bitter pill to swallow, and like any medicine the quicker we swallow it, the better.  This is about Greg Oden.

Star-divide

 

   When Greg underwent his microfracture surgery many of the ghosts and shadows of troubled Blazer big men of the past were revived.  But I personally was able to banish these ghosts in the light of Gregs youth and with the hope of modern surgical procedure and optimism as a Blazer fan.  But that was yesterday...

   Today what makes this so much more difficult is how well Oden was doing. Oden was emerging. His confidence, his personality, his physical skills and gifts seemed to grow on almost a nightly basis.  But that all was lost in a single moment with Greg Oden crumpled on The Rose Garden floor.

   As a Blazer fan, I just want to offer unconditional support. I just want like Kevin Pritchard to say it's a setback but Oden will be back.  And I think it's appropriate and fine to hold that hope...the hope that Greg Oden can return and play again at the level he was showing us he was capable

   But also as a Blazer fan, with a some age and a memory, I'm afraid we have some bitter pills to swallow. Because I can remember Sam Bowie, and seeing Oden being carried off the court on a stretcher brought back so many memories.  Newer Blazer fans might not want to hear it, but there are so many similarities. Bowie like Oden, was a  controversial high pick in a talented draft. Not the #1,#1 but taken #2 and surrounded by other talent and unfortunately legend in Michael Jordan. Bowie like Oden also emerged, and many people have forgotten but before Bowie was ultimately betrayed by his own physical frailities Bowie was a very, very good player.  But I remember the reality of what seemed a never ending cycle of injury and rehab.

  In anycase, the bitter pill I think we need to swallow is coming to the realization that Greg Oden simply should not be factored into any serious ideas about this teams evolution into an upper echelon championship contender. That sounds mean, that sounds cold and like I said before the jump,  I never wanted to write it.  But I believe especially in the case of big men, that sometimes you just have an individual who's body simply cannot withstand the rigors of N.B.A. basketball.  Who knows? I'm not a medical professional. But I've seen a lot of basketball players come and go, and I have seen some that for whatever reason seem to have brittle bones, weak tendons, or simply the genetic predisposition to injury when stressed at an N.B.A. level of physical exertion.  I'm now very, very afraid Greg Oden falls into that category.

   So another bitter pill is this team cannot wait for Greg Oden.  It has to move on. Not only this season, but the next and the next. Trust me, when I say I hope I am wrong. I'd like nothing more than to be wrong.  I'd like Greg Oden to once again return and play an Iron Man like career and become everything we hoped and dreamed he would be when we drafted him.  But I'm afraid it isn't going to happen.  Can he, will he return from this injury? Probably yes. With another lost season and time he will return. But once returned how long before the next injury?

   The bitter pill is Greg Oden is injury prone.  Which means to me that The Blazers can't think of Greg Oden as the 3rd prong of a 3 prong attack. Our nuculeus is not going to be Brandon, LMA and Oden because Oden will never be healthy long enough for it to be viable.  We support Gregs rehab, we await his return again and if he can prove me wrong F.A.N.T.A.S.T.I.C....honestly. But the franchise needs to change gears. With Brandon, LMA and Oden you could look at everything and everyone else as mostly the "icing" to KP' cake.  With Oden out of the picture, or what Oden means to the franchise severely adjusted, then KP and management need to go back and be more agressive. I don't think Brandon and LMA alone are enough to be the core of a championship level team. There are no easy answers here but the worst thing we could do at this point is count on Greg Oden.

   Oh, please, please believe me when I say it pains me to type those words. But I have lived through similar before. There was a point when I realized that as much as I wanted it, as much as Bowie wanted it, as much as The Blazers wanted it, Bowie was never going to be able to consistently compete on a Jabbar, Hakeem and Ewing level. His legs just would not let him.  I am so afraid that is the case with Oden.  He's IS a great talent, he showed it this season. But unfortunately his body also showed it's weakness.

   I would keep this opinion to myself, but having lived through the Bowie era, I also think that the quickest road to franchise recovery is to embrace the reality as realistically as possible. We still have fantastic talent in Brandon and LMA, and good depth and talent. But if Championships were our goal? Even at their very, very best are Brandon and LMA enough?  What seemed as sure as an emphatic rim rocking dunk is now a crumpled question mark on the Rose Garden floor.  That's a bitter bitter pill to swallow.

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I realize where you're coming from

And I would understand if KP and the rest of the blazer front office made aggressive moves based on the reasonable, albeit depressing assumption, that Greg doesn’t have a good enough health history to be counted on as a cornerstone anymore. I love Oden as much as the next guy, but I can understand that the blazer brass may not want to sacrifice Roy’s prime by waiting for Oden to develop as a franchise cornerstone. If that means making aggressive moves now to get guys who can fill that “franchise” spot as a 4/5 at the expense of Oden, I can empathize with that. But as an Oden believer, I would be devastated if that happened.

