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Short Shot Clocks

One item on Nate McMIllan's agenda today that wasn't mentioned in my earlier practice report is McMillan's belief that his team needs to get shots earlier in the shot clock.  

This afternoon, Dwight Jaynes asked me whether there was a way to find out how many shots the Blazers have taken with the shot clock winding down. Jaynes asserted, "This team has to be leading the league."  Given that the Blazers are currently the slowest-paced team in the league according to John Hollinger, this prediction makes a lot of sense: slower pace = longer possessions = more shots with the clock winding down. 

But how much does milking the clock and taking late shots help or hurt the Blazers? Does it matter?

Thanks once again to Synergy Sports and the Invisible Ninja we have some pretty definitive statistics to answer these questions.

Synergy tracks shots that it calls "short shot clock" shots, those taken with under 4 seconds on the clock.  According to Synergy, through games played last night...

  • Portland leads the entire league in field goal attempts on a short shot clock (160). The Utah Jazz (158) and Detroit Pistons (157) are in second and third respectively.  
  • The Blazers, Jazz and Pistons all have 7 to 8 percent of their halfcourt possessions ending with short shot clock field goal attempts.  This leads the league.  
  • To no one's surprise the Phoenix Suns (64), Los Angeles Lakers (73) and the Golden State Warriors (75) are the three teams that find themselves in this situation the least.  These teams find only 3 to 4 percent of their possessions ending with short shot clock field goal attempts.
  • Unfortunately for the Blazers, while they are 1st in the league in short shot clock field goal attempts, they are 26th in the league in short shot clock field goal percentage.  The Blazers shoot 29% overall on short shot clock shots.  For comparison, the team shoots 45% from the field overall.  Their short shot clock percentage is better than only Indiana (28% on 113 attempts), Detroit (27% on 157 attempts), Denver (27% on 81 attempts) and Philadelphia (26% on 92 attempts). 
  • The best shooting teams on short shot clocks: Sacramento (44% on 103 attempts), San Antonio (40% on 90 attempts), Cleveland (39% on 151 attempts) Houston (39% on 118 attempts), Washington (38% on 93 attempts).
  • Synergy rates the Blazers "Below Average" in this category overall. They are "Poor" on jump shots taken on a short shot clock.  
  • The one bright side: the team is "Very Good" on shots taken around the basket on a short shot clock. Unfortunately, the ratio of short shot clock jumpers to short shot clock shots around the basket is 4.6 to 1.  Eek.
Also unfortunately for the Blazers, the trend has been heading in the wrong direction.  On the team's recent four game road trip, the Blazers took more short shot clock shots and made less of them.  Looking only at the recent four game trip -- at New York, Indiana, Cleveland and Milwaukee -- here are some numbers...
  • The Blazers had 11% of their possessions end with short shot clock shots.
  • The Blazers converted just 20% of their field goal attempts in these situations.
  • For comparison on this trip, the Blazers shot 46% in their overall halfcourt offense.
I think it's fair to call this a critical problem right now.

Update

A great question came in: how does this compare to last year for the Blazers? For the entire 2008-2009 season...
  • The Blazers had 557 field goal attempts on a short shot clock. This put them at 6th most in the league. This year they are #1.
  • The Blazers finished 8% of their total possessions with short shot clock shots, almost identical to this season so far.  
  • Last year the Blazers shot 6.8 FGA per game on a short shot clock.  This year they are shooting 6.4 FGA per game on a short shot clock.  So slightly down this year.
  • The big difference?  The Blazers connected on 38% of their short shot clock shots last year.  This tied them for 6th best in the league.  This year?  As mentioned above: 29% and 26th best.
  • In other words, the Blazers are now shooting 9% lower on these attempts than they did last year. This 9% drop year over year ties them with 4 other teams for the largest percentage drop year over year.  Brutal.
  • The biggest individual culprits when it comes to this year over year short shot clock drop?  Steve Blake is down from 35% to 13%. Brandon Roy is down from 37% to 30%. Rudy Fernandez is down from 45% to 39%.
-- Ben Golliver | benjamin.golliver@gmail.com | Twitter

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by Starvin' Marvin on Dec 14, 2009 4:19 PM PST up reply actions  

word

cash rules everything around me CREAM get tha money dolla dolla bill yaaaaallll

by staceyaugmon4HOF on Dec 14, 2009 4:30 PM PST up reply actions  

Uh, no, this has like 99.99% to do the coaching philosophy and offensive scheme more than anything.

