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Game 7 Preview: Timberwolves vs. Blazers

Game Time:  6:00 p.m. Pacific  TV:  Comcast 

Suffering through the latest in an interminable litany of rough starts to their seasons, the Minnesota Timberwolves bring a 1-5 record into the Rose Garden tonight to face the Blazers.  If this surprises you then you might also be shocked to learn that it's a little cold in Minnesota this time of year.  And that hockey is popular there.  And that if you want gravy with your meal you have your choice of white, off-white, beige, or cream...which is also the standard culinary color palette of the region.  But that's OK, because all they eat is soup.  Except in the summer, which lasts exactly 2.5 days in early August.  That's when everybody flocks to the lakeshore to get eaten by mosquitoes.  Well, except for the substantial portion of the population that can't get to the lakeshore because of all of the road construction they do in those 2.5 days.  Gotta fix the potholes yanno.  In Oregon "pothole" is that depression in your seat divider where you hide your stash, but in Minnesota they can literally swallow your car.  This is not only bad for your shocks, it leaves nasty abrasions from the gravel that has collected at the bottom from last year's snow traction follies. 

In any case, even though the ‘Wolves have hit the NBA pothole from hell, to their credit they've only been blown out twice, actually generating a close finish against Boston and a reasonable one against Phoenix.  But close only counts in prom dancing and federal budget planning.  1-5 is 1-5 and the Blazers should be prepared to take this team out early and never let them back in.

One of the chief sources of Minnesota's woes, besides never being able to live down having elected an ex-wrestler to the state's highest office (darn you, Iron Range!), has been the shaky recovery of star forward Al Jefferson from knee and Achilles problems.  Jefferson is back into the rotation this year but he's shooting 39.6% from the field.  That's a bad number for your gunner guard.  From the forward-center upon whom you depend for superstar production it's a disaster.  Like the Jell-o running out before supper.  Or Gary Anderson missing his only field goal of the year just when you need those three points to take you to the Sup...uhhhh...sorry.  Too soon?   My bad.  Jefferson has had a couple nice games but he's been inconsistent.  Naughty or nice, he's not been able to lead them to wins.  They've just gotten closer when he's played better.

One of the bright spots of the young season has been rookie point guard Jonny Flynn, whose name sounds like he should be the lead character in a Broadway Musical.  "What are you doing here, Jonny Flynn?"  "Why I'm here to court trouble, and woo a girl, and build the most fantastical contraption the world has ever seen!"  Flynn's fantastical contraptivating has propelled him to a 51% shooting clip and 15 points on 10.5 shots per game.  He's been averaging only 3.2 assists per game though, coupled with 3.3 turnovers.  Stop me if you've heard this one before.  A Minnesota GM walks into the draft and says, "Give me a point guard who's more of a scoring guard and can't really take care of the ball."   That said, Flynn has more promise than Randy Foye or the boatload of point guards who preceded him and is likely to be a nice pick-up for the team.

Another new arrival is forward Oleksiy Pecherov, late of the Washington Wizards.  He's got a sneaky offensive game, gives energy, and can rebound some.  He's been doing both for the ‘Wolves and appears to be blossoming in his new home.  Less successful has been point guard Ramon Sessions who can't seem to get used to the new system, new teammates, and the expectations that have been put upon him.  He's falling deeper and deeper into the rotation.  7-footer Ryan Hollins also comes off the bench to provide a small scoring boost.

A couple stalwarts from past years remain with the team.  Ryan Gomes is a 6'7" bruiser with range who always gives the Blazers fits.  Corey Brewer is an energy guy with no offensive game...and often not much energy.

The ‘Wolves had a difficult time last season in part because they started three forwards and no center.  Their solution to the problem this year is to start four forwards and no center.  Having ditched Foye in the backcourt they now send Brewer out there.  For the record that's one small forward, one swing small-power forward, and two power forwards plus Jonny Flynn.   But don't worry, that'll only last until Kevin Love's hand heals.  Then they'll probably get rid of that pesky small forward and just go with four power forwards and Flynn.

