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Do you wish you had Durant?

I'm a diehard Celtics fan from over on CelticsBlog, and we recently had a discussion about Kevin Durant's play this year, and how well he has scored the basketball. Inevitably, since we were talking about Durant, Greg Oden's name came up in conversation, and we got into a bit of a debate about the two. The majority of the people in the CelticsBlog forum, I'm sorry to have to report to you guys, would rather have Durant at this point. And I think I have to agree with my fellow CelticsBlog members on this one.

Star-divide

I know you might want to ask the people of CelticsBlog, who are probably all mesmerized by Durant's 25 points per game (including 46 in a losing effort against the Clipps), didn't we all see this coming? Yeah, Durant would do his thing, score his points, torch his opponents night in and night out, while Oden would accumulate modest numbers and fly under the national radar. It was no secret that Durant could do what he does - score, from day one, while Oden might take some more time to develop into a player worth ESPN's mentioning. The GMs and the analysts all knew this, and the fans for the most part knew. But now that it's all happening, Durant is all of a sudden the consensus preference between the two. What has happened between two years ago and now besides what everyone thought was going to happen? Well, that season-ending injury last preseason may have been slightly unexpected, but Oden's play so far this year is about what you wanted out of him as a rookie, no? The point is, did we all suddenly forget that defense wins championships? So Durant can score 25 ppg, guess who else knows how to put the ball in the hoop: Gilbert Arenas and Jamal Crawford. How many rings do those guys have? Oden's offense is going to come around, and his defense is what is going to make him the better player than Durant, when it is all said and done.

Now, you might be thinking, didn't I begin by saying I agreed with majority of CelticsBlog, in their choice of Durant over Oden? Yes, I did, and after about a dozen lines of playing Devil's advocate, it's time for me to make my true stance clear. I have not forgotten why the Blazers drafted Oden as the 1st overall pick of the 2007 NBA draft. I know that defense wins championships - I mean, who won it all last year? But I also know that offense wins championships. Hey, there's two sides of the ball, isn't there? Nothing should be taken away from a player's impact on a game simply because he's a better scorer than he is a defender. Kevin Durant will eventually learn to be a better defensive player. He's going to grow stronger, he's going to try harder once he gets some teammates who can help out on offense, and he's going to be smarter, because he genuinelly cares about improving all facets of his game. It's my opinion that Oden is going to improve offensively, and likewise, I believe that Durant with improve on defense. At the end of the day, regardless of how many other scorers there are out there (I know that Oden is of a far less common breed), I think that Durant's dominance on offense will outweigh Oden's on defense. And certainly, in terms of where both players are right now, Durant has the decided edge.

Now that I have presented to you my humble opinion (I'm far less qualified to discuss this than any of you), I'd like to know what you think. I made this post completely out of my own curiosity. Do any Blazers fans wish they had Kevin Durant? If so, did you always wish you had him, or have the events of the past 1.5 seasons changed your mind? I hope that I get some honest responses, and not a billion people ripping me for even thinking that Durant could be better than Oden. To attempt to placate you one more time (as if half my post talking about why Oden will be better wasn't enough), I would not be surprised at all if Oden wound up the better player, and I will have no problem reevlauating my stance about the two at the end of this year, in two years, or in five years, and admitting I am wrong if I am wrong.

Poll
Which player would you rather have?
Kevin Durant
62 votes
Greg Oden
573 votes

635 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 357 comments  |  7 recs  | 

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Wow, you and I finally agree 100% on something.

Your post looks like a word-for-word carbon copy of my numerous rants about Kevin Durant.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 4:20 AM PST up reply actions  

I'd rather have Durant than Outlaw, though

Jerryd Bayless has two emotions: Kill and Win.

"I want to put points on your face."
-Rudy to Pau Gasol

NorrisHopper30: "someone injure pubert jones"

by rockingharder on Jan 25, 2009 9:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Good point.

My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.

by OCBlazerFan1 on Jan 26, 2009 11:59 AM PST up reply actions  

even I would do that trade

as an unabashed Outlaw homer, if we could trade Trout for KD straight across, it would be a good trade.

I’d rather give ’em Webster though, – Elgin.

I get what I deserve. I deserve what I get. I have it so I deserve it. I deserve
it for I have it. I get what I deserve. What I deserve - what I deserve what
I get. I have it so I deserve. - Gentle Giant

by 22baylor on Jan 26, 2009 12:09 PM PST up reply actions  

No.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Jan 24, 2009 10:07 PM PST reply actions  

Oden

no question. Great defensive presence, and this team will be built around defense first.

by BrailleTaser on Jan 24, 2009 10:17 PM PST reply actions  

As great of a center as Pryz is

We are never winning with him as our starting center. Oden on the other hand…

by Eventine on Jan 24, 2009 10:19 PM PST reply actions  

We are already in the top three in the league in offense

For this team, I take Oden, simply because defense is our biggest issue.

by Cablinasian on Jan 24, 2009 10:22 PM PST reply actions  

Yeah, it is still Oden.

For exactly the same reasons as before the draft; no change.

Durant was always more game ready and polished. Oden was always going to be he long term potential guy; the guy you build a franchise around, and let him mature into a champion.

Ask they guys at the Celtics blog which of the two is going to win the most rings.

I heart taxes.

by everett on Jan 24, 2009 10:23 PM PST reply actions  

Oden!

You could put a crappy Celtic like Eddie House or Rajon Rando on the Thunder and they could score as much as Durant. I take Oden for his D, and over the long run.

ALLLL Rudy Then!!!!!

by Miker Blazer on Jan 24, 2009 10:26 PM PST reply actions  

Um...

Rajon Rondo hardly classifies as “crappy”…

by Powder842 on Jan 24, 2009 11:36 PM PST up reply actions  

yeah

agreed.
Rondo is my Favourite celtic right now.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fj8DgWnbVng&feature=bz303
MVP *** MVP *** MVP
I've never scored more than 38 ..... not even in Little League.

by Portland89 on Jan 25, 2009 1:41 AM PST up reply actions  

Take the "big 3" away

and you have Rajon Rondo aka Chucky Atkins. I think Rondo is very overrated. I also think the Celtics are the least fan friendly team to watch in the NBA, a bunch of thugs who act hard towards smaller opponents(gayG I mean KG). Paul Pierce aka (Wheel chair princess) punk who fakes an injury just to steal parking spots from little old ladies at the mall, Boston fan= Moron.

ALLLL Rudy Then!!!!!

by Miker Blazer on Jan 25, 2009 7:09 PM PST up reply actions  

how do Rondo and Atkins compare exactly?

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 25, 2009 7:36 PM PST up reply actions  

Put Atkins with the big 3

and he will have the same stats as Rondo, maybe better

ALLLL Rudy Then!!!!!

by Miker Blazer on Jan 25, 2009 8:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Color me doubtful

Rondo is a world quicker, gets to the rim a lot more effectively, does a better job pushing the ball on the break, creates more fast breaks with his defense…

I understand that there is a lot of debate as to how Rondo would do in another situation, and I’m personally not sure. But I don’t think that makes the gratuitous cheap shots warranted, especially when one considers how well the guy has played as of late.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 25, 2009 8:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Umm

No they won’t. And Rondo is definitely not crappy.

by Eventine on Jan 24, 2009 11:43 PM PST up reply actions  

oden gets his hands on so many rebounds

he seems like a more natural basketball player than dwight howard, to have more natural skills, to possess more physical grace. his hookshot looks better all the time, he can also hit a left-handed hook… and he’s a reasonably good FT shooter, 65% with promise of the % going up.

he’s going to be a huge rebounder, and teams that win the rebounding battle usually win the game. what’s unexpected perhaps is what a great offensive rebounder he may be, reminding one of moses malone.

kevin durant may well lead the nba in scoring pretty soon, he’ll be an excellent player, but greg oden will make everyone around him better on both ends of the court.

ignacio

by ignacio on Jan 24, 2009 10:34 PM PST reply actions  

Oden was the best choice for the Blazers

I don’t look at it the way some fans do. I look at it from “Who best fit our team?” perspective. Kevin Durant is no doubt going to be a great player and will be able to score at will, however we already had a player that we thought (it is turning out to be that way) could do that same thing, namely Brandon Roy. We had a pretty good ceiling with LA and a spot up small forward in Martell or TO. That leaves us two positions we needed at the time we were drafting Greg. PG and Center.
So the question was do we take someone we to fill a role that we felt we already had? Or do we take someone who could fill a role that we needed at the time? Namely our Center? We couldn’t fill the point guard with Durant so we decided for the defensive center with offensive capabilities.
I for one think Greg is going to be an All-star contender for years to come. Maybe not the starter but definetly in the mix for the back-up. Besides when you miss you are supposed to miss big in the draft right?

Just my 2 cents that might not be worth a penny :)

"Do or Do not there is no Try"
Yoda

by Bakasama on Jan 24, 2009 10:35 PM PST reply actions  

I think you are underplaying the gravity of the decision.

It was not a mid first round… “where do we need help” pick.

This was a decision on whether to gamble on the potentially best career center prospect in years, or to go with a sure thing top ten scorer.

They went with the once in a decade prospect. He has yet to become the player that everyone felt, and most people who watch him night in and night out still feel he will become, but so what. If KP knew on Draft day that Greg might nott play his first NBA year, and would still go through significant growing pains when he was able to play, I am guessing he would still make the gamble.

I heart taxes.

by everett on Jan 24, 2009 11:00 PM PST up reply actions  

For sure

no matter who you have, at the top of the draft, you take the best player and sort it out later.

Anyone think the Bulls are regretting taking Derrick Rose despite having no PFs with any offensive game whatsoever and already having Hinrich and 8 other guards?

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:02 PM PST up reply actions  

If you have the full 25 % odds of winning the pick,

Then you have to take the best player. For a team who gets the number one with anything less than the top three choice, you can afford some leeway. Especially in a year like Oden’s, where there was two legitimate number one picks, you take whichever one fits a need on your team.

by usdblazerfan on Jan 25, 2009 12:02 AM PST up reply actions  

i understand what he's saying

if you were supposed to have pick 7, and you gamble on oden/durant and end up missing out on a superstar, you can just rationalize it like you got pick 2 and had no choice

by DominicanAvenger on Jan 25, 2009 2:46 AM PST up reply actions  

no matter how you rationalize it,

you still messed it up. The number one pick has almost never gone to the worst team in the league. You think people wouldn’t be talking about SA’s monumental blunder if they had taken Van Horn over Duncan? Or that anyone would care that they didn’t have the best odds of landing that pick?

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 9:34 AM PST up reply actions  

No way

Do we have to revisit the infamous blazer draft again? It’s great if the best player matches up with your needs, but there are only a handful of guys that ever have a chance to be incredible, and since there are so few guys on a basketball team, if you have a chance to take one, you have to do it. This isn’t the NFL.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 12:13 AM PST up reply actions  

Suppose KD was a true SG, even though Roy was already established at SG. Would you have taken him?

My HDTV is a torrented game that I can watch lag-free :(

Let LaMarcus keep the headband!

by inroywetrust on Jan 27, 2009 9:12 AM PST up reply actions  

If there was no one like Oden

that year who had a similar chance to be incredible, then yes, without a doubt.

by Royster on Jan 27, 2009 7:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I hear ya

I understand what you mean by underplaying the gravity of the decision and agree with you that KP would still pick GO over Durant if he had a do over.

I still think the fact that we had B-Roy and LA already on the team and didn’t need a pure scorer was a major factor in the decision.