Dear Paul Allen:

Fire Kevin Pritchard & hire Dennis Lindsey.
Fire Nate McMillan & hire Jeff Van Gundy.

Sincerely,
AK1984

by AK1984 on Dec 14, 2009 4:39 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

exactly

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Dec 14, 2009 4:42 PM PST up reply actions  

+1

"I'm at the thingamajig talking the yakety-yak" - Kenny Smith

by blzrfan on Dec 14, 2009 4:48 PM PST up reply actions  

It doesn't have just a teensy weensy little bit to do with Steve Blake?

You can’t tell me playing Blake doesn’t contribute to the problem. He has one of the lowest usage rates in the league among starting point guards.

Dribbling pointlessly around the perimeter without posing even a remote threat of attacking the basket doesn’t increase your chances of using up the shot clock?

Scheme certainly plays a role, but so do the players. When somebody as incapable of attacking off the dribble is spending so much time dribbling, the shot clock is going to tick tick tick. The results aren’t often pretty.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Dec 14, 2009 9:17 PM PST up reply actions  

The truth is in between

Last year, we were putting up a ton of end-of-clock shots, but a lot of them were coming out of the flow of the offense. That’s coaching philosophy. Because they were coming in the flow, we were shooting a decent percentage on them. We had some that were forced, which is why our percentage was lower than on earlier shots, but most of them weren’t.

This year, it seems like we have a huge percentage that are coming on forced prayers. And of course, we aren’t making those. The stats show it. This has been especially bad on this road trip.

That’s not coaching philosophy. That’s a lack of attacking instinct on the part of the players, poor execution, etc.

Whatever one thinks about Bayless or Blake, Bayless is an attacking player and Blake isn’t. And the stats have been far worse on the trip, when Blake has been playing more minutes.

If you play Blake less and Bayless more, you will have a more attacking team, and this will happen far less, even with the same coaching philosophy and offensive scheme. Perhaps other bad things will happen, perhaps we’ll struggle in other ways, but it WILL change the passivity of our offense.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 1:50 AM PST up reply actions  

a perfect example

of the statistics confirming what your eyes have already told you. Good work Ben.

Now, how to fix it? Personally, while I think we can do some little things to reduce and hide the problem through improved execution, I’m with DJ that the real underlying problem is the base offensive gameplan.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Dec 14, 2009 4:22 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

not to fix, but to address

One way to work on it is to run practices with 20-sec shot clocks. Football coaches do it when their teams keep getting delay penalties; they train the team to move faster by literally taking time away from them. Get used to it in practice, you’ll take quicker shots during the game.

by torridjoe on Dec 14, 2009 11:48 PM PST up reply actions  

the image

of andre miller taking a contested three with two seconds on the shot clock while joel tries to box out and the other three blazers start to jog back on defense even before the other team secures the rebound is being burned into my brain.

cash rules everything around me CREAM get tha money dolla dolla bill yaaaaallll

by staceyaugmon4HOF on Dec 14, 2009 4:29 PM PST reply actions  

Does Nate McMillan not realize that he is, was, and is wired to always be a slow-paced coach?

For example, when Tony Bennett coached WSU he openly admitted his preference for a deliberate, methodical style of basketball like his father taught him. And, even though this is strictly an assumption on my part, I’m sure Jeff Van Gundy and Mike Fratello were satisfied that their teams played at a snail’s pace and didn’t want to alter it.

