Notable over-unders for season win totals

Portland 52.5
LAL 61.5
Cleveland 60.5
San Antonio 54.5
Denver 52.5

about 1 month ago PoliSam 10 comments 0 recs |

Comments

Not to promote gambling...

But I saw the regular season win over-unders and thought they were interesting. I was a little surprised that the Blazers number was at 52.5. Seems that the chance that they get 53 or more wins is higher than 50%. With the Blazers depth, I think they are in a good position to withstand a “normal” amount of injuries and be successful.

I also like the Cavs to have the league’s highest win total, though I suppose Bron missing a few games could prevent that from happening.

by PoliSam on Oct 8, 2009 3:28 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Blazer win total predictions by the so-called experts have been under by an average of 5-10

the last three years, so I’m feeling pretty good about my prediction of 63.

by MiledAnimal on Oct 8, 2009 3:52 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

IF I was a betting man

of these 5, I’d take the Over on Portland and Cleveland, the under on the Lakers, and not bet the other two.

How did you guys win that?
"We scored enough points. We scored 107, they scored 105.
-Nate McMillan Postgame, 3/4/2009

by douglast on Oct 8, 2009 3:55 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

If i was a betting man, i would agree with you.

by TappedPotential on Oct 8, 2009 4:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

I wouldn't touch Cleveland or LA

Because I think they should beat those totals, but they are both pretty vulnerable to injuries zapping them below that.

San Antonio got 54 last year with one of the worst injury-hit seasons they could imagine. If I were a betting man, I’d take the over on them.

Over on Portland. Whoever set that isn’t paying attention.

Over on Denver. They could implode or have several key guys in jail, but odds are pretty good they at least match last year.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 8, 2009 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Good point on San Antonio

Unless Timmy is truly done, they should stroll to beating 54 wins.

I think I’d take the under on Denver. I am always skeptical of teams with that many questionable personalities.

A few others:

Utah 49.5
Phoenix 41.5
Kings 24.5
Celtics 56.5
Bulls 40.5
Dallas 48.5
Houston 35.5!
Hornets 46.5
OKC 35.5

Tempting lines Hornets (over), Celtics (under… did you see the video of KG?), Bulls (over)

Wouldn’t it be fun to have a jersey contest for things like win totals and season averages? As I don’t have enough money to bet, but it’s fun to test my predicted abilities.

by PoliSam on Oct 8, 2009 6:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Denver has Billups

I think he holds them together.

Over on Utah, they should be healthier and much better.

I’ll avoid Phoenix and the Kings. Can’t read either team. Celtics, too, I haven’t seen the video.

Bulls, over.

I can’t read Dallas or Houston. I suspect both numbers are low, but I wouldn’t bet on them.

If I were a bettor, I’d bet on the Hornets bettering that number. I’m still not sure about OKC, but I think I’d probably go under on that. They could click and do well this year, but I think they are still a year away.

Maybe you should do a fanpost with all the lines a couple days before the season starts. We could all bet our Bedge Cred Points. The top three all get to write a fanpost that everyone who finishes negative has to rec, or something.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 8, 2009 7:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs