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AK1984's revised and finalized prognostications for the 2009-2010 season.

STANDINGS

ATLANTIC DIVISION
Boston Celtics (62-20)
Philadelphia 76ers (39-43)
New Jersey Nets (34-48)
Toronto Raptors (31-51)
New York Knicks (24-58)

CENTRAL DIVISION
Cleveland Cavaliers (69-13)
Chicago Bulls (56-26)
Indiana Pacers (33-49)
Milwaukee Bucks (30-52)
Detroit Pistons (26-56)

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
Orlando Magic (64-18)
Washington Wizards (49-33)
Atlanta Hawks (37-45)
Miami Heat (36-46)
Charlotte Bobcats (32-50)

NORTHWEST DIVISION
Utah Jazz (53-29)
Denver Nuggets (53-29)
Portland Trail Blazers (53-29)
Oklahoma City Thunder (25-57)
Minnesota Timberwolves (10-72)

PACIFIC DIVISION
Los Angeles Lakers (63-19)
Phoenix Suns (38-44)
Los Angeles Clippers (35-47)
Golden State Warriors (28-54)
Sacramento Kings (18-64)

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
Dallas Mavericks (59-23)
San Antonio Spurs (58-24)
Houston Rockets (47-35)
New Orleans Hornets (46-36)
Memphis Grizzlies (22-60)

AWARDS

Most Valuable Player: LeBron James

Defensive Player of the Year: Dwight Howard

Rookie of the Year: Blake Griffin

Most Improved Player: Brook Lopez (Editor's Note: Greg Oden was my original choice.)

All-Star Game MVP: Dwyane Wade

Coach of the Year: Rick Adelman

Executive of the Year: Donnie Nelson

Sportsmanship Award: Tim Duncan

J. Walter Kennedy Citizenship Award: Tracy McGrady

All-NBA First Team: Dwight Howard (C), Tim Duncan (F), LeBron James (F), Kobe Bryant (G), Chris Paul (G)

All-NBA Second Team: Amar'e Stoudemire (C), Kevin Garnett (F), Dirk Nowitzki (F), Brandon Roy (G), Dwyane Wade (G)

All-NBA Third Team: Brook Lopez (C), Pau Gasol (F), Carmelo Anthony (F), Vince Carter (G), Derrick Rose (G)

All-Defensive First Team: Dwight Howard (C), Kevin Garnett (F), Shane Battier (F), Andre Iguodala (G), Chris Paul (G)

All-Defensive Second Team: Brook Lopez (C), Tim Duncan (F), Ron Artest (F), Kobe Bryant (G), Rajon Rondo (G)

All-Rookie First Team: Blake Griffin, James Harden, Tyreke Evans, Stephen Curry, Jonny Flynn

All-Rookie Second Team: DeJuan Blair, Taj Gibson, DeMar DeRozan, Gerald Henderson, Chase Budinger

PLAYOFFS

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals: #1 Cleveland beats #8 Miami (4-0), #2 Orlando beats #7 Atlanta (4-0), #3 Boston beats #6 Philadelphia (4-1), #4 Chicago beats #5 Washington (4-3)

Western Conference Quarterfinals: #1 Los Angeles beats #8 New Orleans (4-0), #2 Dallas beats #7 Houston (4-1), #3 San Antonio beats #6 Portland (4-1), #5 Denver beats #4 Utah (4-2)

Eastern Conference Semifinals: #1 Cleveland beats #4 Chicago (4-1), #3 Boston beats #2 Orlando (4-2)

Western Conference Semifinals: #1 Los Angeles beats #5 Denver (4-1), #2 Dallas beats #3 San Antonio (4-3)

Eastern Conference Finals: #3 Boston beats #1 Cleveland (4-2)

Western Conference Finals: #2 Dallas beats #1 Los Angeles (4-2)

NBA Finals: Dallas beats Boston (4-2)

NBA Finals MVP: Dirk Nowitzki

Okay, it's now your turn everybody.

9 recs  |  Comment 121 comments  |  Add comment

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Wow

Dallas all the way? I am not seeing that at all. I have them 5th in the West, maybe even 6th. 3 way tie in the NW Division would be intense.

I love how you even predicted the sportsmanship and J. Walter Kennedy Awards.

I’m seeing Cleveland and LA in the finals this year, allowing Nike to bring back the puppets. I see the Cavs, Magic, Celtics, Lakers and Spurs being a cut above the rest of the league. The title is coming from that group of 5.

by jksnake99 on Oct 25, 2009 1:52 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

If healthy, the Washington Wizards are a dangerous team.

With Brendan Haywood at full strength, the middle is solidified defensively — so Antwan Jamison and Caron Butler are no longer huge liabilities on that end of the court — plus, JaValee McGee and Andray Blatche can stick to more suited bench roles as the backup frontline. Butler, Randy Foye, Mike Miller, and Nick Young are a talented and versatile wing quartet — although Foye’s minutes should be the least of those four guys — and Gilbert Arenas running the show at point guard will have the Wizards running on all cylinders.

The Chicago Bulls are a force to be reckoned with this season. A ten-man rotation of Joakim Noah, Tyrus Thomas, Luol Deng, John Salmons, Derrick Rose, Brad Miller, Taj Gibson, James Johnson, Kirk Hinrich, and Jannero Pargo are an underrated group. Noah and Rose will definitely improve with age, a full season of Miller and Salmons will do wonders, a fully healthy season of Deng and Hinrich is a boon, and whatever rookies Gibson and Johnson bring are an added bonus.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why come Portland not having a 3rd center will be our death

But these two teams with 1, or half of 1, good center are going to exceed expectations?

And I get for the Mavs you predict a move getting them a decent center… let’s say they don’t get a decent center, and instead either opt for a different position OR no real move at all.

How do ya see them finishing then?

I think for season predictions like this, which are very nice and thorough, it still might make more sense to predict how the team will do as-is, and then be allowed to adjust your prediction once a deal actually happens.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If the Dallas Mavericks don't make an all-in transaction, then I'd expect that it'll be ousted ...

in the second round of the playoffs. I, however, will avoid looking at that squad as its currently constructed and go out on a limb, for that’s the ballsy thing to do and I’ve got cast-iron cojones.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:38 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, it could be testicular cancer.

As I learned from Tom Green, that’s no fun.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 4:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yup

My friend just lost one and doesn’t have health insurance. He couldn’t afford one of these.

by tominhawaii on Oct 25, 2009 5:02 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If healthy Wizards do well.

Question: When was the last time the Wiz were healthy.Many people jumped all over Greg as a bust(the next Sam Bowie)for 1 major injury. Talk about injury prone Butler, Jamison & Arenas now there is the definition of injury prone.