Fielding that lineup it's little surprise that Minnesota is coughing the ball up like a loogie in the snow.  They're also shooting an anemic percentage from the field and an abysmal percentage from the three-point arc.  They're giving up more foul shots than they generate.  Their shot blocking can best be described as "Minnesota Nice".  They're only barely holding their own on the boards.  It's a bigger nightmare than that time they caught revered columnist Sid Hartman French kissing a llama in the janitor's closet at the Star-Trib.  Ewwwww...the flashbacks are the worst.

If Minnesota is going to win they need you to make a ton of mistakes, pay no attention on the boards, and they need to get hot from the field.  That's a pretty tall order.  Let's hope the Blazers aren't in an obliging mood.

Pivotal Points of the Game

1.  If you hound their point guards, who else is going to handle the ball?  Or make a pass?  Or do anything good besides put up a possibly awkward shot?

2.  Even though you want to make it tough for Flynn and company to move the ball you can actually relax if their point guards score.  They'll not win the game on their own.  The only guy who can possibly do that is Jefferson.  Don't let him wake up and you have the ball game.

3.  This game should be an offensive buffet for Portland.  They have no shot-blockers, so get the ball inside.  Posting with Oden is good.  Driving guards are good.  They pretty much have to commit extra men to stop any aggression.  When they do that, flick the ball outside.  They'll not recover from the perimeter and you should be able to feast on threes all night long.  If your offense is struggling you stopped you.  They won't do it.

4.  The only other key is not to get lazy or complacent.  Any team can grab offensive rebounds and score off of misses.  Any team can run out and convert your careless turnovers.  Play professional basketball, walk away with the win.  Don't let them think they have a chance.

Check out the Minnesota point of view with our old friends at CanisHoopus.

Enter tonight's Jersey Contest here

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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Good Stuff Dave

I started reading at:

“In Oregon “pothole” is that depression in your seat divider where you hide your stash, but in Minnesota they can literally swallow your car. This is not only bad for your shocks, it leaves nasty abrasions from the gravel that has collected at the bottom from last year’s snow traction follies. "

And at once, I knew it was a Dave post.

The Dude: Hey, careful, man, there's a beverage here!

by cavejunctionblazer on Nov 7, 2009 11:30 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I'll be there tonight baby!!!!!

Also met greg yesterday and he is a great guy.

by winnerwinner on Nov 8, 2009 7:21 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely.

Time to start making teams match up with US. Especially crappy teams. We should be able to beat them with an all-guard line-up.

....formerly GonzoFan. Now, this has been a message from "The People's Alliance to Continue to Encourage Greg Oden on his Path to Dominance"

by bforsythe on Nov 8, 2009 10:15 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not normally one to comment on typos but...

…this one was too good to pass up:

Ryan Gomes is a 6’7" bruiser…

Sounds like Nate Robinson! :-)

by Shawno on Nov 7, 2009 11:55 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Ha!

Do’h! There’s no typo, it just looks that way on the original because of the font — joke’s on me!

by Shawno on Nov 7, 2009 11:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Still Too Soon

Dave for those of us Vikings fan yes, it is still too soon to bring up our missed field goal in the NFC championship game. I would only add that it was actually Gary Anderson, not Morten Andersen that missed that field goal. Woe is me, I’m getting sick just thinking about it.

by preacherman on Nov 8, 2009 12:00 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

My bad

Fixed.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 8, 2009 12:43 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

at least Dave waited

until the Vikes had just stomped on GB and are 7-1 at the bye week with a healthy Bret Favre before he broke out that lowlight from ’99

Besdes, Denny “take a knee” Green was the real reason Minny lost that game, not GA

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Nov 8, 2009 4:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

hopefully

the small starting line up is a smoke screen. This line up cannot succeed for long. What happens next you might ask? Well, after another 5 games Nate has to change the line up again. Now, there’s more confusion and adjustment. By game 20 the “real” starting lineup is in place and still a little rough around the edges. Let’s put the shoe on the other foot. Can anyone on this site fathom preparing for another elite western conference team and thinking “oh yeah, that’s a tough match up for us with Steve Blake at the 2?” If you want to go “small” with Roy at small forward start Rudy at shooting guard. He needs the reps, and his superiority to Blake in this slot is undeniable. Play our best eight guys and get on with it.