"B-Roy is the best shooting guard I have played against"

-Ron Artest

by premthegrem on Dec 6, 2009 12:20 AM PST reply actions  

i agree

i believe they should not extend him this summer and barring a colossal break-out next year, assuming he can play, i wouldn’t break the bank to retain him. it sucks, i really like him and he was far and away my favorite player to watch these last two years but he can not be counted on. the team needs to figure out if it can find another piece to combine with roy to become a contender.

by colinmarsh on Dec 6, 2009 1:53 AM PST reply actions  

very good post

I don’t care if Greg Oden ever plays another NBA game. The man is 21, and he has trouble getting up and down the court even when he is “healthy”. Imagine being 21 and worrying about your mobility? He is a millionaire, and will lead a comfortable life no matter what happens. But, just like you, me, and everyone on BlazersEdge, Greg Oden was just not meant to play basketball at NBA speed. It is not at all worth jeopardizing his long-term health and mobility just for the sake of what he may be able to contribute on the basketball court. Poor guy. He is a man’s man, yet at the same time the Gentle Giant. Who cares about his contributions to the Blazers. Lets just hope he can lead a normal life.

From a basketball standpoint, at least some of the blame must lie at the feet of KP. Contrary to what John Hollinger thinks, not everyone was convinced Oden was the better player. (See; Simmons, Bill). The “safe” pick was 7-foot Darko Milicic over Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh and Carmelo Anthony. The “safe” picks were 7-footers Michael Olowakandi and Raef LaFrentz over Vince Carter, Michael Bibby and Paul Pierce. The “safe” pick was 7-foot Todd Fuller ahead of Kobe Bryant. The “safe” pick was 7-foot Shawn Bradley ahead of Penny Hardaway. The “safe” pick was 7-foot Sam Bowie over Michael Jordan.

Was Greg Oden really the “safe” pick? Of course not. Now now, nor was he back in 2007. Twenty-eight points per game is twenty-eight points per game.

Get well Greg Oden.

by John Park Williams on Dec 6, 2009 10:50 AM PST reply actions  

No, no no...

   I don’t lay any “blame” on KP. He made the pick that most GM’s at the time would of made. Plus what was Oden showing us? Before this injury he was showing the skills and physical presence that made him a #1, #1 pick.

   Plus all players in the N.B.A. get paid a lot. I don’t get factoring in what he get’s paid as having anything much to do with his reality as The Blazers young center.

   PLUS Oden get’s the chance to come back from this injury. Who am I, You or anyone to tell him he shouldn’t or couldn’t or won’t? There is no evidence that Oden is at a point where re-occuring injury is jeopardizing his ability to live a “normal life”. It’s frustrating but this is his OTHER knee.

   What I think has changed is simply how The Blazers management has to look at Greg Oden the Blazer Asset. That sounds all business like and cold, and it is, but I think what has changed is that The Blazers can no longer afford to think of Greg as a cornerstone. When you miss 2 of your first 3 seasons in the N.B.A. as much as I wouldn’t want to say it, he is injury prone and no team can really afford to build around a player that is injury prone. It’s too dangerous.

  So the way I look at it, you leave the door open. You hope, you pray, you support Greg Oden and his eventual return. And you certainly hope he comes back and can play like he has shown he can, then you hope he can be durable and do it for a season, or two or 3 or a whole career. But you don’t count on it….because in the business side of basketball at some point you just can’t afford the cost of counting on it. That’s what changed for me last night. Nothing more, nothing less. Oh, I take it back, a little more changed for me last night. I realized how much I had grown to like Oden. It was a real and also symbolic devastation…I’m hoping the team, the franchise and the management/ownership can make things happen that can restore hope for this franchise. It was a tragedy to have to see the images we saw as fans.

   As I said all along, I wish I did NOT have to write this fanpost. I wish these questions were ones I thought we did not have to discuss or debate. Maybe it’s too early. Maybe we need to wait and let some distance grow before we worry too much. If there was ever a fanpost I wish I did not write, even if I still think it’s valid….it’s this one.

"Mother Nature started this fight, I think it's about time we ended it!"

by Krang on Dec 6, 2009 12:37 PM PST up reply actions  

It's probably not a good idea in general

to post a post like this until a few days have passed.

You might end up saying things you regret later.

In a small way, this is a grief process. Not at all like loss of a loved one, but you still feel a sense of loss.

At such a time, you don’t want to rush into big picture questions, because there’s too much you haven’t processed yet.

#52

by jscot on Dec 6, 2009 11:51 PM PST reply actions  

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