"BEER IS LIVING PROOF THAT GOD LOVES US"
- Benjamin Franklin-

by We-B-Dunkin on Oct 25, 2009 9:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I Predict

that you are wrong

by The Arkitect on Oct 25, 2009 1:58 AM PDT reply actions   3 recs

rec

Numerically Blazers Edge is #25

by Outlaw is Rejector on Oct 25, 2009 8:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Regarding the Dallas Mavericks winning it all and Donnie Nelson nabbing Executive of the Year honors, ...

I expect Mark Cuban to sign off on some blockbuster trades come mid-season. It’ll be earth-shattering deals.

For starters, the Mavericks will once and for all probably solidify its center position — with a hypothetical trade being Erick Dampier (non-guaranteed contract after this season), Shawne Williams (expiring contract), and a couple future first-round draft picks (2012, 2014, and/or 2016) to the Milwaukee Bucks for Andrew Bogut and Dan Gadzuric.

Knowing the Mavericks newfound love of +/- and Cuban hopefully realizing that size wins championships, I can see him shipping out Drew Gooden (partially guaranteed contract) and salary filler (e.g., Kris Humphries) for Marcus Camby. Off of the bench for roughly 24 minutes per game, Camby could provide Mavs the second unit top-notch shot blocking and weakside help defense.

At any rate, though, I predict the Mavericks will not make just any run-of-the-mill trades near or at the deadline next year, but rather stratospherically beneficial transactions similar to Detroit acquiring Rasheed Wallace in 2004.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

As a Mavs fan, I fear that trade rather comes next draft day/offseason

But I would agree that it’s virtually guaranteed Cuban and Donnie won’t sit on the giant Erick Dampier Expiring/Non-Guranteed Contract – that allows other team owners to instantly get about $17 million (his salary + 25%) off their books – the way the Blazers sat on RLEC. Combined with the equally expiring contract of Josh Howard (last year team option), they can package it for pretty much any star in the league to match salaries in a trade or sign & trade.

A player like Joe Johnson is a possibility, or yeah a guy like Chandler, Camby, Kaman, Bogut, … not to speak of one of the big 5.

by Norsktroll on Oct 25, 2009 3:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

A Josh Howard for Joe Johnson sign-and-trade could happen next summer, although the Dallas ...

Mavericks would have to accept “J-Ho’s” team option by 6/30/2010. I believe that Mark Cuban does it, though, and working out a sign-and-trade for ball-dominant shooting guard like Johnson would work well at the wings with a slasher in the mold of Shawn Marion.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Blazers sat on RLEC

because it would give them cap space, so wasn’t lost.

The Mavs still won’t have cap space if EDEC expires, so the only way they don’t deal it is if they can’t get anyone to take it.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 26, 2009 3:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually they would depending on when they set their cap space plan like the Blazers did

The only guaranteed players in 2011 are currently Jason Kidd, Shawn Marion, Rodrigue Beaubois, and Matt Carroll.

They could have a salary of $45 million if Dirk declines his option in 2010, and $31 million in 2011 if they let Terry go. But of course keeping Dirk and trading that albatross contract of Dampier is the more appealing option.

by Norsktroll on Oct 26, 2009 7:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm assuming Dirk stays

In which case they’ll have no cap space next summer even if they let Dampier expire, right?

Which means they have to trade Dampier, they can’t wait until the summer and use the space to sign an Andre Miller like we did.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 26, 2009 8:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with you on pretty much all awards, except Donnie Nelson.

It’ll be whoever pulls of the best mid-season trade.

I don’t care enough to map the East, so here’s my West

(by record, not by actual seeding):

1. Lakers
2. Nuggets
3. Blazers
4. Jazz
5. Mavs
6. Spurs
7. Suns
8. Hornets

WCF: Blazers > Lakers

We meet and beat Cavs in the finals.

Kobe is my profile pic because of this beatdown I received.

by prezofdeath on Oct 25, 2009 2:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

"It’ll be whoever pulls of the best mid-season trade."

Y’all can just wait and see, for it’ll surely be Donnie Nelson.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:03 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Spurs at 6?

You looking for a good time?

by L-TrainFTW! on Oct 25, 2009 2:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

San Antonio is built strong enough this year to somewhat withstand injuries to those two guys.

Tony Parker, however, doesn’t have the same firepower behind him, which isn’t a complete knock on George Hill. Anyway, here’s what the San Antonio Spurs depth chart may be if Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili are out for extended periods.

C: Matt Bonner
PF: DeJuan Blair
SF: Richard Jefferson
SG: Roger Mason, Jr.
PG: Tony Parker
C/PF: Antonio McDyess
SF/SG: Michael Finley
PG: George Hill

That’s still a competitive squad, although in the mighty strong Western Conference it’d fall from a top-3 team into the 6 to 8 rage.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:12 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry bro

Spurs ain’t number two. Their time has passed. Timmay is old and moldy. Sorry. Spurs are my second fav. team, and I’ll root for them like crazy, but without Tim that team is nothing, and I honestly don’t think he has a lot left in the tank.

Kobe is my profile pic because of this beatdown I received.

by prezofdeath on Oct 25, 2009 2:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like the spurs at all

but I think they will battle the blazers for the #2 seed.

by lurtsman on Oct 25, 2009 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're underrating McDyess/Jefferson...

Jefferson is vastly overrated in terms of salary, and McDyess is old. But both guys are still very useful players, and they will slide into a line up that won 54 games without them, and without Manu for much of the year. By a lot of measures, McDyess was one of the most valuable guys on the Pistons the past few years. The Spurs lost absolutely nothing and could gain a TON.

And whatever they get from Blair is a bonus. The Spurs are stacked this year, and if Manu/Timmy are relatively healthy, forget about the two seed – they could easily be the one.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Oct 26, 2009 8:08 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rec

For Completion. That’s quite a thing to put in writing. Dallas? Do those pop cans hang all the way to the floor or what?

"No disrespect to Jeff Blake"

by Eat Politicians on Oct 25, 2009 2:10 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Portland number 6???

here is my predictions:

West:
LA
Portland
Dallas
San Antonio
Denver
NO
Utah
OKC (oh yah , its going to happen!!!)

1st round:
LA sweeps OKC
Portland beets Utah in 6 games
Dallas beats NO in 7
Spurs beat Denver in 6

2nd round:
LA beats spurs in 5
Portland beats Dallas in 7

Conf finals
LA wins in 7

East
Cleveland
Boston
Orlando
Atlanta
Miami
washington
chicago
Toronto

1st round

Cleveland sweeps toronto
Boston beats chicago in 7 and there will be atleast 3 games that go to overtime
Orlando beats washington in 5 games
Atlanta beats Miami in 7 games

2nd round
Cleveland beats Atlanta in 6
Boston beats Orlando in 7

conf finals
Boston over Cleveland in 7

Finals
Boston over LA in 7

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 25, 2009 2:15 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

once they fix the boozer problem,

I may or may not change my opinion on them…

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 26, 2009 1:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OH

and REC!! that had to have taken a while to predict wins and losses for every team. Good work!