At this point, I honestly question McMillan’s ability to deduce his own style of coaching. It’d be one thing if he’d finally said something like through the years he’s always coached at a slow pace and is finally looking to switch things up, but all his comments ever are is empty rhetoric like the team needs to get shots earlier in the clock and whatnot.

Now, I’m not a fan of run-and-gun basketball whatsoever; yet, I’d laugh uproariously if UO women’s basketball coach Paul Westhead came in to Trail Blazer practice someday and actually had them all running like the wind during scrimmage. I guaranteed you a control freak like McMillan would have a hysterical conniption fit watching all the turnovers and sloppiness, but at least then maybe he’d realize that he is, was, and always will be a slow-paced basketball coach.

Dear Paul Allen:

Fire Kevin Pritchard & hire Dennis Lindsey.
Fire Nate McMillan & hire Jeff Van Gundy.

Sincerely,
AK1984

by AK1984 on Dec 14, 2009 4:32 PM PST reply actions  

Slow paced is one thing

Running out the shot clock so we can launch shots that are unlikely to even hit the rim is another.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 1:54 AM PST up reply actions  

What happen to first 7 seconds or last 7 seconds

is nate still preaching that? And are the players still playing under that mantra?

by BarelyLegal on Dec 14, 2009 4:38 PM PST reply actions  

I don't think Nate ever meant that literally.

(unless he is crazy)

Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.

by pualo on Dec 14, 2009 5:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Force the issue and force the tempo

I think with this now on the table, it opens up a lot of things, not the least of which is it gives Martell more of a green light when he has an opening. Now….he has to hit them.

I also agree that Bayless on the court would help solve this, too.

Finally, I recall the data said that Brandon is killer coming off screens and shooting immediately, but they run almost no plays like that. Why not?

by Memphremagog on Dec 14, 2009 4:41 PM PST reply actions  

In my opinion, our offensive issues almost exclusively come down to one thing:

We don’t put pressure on the defense. Whether you are looking at transition, early offense, or fully setup half court offense, we rarely do anything that forces the defense to react and adjust quickly. Almost everything we do is slow and methodical and allows the defense to set up exactly where they want to be, and prepare themselves to adjust to soon to be unfolding play, which they almost always know exactly what is coming and from where. Even when Roy executes a 1-4 isolation and is able to score off a tough drive to the basket, it is not because the defense wasn’t ready, wasn’t in proper position, or didn’t know what is coming – it is almost always because Roy just made a heck of a play. We don’t make it easy on our offense because we don’t put pressure on the other team’s defense.

In short, we rarely put the defense on it’s heels, which would give us an advantage.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Dec 14, 2009 4:46 PM PST reply actions  

On the money

The offense seems like they’re a step slow. I think Nate’s philosophy is to always first read the defense and take what they give you. It’s not a horrible philosophy, but he’s so rigid with it. Too often, it leads to jumper after jumper after jumper, while everyone else stands around watching.

Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game

by iDea on Dec 14, 2009 4:59 PM PST up reply actions  

i'll tell you why its not working as well this year.

we had several shooters on our team last year that were making shots from 3p range. what that did was it spread the floor, made more room for roy to finish at the rim. now the defense just swarms the middle and noone can make it to the rim. i think thats why miller isn’t so hot this season either. we need 3pt shooters to hit their shots or trade for someone that can.

by jeremyse on Dec 14, 2009 5:47 PM PST up reply actions  

Rudy, Outlaw and even Batum

those three guys did just what you said… they forced the defense to cover them, allowing Brandon to do his thing. It’s no surprise without those guys playing that teams have adjusted by shutting down Roy and daring the PTB to beat them with the deep ball. I think rather then trade we exercise patience and wait for the team to get its mana restored.