"Do or Do not there is no Try"
Yoda

by Bakasama on Jan 24, 2009 11:11 PM PST up reply actions  

1st pick

Agreed you take the best player available…for your team. KD is an amazing scorer but he can’t get 20 plus shots a game on our team and not kill our chemistry. Brandon and LMA are our volume scorers. We needed defense and rebounding. KD AND GO are pretty close as far as prospects go, it’s not like we chose Robin Lopez over KD we are talking Greg here. He will be a total beast and his offense will come. Usually there is a clear 1 pick, in this case there were 2 we picked the one that fit best.

by The Natural ala Mode on Jan 25, 2009 9:02 AM PST up reply actions  

I disagree

I think that if KP could do it again he would pick Durant. I believe this because they thought long and hard about who they would take in the first place. I think if KP would have known that Oden would have hurt his knee he would have taken Durant. If their decision was close I think the Oden injury would have tipped the scale in Durant’s favor.

by jsmuc on Jan 25, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

First, I think it's highly questionable whether the decision was truly close

Number 1 picks don’t come around every day, so even with virtually everyone saying GO was the no-brainer pick, KP was determined to do his “due diligence.” But that’s not the same thing as saying it was a tough decision in the end.

As for your assertion that, due to Oden’s knee injury, KP would reverse that decision if he could: why? With GO playing pain-free on that knee (as far as I know, he hasn’t so much as had to ice it), I think KP would stick with his original choice. Certainly Durant has done nothing to cause KP to change his thinking. He’s proving to be a skinnny, talented gunner—just as he appeared to be coming out of Texas. And GO appears to be a monster-in-the-making—just as he did coming out of Ohio State. Nothing has really changed at all.

GO could go down with an injury tomorrow, but so could Durant. My money would be on the big strong guy in the middle, not the skinny perimeter guy who looks like a knee injury waiting to happen. If I were the Thunder’s GM, I’d wince every time Durant drove towards the paint.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 4:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Not for a second

If you look at their stats

http://www.basketball-reference.com/fc/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&=o&p1=odengr01&y1=2009&=d&p2=duranke01&y2=2009&=&=

On a per 36 minute basis Oden, is almost as good and when you compare usage % the difference is not that much as Durant is coming in with a 27-28% usage while Oden comes in at 17% which means that only 17% of the plays the Blazers run go through Oden while 28% of the plays go through Durant, meaning that if yhou want to compare apples to apples you have to times Odens per 36 min stats by about 1.55 to compare.

Odens eFG and TS% are better, and pretty much every stat is better on a per 36 minute basis except for ft%, ast, and stls but not by that much.

With a team as loaded as ours with an all star-ROY in Brandon, a do it all, inside-outside PF like LMA and a lot of established vets, Oden does not need tom come in and set the world on fire, but rather have a huge impact on D and rebound at this time.

All of this is not to mention that he sat out an entire year, not playing basketball and stepped in to the best league in the world without any PT under his belt and he has done well if not grand, yet.

I suppose I can sum all this up with this truism: In the NBA there are players that play for stats and money, such as Zach Randolph, Maggette, and Al Jefferson. Then there are guys who would rather sacrifice their stats simply to win games.

Even though Odens stats at first glance do not look all that good, if you put Oden in the same situation as Durant and even say a rookie O’Neal, Hakeem, or Robinson where the O was built from the ground up around them, Oden would have much the same stats as they have.

In the end the only # that matters is that we have 26 wins and OKC has 9.

"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08

by SpyderRyder on Jan 24, 2009 10:35 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

I have to disagree that Oden would be putting up

rookie shaq/Hakeem/Robinson numbers if he was put in a similar situation. Currently teams are forced to key on other guys which open things up for Greg. As we saw tonight, a huge part of his game right now is put backs on the offensive glass, where he’s fairly dominant. He’s showed some nice post moves, but I doubt he’d be putting up 25 ppg right now, even if we were running the offense through him in the post.

Of course, give him a year or two, and I have no doubt that he could be putting up those numbers, or even Dwight Howard numbers. Watching him hit that little baby hook with the spin move gave me flashbacks to shaq. There have been maybe 5 guys in the past 10 years with his size that are quick enough to make that move. I don’t care if it was against blatche or whoever, no one in the league could’ve defensed that right now.

I have to say, I haven’t seen much of Durant’s recent surge outside of the boxscore, but I agree with a lot of the OP’s points. I remember Durant had a couple blocks against Roy when we played them in Seattle, purely from his length, so the tools are there to become a defender. As far as the sudden surge towards Durant choosing among the national media, I think the issue is from unfulfilled expectations. Greg Oden’s arrival in the NBA was more hyped than anyone since Lebron. There was essentially a 4 year period where scouts were eagerly awaiting the chance to draft him, and so he had no leeway coming into the league (especially with the Bowie factor after the injury). Durant, on the other hand, had all sorts of excuses. He was a relatively new commodity nationally, he was a beanpole, he was the weakest guy at the combine, so everyone knew Durant would take some time.

Even though Oden had similar or more intense issues (barely played at a college level due to the wrist injury, MF surgery, ridiculous expectations), he had none of that leeway. If he wasn’t going to be Shaq from day one, he was a bust, automatically. Since Durant appears to be taking a little less time, and Oden a little more, guys can point to the stats and say Durant is the obvious choice. Anyone who watches Oden play, though, can see how he changes the game completely. He’s such a massive presence, with a post game that’s probably already as far along as Dwight’s. As a celtics fan, the OP should know how confidence can change a guy from a decent role player to legit star (see Rondo the last two years). Greg is just starting to get that in spades, and if the media hadn’t already anointed Rose, then I think we’d see a legit race for ROY as Oden gets more and more comfortable and confident out there.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 10:58 PM PST up reply actions  

all of those

C’s had usage% on 23+ and averaged over 15 shots per 36. Per 36 Greg is only averaging 8.9, about half of what those guys did.

How can you score 20+ ppg if you are only averaging less than 9 fga/g? You cant, not even mentioning the MF surgery he is coming off of.

"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08

by SpyderRyder on Jan 24, 2009 11:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, a big part of Greg's problem

right now isn’t his per minute averages, but that he can’t stay on the court for long enough to get them. He’s averaging 6 PFs per 36, so it’s on him getting his minutes. Witness how Amare’s numbers jumped after the Shaq trade almost solely because he didn’t have to guard centers and could avoid getting stupid fouls.

I mean, without the MF, who knows, maybe he could be putting up those numbers, and I’d certainly give him a lot better chance at it, but I think there are more issues at stake. All of those guys you mentioned were 4 year college guys (3 for Shaq, I think) who came in with very developed games, which is necessary to break down a defense focused on stopping that guy specifically. Oden, for all his flashes, has definitely shown that he’s at least a little raw, so personally, I just don’t believe he’d be able to put up those numbers given the circumstances.

I’m not saying it’s completely out of left field and completely impossible, just that I think it’d be unlikely.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:14 PM PST up reply actions  

check it out

http://www.basketball-reference.com/fc/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&=o&p1=odengr01&y1=2009&=r&p2=robinda01&y2=1990&=o&p3=onealsh01&y3=1993&=o&p4=olajuha01&y4=1985

these are the rookie years of all those players

Rob, Hak and Shaq all averaged about 15.4 fga/g so if Greg averaged 15.4 fga/g and shot what he is shooting now 54% that would be 8.3fgm/g times 2=16.6ppg. Add in his current 3.7fgm/g and that is 20.3ppg.

I understand that your point was the fouls, but a lot of that is getting used to the speed of the game after being out for a year and him getting back into shape.

"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08

by SpyderRyder on Jan 24, 2009 11:24 PM PST up reply actions  

well, also

look at the fact that despite his usage % being lower than the other guys, his TO% is higher than them all (much higher than Hakeem and D-Rob), and the only thing that scales up reasonably to those guys with an increase in FG’s would be his scoring. Given that most of his points are off putbacks from other guys, if he were running most of the offense, this would drop since he would be taking the shots and in a worse position to rebound.

I don’t mean to say I would take Durant. I would still take Oden every day of the week and twice on Sunday. I mean, Millsap’s per minute averages this year are almost identical to those guys as well (strangely almost exactly between Oden and Shaq/Hak), but I wouldn’t say if you focused the Jazz offense around Millsap right now that he’d be able to put up those numbers necessarily if he were on a bad team and got as many shots as those guys.

I know that’s a garbage argument, but I’m way too lazy to look up more supporting arguments.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:37 PM PST up reply actions  

you forgot the free throws SpyderRyder

If Oden were to get 15.4 fga/g I promise you he would be shooting significantly more free throws.

by Wotan on Jan 25, 2009 5:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Oden

18 pts 14 rebs don’t lie my brotha.

Say what you like about the tenets of National Socialism, Dude, at least it's an ethos.

by aryamehr on Jan 24, 2009 10:36 PM PST reply actions  

Hey look

A bunch of people who are sleeping when Oden is playing (and are unhappy they couldn’t draft him) think he’s not playing well.

Shocking.

by Timmay! on Jan 24, 2009 10:39 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

for a man named Timmay!

you sure do have some insightful, decided non-retarded opinions :)

Say what you like about the tenets of National Socialism, Dude, at least it's an ethos.

by aryamehr on Jan 24, 2009 10:40 PM PST up reply actions  

decidedly*

Say what you like about the tenets of National Socialism, Dude, at least it's an ethos.

by aryamehr on Jan 24, 2009 10:40 PM PST up reply actions  

You kill me Timmay!

You do get the feeling those guys (Celt fans, east coast etc.) haven’t been watching Oden lately with their noses buried in the stat sheets.

by Wotan on Jan 25, 2009 5:41 PM PST up reply actions  

Kevin Durant is Travis Outlaw in a Thunder uniform without Broy, LMA, and Oden to take the majority of the shots

Fun to watch, able to score from almost anywhere, but little-to-no defense and not always the best split-second decision making.

Good player, not a player you want to build a franchise around.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 24, 2009 10:49 PM PST reply actions  

True enough

rec’d for beating down an over simplification by me.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 25, 2009 1:26 AM PST up reply actions  

lol. Didn't mean to beat it down.

In all fairness, I threw the first punch, as opposed to kicking you while you were down.

I heart taxes.

by everett on Jan 25, 2009 8:34 PM PST up reply actions  

What's a baset?

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 25, 2009 1:26 AM PST up reply actions  

loll

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 27, 2009 11:41 AM PST up reply actions  

I disagree.

Durant has a pretty good BBIQ, definitely understands and thinks the game well. He also penetrates and rebounds much better than Outlaw.

by Cablinasian on Jan 24, 2009 11:22 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

good point

he does get to the hole a lot more than T-dog.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 25, 2009 1:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Its the system

travis is a good rebounder when he’s in the position to rebound (PF)

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 7:47 PM PST up reply actions  

Hahaha

Though slightly misguided, I see your point.

by Powder842 on Jan 24, 2009 11:39 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Yeh that was a stretch

I should have said he’s similar, not said he IS Travis. But seriously, you put Travis in Durant’s shoes, and watch Trav get similar stats.

The difference lies in the fact that Durant still has a lot of room to grow. He’s a 2nd year player, while Outlaw’s on his 6th year.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 24, 2009 11:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Makes sense

I think there are many similarities in their games. Obviously Durant does things a lot better, but I agree that if Travis got that many shots and that much focus…

…well he would put up some stats.

by Powder842 on Jan 25, 2009 12:12 PM PST up reply actions  

you guys all get recs for owning me

I love Travis, but he’s no KD.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 25, 2009 1:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I love Travis...comparing his game to Kevin Durant is a compliment, not an insult.