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 25, 2009 2:22 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I did it once already last month, which took a fair amount of time and effort. This go-around, though, ...

I basically glanced back over my original copy and made some slight adjustments. I actually knocked the Portland Trail Blazers back a couple of wins on the final copy — as my rough draft had the team at 55, as well as winning the Northwest Division outright — which is due to some of the pre-season turmoil. I also knocked some wins off of New Orleans, Phoenix, and Minnesota among others, as well as added some wins to Utah, the Los Angeles Clippers, New York, et cetera.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its roster is a brutal mishmash of players who don't fit well together as a team.

Not all potpourri smells like flowers, for in the case of Minnesota it has the foul stench of a sewer.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:35 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

10 wins?

1 off the alltime record?

M—

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They certainly ain't good

And never will be as long as they showcase a big man as their best player who doesn’t play defense (or can’t play defense, either way— not good), but even awful teams luck into mid to high teens in wins.

I’m gonna guess the Kings are the worst squadron of basketeers this season.

Minny certainly won’t be good, but 10 wins is a special, once in a lifetime, level of bad.

Morty

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

When your four best players play a combined two positions, the defense is similar to ...

the straw house in the Three Little Pigs, the wings (i.e., Corey Brewer, Damien Wilkins, Aleksander Pavlovic, Wayne Ellington) are a collection of scrubs, and spreading the floor will be an issue with Jonny Flynn and Ramon Sessions, there’ll be epic problems.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 2:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Then it'll be fun to watch

I think you’re just taking your lil’ mini-revenge on the Wolves for trading Mike Miller away ;-) WINK

M—

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, I'm just feeling as if we're bound to see a historically bad team this season.

At first, I was going to go with the Sacramento Kings. Yet, in light of the Minnesota Timberwolves injury problems and oddly constructed roster, it just feels right to pick that ragtag group of schlubs for this dishonor.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ya know, while I don't think they'll only get 10 wins

They REALLY don’t got a lot going for them, do they…

I do not like Jefferson as a premiere player at all, and while I like Love he will be forever overmatched as a PF when he plays the good ones.

I am not sure what sort of impact Flynn will have, and the rest of the team… they really don’t have anyone right now, do they.

10 wins though… I just gotta see ’em more I think.

Morty

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 3:16 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think it's that badly constructed, they just miss a remotely quality wing player. Should have kept Richardson.

I see the Bucks as having big troubles this year, along with the Nets who will most definitely place behind the Knicks. And in the West, of course the Kings.

by Norsktroll on Oct 25, 2009 3:18 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rather than trade Quentin Richardson for Mark Blount and sign Aleksander Pavlovic, ...

you’re correct that David Kahn should’ve just held onto “Q-Rich” for this season. Even then, though, the Minnesota T’wolves would’ve been in for a very, very long and tedious season.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you had your own show I'd say slightly off the wall predictions would draw viewers

Considering, this is just for minor bragging rights and basketball honor I’d say going out on some of these limbs is a bit foolish.

The Cavs and Wolves regular season records are laughable, the Wolves more so than the Cavs. It would take a special kind of terrible to only record 10 wins. I don’t think predicting 10 makes sense unless Al Jefferson is already out for the year and I didn’t hear about it. I mean, you’ve got the Rockets, a team is without their all star center and could be out McGrady, winning 47 games. I know they’re well coached and scrappy, but I don’t see it.

The Cavs won’t win 69. I just don’t see them as (tied) for the 2nd best regular season record of all time. It’s not a bad bold for the sake of bold prediction, though. More generally about 60 wins teams….I don’t think 4 teams will be over 60 and I definitely don’t think there will be 2 more teams that close to 60 as well. There have only been roughly a dozen (I forget the exact number) of 60 win teams since the strike season, barely 1 a year.

Now, to the Mavericks. Even with a big mid season trade, I just don’t see it. Although, predicting a mid-season trade is smart; they have contracts that can save another team money and they are in win now mode. The Mavs are a jump shooting team filled with geriatrics. I wouldn’t be surprised to see half their lineup injured and the other half have their production plummet because of age. The Mavs are a team that need EVERYTHING to go right just to make the WCF. I do mean everything. Kidd needs to stay highly productive for another season, no one else in the first 6 can have their production decline, injuries need to be at a minimum , and they need to be on the opposite side of the playoff bracket from the Lakers. The Mavericks are, at best, a dark horse (get it?) candidate for the WCF.

I do like Brook Lopez as a breakout talent though.

by Magnum on Oct 25, 2009 2:41 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well, we can almost assume AK does this for himself, and not to cynically draw viewers

I think the Cavs will be awesome and win the title, so maybe 69 is high but not by much.

Regarding AK, I think he honestly feels these things and isn’t just looking to draw people in like a cynical TV host or writer would do (coughsimmonscough), but I do also think AK enjoys the mix of shock and outrage and questions his predictions inspire :-) smile

I love AK, he’s one of my favorite ALL TIME posters.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

His conviction is not something I would question

and I was thinking of Simmons when I said the bit about getting viewers. I guess I should say I just have a different style when it comes to predictions like these. I suppose I have a more conservative approach.

by Magnum on Oct 25, 2009 2:51 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, like, regarding the Mavs thang

I agree they will likely make a move— it fits Cuban’s modus operandi, and their overall need to WIN NOW.

I just think it’s kinda sorta folly to predict it to be a gangbusters move, as I don’t see the Bucks moving their good #1 pick for cap savings right now, nor do I see the Clippers moving Kaman for savings (not while Dunleavy is in charge, which he will be again for the rest of this season), and I don’t think Camby really helps much— though I think he’ll likely be traded.

Knowing Nelson and Cuban, it could be another lanky athletic all-round wing player they end up getting. The BPA approach, not the best fit and team need approach.

But, I get why AK does it this way, and I like it.

M—

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 2:57 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I look for the Milwaukee Bucks to slash payroll at all costs come mid-season. So, once it ...

becomes clear that Michael Redd is untradeable because of his enormous salary — since the only team that could really use him, Houston, will probably just hang onto Tracy McGrady — desperate times call for desperate measures. As a result, John Hammond will subsequently attempt to move highly valuable Andrew Bogut and grossly overpaid Dan Gadzuric — as per orders from the owner/president, with that being U.S. Sen. Herb Kohl — in return for players whose contracts come off the books in the summer of 2010 and two or three future first-round draft picks.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:10 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I betcha

The Mavs trade for Redd.