"A little rudeness and disrespect can elevate a meaningless interaction to a battle of wills and add drama to an otherwise dull day." -- Hobbes

by bow4meow on Dec 14, 2009 5:55 PM PST up reply actions  

even with the shooters hitting, I question whether this is a sound plan in the long run.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Dec 14, 2009 7:33 PM PST up reply actions  

That may be Nate's preference...

…but as mentioned above (and I hate to pile on), I suspect it also has a little bit to do with the starting point guard. Most possessions begin with the ball in the hands of one of the least aggressive guards in the league. When Steve was confident and playing well for long stretches last season, he was attacking early in the shot clock and hitting cutters off the dribble. I’m not saying the dribble drive is the only way to attack. But this season, Steve’s confidence has tanked, and he’s just dribbling around pointlessly until he passes the ball to someone else who’s guarded on the perimeter.

Again, I don’t want it to come across like I’m picking on Steve or don’t like him or something. I do like Steve. He tries his butt off out there. I admire what he’s accomplished and love his feistiness. But issues with the shot clock can’t be separated from a docile point guard.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Dec 14, 2009 9:23 PM PST up reply actions  

great post douglast

couldn’t agree more. we never create an offensive advantage. the defense always seems ready for us.

by seablaz on Dec 14, 2009 10:25 PM PST up reply actions  

you know...

i think we have this young PG who can get to the rim on a short clock.

can’t remember his name, but i think he’s been mentioned around here lately.

by travis13 on Dec 14, 2009 4:58 PM PST reply actions  

Paul actually waits for the shot clock to go down often, examining the defense meticulously

Durant is the one who attacks once he sees any opening or chance to get a jumper up, if it’s there or not.

Miller - Roy - Webster - Aldridge - Przybilla. Is that so hard?

by Norsktroll on Dec 14, 2009 7:11 PM PST up reply actions  

No, we traded him to Indiana with Brandon Rush.

Taking things as wrongly as possible is actually kind of fun. :)

πεντήκοντα δύο

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Dec 14, 2009 5:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Taking things as wrongly as possible is actually kind of fun. :)

Maybe that’s been the players approach to Nate’s playbook this year.

by JonathanPDX on Dec 14, 2009 7:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Bad habits

are being masqueraded as a playing style.

#52

by KINGofMACct on Dec 14, 2009 5:17 PM PST reply actions  

interesting stuff

last year it seemed Outlaw or Roy were often forced to rush up shots as the shot-clock was winding down, so it’s no surprise to see the trend continue this year. It really is a bad habit that’s been hard to break. Methodical play is one thing, but aimless clock management is another. It seems when the team is forced to throw one up against the shot clock buzzer it puts the entire team out of position to rebound the ball or get back on D. When the shot goes in it’s great, but more often then not the team is caught off-guard and at the mercy of the opponent’s quicker reacting schemes.
One thing that makes me laugh is watching Steve Blake off the inbound. He typically lets the ball get ahead of him before he picks it up, in what I’ve assumed to be an attempt to add a bit more time to execute the “offense.”

"A little rudeness and disrespect can elevate a meaningless interaction to a battle of wills and add drama to an otherwise dull day." -- Hobbes

by bow4meow on Dec 14, 2009 5:50 PM PST reply actions  

update posted with comparison to last year.

by Ben Golliver on Dec 14, 2009 5:58 PM PST reply actions  

The data is trying to blame Blake for all of this.

The data was biased. It has shown it’s true colors. It is evil incarnate, except there’s no flesh, just the etherial form of the mind, which is what evil is anyways. And all this time, claiming to be objective.

Waiting.

Plotting.

Coiled and ready to strike when we least expected.

Great. Now I can never trust the data again. Thanks a lot Ben. For the years to come, I will pine for the days when I believed the data to be neutral. But now I will be forced to catch my tears in an iron sieve. I will cry into my pillow at night, only to find that it is the icy stone of the data’s soul.

Bitterness.

Emptiness.

That’s all that awaits me now.