Do not argue with idiots. They will drag you down to their level, then beat you with experience.

by jongus on Nov 8, 2009 12:02 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

... thinking "oh yeah, that’s a tough match up for us with Steve Blake at the 2?"

No, I think they say: “when Roy drives to the basket don’t try to help out on him and leave that pathetic guy Blake standing in the corner because he’s shooting 43.5% on 3-pt shots and hit big shots down the stretch against OKC and San Antonio already this season”. Or maybe they just say, “Don’t let Blake fool you because he’s one of only 5 guys in the NBA with at least 5 assists per game that also shot 40% or more from the 3-pt line the last two seasons”.

by BlazerFanSince1970 on Nov 8, 2009 2:40 AM PST up reply actions   2 recs

Oh, someone just got served!

lol

Blazers win!

by The X-man on Nov 8, 2009 3:11 AM PST via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

Thats the perfect argument for Blake in this unit

One problem – any mention of defense?

Blake gets abused on D by most guards in the NBA. Blake playing as an extremely undersized point forward on the wing was intriguing to watch and not at all how I though this lineup would play but still for me it comes down to defense. That lineup is going to mitigate its effectiveness moving the ball on offense by giving up a ton of points on D (don’t let the SAS game fool you – they were just horrible at taking what were easy opportunities) and putting Greg under more pressure early on as guards get into the lane more easily.

I just think this will eventually overcome the good done by having so many decent playmakers at the 1-3 positions. Do you think this will continue to be our starting 5 for the foreseeable future? Or just matchup dependent?

"What happened to Bayless anyway? Did he turn into a pumpkin? Most teams don’t just let #11 picks rot." - Xiane

by MadBlaze on Nov 8, 2009 3:19 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The Blazers are getting outplayed at one position, so far this season

Any guesses?

In Blake’s defense however, the team is only getting outplayed a little bit when he is on the court, whereas the Blazers are getting lambasted when another PG of repute is getting burn….

Of all the rotational moves that have irritated me so far this season (and there have been a few), removing Martell from the starting lineup was the most egregious.

The newly updated 82games.com player ratings support my consternation: the Blazers have been at their best with Martell on the floor (followed by Roy, Oden and Outlaw). I don’t expect LMA, Rudy and even Miller to suck all season – but Martell gets no respect from Nate (as in, Nate has a hard time recognizing Martell’s contributions).

Martell is playing below average for small forwards when he is in the game (12 PER), but his opponents are playing so far below average that his net is +8.

I know its early, and I know we must consider sample size, but Martell makes the Blazers better, and Nate’s usage of him is patently incompetent.

by blacknoiseNW on Nov 8, 2009 3:50 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

+1 for "egregious"....

…………………………. and +1 for the Marty Blazer love…

"A bizarre and extremely rare hybrid Blazer/Laker fan, Timbo has always struggled to contain the Beast Within, like Dr. Jekyll, Bruce Banner, or Ted Kennedy." — Miled Animal

by timbo on Nov 8, 2009 2:03 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think this 3-guard starting lineup is just transitional for a week or so.