That’ll be funny.

M—

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 3:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What about both Andrew Bogut and Michael Redd?

http://games.espn.go.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=yhgcd4p

Upon waiving Shawne Williams after the trade, declining Josh Howard’s team option after the season on 6/30/2010, and waiving Erick Dampier’s non-guaranteed salary for the 2010-2011 season in the summer of 2010, the Milwaukee Bucks would’ve thereby trimmed slightly over $36 million from its 2010-2011 payroll obligations.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Cleveland Cavaliers will run roughshod over the competition this upcoming season, which'll ...

be the talk of the town. Everything will look like the Cavaliers are all but guaranteed to win it all, expand LeBron James further into worldwide superstardom, further cement Shaquille O’Neal’s legacy. Come playoff time, however, the Boston Celtics rough-and-tumble collection of tough-as-nails veterans — Rasheed Wallace, Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, and Rajon Rondo — will smack the sweet taste right out of James and company’s mouth as Cleveland implodes like the Los Angeles Lakers of 2004. That summer, James leaves Cleveland bitterly for the bright lights of the Big Apple.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope that is true

If Lebron wins, everyone will (rightfully) be worried that we’ve entered the decade of Lebron winning all the titles, everlasting night until he decides to be in the NFL or something.

—M

by Mortimer on Oct 25, 2009 3:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Methinks you underestimate Stern

and his desire for Lebron to stay right where he is…

Prosecutor: Are you Captain David F. Stern?
Stern: I am.
Prosecutor: David Stern, you stand here accused of 12 counts of murder in the first degree, 14 counts of armed theft of Federation property, 22 counts of piracy in high space, 18 counts of fraud, 37 counts of rape and one moving violation. How do you plead?
Stern: Not guilty!

"No disrespect to Jeff Blake"

by Eat Politicians on Oct 25, 2009 3:10 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If anything, David Stern has dreams of LeBron James donning a New York Knicks uniform.

It’s like how Bill Simmons dreams about Kevin Durant, except for in Stern’s case his dreams aren’t X-rated.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:12 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh really?

http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/features/rumors?date=20091024&action=login&appRedirect=http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/features/rumors%3fdate%3d20091024

"No disrespect to Jeff Blake"

by Eat Politicians on Oct 25, 2009 3:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's in it with Ron Artest!

I knew it was a conspiracy. I just need to get my tinfoil hat attenuated to the proper frequency

"No disrespect to Jeff Blake"

by Eat Politicians on Oct 25, 2009 3:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

spoken as a true Seattle NBA fan

Without you out there, we're nowhere here

by 22baylor on Oct 26, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he goes to NY

does he have any shot at making the finals?

by Magnum on Oct 25, 2009 3:17 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Donnie Walsh must quit sitting on his hands and clear some more payroll, since ...

the objective should be to sign a superstar (e.g., LeBron James) and star (e.g., Amar’e Stoudemire) in the off-season. I still feel that if the Phoenix Suns fall apart this season, offering a package centered around Jordan Hill and Cuttino Mobley’s heavily insured expiring contract for Stoudemire at the trade deadline would be a savvy move. That way, the New York Knicks would possess Stoudemire’s Bird rights entering the summer of 2010.

First and foremost, however, Walsh should just go ahead and use Wilson Chandler’s overhyped potential as a way to dump Jared Jeffries’ contract. A simple way to do that would be by offering those two to the Sacramento Kings for rotting corpse that’s known as Kenny Thomas’ expiring contract.. Suffice it to say, Walsh dumping Eddy Curry is a near impossibility with the Knicks 2010 first-round draft pick already in the Utah Jazz’s lap. Man, Isiah Thomas was a bona fide bonehead.

Oh, and to answer your question, James would need some help to win in New York. As much as Stoudemire is rightfully lambasted for his selfish attitude and lollygagging on defense, he’d surely give “The King” a boost if he’s his teammate under Mike D’Antoni.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 3:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

he has no shot of winning anything ever again.

If he goes to NY, it won’t be because he wants to win.

These are my principles. If you don't like them, I have others. -Groucho Marx

by RDreamer on Oct 25, 2009 4:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It all depends on whether or not LeBron James could get someone to join him ...

in New York. The most likely option would be Amar’e Stoudemire, even though that would definitely be an awkward one-two punch.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 4:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with the general outline

The Cavs will win a ton of games and they will be beaten in the ECF yet again.

I don’t think 69 wins is the number. I think their center combo will need to take games off to stay fresh for the playoffs and that’ll cost them. I think Shaq won’t be nearly as good as people think. More generally, I think 69 wins means that a near perfect storm of events has to take place and that seems unlikely.

I also don’t think the Celtics will be the team they face in the East. I’m not completely sold on Garnett being fully healthy. I think Ray Allen and Paul Pierce are due for a decline. I think their FA acquisitions are overrated. I see Orlando as the number 2 team in the East. Their roster is stacked and much younger than the Celtics. A healthy Jameer Nelson will be the main difference maker in the playoffs for them. And Vince Carter > Hedo

by Magnum on Oct 25, 2009 3:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

If three teams have the same record

Shouldn’t they be listed alphabetically? I’m not sure if they do it in the NBA, but I know other sports follow that format.

by tominhawaii on Oct 25, 2009 5:16 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Cool

Thanks for the reply. I pretty much agree with your playoff teams, just not the seeding or some of their records.

by tominhawaii on Oct 25, 2009 6:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

One thing does not make sense

Okay, maybe more than one (Dallas ain’t that good!). But the main thing for me is, if my man Greg is Most Improved, the Blazers are winning about 60+. No way just 53. Good reading though, thanks

by Odenforce on Oct 25, 2009 6:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Y'know, I had second thoughts about that myself for a few reasons. It wasn't the "60+" wins, though.

I predict that Greg Oden will post 15/10/1.5 this season regarding points, rebounds, and blocks per game — so long as he averages 28-30 minutes a contest throughout the season — however, I also predict that Brook Lopez will burst onto the scene with a 20/10/2 stat line while averaging 36 minutes per game.

I, therefore, shall alter my prediction of who’ll take home the MIP Award this upcoming season from Oden to Lopez. I hope y’all aren’t too critical of me for waffling in this instance.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 6:48 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that's fair on Lopez. He's a good player and will be a bigger part of his team's focus this year.

But if Greg plays that well in over 70 games and we win less than 56 I will be blown away.