πεντήκοντα δύο

Blazersedge.com || New to Blazers' Edge?

by T Darkstar on Dec 14, 2009 6:22 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

even if we are hitting at last years pace...

38% is well under the overall shooting percentage, so it’s poor strategy indeed to end so many possessions with a short clock. given that we were 6th in the league in short clock attempts last year, it’s an even greater testament to our offensive rebounding and one on one talent that we still were so efficient on offense.

Still, I have to question any offensive gameplan that results in us being in the top (bottom!) 20% of teams when it comes to short clock field goal attempts. 38% is nothing to be excited about, and that is probably the BEST you could hope for in those scenearios. Regression on the mean again…

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Dec 14, 2009 7:38 PM PST up reply actions  

It's certainly not a given. Bayless could make things worse.

It doesn’t matter though. Right now Blake is basically the worst starting PG in the league, so it’s hard to do much worse.

Plus, drawing fouls is a really good thing, especially without Oden who was drawing a ton of fouls. Blake is literally the worst PG in the league at it (Tied with Eddie House and not counting rookies) and Bayless is one of the best (second last season behind Devin Harris)

by Nick Van Excellent on Dec 14, 2009 6:40 PM PST up reply actions  

It won't

Not even close. But it would help this one, because Bayless is an attacking offensive player and Blake isn’t.

Whether it would create other problems remains to be seen.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 2:05 AM PST up reply actions  

Well...
Steve Blake is down from 35% to 13%

’nuf said.

by Eventine on Dec 14, 2009 6:34 PM PST reply actions  

That is absolutely brutal

It also sort of confirms for me in numbers what my eyes have told me this year, that Steve is as tense and pressed as I’ve ever seen him, and he was never all that smooth in the clutch to begin with.

by nikolokolus on Dec 14, 2009 8:00 PM PST up reply actions  

That's symbolic of his year

it isn’t just that he’s shooting and handling the ball worse than last year, but last season he seemed to make timely shots when the team needed it in situations like this. He’d make a big 3 when the other team was pulling away or coming back when they had the lead. Maybe if he moves to the bench and is used situationally he can regain his mojo.

Your confusing thesis has captured my attention. Tell me more.

by terryisntbald on Dec 14, 2009 8:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, Blake is shooting at a 14.5% clip if you adjust for the 3pt shot… LOL

by InvisibleNinja on Dec 15, 2009 10:15 AM PST up reply actions  

i cant believe this has to be posted in december-mid season.

its pretty evident what the blazers need to do and some of the commenters are spot on with reference to the offensive scheme but the quickest fix, one that is even more efficacious, and one that Nate once proved he could do (!!) is to push the tempo. Wait no no, i don’t mean run run run. I don’t mean 7 seconds or less. I mean his rule last season at the playoff push where he had the players cross half court in 3 seconds or less (or whatever it was). That way we have 21 seconds instead of 16. And trust me with Blake or Roy brings that ball up, we have 16. We start on a short clock, so its no wonder that after 12 seconds of movement we have to rush a shot. If we push the ball across half court not only will we have more time, but we will catch transition defenses unawares and unprepared-and that’s how you score easy buckets.

And of course, as has been said time and time again, Blake should be benched until he proves he can do something—anything to play at this level—and no, NOT TURNING OVER THE BALL doesn’t count. He can do that even better from the sideline.

Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".

...no seriously--stop.

by nima on Dec 14, 2009 6:43 PM PST reply actions  

Not entirely true

Blake almost always crosses the half court line within four seconds (except when pressed/trapped like Detroit did to us). It’s what happens after he crosses it that is the problem. We stop, and wait 3-4 seconds to set the offense, then start the offense. We never move immediately into our offense.

Brandon does bring the ball up slowly a lot of times. There is no reason for that, especially when behind.