And as for the people replying to me, they’re making valid points. Travis doesn’t have the slashing ability that KD brings…and all that other stuff mentioned.

I’m not quite an AnntheFan, Outlaw is Rejector, or bow, but I really do love Travis, and wish him nothin’ but the best, whether he’s here or somewhere else.

"What's that, some kind of hamburger?"
--Bo Outlaw on being asked how he felt about recording his first triple double.

by prezofdeath on Jan 25, 2009 4:31 PM PST up reply actions  

No.
Is there any topic that can’t be turned into an attack on Travis?

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 9:19 AM PST up reply actions  

apparently not

I get what I deserve. I deserve what I get. I have it so I deserve it. I deserve
it for I have it. I get what I deserve. What I deserve - what I deserve what
I get. I have it so I deserve. - Gentle Giant

by 22baylor on Jan 26, 2009 12:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, but

Durant hasn’t peaked. He will only get better from here.

Jerryd Bayless has two emotions: Kill and Win.

"I want to put points on your face."
-Rudy to Pau Gasol

NorrisHopper30: "someone injure pubert jones"

by rockingharder on Jan 25, 2009 9:57 PM PST up reply actions  

I like Durant and think he has a lot of potential now that he finally plays forward, but lets look at it from different angles
  • Greg Oden is going to become much more than just a defensive presence himself despite what many pundits said early on after he was coming off the injury. It becomes more visible with every game.
  • Imagine we had taken Durant. Then we would be set for good at SF which right now we are not really, but instead still be looking for a franchise center to build around. Joel is best in class as a backup, but definitely not an offensive force and too old to pin all hopes on. You usually can’t trade for a franchise center, you have to draft and develop him. Acquiring a really good foward is much easier. Recent case in point: The Bucks got one for mediocre pieces.
  • How many small forwards have led their team to the championship as the main guy? Who were the great small forwards of all time? Pippen? Dr. J? Baylor (no ring)? Who besides LeBron who is much more than a traditional small forward (more like a point-forward handling the ball) could even be capable among the current players? Melo might be the closest thing to a franchise small forward. Who else? Granger? And then KD (who is many things but no LeBron)? It’s getting thin, easier to name great franchise power forwards.

No, Greg was the right decision no matter how well Kevin scores.

by Norsktroll on Jan 24, 2009 10:49 PM PST reply actions   3 recs

You usually can’t trade for a franchise center, you have to draft and develop him. Acquiring a really good foward is much easier. Recent case in point: The Bucks got one for mediocre pieces.

Very well put. Sometimes this point gets lost in translation.

Greg was drafted because of his potential to be a once-in-a-generation center. And you grab him and don’t look back. It’s really that simple.

Nobody outside of Portland seems to see what’s happened to our rebounding and interior D since his arrival. But hey, Durant scores lots of points!

by Timmay! on Jan 24, 2009 11:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Also: GO's presence down low is creating shots for guys on the perimeter

As his teammates learn to utilize him on the offensive end, GO’s impact at that end of the floor will grow. Already, we see him often making the pass that leads to the assist. That is, GO’s crisp pass out of the double-team gets swung around the perimeter to a wide-open shooter. That—like a lot of things a real center creates for you—doesn’t show up in the stat sheet. But it translates into wins.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 24, 2009 11:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes. I don't see durant "demanding" a double team for a few years, maybe never

where oden has his whole basketball career, I can’t believe the celtics fans are this dense; wait, yes i can (save Weinman).

- Rookie fe[a]st 2009 -

by appel82 on Jan 25, 2009 1:45 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree with the second point

but comparing Jefferson with guys on the Durant/Granger/Pierce level of guys is like comparing Amare to Duncan or KG. They might be good players, but there’s just a completely different level.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed

But I guess you see my point. Jefferson was a national team player and no scrub, yet they got him for not much more than scrubs. Shaq might be the best example of a franchise center changing teams in a trade, but the first one was when they had massive internal problems (and he didn’t come cheap) and the second time when the end of his career was clearly visible.

by Norsktroll on Jan 24, 2009 11:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I mean, you're right

In the entirety of NBA history, basically only 4 legit franchise centers(I don’t count Mourning) have been traded. Shaq, as you said, Kareem, Moses, and Wilt. That’s exactly one trade of a franchise center in the last 30 years, and that was because of Kobe.

Also, lest we forget that it’s pretty much be proven that on draft night we were offered Pierce and the #5 pick for Greg, so that’s a pretty clear sign of trade value there.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Also great point on the truth of the SF position.

It is a from the outset role playing position. Never really expected to move with the ball, so never seen as the guy to get it done.

I heart taxes.

by everett on Jan 24, 2009 11:05 PM PST up reply actions  

12 teams that have one an NBA championship in past 18 years without a "franchise center"

,08 Celtics. ‘07 Spurs (Duncan is a PF just like Aldridge), ’05 Spurs, ’04 Pistons, ’96-’98 Bulls, ‘91-’93 Bulls, , ‘89-’90 Pistons
 12 of the last 18 champs by my count…

A solid defensive center is needed, but I think recent history shows that a “franchise center” is not needed to win a championship.

by jmerm on Jan 25, 2009 12:12 AM PST up reply actions  

give me a break

calling Duncan a PF is splitting hairs. He’s usually guarding centers, and he plays on the low post almost the entire time. Calling him a PF at this point is like insisting on calling Pau a PF during the playoffs last year when he was exclusively playing center alongside odom. How about franchise “traditional big” then, if you want to nit pick.

then you’re pretty much down to the Pistons teams, the celtics, and the Jordan teams, which I think could be argued are more the exception than the rule given that they had the GOAT.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 12:24 AM PST up reply actions  

Franchise Centers

Give you a couple of things: rebounding, a defensive anchor and interior scoring. The teams that have won without a franchise center were able to find those things in places other than the center position. Looking that the last 3 Bulls championships they got the rebounding from Rodman, who also was a solid interior defender as well. The interior scoring came from Jordan posting people up and shooting his turnaround on them. The Bad Boys teams similarly cobbled together those 3 things without a franchise center as well.

Now it is possible to get the needed levels of those 3 things out of many different players, but if you have the opportunity to get them from a single player like Oden can, you don’t pass that up lightly.

by tingeyga on Jan 25, 2009 12:43 AM PST up reply actions  

This is true

Duncan, for all practical purposes, is a franchise center.

rolling hard

by Billy Ray Bates on Jan 25, 2009 8:27 AM PST up reply actions  

You're arguing semantics

Most teams win a title with a franchise “big man”. KG, Duncan, Shaq are all HOF big men who can dominate a game on both ends of the floor. That is Oden’s potential. He won’t have the finesse of those guys, but could be just as effective.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 25, 2009 10:06 AM PST up reply actions  

Is Aldridge chopped liver?

Your argument (as well as Bill Ray and tingyega and Royseter’)s, seems to completely ignore Lamarcus Aldridge. Everything we’ve been told by the coaching staff is that Aldridge has the ability to be an All star big man who can excel at the defensive and offensive ends, a la Kevin Garnett or Tim Duncan.

Are you implying that Aldridge does not actually have that ability? Are we being lied to by Nate?

If the PF and C combos of Duncan and Oberto or Garnett and Perkins can win a title, then why can’t Aldridge and Przybilla?

by jmerm on Jan 25, 2009 1:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, compared ot Duncan or KG

Lamarcus is chopped liver. I hate to say it so early in his career, but those guys are two of the best to ever play the game (Duncan being probably the very best PF ever). I see Lamarcus right now developing more into someone along Jermaine O’Neal’s lines, who’s a great player, don’t get me wrong, but I would never confuse Jermaine with Duncan or KG. Duncan’s been all-NBA every year that he’s been in the league. You could make the argument right now that Lamarcus isn’t even the best PF from his draft class (Millsap). No matter what Nate says, the Lamarcus-Duncan comparisons are ridiculous, basically on the level of Kobe-Jordan comparisons. One guy’s a nice player, but another is beyond comparison.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 3:14 PM PST up reply actions  

LMA isn't built as powerfully as Duncan

But he has other gifts. I don’t know if he’ll ever get to the Duncan/KG level, but I certainly expect him to surpass Jermaine O’Neal—by a good margin.

O’Neal is a very awkward player, to my eyes. He’s pretty strong and he eventually developed an accurate midrange jumper. But LMA is far more gifted and multidimensional—even early in his development. Look at him block shots, then run the floor and finish at the other end. When was O’Neal able to do that? Don’t let O’Neal’s All-Star, stat-heyday (20/10) deceive you. After the Stat-bo experience, Portland fans should realize that 20/10 numbers are overrated.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 4:31 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, there's a massive gulf

between JO and KG, and then another between KG and Duncan in my eyes, and I certainly have no trouble believing that LMA could fit somewhere in that gulf, which I believe contains guys like Dirk, Gasol, Boozer, West, Amare, etc. But, personally, I don’t even really see this as something that Duncan has strengths and weaknesses, and LMA has his strengths and weaknesses. Everything Lamarcus does, Duncan did, or still does better. Same with KG to a lesser extent.

This isn’t meant to insult LMA, just that I don’t think he’ll ever get to the point of being a top 5 big man in the league. All star? sure, he’ll probably grab at least a couple appearances, but I seriously doubt we’ll ever see LMA as a franchise big who leads a team to a championship like those guys.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 4:54 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed that Duncan is special

LMA will probably never reach that level. I never said he would. Tim Duncan was recognized as a franchise player well before he was drafted. But LMA doesn’t HAVE to reach Duncan’s level in order for the Blazers to win championships. The Blazers have Roy, Oden, Rudy, Przy, Trout, etc: lots of improving young talent for LMA to play alongside.

I doubt we’re in disagreement about this. The statement you made that I questioned was, “I see Lamarcus right now developing more into someone along Jermaine O’Neal’s lines.” I think that underestimates LMA’s ability and potential by a considerable margin. Also, I don’t think you’re correct when you state, “Everything LaMarcus does, Duncan did, or still does better.” Tim Duncan NEVER was able to run the floor like LMA. Not even close. Just saying…

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 6:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Ugh, I accidentally pressed enter before finishing my above comment.

Anyway, here’s the rest of it: […] O’Neal, but the overhyped Aldridge is nowhere near the defender — with regards to not only man-to-man low-post defense, but also weakside help defense — thus, they’re very dissimilar players. Aldridge, however, is much more durable than O’Neal, so he gets kudos in that regard.

Anyhow, I stand by my assertion that Aldridge is the second-coming of Juwan Howard — with an outright epic playoff failure, à la that of Charles Smith when he played for the New York Knicks, destined to occur in the near future — yet, it’ll take time to see whose prediction is correct in this instance.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 7:12 PM PST up reply actions  

Juwan Howard???

Wow, that’s remarkable. LMA is much, more gifted than Howard was. Whether he’ll fully develop those gifts remains to be seen. But time will tell. My money is on LMA to far outdistance Howard, and probably prove a much more valuable all-around player than Jermaine. But time will tell.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 7:29 PM PST up reply actions  

First and foremost, Juwan Howard was highly rated coming out of ...

Michigan as one of the glorified Fab Five. Y’know, Howard was selected by the Washington Bullets with the 5th overall pick in the 1994 NBA Draft for a reason.