You can measure skill and talent with your eyes, but productivity is shown through statistics.

by austinpwnz on Oct 26, 2009 12:42 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I got a question for you ak

If Oden is putting up those kind of numbers, (which I think he will.. except I think he will probably put up closer to 11.5 rebounds and maybe closer to 2 blocks) what is going on that is keeping the blazers from winning more games? Is it the chemistry issues (which may or may not actually be there, or even if they are there, they may not have as great of an impact as some predict) or do you see a player(s) taking a step back this year to counter Oden’s improvement? Or is it simply the other teams improvement? Or something else?

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 26, 2009 1:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Or are you just trying to not jinx the team? lol

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 26, 2009 1:33 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Several insightful predictions here

Predictions I like:

Utah to have a bounceback season. I think they finish ahead of the Nuggets… and maybe our Blazers. They have a lot of talent and an excellent coach. As Blazer fans, I think we want to ignore how much injuries knocked them off track last season. The current group of Jazz will probably never win it all, but they will play very good basketball.

Oklahoma City will continue to struggle. Maybe not 25 wins struggle, but what’s the difference between 25 and 30 wins? 5 wins? Only mathematically. In the NBA it’s essentially the same record.

The Cavs to have another stellar regular season record. It’s not rocket science, but I’m surprised with how few national pundits are high on the Cavs.

The Rockets to player above expectations (which is 35 wins). Defense, team work, and veteran savvy can carry a team a long way. My guess is more like 45 wins, though.

While I don’t agree with the win totals, I agree with the standings you have for the Western Conference.

Predictions I don’t like:

Well, it mostly looks like you have been bitten by both the exaggeration bug and the false certainty bug. I read or can guess at your reasoning for some of the predictions and the reasoning isn’t crazy. The problem is that you’ve treated events or dynamics that might happen as certainties. I guess that’s fine, if these guesses represent what you view as the modal outcome in potential future NBA 2009-2010 seasons, but it’s likely to mean that you will end up with a lot of prediction error. Minnesota may well have a disastrous season, but it’s very likely that they win at least 20 games, so the 10 win prediction is a unnecessary gamble. Similarly, the chance that the Mavs pull off a really superb midseason trade is less than 50%. There is maybe one great mid season trade per year. The are at least 10 teams a year looking to make such a trade. Even though the Mavs are smart organization, they probably will not be able to pull off the perfect move.

Concerning basketball, I don’t see the Hawks regressing. They have enough talent to withstand an injury or two and they have several players that could player better than they did last year (Smith, Horford, Williams).

The Heat will improve on last year’s record unless D-Wade is injured.

If I were to make one crazy pick, it would be that the Pacers make the playoffs. They lost a ton of close games last year. Roy Hibbert may prove to be a reasonable center and moving Daniels and Jack is addition by subtraction.

by PoliSam on Oct 25, 2009 6:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes, there's some tinkering I could do with the middle-of-the-road teams in the Eastern Conference ...

by dropping Chicago six wins and bumping up Atlanta and Miami three wins apiece. Regardless, I stand by my assertion that Chicago is primed to blast off with Ben Gordon gone via addition by subtraction and Derrick Rose now leading the way, Atlanta is mired in mediocrity, and Miami not having the right pieces in its frontcourt — unless Jermaie O’Neal finds the Foutain of Youth (i.e., doubtful) and Michael Beasley gets his act together (i.e., über-doubtful) — supplementing Dwyane Wade for the Heat to make a mighty strong imprint this season. The summer of 2010 will be interesting for Wade, who may not re-sign and depart elsewhere (e.g., Chicago) unless Pat Riley can sign another star player (e.g., Chris Bosh) early in the off-season to show that he means business.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 7:15 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

Again, I think you are right that the Bulls are going to be improved…. but I would give a couple of their wins to the Heat and the Hawks. The Noah, Miller, Thomas front court is going to have a fine year against the bottom 60-75% of the league. It’s not good enough to vault them to title contention, but they have the length and quickness to be superb help defenders and adequate man-to-man post defenders. John Salmons continues to be underrated. Gordon was overrated. Pargo is a nice little insurance policy. The player that would make me nervous, were I a Bulls fan, is Luol Deng. Takes a ton of bad shots. Injury prone. When they don’t win 56 games, you will blame Luol for ruining your prediction.

The Heat’s front court is abysmal. Dwayne Wade is, fortunately, good enough to overcome it. I’m actually mildly optimistic that Beasely will have a good season.

Is there a team that would benefit more from a new coach than the Hawks? Maybe the Hornets. Maybe the Clippers. Woodson is a downer of a coach. He’s obviously failed at keeping Josh Smith motivated.

O, by the way: Celtics will be the biggest bust of the 2009-2010 season. Age + Rondo’s attitude will catch up to the Celtics.

by PoliSam on Oct 25, 2009 7:50 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The injury struggles for Utah continue. Kyle Korver will have knee surgery this week, and will miss at least 1 month.

C.J. Miles already is injured. And you know that Boozer will sit down once he has a hangnail to not risk his next big deal.

by Norsktroll on Oct 25, 2009 8:23 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Everyone should watch out for Wes Matthews, who'll be this season's Anthony Morrow.

Ime Udoka should land a spot with the Utah Jazz, too, as Jerry Sloan could use a guy like him.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 9:04 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed all around

I agree the Bulls will probably be improved, but Rose is way overrated at this stage of his career and they would be happy to get to 50 – I doubt 56 will be anywhere near in play. They will need Dang to step up and score some points, Thomas/Noah to improve, and Salmons to continue to be Kevin Martin-lite – just to get to 50. Can’t see them better than that unless Rose suddenly becomes a legit all star at the point – and he’s a couple years away from that.

Hawks (especially) and Heat are too low. I think the Hawks will regret giving up Flip Murray, who was surprisingly effective last year, and they may take a step back – but not that big of a step. Beasley and Chalmers will improve and the Heat will be decent.

I think the Magic could just as easily roll to the upper sixties as the Cavs. They are as deep as the Blazers, possibly deeper, with much more “top shelf” talent. VC has somehow become vastly underrated, Hedo has become vastly overrated, and Anderson/Bass add tremendous depth down low. They are absolutely STACKED.

Everyone thinks the Cavs lost nothing from last year’s team, but that’s not entirely true – they were at their best last year (easily) with Big Ben in the line up, and healthy. They were more than 10 points better per 100 possessions with Ben on the court (he’s the anti-Durant). Moon/Parker/Shaq should help, especially in the playoffs, and if they gel early they could approach the upper sixties. But smart money’s on the Magic for the one seed in the East.

