New Jersey is better off than Portland. Seriously.
<!-- @page { margin: 0.79in } P { margin-bottom: 0.08in } -"" "When you're young, your potential is infinite. You might do anything, really. You might be great. You might be Einstein. You might be Goethe. Then you get to an age where what you might be gives way to what you have been. You weren't Einstein. You weren't anything. That's a bad moment.” Confessions of a Dangerous Mind
The line from Confessions seems very appropriate for Portland's current situation, not only because the Blazers have officially moved from the land of the possible to the land of what is, but because if you're like me, you're as disheveled and freaked out right now as Sam Rockwell was at the beginning of the movie over recent developments in Blazerland.
I came to a very disturbing realization last night when the Blazers blew another winnable game: New Jersey, who's about to tie the record for the worst start in NBA history, is in a better position than Portland. Consider this:
--New Jersey has a hell of a lot more cap space that Portland, meaning that they can make a serious run at Lebron, and when that doesn't work, they can go after Wade or Joe Johnson, and add another franchise guy. Portland, meanwhile, spent its money on a guy who didn't play in the 2nd half last night, and two other guys who's heart was openly questioned by their coach in a blowout loss to the Grizzlies at home two days ago.
--Forgive me for speaking so bluntly, but the Nets' owner doesn't have serious health problems. For a long time, the logic was that if Portland got into trouble, Paul Allen would just spend us out of it...but if he's not running the team anymore, and the people taking over view an NBA basketball team as just another money-wasting venture (which will probably be the case), then we're cut off. Let's ask Suns fans how Robert Sarver's working out for them.
--Since the Nyets are owned by a rich Russian dude who doesn't care about spending money, he will go the extra mile to re-make the franchise into something great in Brooklyn. Those Mark Cuban comparisons aren't far off, and this will make New Jersey/Brooklyn a free agent magnet akin to L.A., Chicago or New York, meaning guys will be willing to make less money to play there. Portland couldn't even sign an over-30 Turkish guy with a neck beard when we offered him the key to the city last Summer.
--Because of their (historically) terrible record, the Nets will probably get a top-3 pick in the 2010 draft. That means they can land Evan Turner, Derrick Favors, or even (GASP) John Wall. Since they already have an all-star caliber guard (Harris) and center (Lopez), the possibility that they would add John Wall (who's being compared by everybody to Derrick Rose in Brandon Roy's body), PLUS another franchise free-agent, is just terrifying, especially considering that they'll get a flood of veteran buyout guys who want to play in Brooklyn. Remember when the Spurs got Tim Duncan because the year before he left college their record was terrible, but it wasn't an accurate reflection on how good they were because their best guys (Robinson and Elliot) were hurt most of the year? Yea, this could be a worse version of that.
--New Jersey has zero expectations this year. None. The bar is so low for them right now that anything they get out of this season is a bonus. It's a great time to be a Nets fan in New Jersey (even though the team is moving), because you get to cheer for a a loveable underdog every night, in highly-discounted seats (while I was typing that, Portland probably raised their ticket prices again). Remember when the Blazers were this bad but they were a bunch of jerks so it wasn't fun to cheer for them? This is the opposite. The Nets are bad, but likeable since, you know, Zach Randolph isn't on their team. Portland, meanwhile, has been tapped by everyone to challenge the Lakers for Western dominance this season, so when we're behind by 30 at home to Memphis, it's beyond bad, it's embarrassing.
--The Nets know why they're losing but the Blazers have no idea. For New Jersey, it's obvious—no three point shooters, no real depth, and only two legit NBA players. Portland, meanwhile, can't really figure out what to fix. Oh, there are plenty of theories about what's wrong. Nate can't coach, Roy lost too much weight last Summer and now he can't finish at the rim, Andre Miller screwed up our chemistry, we miss Batum and Travis more than we thought, Oden's not developing fast enough, the team has no heart, blah blah blah. Ultimately, though—no one has any idea what exactly is wrong or how to fix it, and if it's a personnel issue, Portland doesn't have the money or cap space to make a substantial effort to solve it any time soon--like it or not, the team we have now is what we're stuck with for a while. We're just guessing at this point, which is scary. The Blazers could very easily be settling in to the middle of the pack in the Western Conference, losing in the first round every year for the next five years.
At some point, we have to realize that the team as it is currently assembled won't win a title, and as the Confessions quotation above puts it, that's a bad moment.
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got troll?
Numerically Blazers Edge is #25
by Outlaw is Rejector on Nov 29, 2009 10:14 AM PST reply actions
The Nets will be good
Harris/Lopez/top 3 pick/monster FA is a great start. Quite possibly better than our “big 3.” If the monster FA is LeBron or Wade, its definitely better.
'Cuse 88-Cornell 73. My Big Red failed to beat the spread by 2 points. Hence the new avatar.
Yeah, LeBron joining the Nets (much better destination for him than the Knicks) plus a guy like Aldrich joining Lopez in the front court or Wall/Warren joining Harris in the back court would be a very powerful team potentially dominating the East for years to come. If it’s “just” Amare or even just guys like Rudy Gay, I’m not worried.