It was a way to get Miller into the starting the lineup with Roy without losing the 3-pt shot from Blake that is often the 2nd or 3rd option in our current plays. But the plays and sets themselves have to change with Miller in the lineup because you can’t have him taking 3-pt shots or even shots from beyond 18-ft on a regular basis. So I think this is just transitional as they work new plays into the offense and Brandon (hopefully) gets comfortable with handling the ball less. Secondarily, it also allows Blake to smoothly exit the starting lineup in a week or so without Roy’s feelings getting ruffled (and of lessor importance Blake’s).

by BlazerFanSince1970 on Nov 8, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Nate's thinking "let's fix one end of the floor at a time"

Face it, McMillian doesn’t have an individual PG defender on the team, his best option (Nic) has his right arm in a sling. So, what does he do? he puts his smartest players on the floor at the beginning of each half and hopes they can give him some consistent team defense…and the way that Andre was barking out defensive rotations against the Spurs, I think Nate might be on to something…

Of course, if Roy gets abused by physical SFs towards the end of the road trip (Charlotte, ATL) we’ll either see Webster back in the starting lineup, or Martell will be subbed in for Blake, early

but as long as Miller’s in the starting 5 to stay, I’m not going to grind the ol’ gears much

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Nov 8, 2009 4:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

trade him
"Don’t let Blake fool you because he’s one of only 5 guys in the NBA with at least 5 assists per game that also shot 40% or more from the 3-pt line the last two seasons".

Sell when high!

(over Brandon and Nate’s dead bodies…)

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Nov 8, 2009 4:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

In another 5 games

we’ll be 8-3, Miller and Roy will be fully adjusted, and Webster will be back in the starting lineup. Nate said it wasn’t permanent but it was a good match-up for the next five games…

"Do me a favor. Put your lip over your head... and swallow." Max Goldman

by clinchmobb on Nov 8, 2009 12:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow

Now that is some world class optimism.

Hope you are right but haven’t seen enough consistency to warrant that – 4-1 would be just great for me.

"What happened to Bayless anyway? Did he turn into a pumpkin? Most teams don’t just let #11 picks rot." - Xiane

by MadBlaze on Nov 8, 2009 3:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Geez, Dave....

Come from Minnesota much?

Honor Alaa Abdelnaby.
First in the NBA. At least alphabetically

by OhOhOden on Nov 8, 2009 4:03 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Ya, dats a lote of minneeesoda hate, eh?

My team went to the playoffs in my first year.

by pxilpooshr on Nov 8, 2009 5:42 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

nothing wrong with the Minnesota hate

canus hoopus deserves it… turnabout is always fair play

"I can shoot with my left hand, I can shoot with my right hand, I'm amphibious".

by bow4meow on Nov 8, 2009 8:03 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Correction

“canus hoopus poopus deserves it” (Mostly cause SnP hates it)

"And in the end
The love you take
Is equal to the love you make." -The Beatles

by 92wastheyear on Nov 8, 2009 2:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Great read

I like the spirit of this preview. It’s fun and following the Blazers should be fun. Thanks.

by PoliSam on Nov 8, 2009 6:46 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Blake is great at a couple things

handing the ball to Roy and hitting open three’s. If you want to put the ball in his hands as a creater, your just wasting shot clock. If you want him to stop anyone on defense, forget about it.
-
Has anyone asked Nate what his excuse is now for not playing Martell when all the statistical indicators say he should be in the game? Or would he say its Martells defense and then play Outlaw the whole second half again? That would make Nate Sense. I doesn’t make sense to anyone else though.
-
I predict a win tonight. A win so ugly I’ll throw up in my mouth a little, but a win.

by zersrule on Nov 8, 2009 8:45 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

also, let Dre run the show

Nate needs to back off and let Dre run things like first quarter of the Spurs game.

by zersrule on Nov 8, 2009 9:03 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

have you read

this

the best quote was

“I knew he could do it because that’s what he does,” McMillan said. “And I think he can do even more.”

"Do me a favor. Put your lip over your head... and swallow." Max Goldman

by clinchmobb on Nov 8, 2009 1:04 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

and this
“I feel comfortable doing that,” Miller said. “The main thing is that we don’t want to get caught running sets all the time. You want to mix tempo and break with halfcourt sets. I think as the season goes on, this team can do that.”

Is it possible? Can the Blazers become a slightly more uptempo team? Stay tuned

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Nov 8, 2009 4:39 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

How about ball handling?