Furthermore, you should acknowledge that a lot of money was foolishly spent on Howard in the summer of 1996 — which was to the tune of a seven-year, $105 million contract — due to him having the exact same overvalued skill set of mid-range jump shooting and allegedly unlimited potential that’s possessed by LaMarcus Aldridge.

Most importantly, though, is that Aldridge — as a 23-year-old third-year player in the NBA — has an eerily similar statistical output to Howard at the same point in his career.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/fc/pcm_finder.cgi?request=1&sum=0&p1=aldrila01&y1=2009&p2=howarju01&y2=1997

For whatever reasons, though, countless folks around here ill-advisedly ignore that by generously comparing Aldridge to true superstars like Tim Duncan. Of course, it definitely won’t be my problem when they’re sorely disappointed after Aldridge fails to deliver on their lofty expectations.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 8:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Stats can be deceiving--usually are, in fact

LMA is much longer than Howard and can do a lot more things on the court. All you point to is the midrange jumpshooting.

Come on: there’s a yawning gulf between Tim Duncan and Juwan Howard. Do you really believe LMA has to be Tim Duncan to not be Howard?

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 9:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Usually stats are pretty spot-on

And Howard was pretty damn good as a young player. No one remembered him for his play because he signed that huge contract.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 26, 2009 8:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Leaving the stat argument aside...

…Juwan Howard is listed at 6-9. LMA is a legitimate 6-11 (measured 6-10 in bare feet) with very long arms. Calling LMA “the second coming of Juwan Howard” (as AK1984 did) makes no sense. LMA’s rare combination of tremendous length with speed, quickness, and shooting touch makes him a very special talent. Juwan Howard was just a good player; LMA will be borderline great—a key player on a perennial contender.

It’s weird: I might be the biggest proponent of “banger”-type forwards among regular posters at this site. But even I see that you don’t need EVERY guy on your team to play that way. I view LMA as a perfect complement to Greg Oden. Between the two of them, these guys will grab over 20 rebounds per game. Who cares how those are divvied up?

They’ll also score 35 or so points per game—a good share of them in the paint—and block 3 or 4 shots. And they’ll get at least a couple of steals a game and several assists (often from passing to each other). That’s not even going into all the intangiables you get with two extremely long and unusually mobile bigs. What do you want from your twin towers?

I think that both LMA’s and GO’s critics would better understand their value if they looked at the pair as a combo. Basketball is a team game, and those two—taken as a tandem—are going to be an amazing asset to the Blazers.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 27, 2009 1:22 PM PST up reply actions  

I think this comparison is pretty spot-on, to be honest

I doubt too many people remember how good Juwan Howard was in some of his early years. Particularly 1995/96.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Jan 25, 2009 9:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I remember that Howard made all teams better that he left (more wins)

I doubt LMA has those “team cancer properties”. I’m not convinced he is a future superstar either.

by Norsktroll on Jan 26, 2009 3:32 AM PST up reply actions  

It is no secret you don't like Aldridge

I agree with HU09. Just because he isn’t Duncan doesn’t mean he is Charles Smith or Juwan Howard.

Maybe it would save you some time if you just typed in a “-12” after every positive comment about Aldridge. “#25” seems to have worked out quite well for Anne as an argument to keep Travis a Blazer.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Jan 25, 2009 10:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Take a look at JO's stats his first few years in the League

yes, he was under-used, but that is because the staff thought that Rasheed, and Brian Grant, were better. His second year in Indiana, 6th in the NBA, he blossomed into the player described in the LA-JO comparisons.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 8:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Based on what?

do we need to break out stop watches on them or something? I’ve never really understood this concept of running the floor. When was the last time anyone beat Duncan down the court. In all those playoff series against the Suns and the Mavs, playing against two of the most athletic bigs in the league on teams that ran a fair amount, I don’t remember ever noticing Duncan’s slowness or anything. In fact, that’s always been a strength of his, that he’s fast enough to stay on the court no matter how small teams go or how much they run on the spurs and still good enough offensively against smaller guys to punish them on the block. Him and Howard and potentially Greg or Bynum are the only guys that can really do that right now.

As to the other point, I think you’re selling JO a little short. Those Pacer teams would’ve had an excellent shot at the finals if not for the brawl, and they took the Piston team that dismantled LA in the finals to the brink in one of the ugliest series ever played (I remember a lot of games with both teams in the ‘60s). I wouldn’t be disappointed at all if Lamarcus turned into O’Neal minus the injuries and the massive running punch to the fan. JO was a great defensive player, and had a similar offensive game. In his best years, he’d draw double the FTs that Aldridge currently does, averaged more than twice as many blocks and almost double the boards, in addition to having a superior defensive rating (I know, a lot due to Artest).

Do we really expect Lamarcus’s offensive game to completely change now, after 3 years in the league? Are all the 18 footers he takes going to miraculously start falling at a 50+% clip? He’ll improve offensively some, and he could certainly draw more fouls, but there’s a limit. He’s not going to start shooting 3’s like Sheed, and he’ll never be the passer that Webber was, so I’m not sure where he’s going to go from here. He can certainly improve a ton on defense, which I have faith he’ll get together.

I didn’t mean he’d be exactly like Jermaine, just that I see his ceiling as closer to O’Neal or a Gasol-type than Duncan or KG, which I’d say is a fairly reasonable assessment.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 7:15 PM PST up reply actions  

You make a good argument for JO having been better than I recall

Especially on the defensive end. But they call LMA “smooth” for a reason. I think he’s tremendously gifted, and a perfect complement to GO. I liken it to the Blazers’ championship combo of Walton & Luke, except that now we have the more physical big at center and the more “finesse”-type big at forward. There’s a synergy to the LMA-GO combo that I think people overlook. But as the two mature and learn to play together, I think it’ll be very evident. These two are going to be dynamite together, and I think that prospect was an important component to KP’s decision to draft Oden. (At the time, KP referred to the Twin Towers he witnessed in San Antonio.)

As for Duncan’s speed, to me he was always a bit of a lumberer. But he was quick enough to outrun big centers like Shaq. LMA, by contrast, is as fast as most small forwards. And no, you don’t need a stopwatch to prove it: your eyes should suffice. But I believe the predraft workout stats will bear out what I’m staying. (I just don’t have that evidence at hand.)

Unfortunately, the Blazers have so far failed to exploit LMA’s speed advantage over virtually every other power forward in the league. But that’s not LMA’s fault. And hopefully, that’ll change…

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 7:40 PM PST up reply actions  

It's always " Smooth" . . .

      I’ts awful early to pigeonhole Smooth’s game.
He’s in his third season after playing one year of
college ball at Texas. (Injured freshman year)
In addition, fluid PF’s with TOR jumpers are very
rare. My Blazer buddies and I were very high on Jermaine,
but watching him fumble his way through the first three
years, we knew it would take time and or a trade to
help him blossom. Smooth is a much better player
than JO was at this same age and he has better players
around him than that Indiana team. LaMarcus needs to
continue to work hard, improve his defense, strength &
ballhandling. He will be very good for this future championship
team and part of our Big Three !

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 3:29 PM PST up reply actions  

LaMarcus Aldridge is "chopped liver," while ...

Tim Duncan and Kevin Garnett are beef tenderloin.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 5:37 PM PST up reply actions  

Because Duncan and KG are two of the most dominant players of the past deacde

And I’ve yet to see anything from LaMarcus Aldridge that shows he can be anything besides a very good offensive player.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 26, 2009 8:36 PM PST up reply actions  

REALLY

you think that Oden will be rougher than Shack? no Oden won’t get a jumper but that won’t be needed

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 7:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Shaq, Alcinder,

Wilt, Moses Malone, were all franchise centers who were traded for. Maybe Robert Parish too?

Brandon Roy just destroyed everything in his path. There's your rational analysis -- Dave

by TwoDeep on Jan 25, 2009 5:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Listen

Last year, we were one of the worst, IF NOT the worst team in rebounding.

This year with Oden? WE ARE NUMBER ONE IN REBOUNDS.

Enough said.

by Balian on Jan 24, 2009 10:53 PM PST reply actions  

Correct--and that's no fluke

Watch GO at the defensive end when a shot goes up: he ALWAYS blocks out the biggest opposing player (except when GO has attempted to block the shot). That translates into rebounds for other Blazers, not just GO. And at the offensive end, GO often keeps rebounds alive or tips them to teammates. Finally, when GO is out, here comes Joel—in contrast to last season, when the weak-rebounding Frye came in for Joel. So adding GO to the roster makes BOTH Blazer squads good rebounding units. That’s huge.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 12:15 PM PST up reply actions  

Good point, however...

…part of that must be due to Joel replacing Channing in the 2nd unit

My HDTV is a torrented game that I can watch lag-free :(

Let LaMarcus keep the headband!

by inroywetrust on Jan 27, 2009 9:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Whoops

Hurryup09 beat me to that point

My HDTV is a torrented game that I can watch lag-free :(

Let LaMarcus keep the headband!

by inroywetrust on Jan 27, 2009 9:22 AM PST up reply actions  

Durant, no question

Thanks for asking…

I wanted the Blazers to pick Durant, and have seen nothing to change my mind since then.

I think Oden’s a nice guy who has his moments, but think that the Blazers would be much better right now (and in 3 years) with Durant. In the short term, consider how good a starting lineup of Blake,Roy,Durant,Aldride, Przybilla would be…

And in the long term, one of the key reasons I feel Durant would lead the Blazers to more championships than Oden is durability.

The Blazers are a very injury prone team. Roy seems like he’ll be battling injuries his entire career. Having a player as good and durable as Durant seems like a better fit with the Blazers than Oden. I know that defense wins championships, but we already have a great defensive big many in Joel. The combination of Roy/Durant could’ve been like Pippen/Jordan… Just look at how much the Blazers struggle whenever Roy is hurt. Imagine having Durant to lead us when Roy inevitably misses games…

Durant often gets criticized as just being a “scorer”, but if you’ve actually watched him play this year, you’d see that he’s already improved dramatically in shot selection, shooting percentage, defense, passing, etc. He’s well on his way to becoming an unstoppable force. Getting to play his natural position this year, instead of being forced to play SG by a crappy coach (last year) has seemed to really help. There just aren’t many 6’10 players out there who are as skilled,clutch, and ungaurdable as Durant…

I’m rooting for Oden to keep improving (and stay healthy), but in the back of my mind I’m still quite disappointed that we drafted him over Durant.

by jmerm on Jan 24, 2009 10:53 PM PST reply actions  

In that starting lineup, who gets the shots?

I see even a natural scorer like Outlaw disappear when playing with the starters, except in those late game situations where he is a first option. Could Durant be as effective with 10-12 shots a game? And playing a more deliberate offensive style?

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 10:58 PM PST up reply actions  

having 3 talented offensive players is not a problem...

for the Celtics with Pierce, Allen, and Garnet.

All three get in the 13-14 shots/game range.

I don’t see why that would be a problem for the Blazers with a trio of Roy, Durant and Aldridge?

by jmerm on Jan 25, 2009 12:23 AM PST up reply actions  

the celtic's big 3

all made their names by themselves avg 20+ for season after season, being named All-Stars season after season, even now they are named All-Stars, but this is because people know what they can do and that they are scraficing for the team.