Andre has brought it up slowly sometimes, too. But the 4 second rule will have no impact on what Blake is doing.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 2:09 AM PST up reply actions  

It's not just crossing the line but crossing with the intent to run our play immediately. Regardless it helped last year

Miller pushes the tempo much more often than Blake. I know you’re responding to the half court cross, but it’s worth mentioning. Even if Miller crosses more slowly (and I doubt that), he starts plays and moves the ball more quickly on average. At least it looks that way.

Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".

...no seriously--stop.

by nima on Dec 15, 2009 5:40 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

My point is this

Having the four second rule wouldn’t change what is happening in the half court, I’m afraid.

And Miller doesn’t always cross more slowly, but he does on occasion. Blake always runs it up, and then stops.

And sometimes Andre gets us into the offense quickly, but that hasn’t always happened either. Neither Steve nor Andre are playing at the level we would expect from the last two years.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 6:59 AM PST up reply actions  

Can I be the first to say

“Flaming bag”? I’m curious how much that comes into play, since it isn’t part of the stats. It’s one thing for Brandon or Steve to dribble the clock down and take a shot, and something entirely different to have someone get into trouble and throw an out-of-rhythm pass with 2 seconds on the clock. Seems like our Flaming Bag ratio is way up this year.

by superfly05 on Dec 14, 2009 6:51 PM PST reply actions  

I like this

if it happens. Hopefully it won’t be another empty promise, like “we’ll run more.” Roy needs to be on board, since it is often him that is dribbling down the clock.

I would be curious what Andre Miller’s percentage is in shooting short shot clock shots. He seems to get stuck with them a lot too. He’s gets out of about 1/4th of them by drawing a foul.

If this is going to work, one thing that has to happen is that plays need to develop faster and/or be changed. A lot of the time, the Blazers seem to pass the ball into the high post for absolutely no reason I can see (the player receiving the ball doesn’t even look toward the basket) and then spend 5-8 seconds trying to get the ball back to the person who passed it there in the first place. If anybody knows the point to this, I’d love to be educated, because as it is, it drives me nuts.

by Corwin71 on Dec 14, 2009 7:13 PM PST reply actions  

McMillan and Roy should share the blame for this

McMillan for the scheme. It seems like every possession we use all this motion and multiple backscreens just to get Aldridge position at the elbow. It may be an attempt to set up misdirections for later in the game, but all it seems to do is waste 15 seconds of every possession getting Aldridge position the defense would give him anyway. Typically the next phase of the offense is Blake and Aldridge passing it back and forth for a bit, until Aldridge ends up shooting a fadeaway or Blake ends up swinging the ball around for a contested 3.

Then Roy: he claims to want to play faster, but there are so so so many possessions every game where he catches the ball on the wing with an advantage, and then just stands there for about 5 seconds while the defense sets up. This has mostly been a symptom this year, but he would probably get a lot more of those calls he’s expecting if he would force the defense to make quick reactions.

by Hungri Terri on Dec 14, 2009 7:22 PM PST reply actions  

Remember his next to last bucket against Houston?

We ran a play and Andre got him the ball on the elbow, right next to the free throw line, and he instantly blew by Ariza into the lane. Ariza and the rest of the Rockets were totally shocked — Roy NEVER goes instantly.

#52

by jscot on Dec 15, 2009 2:12 AM PST up reply actions  

In the first half at Cleveland...

Hubie Brown was praising Portland for upping the tempo a bit and that they’re running a delayed break which was taking advantage of mismatches before the defense was set. Up by 9 at the half. Seemed pretty effective to me.

by gooddebate on Dec 14, 2009 8:04 PM PST reply actions  

Think about who was in there

Mostly Bayless, Miller and Howard who all really seemed to exploit Cleveland … and then it was back to the steady diet of isos and Jerryd riding the pine late in the game.

by nikolokolus on Dec 14, 2009 8:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Just before half...

Bayless was inserted with 6 seconds. The blazers inbounded from the end line to Bayless who drove across mid court, split the defense, got to the front of the rim and got fouled. He made both. A microcosm of what most of us have been saying.

by gooddebate on Dec 14, 2009 8:12 PM PST up reply actions  

I remember that play

I don’t think the Bucks were expecting a Blazer to score that quickly since the Spanish Armada has disbanded.