Andre, Steve and BRoy is our best ball handlers. This three guard line-up was to increase tempo, get transitional scoring and ball movement in the half court with less turn-overs. We did that and since it was the first time it was tried it was bound to get ugly at times. Get lots of water, it will help wash down the bad taste.

That is as far as i can go. I can’t debate with you because my BBiq is lacking and I always lose. Nevertheless, I have to say, IMO, this was not perfect but it was a big step forward.

hg

by BBK on Nov 8, 2009 9:20 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

it doesn't take three guards to get transitional scoring

it takes one guard getting the ball to the guys that run – LMA, Webster, Rudy and Outlaw

by blacknoiseNW on Nov 8, 2009 10:47 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Jersey Contest link...

Anyone else having issues with the link? It says it is broken! Maybe it was my score last game :) Anyways….yesterday at Dick’s Sporting Goods…Andre was there signing stuff….He was real kewl and friendly.

by blazersrock on Nov 8, 2009 9:41 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

It is broken, remove some of the http

http://%20http://blazersedge.reaxion.org/gameform.phphttp://blazersedge.reaxion.org/gameform.php

But slowly things happen that they cannot help and the Blazers Fellowship of the Ring begins to break apart

by Norsktroll on Nov 8, 2009 10:19 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry

Fixed.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 8, 2009 2:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"They have no shot-blockers, so get the ball inside."

That should have been the case against Houston too, but it wasn’t. I hope Oden and Aldridge go to town this time.

by Kaboomm on Nov 8, 2009 10:48 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Hey Dave

wait till Sarah Palin makes Minn her new home in the lower 48. She’ll be able to see Canada from her window. You’ll have plenty to write about next season.

by oregonslee on Nov 8, 2009 11:38 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

“What are you doing here, Jonny Flynn?” “Why I’m here to court trouble, and woo a girl, and build the most fantastical contraption the world has ever seen!”

lol

by Ben. on Nov 8, 2009 11:58 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

He should then break into song

"And in the end
The love you take
Is equal to the love you make." -The Beatles

by 92wastheyear on Nov 8, 2009 2:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

best preview in a while. Thanks Dave!

by 50backflips on Nov 8, 2009 12:08 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

more evidence of global warming

a Minnesota resident equates “pleasant” and “weather” – in November

by blacknoiseNW on Nov 8, 2009 2:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

climate change

global warming is so early 21st century

When reached 40 years of following Portland basketball you have, be as passionate of the Trail Blazers you will not!

by two4larue on Nov 8, 2009 4:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent!

Thanks Dave. I needed a good laugh today.

by fatwansaboni on Nov 8, 2009 12:54 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

If Blake is just out there to hit 3s

I’d rather have Webster starting if Miller and Roy are going to do all the ballhandling and he’s just out there to stretch the defense. I hope this is just to ease Miller in or to give all 3 pgs as much time to showcase them for a trade. I can’t see this as the plan for the whole season. Webster is our only perimeter defender right now, so I’d like to see him on the court as much as possible. When Blake plays with Miller he’s just a shooter, so we should have someone with size who can play D. The 3 guard lineup played badly against the Hawks and well against a tired Spurs team. I don’t see it working well against playoff teams with wing scorers, and we’re trying to go deep in the playoffs, not do well during a 5 game stretch against weak opponents in November.

Your confusing thesis has captured my attention. Tell me more.

by terryisntbald on Nov 8, 2009 3:20 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Rudy is about due for a good game.

He ain’t a rook anymore. time to start producing or he’ll get lost in the rotation

by billyrybates on Nov 8, 2009 4:54 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

is it too early to be asking about links to the game?

"I don't always read blogs regarding the Trail Blazers
...but when I do... I read Blazers Edge."

- resurrect_ha28

by FiveOhThree-RipCity!! on Nov 8, 2009 4:56 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

negative

i second that motion

/////
((o))
/////

by Dep H on Nov 8, 2009 5:02 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs


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