You can’t do that with rookies, no matter how talented they are, they need to prove themselves in the league first to get respect from the refs, and from other teams. If KD was on the Blazers, neither him nor Roy would be as good as they are now, that is a fact.

by usmcr3049 on Jan 25, 2009 9:39 AM PST up reply actions  

It isn't when your main focus is being a defensive-minded team

The Blazers are already terrible on defense, with Durant at the SF spot they’d be even worse. And he’s 21 years old, he’s not going to agree to 14 shots a game.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 25, 2009 10:08 AM PST up reply actions  

besides

I love Pryzbilla but he wouldn’t last 3 yrs starting. Luckily his playing career has been extended wonderfully

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 7:55 PM PST up reply actions  

what are you talking about

Oden has had a series of completely unrelated injuries and you are calling him injury prone? Wrist, tonsils, knee, foot/ankle.

I am actually worried that Webster’s injury will be more career threatening than Odens, and besides his MF surgery (which was very minor on the MF scale) nothing is a chronic injury. Hell John Stockton had minor MF surgery and look at how his career turned out not to mention Amare.

"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08

by SpyderRyder on Jan 24, 2009 11:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Oden won't shake the fragile label without a long period of health

However, with regard to JMERM, there’s no reason to think Durant won’t get injured in the future, so I don’t think we can label Durant “durable” quite yet. Give it a few more seasons.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on Jan 24, 2009 11:06 PM PST up reply actions  

true as well

the league is not kind to 6’10 130lb players

"Damn the Blazers. Damn them to hell. They are working the rest of the league like a speed bag." - Bill Simmons 6/26/08

by SpyderRyder on Jan 24, 2009 11:07 PM PST up reply actions  

That made me laugh out loud

My wife is now worried about my sanity.
Thanks a lot.

by TheThinWhiteDuke on Jan 24, 2009 11:30 PM PST up reply actions  

Your handle is

The Thin White Duke, and while i’m a bowie fan, I think your sanity should have questioned earlier :)

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 7:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Well...actually

My handle is an homage to my wife, who is the biggest Bowie fan this side of Iman, so she could hardly question my sanity about THAT.
I’m merely an adequate Bowie fan compared to my wife.

by TheThinWhiteDuke on Jan 25, 2009 9:09 PM PST up reply actions  

I like Lodger and Scary Monsters

because they have Belew and Fripp on them. – Elgin

I get what I deserve. I deserve what I get. I have it so I deserve it. I deserve
it for I have it. I get what I deserve. What I deserve - what I deserve what
I get. I have it so I deserve. - Gentle Giant

by 22baylor on Jan 26, 2009 12:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh no doubt about it

I just never have anyone mention them to me. And I get a LOT of people talking Bowie with me online.
My favorite is still Ziggy, it just never gets old. Hunky Dory is a really close second. I am also shamed to admit I still play Serious Moonlight all the time.

Glad I got to see him in concert before his health failed him.

by TheThinWhiteDuke on Jan 26, 2009 5:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Serious Moonlight?!?!

I came up with a pretty conclusively accurate theory that he shoulda stayed down in 1980.

I saw him in 1983, which fueled this sort of thinking…

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 27, 2009 9:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I said I was shamed

There’s no need to rub it in at this point.

by TheThinWhiteDuke on Jan 27, 2009 12:49 PM PST up reply actions  

130 ????

      I think it’s more like 115 lbs !

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 3:32 PM PST up reply actions  

Durant is durable?

Based on 1 1/2 seasons in the NBA? Ironically, the “crappy coach” who played Durant at shooting guard last season may be responsible for him not getting seriously hurt. If you’ll recall, that was Carlisimo’s rationale for playing Durant at guard: to protect his frail body from getting pounded by NBA forwards.

It remains to be seen whether Durant will prove to be any more durable than GO.

Also: there’s only one ball, you know. Durant is a high-volume shooter. Always was and always will be. To limit his shots would minimize his effectiveness. But you’re talking about putting him in a starting lineup with Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge. That’s a whole lot of firepower and not much defense. GO—even the raw rookie version we’re seeing now—is a MUCH better fit with the Blazers.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 24, 2009 11:12 PM PST up reply actions  

2.5 season

I’m just looking at what’s happened in the 2.5 years since Durant and Oden entered College (and thus started playing against decently talented/strong/athletic players).

Looking at Durant’s missed games at Texas and his 1.5 years in the NBA vs Oden’s, and explain to me how Durant is not more durable….

by jmerm on Jan 24, 2009 11:18 PM PST up reply actions  

This is still far too small a sample to make that judgement

Shawn Livingston looked durable until his knee blew up, didn’t he? In retrospect, when you looked at his build, it was suspect. Of course, no more so than Tayshawn Prince, who has been VERY durable—I’ll grant that.

But my point is: a short college season and 1 /12 years in the pros is nothing. By definition, “durability” refers to the long haul. Oden wouldn’t be the first player to struggle with injuries early in his career, then to be an iron man thereafter. If it’s too soon to judge who will be the more valuable player—GO or Durant—it’s WAY too early to judge who will be the more durable.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 1:26 AM PST up reply actions  

small sample size

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Jan 25, 2009 3:42 PM PST up reply actions  

i dont know dude

i dont agree with you, but i think you have a more valid point then your getting credit for.

Blake
Roy
Durrant
Outlaw
Aldridge

a line up like that could flat out score, but we would need Liutenent Dan-Tony to coach that team, and NOT Sargent Nathen McMillen in order to make it work

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 10:12 AM PST up reply actions  

I think we've seen big problems with our offense when we don't hit shots

Durant is a special player, no doubt, but we’ve got so much similar talent. On a team that is already so reliant on jumpshots and so devoid of defense, I don’t think Durant makes us a better team. And I think that’s the biggest issue. It’s like a hyper-version of taking a team need vs. the better player (Durant is better this season for sure, but I think the gap will close considerably and soon). Durant is a wealthy mans Outlaw and we already have the poor man’s Durant, as well as, Roy, Rudy and Aldridge. Plenty of offense.

But back to the title of my post. Certainly, our offense would be much different than it looks now. While I doubt that the Blazers would play the slowest pace in the league I don’t think we have the personnel to play the kind of game that would allow an offense with Durant in it to be as effective as necessary to win games. More troublesome though is seeing the offense grind to a halt when shots don’t fall. The first half of the Wizards game is a prime example of what Oden brings and how that can win us games when we aren’t shooting 48%.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on Jan 24, 2009 11:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Roy, God Bless Him, slows us down

even when he playing with guys like Rudy and Sergio who would rather get out and run. The offense moves as fast as Roy wants it to run, and that is very very sloooow. I don’t see someone like Durant upping our pace

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Absolutely correct

And all players KP looks at picking up will have to fit into Roy’s pace. Durant was never going to be that guy. Sergio will have to go eventually, because of this. Travis will be a star somewhere else, because of this. Batum will have Bruce Bowen as his ceiling instead of James Worthy, because of this.

And none of that matters, because Roy, LMA, and Oden all play best at that pace, and will only get better.

by TheThinWhiteDuke on Jan 24, 2009 11:35 PM PST up reply actions  

A Bruce Bowen who can finish at the rim, and get out on breaks,

and is not waiting until he hits 30 to develop three-point range, and is a fantastic help defender, and a very good passer…. I am very excited about Batum, as you can see. I really liked his game tonight. I really like how instinctively he is fitting in with the team

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:43 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

+1

Batum will go down as an all time steal for the Blazers

Jerryd Bayless = Marlo Stanfield
- Early stage Marlo at this point, but Bayless is the emotionless killer new to the game. He will take over, and there will be causalties – it’s just a matter of time.

by blazeraddict on Jan 24, 2009 11:44 PM PST up reply actions  

+1

Being a Blazer fan is fun!

by Blazermaniac77 on Jan 25, 2009 9:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Addendum: I don't know that he'll be the man-on-man defender

that Bowen or Raja Bell or Artest have been. I can live with a Tayshaun Prince-ish defender however

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:47 PM PST up reply actions  

i think aldridge could certainly excell at a faster pace

and would almost think he might infact thrive

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 10:16 AM PST up reply actions  

Why would you assume Durant is more durable?

I watched the Clippers game. Durant has those long arms and the talent, but man oh man, is he skinny.

Do we really know Durant is going to survive the grind in that two bit town? We have no evidence. Maybe he will, and maybe he won’t.

by chnews on Jan 25, 2009 8:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Thats a joke

with no oden, pryz would have all of the responsibility and no offfence to Joel because he is playing AMazing basketball this year but he is just not a starting center for a championship contending team. plus iknow durant takes all the load in OKC so obviously he is taking all the shots but if he was in portland guys would be competing to get their shots in and that never wins games. GREG ODEN ALL THE WAY!

Gooooo Trailblazers!

by BleedBlack&Red on Jan 26, 2009 2:12 AM PST up reply actions  

i think thats just a silly statement and cant take it any more

would putting przybilla on any of jordans ring teams have prevented mike from his demented task??? I dont think so. Maybee Billa’z not THE guy you want to build arround, but hes not a pad peice, and him being on the team duznt predestine a void of gold congruent with his tenure.

the other thing is, people in this thread seam to be assuming that durrants taking all the shots and would be angry or something if he couldnt do it hear. hes taking the shots in okc cuz he has to. i’de bet that he’s even been coached to. with his preported drive to succeed, i’de even bet that as long as he bought into the coaching that he would do whatever was asked of him. in other words, if he was drafted to a team with more proven scoring oprions, then he would likely defer appropriatly, and focus on defence more then is current, and maybe hit the wate room once in a while. he takes the shots cuz theres no one else to take them, so now we assume that he’d freak out and damage chemisty if he wasnt suddenly handed the team with no strings attatched??? thats a little narrow minded.

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 10:27 AM PST up reply actions  

Knowledgeable fans...

…predicted that Durant would make all-star teams and probably win scoring titles. But they also predicted that GO would win titles.

Watching Durant at Texas, he reminded me of Tracy McGrady. That’s no knock: McGrady is a fantastic basketball player. I’ve always loved watching him play. But his teams haven’t even been able to get out of the first round. Great centers—and GO will become one of those—simply have more impact than great perimeter players. Much of that impact doesn’t show up in stat sheets; it just helps win games.

Even as rusty and raw as GO is right now—and even as clueless as his teammates are about how to utilize him offensively—GO is impacting games. That impact will increase exponentially in the coming years.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 24, 2009 11:02 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Of course when I said GO would win "titles"

…I meant the important kind: NBA championships.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 24, 2009 11:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Exactly!

Kevin Durant is definitely the second-coming of Tracy McGrady, who possesses a losing skill set.

In a few seasons, more and more people will eventually see the light and come to this realization.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 4:42 AM PST up reply actions  

Nice to agree with you!

We have our differences, but I am right with you on this assessment.

by upper left corner on Jan 25, 2009 2:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I gotta say

this question isn’t fair to either player right now.

Durant could blossom into a full on superstar, he could improve his D or just generally become a great player, but right now we’re only seeing him in year 2.

The same goes for Oden times 10. We see what kind of player he can be with lots of minutes and no foul trouble, but he’s still inconsistent.

Two fairer questions might be:
1. Who would we rather have right now?
2. Who would we rather have in 3 years?

With regard to number 1, it’s easier to say Durant because of the huge offensive numbers. I’m sure a spot could be found for him along side Roy, but certainly our offense would look different and we would have no post game. I think you would see a lot more inconsistency with a Durant lineup than an Oden lineup because of the extra reliance on jumpshots and less defense/rebounding. The Blazers are in a special situation compared to the rest of the league. We’ve got the offensive firepower to turn down a great scorer like Durant.