I also think the Rockets are too high and the Clips too low. Clips will make the playoffs absent injuries. They are now a well rounded and talented team. Dumb-leavy actually made some savvy under-the-radar moves. I agree Utah will bounce back, and Houston will be better than expected (but not that much better). Dallas will be very good but not 59 wins good. They will make a major move and they will be a threat in the postseason, and it should be an epic three-way battle with SA and LA in the playoffs.

Portland is a year or two away from true contention, and missed a major opportunity getting nothing for RLEC.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Oct 26, 2009 8:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Miller?

"The difference between a democracy and a dictatorship is that in a democracy you vote first and take orders later; in a dictatorship you don't have to waste your time voting"

"I don't like jail, they got the wrong kind of bars in there"
Charles Bukowski

by jpaulson on Oct 26, 2009 8:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, not nothing, but...

…not exactly the type of name being tossed around at the trading deadline last year. According to legend, the Blazers could have traded RLEC for Vince Carter plus two first round picks. Whether rumor equals fact, we will never know, but safe to say KP was contemplating a little more than an upgrade at back up point.

I know that minimizes Miller and his achievements to some extent, but fact is, the expiring contract once believed to be the most valuable commodity in the NBA (due to the insurance money that came with the cap relief) eventually became a free agent point guard who couldn’t beat out Steven Blake. Although, considering the extensions Roy and LMA just signed, you can’t blame PA for holding on to that insurance money. He will hopefully need every bit of it to pay Oden next summer after a break out year.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Oct 26, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're crazy man...you're crazy!

Cleveland with 69 wins in the easy – not going to happen. Shaq is not much better at this point in his career than Big Z was last year, they will win less than they did last year. But as crazy as this prediction was, you topped it with…

Dallas winning it all. Correct me if I am wrong but wasn’t Houston your baby last year? I can understand predicting a “dark horse” but come on! I don’t think you would find one paid NBA analyst that would call Dallas a contender this year. Their trade for Marion was a trade for a name player only, Marion isn’t what he was in Phx, he is what he was the last 2 years. They have no front line to compete with the Blazers, let alone the Lakers, Spurs, or Nuggets.

Good luck with your predictions, but I’m confindent you will be wrong on 80%+ of them.

by usmcr3049 on Oct 25, 2009 10:01 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think Dallas will win it all, but people start to massively underrate Marion

He benefits a lot from Kidd, and even in pre-season already had some 25+ point games. He is definitely an upgrade for Dallas over Wright who gave them next to nothing, and they can either start Howard on SG for which he is quick enough or have a very deep bench. They also added a criminally underrated perimeter defender in Quinton Ross to give the bench some stability over the worthless Williams, and added a few mediocre but still capable PFs which is also an upgrade. If they had actually landed Gortat, I would have them at #2 in the West, this way just at #4-5.

by Norsktroll on Oct 25, 2009 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, folks are sleeping on how much Shawn Marion will benefit playing with Jason Kidd. More ...

than almost any other perimeter player in the NBA, Marion is a slashing wizard whose efficiency and proficiency is predicated on playing with a talented playmaker at the 1. With Jason Kidd as his running partner, Marion will post numbers that we haven’t seen from him since his days with Steve Nash. Oh, and on another note, Marion is still only 31 and has had no noticeable drop-off thus far on defense or rebounding.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 4:42 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Haha!!! Dallas? Really? A+ for a sexy pick out of left field.

I just don’t see a first round exit this year for us. I think you’re crazy. I also think we’ll win the division. A for effort, though.

by dario argento on Oct 25, 2009 10:33 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Great predictions,

but Chris Paul totally has the J. Walter Kennedy Citizenship Award locked up.

Bingo, bango, bongo!

by Babyshoes on Oct 25, 2009 10:50 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It seems obvious that you think Greg Oden will make only incremental improvements,

but I think he will be in the running for the MIP and DPY awards and has a very good shot at the All-Star team and All-NBA 2nd or 3rd team as well. It’s not because I think he will morph into Hakeem Olajuwon this year, but because there is such a paucity of good centers in the league and especially in the West, and because a strong center has a bigger impact on his team’s success than a player at another position. The Blazers will be one of the top teams this year, which will also help Greg’s cause.

Predictions are such a crapshoot that we might as well be speculating on when cars will fly.

by MiledAnimal on Oct 25, 2009 11:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Etc.

Cars already do fly – or at least some experimental models do. But, from where I sit, if one asserts that age and injuries will derail San Antonio, then the same logic would apply to Boston. And, of course, your prediction for Dallas is based on a miracle – which you’ve so appropriately delivered in the form of a mid-season trade. As far as Cleveland, I suspect that Shaq is being rated more for his mouth these days than his play, but he still has some gas left in the tank , and that -assuming the same injury bug that San Antonio/Boston are at risk for doesn’t hit Shaq – should get them well along. But, 69 wins is quite a stretch.

And, as far as the West, the Blazers have improved, whereas Denver has stayed about the same – so I have to go with the Blazers.

by Eben Calder on Oct 25, 2009 1:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wild (OK, pretty conservative) stab:

WEST
1 Lakers 61-21
2 Spurs 56-26
3 Nuggets 54-28
4 Blazers 53-29
5 Mavericks 52-30
6 Jazz 51-31
7 Hornets 46-36
8 Suns 44-38
9 Rockets 41-41
10 Clippers 37-45
11 Warriors 34-48
12 Ex-Sonics 33-49
13 Grizzlies 27-55
14 Kings 22-60
15 Wolves 19-63

EAST
1 Magic 63-19
2 Cavs 59-23
3 Celtics 54-28
4 Hawks 50-32
5 Bulls 48-34
6 Heat 42-40
7 Wizards 41-41
8 Pacers 38-44
9 Sixers 37-45
10 Bobcats 36-46
11 Raptors 33-49
12 Pistons 29-53
13 Knicks 25-57
14 Nets 23-59
15 Bucks 19-63

West playoffs: Lakers def. Suns 4-1; Spurs def. Hornets 4-2; Nuggets def. Jazz 4-3; Blazers def. Mavericks 4-2; Lakers def. Blazers 4-2; Spurs def. Nuggets 4-2; Lakers def. Spurs 4-2.

East playoffs: Magic def. Pacers 4-0; Cavs def. Wizards 4-0; Celtics def. Heat 4-1; Bulls def. Hawks 4-2; Magic def. Bulls 4-1; Cavs def. Celtics 4-3; Magic def. Cavs 4-3

Finals: Magic def. Lakers 4-3

Hit it. Yes he did. Ohhhh yeah.

by Badalona Baddie on Oct 25, 2009 3:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Why does everyone think the Hawks are gonna be so good?

I watched their game against the Magic last week. They couldn’t hit water if they fell out of a boat. Absolutely terrible. I think they overachieved last year and I put them closer to 40 wins than 50.

