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Ugly wins are beautiful too


I've heard a lot recently about how the blazers last few games were ugly wins. What I saw, during the past 2 games especially, was a team that even on a bad offensive night found a way to win. It is impossible for a team to have a great shooting night every game just by the law of averages. If a team shoots 50% over the course of a season that means half the shots they take are misses, and sometimes those misses happen in bigger bunches than others. While the team is struggling on offense you have to play great defense and slow down the pace of the game so you can still score more points than the other team. If you think about the conference finals from last year all the teams, the Nuggets, Lakers, Cavs, and Magic, were teams known for their defense.

I think the last two ugly games were exactly the kind that shows a great team who finds a way to win their games with D. I did a calculation of how many points opponents score against the blazers compared to their average points per game.

                   Avg ppg    Points    Difference

Rockets-   103.66       87         -16.66

Nuggets-   106.2         97            -9.2

Rockets-    103.66     111        +7.44

Thunder-    92.75        74         -18.75

Hawks-      106.55       97          -9.55

Spurs-        102.42       84         -18.42          Average difference =-10.83

Twolves-     90.5           93          +2.5

Grizzlies-     99.88        79         -20.88

Twolves-     90.5           84          -6.5

Hornets-      97.7           78         -19.7

Bobcats-      83.5           74          -9.5

Avg ppg from- http://www.nba.com/statistics/sortable_team_statistics/sortable1.htm

So if the blazers are holding their opponents to almost 11 less points per game than they normally score it means our defense is doing something right. It sure seems like a lot of top tier players have bad shooting nights against the blazers smothering defense. The blazers also have the uncanny ability to convince opposing point guards to sprain their ankle, its a really rude superpower to have but secretly i like it. But that's beside the point. The point I get at is that if our defense keeps performing as exceptionally as they have, and the blazers can find the way to get a late lead and ice the game with free throws like they have, then the blazers are championship contenders this year. Ugly wins just mean the blazers had a bad night but their defense made their opponents night worse, and I think winning is beatiful. 

 

 



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Indeed

At the end of the year, when we determine who gets what seed, it won’t matter one iota whether we won ugly or pretty.

"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely

by skywaker9 on Nov 16, 2009 11:02 AM PST reply actions  

Ugly is the way playoffs are won.

But I think we are more the confused ugly than the chippy ugly.

*Unless KP has a secret plan that makes this statement incorrect.
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by staylost on Nov 16, 2009 11:13 AM PST reply actions  

Dec. 17th Phoenix better watch out
The blazers also have the uncanny ability to convince opposing point guards to sprain their ankle, its a really rude superpower to have but secretly i like it.

Not to mention, based on this defense, we’ll hold them to a pathetic 100 points.

by jiminut on Nov 16, 2009 11:54 AM PST reply actions  

Less than 100, I have heard that Steve Nash is planning on sitting out for personal reasons! (he is afraid, very afraid)

The best players only try to, "do it all," themselves when it is a playoff necessity or, on occasion, to put on a show. There is no need to belabor the point!

by KINGofMACct on Nov 16, 2009 12:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Not that your wrong but

Your statistical analysis was erronius. We play a slower pace which means they are likely to score less. You would need to adjust for this because that is a confounding factor. Or compare FG% instead. No doubt though, Greg changes the game. I want to see true FG% with/without ‘The Big Osteoporotic’

Please, for the love of all that is holy, please stop using the following: "Book it.", "FTW", "Epic" & "Fail".

...no seriously--stop.

by nima on Nov 16, 2009 2:38 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

What you say is true

we do play at a slower pace. I had considered this but I have no idea how to adjust for it and I figured it was still a good thing because it indicates that we are able to force other teams into our slowed pace which benefits our team, rather than them dictating the pace of the game and being able to run the court on us constantly and play a run and gun style.

by RUDYYYY on Nov 16, 2009 3:48 PM PST reply actions  

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