With regard to number 2: if the careers of both of these players trend upward like most expect, there is even less reason to take Durant. There’s no doubt that Durant can score and will probably only get better at that. However, that’s not what we need. Oden on the other hand brings rare commodities to this team. Furthermore, I would argue that Durant is far less likely to develop a defensive game than Oden is to develop an offensive game.

Durant is more likely to become a superstar, but Oden is more likely to be a player that you can win a championship with.

"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"

by Magnum on Jan 24, 2009 11:03 PM PST reply actions  

Tonight's game was a great example of the effect Oden can have

when the Wiz helped in the lane, GO gobbled up offensive rebounds. So they stopped and we started getting to the rim (and the lead grew and grew). Even when they really started to concentrate on blocking him out (I saw Blatche block him out face-to-face once, like we used to do to Shaq), Oden was able to knock rebounds loose. It changes the dynamic of the game as much as a great scorer like Durant does

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:14 PM PST reply actions  

Pure Talent- Durant all day

but for this team, I want my go to guy to be Roy, so ill take Oden to compliment him.

Couldn't we just play the Timberwolves again instead? That's like being beheaded with a Nerf bat. -Dave with the Laker game preview

by JWise on Jan 24, 2009 11:19 PM PST reply actions  

Oden

Durant’s raw production may ultimately be higher, but great centers are a much much rarer commodity. Getting 90% of Durant’s theoretical max production from elsewhere is quite a bit easier than getting 90% of Oden’s theoretical max production elsewhere.

The only thing that makes me think about it is the durability question, but you gotta shoot for the moon to win championships so gimme Oden.

by Gargen on Jan 24, 2009 11:28 PM PST reply actions  

If I were a Boston fan

I would want Durant right now, if I could get him.

Put a scorer like him on that team, which could really use scoring punch off the bench, and play him 30 mpg backing up at forward and SG, and you win 72 games this year and next.

Defense? He’d be good enough, your defense doesn’t exactly need another dominant defense force. You can use the scoring — and it would fit your time-line, he would just about guarantee the next two championships, and mean you would have something for the future.

Oden wouldn’t be anywhere near as important to your team right now as Durant would be. So it’s no wonder Celtic fans prefer Durant.

When I rule the world, everyone will know how to use Excel.

by jscot on Jan 24, 2009 11:29 PM PST reply actions  

Put Durant in Boston's defensive scheme and he'd be fine

it has made Paul Pierce and Ray Allen good defenders, for godsakes. Everyone looks good in that system, between the excellent help rotations and effective backstops in Perk and KG. And of course all the grabbing and slapping (Blazer homer note)

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:33 PM PST up reply actions  

Feel Loved GO!

Apparently, we like us some Oden and are broadly patient and satisfied with your progress.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:34 PM PST reply actions  

And nice, active game tonight, Mr. Oden

I was also pleased to see you consciously attempt to keep your hands high when stopping penetration. And thank you refs for a minimum of ticky-tacky fouls.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:36 PM PST up reply actions  

If he doesn't feel loved

by the 95-5 split in the voting now, I’m not sure what it’ll take.

by Royster on Jan 24, 2009 11:45 PM PST up reply actions  

GO hands down

A lot of people have touched on this, but I’ll reiterate the point that Durant is a volume jump shooter who, while a great talent, would not help the team/fit the roster as much as Oden at this point as especially going forward. The Blazers already have a go to guy in Roy, and the starting PF is a outside in player. Joel is a great backup center, but even now he isn’t the offensive force on the block Oden is. On a team of jump shooters, Oden is a needed back to the basket threat. Defensively, Durant’s deficiencies are well known, and even if Oden’s offensive game doesn’t grow (and it will/already has) his rebounding and defense make me think that in the absolute worst case scenario (aside from injury – which would be the nuclear option) GO will be a Robert Parish type center for Portland, and as a Boston fan you already know that’s a pretty good piece on a title threat.

Jerryd Bayless = Marlo Stanfield
- Early stage Marlo at this point, but Bayless is the emotionless killer new to the game. He will take over, and there will be causalties – it’s just a matter of time.

by blazeraddict on Jan 24, 2009 11:43 PM PST reply actions  

As I've mentioned before

GO is much more powerful than Parish was. Robert wasn’t chopped liver; he had that unblockable jumper from midrange, which GO may never develop. But GO’s upside is much higher in my opinion.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 1:32 AM PST up reply actions  

I agree

GO has more upside/will be better. My point is that in the absolute worst case healthy scenario, GO will be an anchor in the middle for a championship caliber team. I think his ceiling is virtually unlimited, potential top 10 center all time.

Jerryd Bayless = Marlo Stanfield
- Early stage Marlo at this point, but Bayless is the emotionless killer new to the game. He will take over, and there will be causalties – it’s just a matter of time.

by blazeraddict on Jan 25, 2009 9:50 AM PST up reply actions  

No.

Greg’s game is coming around—he had a 24pt, 16 rebound game a little bit ago and an 18 14 game tonight. He’s starting to learn how to avoid fouls. He’ll be fine.

I’m not convinced that Durant will even be better than Batum; he’ll put up better stats, but, with his defense being as bad as it is, I’m not sure he’ll ever be a real asset to a contender.

by wepto on Jan 24, 2009 11:48 PM PST reply actions  

I forgot to say Thanks, Toine43

for a thoughtful fanposting and for playing Devil’s Advocate on, from what I read, both sides of the question.

Now those of us who came out for Greg better scurry over to CelticsBlog and demonstrate why this is a question of Apples vs Oranges and why we prefer out Apple

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:54 PM PST reply actions  

I'm sure they did not see enough of us during the six-man-on-the-court fandango

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 24, 2009 11:56 PM PST up reply actions  

I always appreciate your visits, Honka

the absurdity of that particular instance notwithstanding :-D

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 25, 2009 7:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't Open That Can Of Worms!

Timbo almost, albeit unintentionally, started a “If the Blazers were a fruit basket, which piece of fruit would each Blazer be?” over in a fanshot about Oden’s PER.

But someone should make a poll, sometime, to get it out of our system.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 2:36 PM PST up reply actions  

For those criticizing Durant's defense

Considering the fact that he does everything on the offensive end, asking him to do more on the defensive end is a little too much, especially for a guy his age playing that many minutes, and not many perimeter players (Kobe, LeBron and Wade being the obvious standouts) can deliver it on both ends without being worn down. He has the potential to be a great defender, and to be honest, I wouldn’t be surprised if he starts improving on that area once he gets help on offense.

That said, I’d take Oden in a heartbeat. He is everything this team is missing: dominant presence, interior defense and interior scoring. With Durant, we’d be just like last year: shooting endless amounts of jumpers.

by Eventine on Jan 24, 2009 11:58 PM PST reply actions  

a guy his age?

he’s a youngin’ why can’t I ask him for that? Kobe and Wade do it and they are older

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 8:08 PM PST up reply actions  

In college you play 30 games a year, and many teams don’t have the guys to challenge you defensively night in and night out. It’s easy to get involved offensively against bad teams because you can dominate them, but if your man isn’t a threat to score, it’s easy to lose focus on defense. It takes a while to adjust to the intensity of the NBA

My HDTV is a torrented game that I can watch lag-free :(

Let LaMarcus keep the headband!

by inroywetrust on Jan 27, 2009 9:34 AM PST up reply actions  

If Oden were the only guy taking 60 shots a night

on a crappy team he would have the same numbers as Kevin Durant. I am not impressed with him. Roy is a better offensive threat. Oden plays better defense. How can you honestly justify a guy who plays almost all 48 minutes, has the offense run through him and your team only has 9 wins. Plus I think Durant is already as good as he will be. Oden has something Durant doesn’t……… potential.

by RipCityRoyCity on Jan 25, 2009 12:00 AM PST reply actions  

Durant's 20...

That’s like saying LeBron peaked in his 3rd year.

by Eventine on Jan 25, 2009 12:02 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden!

Time will tell. The strategy remains the same. You are right that this is pretty much what everyone expected, and if everything stays on course, we should be fine.
Jamison outscores Garnett, would you rather have him?

by crakarjack on Jan 25, 2009 12:26 AM PST reply actions  

this is ridiculous

Oden all day long. There is a Durant every year in the draft.

by koyote on Jan 25, 2009 12:47 AM PST reply actions  

People need to realize we have yet to see the real Oden.

As Oden said just last week, "I’m in the worst shape of anybody on this team".
Until just recently we have only seen short little spurts of "THE BEASTY ODEN".
IMHO you can’t be a beast while out of shape because it takes intensity, and intensity takes conditioning. Despite coming off MF surgery, someone who hasn’t played in 11/2 years is going to be behind the curve in getting in shape.
Oden’s numbers for the 2nd half of the year will not compare to his 1st half numbers, we are just now starting to see that.

At this point it’s still unfair to ask us to look at his 2nd half (season) numbers, because that’s still not enough time for him. Even so, when we see those numbers, we won’t be having this discussion.

GO
THE TEACHER ......come into my classroom "THE PAINT" for some tutelage.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"The rancor reflected in that remark I won't dignify with comment. But I'll address your general attitude of hopeless negativism." – Everett "O Brother, where art Thou?"

by Blazer1342 on Jan 25, 2009 1:08 AM PST reply actions  

Both of them are special player, base on how they will fit and use their talents for their teams. If you swap Oden And Durant, No one ever going to see those productions between this 2 players.

They have their own ability that well fit on their own team. I never been a fans of comparison between 2 players. Even Kareem Abdul Jabbar never been happy on his first team till he was traded to LA Fakers and become great because of Magic Johnson.

Oden is here in Blazers because he is the one needed by Blazers not because of whatever talent he has as well as Durant on Seattle Supersonics ( sorry, i dont like OKC Thundress ).

by spoiled on Jan 25, 2009 1:10 AM PST reply actions  

you gotta be kidding.

KAJ wasn’t great before Magic? His six times as league MVP pre-Magic was no big deal, or his title and series MVP in his second season?

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 1:47 AM PST up reply actions  

If you read my first post

I never said " hes not great". What i said is he is not HAPPY..
And yeah i Knew he was an MVP even before he joined LAKERS..

by spoiled on Jan 26, 2009 3:20 AM PST up reply actions  

You also said he “become great because of Magic Johnson.” I assume you meant “became,” which would imply that it was not until he was traded to the Lakers that he became great

My HDTV is a torrented game that I can watch lag-free :(

Let LaMarcus keep the headband!

by inroywetrust on Jan 27, 2009 9:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Why do people feel the need to tear another player down in comparison?

Durant is a fine player. One of the best small forwards in the league already. He has shown marked improvement from last year and will probably continue to improve his game. But he’s not a playmaker, a pure scorer and finisher through and through. Scoring is a commodity that is common in the NBA. Guys like Oden can be more than a scorer to their team which is why I would pick Oden over Durant.

BINGO, BANGO, BONGO

by blzrfan on Jan 25, 2009 1:13 AM PST reply actions  

Best small forwards in the league already ?

      That’s like saying that Mousey Stoudamire was
one of the best PG’s in the league his ROY season.
If you have the ball in your hands a majority of the time
and are the # 1 option, you can score. The only problem
with hoisting up a lot of shots is ? ? ? FG% and team ball movement
& scoring. In addition, scoring is overated when that player is
mediocre in many other areas. We all know Durant is not a good
defender or passer, and despite averaging 11 rebounds a game
in college, he’s a 5-6 per game rebounder in the NBA at best. I’d take
Gerald Wallace over KD anyday. Much better all around player
with more strength, rebounding and defense. Durant’s a very good
outside shooter, but we have some good jump shooter’s who are
more well rounded and mesh in sharing the ball.
     " The grass is always greener . . .