These are my principles. If you don't like them, I have others. -Groucho Marx

by RDreamer on Oct 25, 2009 4:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree that the Atlanta Hawks are overrated, as the Chicago Bulls and the Washington Wizards will ...

upper crust of the mid-tier teams in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks will soon be in a world of hurt, too, as Joe Johnson will bolt after this season; plus, a front office led by Rick Sund and a coaching staff headed by Mike Woodson is weak sauce. On a side note, any true UW Huskies fan will notice the name of one assistant coach on the Hawks, Bob Bender, who led the ’90s basketball revival at Hec Ed Pavilion centered around Todd MacCulloch and Donald Watts.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 5:00 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rec

Awesome post. Thorough and explained well.

When I first saw Dallas winning, I thought it was crazy. But you have some intriguing ideas… and it will be really interesting to follow them this year.

Here’s mine:

West:

1. Portland 58-24 (Portland wins the tiebreaker, 2-1 season series, with home teams winning reg season game)
2. Lakers 58-24
3. San Antonio 57-25
4. Denver 54-28
5. Utah 53-29
6. New Orleans 51-31
7. Dallas 50-32
8. Phoenix 49-33

Portland beats Phoenix in 5
Lakers beat Dallas in 6 (yeah, winning in Dallas)
San Antonio beats New Orleans in 7
Utah beats Denver in 6

Portland beats Utah in 7
Lakers beat San Antonio in 7

Portland beats LA in 7

East:

I dont want to do the whole conf, really hard for me to predict beyond the top 4, but I believe it will be:

1. Cleveland
2. Boston
3. Orlando
4. Chicago
(I will stop there, those are the four which make it through the first round, in that order)

Cleveland beats Chicago in 5
Boston beats Orlando in 7

Cleveland beats Boston in 7

Finals:

I didnt predict a win total for Cleveland, but they will have HC.
Cleveland beats Portland in 7, home team wins every game.

Notes: I know that just looks like a homer pick, and maybe it is. I will say this: I don’t think it will look like Portland can win the West for a while. They will hang around the 3-6 spots until midseason, and then things will click, and will end up being the #1 seed, hc adv throughout the west playoffs, and with a ton of momentum. This is based on a few predictions: 1. Oden will become a huge factor, primarily on D but on offense as well. His usage will increase significantly while being among the most efficient players in the West. 2. The SF position will improve quite a bit, with Batum improving and Martell being in the mix. 3. Whether or not Miller ends up starting, the difference between him and Sergio is HUGE, and it will show. If he and Przy come off the bench together, I bet we even see Przy score a little bit. 4. The biggest thing, our team defense will improve, esp later in the year. As Oden becomes more of a factor, it takes pressure off of everyone else, esp Roy, and will put an added emphasis on defense among the players. Our D was very poor much of last season—ranked about 20 in defensive efficiency most of the year—and in the span of about a month and a half, we went from 20 into the top 10, which is evidence of a very significant improvement in defensive efficiency. Our offense by the end of the year will be a little better than last year, but more balanced with more scoring in the paint (esp thanks to Oden and Miller), but our Defense will be significantly improved, not by becoming a defensive juggernaut or something, but by being much, much more solid than last year, which was capable of great D for stretches and then horrible, inexcusable breakdowns. Those breakdowns will be far less frequent, and it will help us in every single other aspect of the game.

I think it will be important that Portland only plays BOTH LA and SA — the top two other teams in the conf — 3 times this year, and against both, we play 2 at home and only 1 away. This itself is an advantage and could very well end up with Portland holding tiebreakers over both teams, just have to make sure we dont drop an early home game vs SA.

Portland wins the West!

by TimG on Oct 25, 2009 4:57 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

while i do see an improved dallas beating san antionio. i dont see them beating the lakers.

whats your reasoning for that pick. i like dallas alot this year so im not a hater. i just know lamar odom gives dirk fits. so no double team there and dallas doens’t hav ea quick point guard to exploit lakers weak pg defense. also, kobe’s has had a way of destroying dallas and taking away their spirits.

by mandoman10 on Oct 25, 2009 7:45 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

My main reasoning is that I think the Dallas Mavericks will make an earth-shattering deadline deal ...

— which is what the Detroit Pistons did in 2004 by acquiring Rasheed Wallace — that’ll propel the team into championship glory.

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=1739128

Unlike Paul Allen and Kevin Pritchard, I’ve got faith that Mark Cuban and Donnie Nelson won’t timidly sit on their hands and instead go all-in with their eyes on the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

i gotcha.

ya. so if no deal is made. as presently constituded do the mavericks get past san antonio?

its odd, cause most predictions are based on rosters as is. and are thrown out the window if things do change. but i guess people should make predictions based on who has more of an ability to make a move.

by mandoman10 on Oct 25, 2009 9:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

As presently constructed, the San Antonio Spurs seal up the Southwest Division and would ...

defeat the Dallas Mavericks — who’d be the #3 seed instead of the #2 seed — 4-1 in the Western Conference Semifinals. I, moreover, would also drop Dallas down four wins from 59 to 55, as well as slightly bump up San Antonio, Utah, Denver, and Portland one win apiece to 59, 54, 54, and 54, respectively. Yet, I’m banking on the Mavericks making a pivotal mid-season deal, so I’ve got to go with my gut.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 9:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm, If Vinny Del Negro

can Coach this Bulls team to 56 wins, shouldn’t he be coach of the year?

Numerically Blazers Edge is #25

by Outlaw is Rejector on Oct 25, 2009 8:51 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Y'know, that thought also crossed my mind.

Though, I justified it by telling myself that veteran coach Bernie Bickerstaff and Chicago Bulls organization lifer Pete Myers will be holding Vinny Del Negro’s hand through the whole process. In addition, the voters will realize that Rick Adelman’s ability to take a shorthanded underdog in this season’s Houston Rockets back to the playoffs would’ve been quite a remarkable accomplishment.

I’m also having second thoughts about giving the Chicago Bulls 56 wins, as 50 wins is more prudent and practical of a prediction. Now, if I were to do that, I could then bump up Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Miami a couple of wins apiece — since that wouldn’t mess with the playoff seeding in the Eastern Conference — however, I’m sticking to my guns here with unyielding resolve. If the Bulls win 56 games, my headstrong nature will have paid off handsomely. If not, then I’ll eat crow.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 25, 2009 9:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Adelman, while I like and respect him has a horrible job next season

No matter how well he does, unless he gets to the playoffs he is not going to win Coach of the Year. And I just don’t see how he gets there.

by LaoTzu on Oct 26, 2009 2:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You may have to eat some Rocky Mountain Oysters instead!

better bring lots of ketchup.