Ceterum censeo Lakers esse delendam
I thought it would be a rocky start to the season. It's too early for me to get all "doom and gloom."
yeah, this unit has the potential still
i am just not sure nate “they need to figure it out” Mcmillan does.
"Oh Yeah!" ~ Kool Aid Man
Take a breath
It’s two losses, one surprising, one not as surprising. The Trailblazers are not a losing basketball team, they are just a basketball team that has lost it’s last two. And it’s not terribly hard to figure out why: They are tired.
They’ve played TWO more games than anyone in the NBA, and haven’t had two consecutive days off more than once this season, while playing a schedule heavy in back-to-backs. Brandon Roy leads the NBA in minutes played, and the effect of playing so many smaller players is that the Blazers have to work harder on defense, using leverage and position, which is more draining physically. What I saw the past two days was players who were a step slow rotating, and who were mentally and physically tired.
If you ever hear of someone punching out a girl scout and stealing her Samoas, it was me
- Mortimer
by Clevelander among roses on Nov 29, 2009 12:37 PM PST reply actions
OMGBLAZERSLOST2ABANDONSHIP!!!
Seriously, chill out. I’m sick of all these fairweather fans freaking outIf we get through the season with only 41 wins like bill said then we have reason to worry. .
by ODEN on a stick on Nov 29, 2009 4:51 PM PST reply actions
Dude...
To be fair, I’m a lot of things, but a fairweather fan is not one of them. Right now I’m living in Southern California, surrounded by obnoxious Laker fans all the time—now THOSE are fairweather fans, and ones who I defend Portland in front of on a weekly basis. I just think the Blazers really do have some serious problems, and this post is meant to highlight them. Specifically:
1) The team as it is currently assembled probably isn’t good enough to win a title, which I think is, and should be, the end goal—especially with Roy, who’s a legitimate all-star about to enter his prime. Portland isn’t BAD by any stretch of the imagination, and I don’t think my original post even hinted at that. However, I don’t think they can win a title as they are currently assembled, and I think this is a perfectly fair and ultimately fairly accurate observation.
2) Portland is saddled with various long-term deals that make it very difficult to change the roster in any meaningful way for several years. That means that they “middle of the pack” status I mentioned isn’t going anywhere, which is a little frustrating.
Can I get a headband? ANSWER ME!
by BlameUncleCliffy on Nov 29, 2009 5:06 PM PST up reply actions
The Blazer's big contracts are solid players
With the right pieces, Roy and Aldridge are capable of winning a championship.
I hope you're right.
Really, I do. We both want the same things.
Can I get a headband? ANSWER ME!
by BlameUncleCliffy on Nov 29, 2009 5:30 PM PST up reply actions
Yes.
What do I win? Also, I mentioned that they’re moving to Brooklyn soon, so it doesn’t really matter that they’re in New Jersey now. Rucker Park!
Can I get a headband? ANSWER ME!
by BlameUncleCliffy on Nov 29, 2009 8:42 PM PST up reply actions
I think the team as assembled could compete for a title
Dominant center, great all around power forward, great all star shooting guard, solid bench play. The team is tired out right now and it shows but I’m not losing hope yet. We lost our top 2 small forwards to long term injury but we’re so talented that we’re still 12-7 after a grueling early season schedule. How many other teams do you think could lose their top two SF’s and have 2 other injured players on the roster playing so many games in such a short amount of time and pull through it like the blazers have. I know there’s a lot of Travis haters on here but he’s a long 6’9 small forward with crazy athleticism who can get a shot up on anyone, and this year he is improved on D and rebounding and Batum is a great defender and energy guy so they are big losses. Seriously we are 12-7 guys. We lost 2 games straight. If we lost 12 straight and we were 12-17 then we could worry. Things will get back on track though. I’m positive.
You're wrong about the schedule...
We’ve played some of the worst teams in the league so far…our schedule’s been tight, with lots of games and one long road trip, but not too challenging aside from that. My point is, I remember last year it was outlined on this forum how there are basically four types of games:
1) Home against bad teams—you’ve got to win 90% of those or more.
2) Home against good teams—you’ve got to win 75% or more of those.
3) Away against bad teams—you’ve got to win 60-70% of those.
4) Away against good teams—you’ve got to win as many as possible but no less that 1/3rd of those.
Losing against Memphis, at home, and to Denver, at home, is not a good start. Quick, name a win from the 4th category so far this season. See my point? It’s been mostly the games Portland’s GOT to win just to keep pace with the Nuggets (though there loss at home to Minnesota tonight doesn’t hurt). The way to get to 54 wins again is to not lose to bad teams, and Portland’s done that more than anyone should be comfortable with lately.
Have there been injuries? Sure. That sucks. But I don’t think it’s a lack of depth that’s killing us. I mean, Portland had lots of road trips last year, too, and B-Roy and LA played comparable minutes. Something’s off beyond “sheesh, they need a nap!”
Can I get a headband? ANSWER ME!
by BlameUncleCliffy on Nov 29, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions

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