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 3:47 PM PST up reply actions  

His true shooting % this year is .570

which is a very good number for any wing player who’s carrying the offensive load for his team, much less a skinny 20 year old second year in the league. It’s a number Kobe has rarely reached and Bron has only exceeded this year. It’s a good number, and it’s been improving since they fired PJ.

His rebounding has improved to 6.6/game this season. He was terrible under PJ since he was clearly under orders to start running in the other direction as soon as a shot went up, on either offense or defense. It’s not a great number but it’s not a terrible number either.

Hey, you know who rebounds less than KD? Blazer fan favorites Danny Granger, Caron Butler, Paul PIerce, and Josh Howard.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 4:50 PM PST up reply actions  

You know who I want . . .

     A healthy 3M !

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 6:22 PM PST up reply actions  

Wanted Durant then

and I haven’t seen much reason to think we made the right choice. Between the injuries drama and the questions about Greg’s emotional/mental fragility, I’m even more inclined to think Durant was the right pick. I’m just hoping Greg’s not the wrong pick by as big a margin as I fear.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 1:42 AM PST reply actions  

Project two or five years down the road, it isn't even close.

Dominant centers are the rarest commodity in the game. Oden is going to be very dominant.

Good centers score efficiently, cause foul trouble for the opposing team, dominate the glass, and clog the lane. Few if any perimeter players can have the same impact at both ends of the floor.

by upper left corner on Jan 25, 2009 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

We’re already 2nd in the league in offensive rating—how much would another jump shooting defensive liability help us? Especially considering the teams best perimeter defender plays SF?

by wepto on Jan 25, 2009 8:26 PM PST up reply actions  

It's well know you were a Durant guy.

       Think chemistry and shot attempts. Don’t forget
that we were 26th (?) in rebounding last year.

GO (rebounding + Intimo D + low post Beast) > KD (Lotso jumpers + weak D)

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 3:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Or maybe if we had two great offensive wings

like KD and Roy, we could play the best defensive players around those two. Play Thrilla 35 mpg, and get some all-defense/all-rebounding no scoring beasts to pair with Thrilla in the front court.

Pretty much what the Bulls did. They had dynamic scoring from both wings, and they filled out the roster with defenders and rebounders.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 4:57 PM PST up reply actions  

Hmmmmmm, perhaps ?

      I’ll take GO, BRoy, Smooth, 3M and the rest.
This group is about TEAM, not shot attempts.
I’ve played with a lot of great one on one players
who never could fit into TEAM ! When they were
criticized about not moving the ball or playing tough
D, they always mentioned the buckets !
     I want a five as ONE !

             COINCAST SUCKS !!!

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 6:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Always wanted Oden and would still

do again. For those of you who think that when drafting for the #1 pick is all about taking the best player, think again. In this case, we all felt like BOTH Durant and Oden were going to be fine players. KP definately made his choice by deciding who would be the better fit. With Roy and LMA already drafted the year before meant that offense was no longer a concern, sure Durant would have made us even better on the offensive end, but NEEDED defense more! Plus Championship Centers are much harder to find than a wing player that scores 25ppg. Can you imagine what drafting Durant would have done to this roster. Rudy’s minutes would suffer, Outlaw’s effectiveness too, Webster would be riding the bench and we’d have to play Przybilla and Hill at Center! Not to mention how this would effect Roy and LMA. Remember Roy’s 52, well that would not happen if he had to share the ball with LMA and Durant!

by VinnyB on Jan 25, 2009 4:26 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

I’m not worried about Roy scoring 52 again.

As much as I enjoyed it, I’m not sure I want to see it regularly, this team wins when we have 5 or 6 in double figures.
Everything else was well said – Rec +1
+10 if I could, the thought of Przybilla/Hill terrified me.

GO
THE TEACHER ......come into my classroom "THE PAINT" for some tutelage.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"The rancor reflected in that remark I won't dignify with comment. But I'll address your general attitude of hopeless negativism." – Everett "O Brother, where art Thou?"

by Blazer1342 on Jan 25, 2009 9:13 PM PST up reply actions  

History will tell

This isn’t an argument that can be settled now. In Jordan, and Olajuwon’s second year folks were probably pretty high on Olajuwon, he did get Houston to the finals that year. Durant may peak may match Vince Carter or Lebron Jameson. Oden may peak at Patrick Ewing or Shaquille O’Neal.

Would you take LeBron over Ewing? Hell Yeah.
Would you take Shaq over Vince? again hell yeah.

At this point all you can say is that both these players have more potential value than actual production value. Although you can say that Durant is performing better right now. Neither player is close to peaking and we have no way of determining value.

My guess is if Oden stays reasonably healthy, Portland will be very happy with their pick. Houston has no complaints about drafting Hakeem.

by boppitywop on Jan 25, 2009 6:44 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

BTW, even if Durant DOES become the next Jordan (highly unlikely)...

…remember that Jordan didn’t win a thing until he got Scotty Pippen & Horace Grant to play with. If Hakeem had been given teammates of that caliber, he might have been the one winning all the championships, not Michael Jordan.

With 20/20 hindsight, everyone seems to assume Houston made a mistake passing on Jordan. But even today, that’s not crystal clear. Hakeem was an incredible ball-player.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 12:29 PM PST up reply actions  

I never hear that argument

no one ever says Houston made a mistake – they drafted a hall of fame center who won them two titles, asteriks or not. No one seriously has ever faulted them for taking Hakeem over Jordan. The mistake that is always celebrated is us taking Bowie. Of course, no one ever remembers that most pundits and GMs at the time thought it was the right pick. The NBA in 1984 was vastly different than now, and every title winner from that point going backwards had dominant big men. Not until the Pistons and then the later Bulls teams, did that prevailing wisdom come into question.

Rule #1 of nitpicking is to get it right.

by douglast on Jan 25, 2009 3:17 PM PST up reply actions  

I believe I HAVE heard people say Houston made a mistake

No one claims they would have picked Jordan first at the time. But plenty of people assume that, with the benefit of hindsight, the Rockets picked the wrong guy. After all, Jordan was the greatest player in NBA history, right? But I’m saying even THAT assumption is at least questionable. Basketball is a team game, and with the arrival of Grant & Pippen, Jordan had a stronger team than Hakeem did. Had Hakeem been teamed with Grant & Pippen, it all might have turned out very differently, in my opinion.

As for the Bowie pick, you make a good point about the conventional wisdom back then. But picking Bowie over Jordan wasn’t considered a no-brainer by any means. As I recall from Halberstam’s “The Breaks of the Game,” some members of the Blazers’ braintrust argued that Jordan was the right pick. But Jack Ramsey—again according to Halberstam—didn’t believe in or want “star players”. He felt they got too much credit. He believed in his x’s & o’s—his “system”—and wanted it to get the credit. Bowie fit the bill to a ’T"; Michael Jordan—not so much.

In other words, there would appear to have been at least a little hubris behind the decision to draft Bowie over Jordan.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 4:47 PM PST up reply actions  

Timeline is off

While that certainly might have been what Ramsay and Inman were thinking based off of Breaks of the Game, the book was published before the 1984 draft even took place, so any arguments about the Jordan pick definitely weren’t in it.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 5:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Interesting

What you’re saying makes perfect sense, but it contradicts my memory. Memories are always right, aren’t they?

That makes complete sense, but I could swear I remember said passage. If you have a copy of the book, check the index for an entry re/ Michael Jordan. Possibly the book discusses Jordan as an example of the type of player Ramsey didn’t want on his team, but not with reference to the Blazers’ ultimate decision not to draft him. Then again, considering the book covered the ‘77-’78 season, Jordan wouldn’t even have been in college when it was published.

I might actually be recalling the part where Ramsey’s decision to unload Moses Malone—over Walton’s objections—and then imagining the discussion had been in reference to Jordan…

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 6:53 PM PST up reply actions  

I remember something now

I read a later edition of the book. I believe that the edition I read included a foreward by Halberstam in which he said that the trends he’d discussed in the book—the negative effects of big t.v. money on the game—had accellerated since he’d written the book. That discussion pointed to Michael Jordan as having been the guy who took the NBA to a new level of commercialization.

Whether Halberstam’s foreward got into the subject of the ’84 draft, though, I dunno. Like I said, my memory might have played a trick on me there. Or not…

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 7:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Fair enough

I read it not too long ago, and I couldn’t remember it being in there, but it certainly sounded like a conversation that Halberstam would have had with Inman and Ramsay, so I had to look up the publishing year. They certainly touched on the subject of stars vs. teams a fair amount with the Sidney Wicks issue and also whether Lloyd Free was coming over as compensation for Walton. Not to mention the whole discussion about trading Luke and who they were looking at around the league.

I don’t have my copy with me, so who knows, though.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 7:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Er...

For one thing, I was wrong about the year Halberstam covered the team. It was ’79-80. As for the rest of it, maybe another BE reader has a copy of the book—hopefully a later edition that contains the foreward or afterword or whatever it is that I THINK I remember reading. :-)

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 7:25 PM PST up reply actions  

this will make a great thread to reference in any

possible future disagreements that one might find themselves in with you… ie. “you only THINK you remember…..”ect..

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 9:55 AM PST up reply actions  

Please feel free to reference that quote

…in any future discussions of books I read in the 1980’s.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 12:37 PM PST up reply actions  

lol

well done

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Not a Jordan fan . . .

      because I was & am a Blazermaniac / Clyde fan, but
Durant will never be as good a defender or passer in
my opinion. Length is great, but strength & quickness are
more important in the NBA .

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 3:55 PM PST up reply actions  

who is this

mystery player lebron jameson

by SamGoody on Jan 25, 2009 8:16 PM PST up reply actions  

thats the straightest commennt ive read in this thread

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 9:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden

And I wonder how many PPG KD would score on our team? He would not have the green light to shoot it from anywhere on the court with us. I think he’d probably average about 12-15PPG.

My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.

by OCBlazerFan1 on Jan 25, 2009 6:55 AM PST reply actions  

I look forward to seeing this poll question for the 10,000th time

ten years from now. And I look forward to answering with the obvious Oden.

Spanish Main: The point of departure for enormous wealth in the form of gold, silver, gems, spices, hardwoods, hides, alley-oops, assists and three pointers.

by LaughingJon on Jan 25, 2009 9:11 AM PST reply actions  

Oden remains RAW (and is now a year behind Durant in "basketball years" to boot...

………………….. Still, as nice a player as Durant is, we’ve got a shooting guard already, see… Err, make that two of them.

Centers are where it’s at a the next level. And while Oden will never be mistake for Wilt or Kareem or Bill Russell or Hakeem, he is POTENTIALLY a pretty darned good player and is already throughly acceptable against teams that don’t have real centers — which is about half the league.

The Blazers are lucky enough to have two real centers and I honestly wouldn’t mind a third.

Not the sure what the heck we’d do with a third shooting guard though.

love,

timbo <——————— banned on Celtics Blog for NOTHING.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 25, 2009 9:32 AM PST reply actions  

Ant i wish i cuold spel.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 25, 2009 9:37 AM PST up reply actions  

Still banned?

for spellings errors?