"BEER IS LIVING PROOF THAT GOD LOVES US"
- Benjamin Franklin-

by We-B-Dunkin on Oct 25, 2009 10:38 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Ugh, I hate ketchup.

Yet, mix of A1 steak sauce, Heinz 57 sauce, and French’s honey dijon mustard sauch should do the trick.

Stupid people have stupid ideas.

by AK1984 on Oct 26, 2009 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Picks with Arguments

62-20 The Lakers were better than the field last season, but Artest does not improve them.
51-31 Denver lost their only glue guy and replaced him with another, less experienced glue guy.
50-32 San Antonio retooled… with another old guy and Richard Jefferson. Injury report looks grim.
65-17 Portland needed a veteran point guard and got a veteran point guard to go with a late season surging squad.
40-42 Houston lost its most important player. Having Chuck Hayes start at center ain’t working.
48-34 Dallas has an unbalanced roster, and the pieces they want to trade won’t draw high value.
46-36 New Orleans didn’t improve by swapping for Okafor, and their shooting guard situation worsened.
51-31 Utah will be better this year if they stay healthy, but have no bench other than at small forward.
39-43 Phoenix will be starting Channing Fyre at center? No playoffs this year for Phoenix.
26-56 The Warriors are a mess, dithering their way back down to the cellar, regardless of talent.
25-57 Minnesota is young and is not going to win very many games this year.
32-50 Memphis will take a lot of unassisted shots but is not going win very many games this year.
33-49 Oklahoma City still doesn’t defend very well and are still a year or two out of the playoffs.
41-41 The Clippers will win more games than last year, but they are cursed, so Griffin will break a leg.
14-68 The Kings are hoping to win 20 games this year. They won’t.

60-22 Cleveland will not be a better team with Shaq than without him. Negative cohesion, fewer wins.
58-24 Boston will never be healthy again with its current personnel, they had a small window.
64-18 Orlando is going to be better with Vince than Hedo, they will own the east this year.
44-38 Atlanta is, again, not going to be able to put it all together. Johnson is gone after this year, too.
42-40 Miami won’t be as good as last year, and Wade will sign elsewhere afterward.
37-45 Philadelphia will miss Andre Miller in a big way this year.
50-32 Chicago will have a good year if they can stay healthy, which they likely will.
36-46 Detroit is trying to figure out where the bottom is. Ben Gordon and Charlie V don’t defend.
43-39 Indiana is stuck in the middle, but Hibbert emerges as a force so they’re in the playoffs.
37-45 Charlotte wins more than last year, because all Larry Brown’s teams win more year two.
21-61 New Jersey will try to get that number one seed, Devin Harris may take the year off (see Baron ‘09).
22-60 Milwaukee is in for a bumpy ride with their retooled roster.
39-43 Toronto always looks good on paper, don’t they? Perhaps chemistry is important after all.
25-57 New York is just waiting for the off-season.
29-53 Washington can’t stay healthy, and even healthy Gilbert was never a winner.

Blazers beat Clippers 4-0
L*kers beat Hornets 4-1
Jazz beat Mavericks 4-3
Spurs beat Nuggets 4-2

L*kers beat Jazz 4-2
Blazers beat Spurs 4-3

Blazers beat L*kers 4-1

Magic beat Raptors 4-1
Cavs beat Heat 4-0
Celtics beat Pacers 4-2
Bulls beat Hawks 4-3

Magic beat Bulls 4-1
Cavs beat Celtics 4-3

Magic beat Cavs 4-3

Blazers beat Magic 4-1

Yeah. I’m a homer.

by baduk on Oct 25, 2009 11:01 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

65 wins for the Blazers!

Wow!

I have ’em for 61. – Elgin

Without you out there, we're nowhere here

by 22baylor on Oct 26, 2009 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Blazers go 59-23

WCF versus Fakers after a shocking 4-1 crushing of SA.

It gets cloudy from there.

by LaoTzu on Oct 26, 2009 2:37 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Rec for following reasons

1. Sheer entertainment value.
2. Generosity. Next time AK says something stupid, we can refer back to things he predicted here and slam him for them, even if it is totally irrelevant to what he’s saying. Thanks for the ammunition, AK. :)

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 26, 2009 3:17 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I keep "Sheldon Williams" in my back pocket for that very reason.

AK ammo!

Of course, I would have no idea he loved Sheldon so much if he didn’t tell us, so it isn’t quite the same. Can’t really say GOTCHA when he gotted himself by showing it to us!

M—

by Mortimer on Oct 26, 2009 4:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know

KP is so good at saying dumb stuff and then admitting it. It’s really, really good when you can catch him at it when he hasn’t admitted it yet.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 27, 2009 3:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It just seemed right

Seriously, Morty, we KNOW that KP goes on Bedge. We know he wants to remain incognito. We know that whoever AK is, he knows something about basketball.

So think about it. If you want to take part in Bedge, and you are KP, but you don’t want to bbe identified as KP, what kinds of things will you say? Won’t you bash KP and Nate and Paul Allen and Larry Miller and the Vulcans? Who does that more than anyone else around here?

But the real tip-off. We know that KP is always on the phone making trade proposals. To do that, he has to be thinking about what the other team wants, which means he’s always trying to propose trades that make at least some sense for them.

Now, who proposes trades for every team in the league all the time on Bedge? Find that guy, and you’ve found something.

Maybe I shouldn’t say anymore. We don’t want to out the guy if he doesn’t want to be outed.

I can tell you how to make an Excel spreadsheet that proves Portland wins 62 games this year.

by jscot on Oct 28, 2009 12:13 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks - fun and comprehansive and interesting

I don’t know who is better than you predict, but I don’t see the Bulls, Wiz or Rockets doing as well as you predict. The Bulls seem too thin on the frontline, the Rockets too tiny. I’ve seen two of the Wizards’ pre-season games and they are a disorganized mess. Arenas runs right through Flip’s sets. Either Gil gets injured or his team gets sick of playing with him.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Oct 26, 2009 5:42 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Seriously, AK..

Your signature makes everything that you have to say appear as bait to everyone else, just waiting hungrily to pick your opinions apart. I can’t take anything you write seriously, because you intentionally preface it with ‘if you disagree, you are obviously stupid and have stupid ideas.’ Whether that’s what you intend or not, that’s how you come across.

There are few things as boring and inane as someone who is captivated by their own opinions. Only slightly exceeded by those who believe that they are intelligent because of their opinions.

And if Dallas winning it all isn’t a stupid idea, I don’t know what is.

Portland Sports Performance provides elite mental and emotional training for athletes of all ages and in all sports.

www.portlandsportsperformance.com

by blazersunited on Oct 27, 2009 12:14 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs


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