Your confusing thesis has captured my attention. Tell me more.

by terryisntbald on Dec 14, 2009 8:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Especially against the cavs-the bucks totally expected us to drive on Bogut or something!

Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".

...no seriously--stop.

by nima on Dec 15, 2009 5:42 AM PST via mobile up reply actions  

This is awesome Ben

Fantastic insight into the inner workings and adjustments of an NBA team. Not many fanbases would have access to this type of insight.

Good to know the Blazers recognize part of the problem. Have to find a middle ground between Lamarcus rushing 22 foot jumpers with 16 seconds on the shot clock, and three perimeter guys playing hot potato until the clock ticks down to three. The key is to focus on getting good aggressive looks attacking the bucket or in the midrange, or open spot up threes, while there’s still time.

I suspect this analysis contributes to Nate’s pending decision to start Dre and ramp up Bayless’s minutes.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Dec 14, 2009 9:28 PM PST reply actions  

BEdgers right again

Wishlist
Bigger role for Greg (check)
More mins for Bayless (check)
Start Miller (check)
Blake sucks (check)
Push the pace (TBD)

Cloudy is Sergio. Makes other people look good, can’t score himself. -Cablinasian

Greg Postertag is probably wielding a jack hammer of a Wenis - AK1984

by Philthyanimal on Dec 14, 2009 11:31 PM PST reply actions  

Underestimate our need for Travis (-check)

Draft the Stache (-check)
Play up Webster (-check)
Push to sign Calderon (-check)

Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".

...no seriously--stop.

by nima on Dec 15, 2009 5:47 AM PST via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

Coaching.

We all knew this was the case just from watching, but this really brings it home how bad of a coach Nate really is. He gets alot of love from the National media, and I am sure he deserves some of it, but the offense and defense have been pretty bad for his entire time here, last year’s efficient offense was the outliner not the norm. Almost every single Blazer had a career year last year, and Nates offense still wasn’t enough to get this team very far. Now that the players have regressed just a bit back to their normal production the offense looks abismal.

If the Blazers are going to do anything in the next couple of years, Nate either needs to change his ways, or he will need to go and let another coach take this group to the next level.

by usmcr3049 on Dec 15, 2009 8:45 AM PST reply actions  

Lone Bright Spot

Rudy has an adjusted shooting percentage of 58.3% When adjusted to weight for the 3pt shot.

by InvisibleNinja on Dec 15, 2009 10:17 AM PST reply actions  

Aldridge 40.9 in adjusted fg% only those two over 35% in adjusted fg% in short shot clock situations.

by InvisibleNinja on Dec 15, 2009 10:19 AM PST reply actions  

Go Lakers!

You all have finally convinced me that the Blazers suck.

So I’m doing the only logical thing – rooting for the team you all really want to see.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Dec 15, 2009 10:52 AM PST reply actions  

Pretty awesome to have the exact data you need

To support your hypothesis. Great job getting the info and putting all together. This is a quality post.

"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson

by Gils_Keloids on Dec 15, 2009 11:26 AM PST reply actions  

Blame Roy

Can you really blame Nate? I haven’t liked his coaching but he’s trying to make the pieces fit somewhat. The offensive “sets” he calls may be the reason our offense stalls, but BRoy has all but shouted out he wants the ball more. This despite the efforts by Nate to get the ball to Greg, let Andre call the plays and require Brandon to run off picks for set shots (which he apparently didn’t like). So now we are back to watching as BRoy walks the ball up and doesn’t hustle up the court when he doesn’t have the ball. I used to think it was his “cool old-school style of play”, but after a fat contract the same behavior makes him look like a prima dona. So I know the difference is just my perception, but it is very much his issue to resolve right now.

by erleichda70 on Dec 15, 2009 1:04 PM PST reply actions  

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