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 25, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I disagree,

when drafting always choose talent over need. I like Oden, he has talent to be top 50 centers of all time. Durant could be top 50 players of all time. At worst, you can trade him for pieces and parts, while a need based pick is less valuable.

by Fundefined on Jan 25, 2009 10:22 AM PST reply actions  

Maybe I'm underestimating Oden, Time will tell

but the Blazer’s PR management did the right thing picking Oden who is a friendly guy oppose to Durant who doesn’t say much.

by Fundefined on Jan 25, 2009 10:23 AM PST up reply actions  

That's just flat out insulting to Oden and a distortion of perceptions

I think you’d struggle to find a scout before the 2007 draft that wouldn’t have basically guaranteed that Oden would be a top 50 center of all time, and had a decent shot at being a top 10-15 center of all time, which would potentially put him right at that threshold.

Sure, Durant may end up as the third best SF of all time, but the list at SF is a whole lot shorter. Bird, Lebron, Pippen, Baylor, then who? Worthy?

Compare that to centers, where you have Russell, Wilt, Kareem, Hakeem, Shaq, Walton, Robinson, Ewing, Moses, and Mikan (in no particular order). It’s a whole lot harder to crack that group than it is to get into the SF group.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 10:39 AM PST up reply actions  

Edit:

the threshold being the top 50 players of all-time threshold, of course.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 10:40 AM PST up reply actions  

Durant hasn't showed anything to be considered a top 50 player yet

And Oden has the talent to be that dominant as well, just in a different skill set. For all the hype about Durant, we’ve yet to see a swingman or perimeter player who was the leader of his team go far in the playoffs. T-Mac’s playoff woes are well known, now we are seeing the same thing with Carmelo.

And I don’t get why Durant gets tons of love, while Beasley has a similar skill set, and had a more dominant college season (in fact one of the best ever statistically), and seems to have fallen off the map when people discuss young players with potential.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 25, 2009 10:57 AM PST up reply actions  

we’ve yet to see a swingman or perimeter player who was the leader of his team go far in the playoffs

Here are the title teams. I’m only bothering to go back to 1980, which is around when I started following basketball.
2009 Celts
2007 Heat
2004 Pistons
1998 Bulls
1997 Bulls
1996 Bulls
1993 Bulls
1992 Bulls
1991 Bulls
1990 Pistons
1989 Pistons
1988 Lakers
1987 Lakers
1986 Celts
1984 Celts
1981 Celts

That’s about half of the title winners in that timespan. I’m including the two Laker years when KAJ was clearly washed up and it was Magic/Worthy’s teams, but not the 1985 and earlier versions which are closer arguments. Same reason I include the Heat (with a clearly declining shaq) but exclude the shaq/kobe lakers.

I don’t get why Durant gets tons of love, while Beasley has a similar skill set, and had a more dominant college season

Because Durant is a 20 year old with a PER of 20? LeBron’s the only one with a better season as a 20 year old I can think of. And Durant started the year pretty badly, by the end of the season, his stats will look even better.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 12:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Your first three are a real stretch

to call the pistons built around a perimeter player. I would consider the most important player on that team to be Sheed, although singling out any single guy is a little much. Similarly with the celts and KG, even though Pierce carried the scoring load in the finals, no way they keep that series close without Garnett.

And while Wade took over that finals, I’d say the Heat don’t win that year without Shaq.

So while you can point half of the title winners have had a dominant wing, in the last 20 years, the MJ teams are the only teams to win without a franchise big man that would be considered basically untradeable except for extenuating circumstances (jail blazer dismantling, Kobe-Shaq feud, KG’s Minny situation). Every other team had to either grow their own big man (Duncan, Hakeem), or steal him in FA when he had stars in his eyes (Lakers with Shaq). Since we’re not exactly a prime FA spot, sadly, unless we’re counting on being able to capitalize on one of these trade situations, we’re forced to develop our own. And for the record, I can’t really imagine Lamarcus touching most of those guys’ levels.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 1:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Would the celts have made the finals without PP?

Of course not.

Good title teams have multiple good players. Would duncan have won in 08 without Mr. Longoria and Manu? Absolutely not but tim’s still clearly the leader and mvp of that team. Would the shaq/kobe lakers have won their titles without kobe? No, but I’m still willing to concede that shaq was the straw that stirred that drink.

So I’m excluding teams from my list headed by a post player but that had key contributors from the wing. So arguing against my list because these great wing players also had key contributions from the middle is just silly and imbalanced. By that standard, of looking for title teams that had absolutely nothing at 2 out of 5 starting positions, obviously you’re not going to come up with much.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 1:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Another way of looking at it

is that the team with most talent usually wins. That’s it. the most overall talent, regardless of whether it’s at the 5 or the 1 or the 3 or the whatever. People talk about whether certain types of players can coexist, but even the strange imbalanced rosters with all the talent focused in similar games manage to work it out.

And again, I’m just going to throw out there that this whole “Cs win titles” canard is particularly silly in the year of Zydrunas, Kendrick Perkins, and Andrew Bynum.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 1:24 PM PST up reply actions  

I'd say, "There's more than one way to skin a cat"

…except that I love cats. Suffce it to say that your opening statement applies, but with a caveat. That is, that basketball is a game in which size matters. If you have a dominant center—a guy with size, power, quickness, good hands, timing, etc.—you have a real advantage. They call ‘em “aircraft carriers.” Everything is easier for you with that guy patroling the middle. Remember the Western Finals vs the Lakers? Remember how frustrating it was to have to deal with Shaq? Can you win titles without that dominant big? Sure, but you’d better be loaded at the other positions.

You could see it last night. In a game in which the Blazers couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn, they won easily because GO dominated the paint. Look what’s happened in San Antonio ever since Duncan came aboard. Do you really think that team isn’t going to take a huge step back as Duncan begins to decline?

I think Durant himself should have the last word on this, except that I don’t recall the exact quote. But I remember the gist. Right after GO was drafted in front of him, Durant said something along the lines of, “I’d have taken him too; the guy is a beast.”

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 2:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Fair enough, but would the Lakers have won in 2000 or 2001 without Kobe?

possibly. Would they have won without Shaq, not a chance.

Would the Celtics have even made the ECF without KG? Probably not. The Celtics minus PP would still have had a decent chance at getting to the finals. There’s a much greater chance that Detroit would have won without Chauncey or Rip than without Sheed, who was legitly on the same level as Duncan for the rest of the year when he made it to Detroit. I mean, they got swept in the ECF the year before by an awful nets team, and then they dominated that LA team, even if it was a lot of Kobe-Shaq feuding also factored in hugely.

And there’s a huge difference between “getting nothing” from one of your bigs to having one of the top two or three guys in the league at PF or Center in a given year, which every non-MJ champion has had since the 90’s started. Say you swap out KG for Boozer in that Boston team or K-Mart for Sheed on that Pistons team, even though you’re still getting an all star level contribution from those guys, no way those teams win the titles.

It’s great that PP and Wade and Chauncey/Rip were considered the de facto “leaders” of their teams, but the fact is that the only reason they had a chance to win their titles is because they had one of the top three or four bigs in the league on their roster also.

As far as Duncan leading his team to a title on his own, look back at that 2004 spurs roster and their playoff stats. Even though some of the big names were still there (Parker, Manu, Robinson, Jackson), they were barely anything at that point. Tim had almost double the number of points as their next leading scorer in the playoffs (Tony, who did it on an impressive 40% from the field), and more than double the number of rebounds of anyone else on the team. Plus, he led the team in assists in the playoffs. To steal some of Berri’s stats, he had triple the number of playoff win shares as anyone else on the team. And they managed to take down a Laker team coming off a three peat.

Fine, the big doesn’t have to be the leading scorer or anything, but if you don’t have a guy that isn’t one of the best 4 or 5 big men in the league in a given year, your chances of winning a title are severely diminished. Maybe that gets broken by Lebron or the Lakers this year, but until that happens, I stand by my statement.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 3:05 PM PST up reply actions  

Ok, so we've gone from
we’ve yet to see a swingman or perimeter player who was the leader of his team go far in the playoffs

to

you don’t have a guy that isn’t one of the best 4 or 5 big men in the league in a given year, your chances of winning a title are severely diminished

See any differences there? I also like how you’ve conveniently bracketed out only the post-Jordan teams in our set. I mean the 88 and 89 Pistons aren’t viewed as having much quality in their frontlines, and the KAJ of 87 and 88 was far from a top 5 big. I’m not sure Shaq in 07 is a top 5 big, and I don’t think anyone besides you considers Sheed to be there – even at his peak, Sheed never made an All-NBA team and those things have 15 bigs, yknow? And that Pistons team was a few years past Sheed’s prime.

But yes, I concede that it helps a lot to have either a good PF or a good C. But that’s a very very different statement than saying that your team needs to be led by a C, which is just demonstrably and on its face untrue, dig? It also helps to have a top wing, which every title team since the merger has had except for the Hakeem Rockets and the earlier versions of the Duncan Spurs.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 4:06 PM PST up reply actions  

See, now you're just watering down my statements

In 20 years, the only teams that haven’t won without one of the top 5 big men (PF/C) in the league that year have been the MJ teams and the Pistons, and given that the Pistons were the first two years, I’d say the last 10 years weigh a lot more heavily. Top 5 big men doesn’t mean a “good” PF/C, it means what I said it is, a top 5 guy. Based on Sheed’s play once he got to the pistons, he was one of those guys. He wasn’t on the All-NBA team because that stint lasted all of 22 games before, the playoffs, but there are exactly 3 bigs that you can make the argument about that were better than him over that last stretch of the season (Duncan, KG, Shaq). Maybe you could throw O’Neal in there, but that’s it.

Look at the monthly splits from that pistons season. In the last two months of the season (after the Sheed trade), their opponents averaged less than 80 ppg, a drop of almost 10 points. They went from a great defensive team, to possibly the best of all time. But yeah, I’m probably the only guy who thinks Sheed was one of the best PF/C’s in the league when he first made it to Detroit.

I never said anything about the guy having to be a center, just that you needed one of the absolute elite bigs. While Manu, Chauncey/Rip, and even PP have been good, I don’t know if you could have unequivocally called them top 5 perimeter players in their respective years. Of course, like you said before, you can’t have a team where you get nothing out of 2 or 3 positions, so you need at least one good wing, probably 2, but it’s hardly as important as having that elite big out there. Like I said, only one team has won with a center and basically nothing else.

And for the record, there are 2 so called post positions, and 3 all-nba teams which makes for a total of 6 bigs on the team. Unless all of a sudden every player on the court is considered a “big” and I missed the memo, your math is a little off.

Link for Pistons Splits

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 4:39 PM PST up reply actions  

Oops. Yeah, serious brain cramp.

BTW, I think my main argument is that I can imagine Durant becoming an elite wing. I still don’t think oden’s ceiling is much higher than a slightly better offense, worse defense Mutombo. Which is great but not worth passing up on a wing like Durant, who’s the first player who’s come along who I can imagine challenging Bron for best player alive.

And if you have a choice between a good center and a great wing, to me, you take the wing. This whole “he’s a big, he’s a wing” thing I think only comes into play if the players are otherwise pretty even. And I’m just not that convinced that Oden’s going to be nearly as good a C as Durant is a wing.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 5:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, we're in complete agreement there

I’d rather have Kobe, Wade, Pippen, Lebron or Durant in their primes over Alonzo Mourning or Dikembe Mutombo, and I’d certainly rather have MJ over any center, but like you put, we’re disagreeing over Oden’s potential.

You apparently see a little of the Mourning/Deke potential from Oden, and I see a little more of Duncan/Shaq out of him, and then we’re reversed about Durant. I have no doubt that Durant will be a great player, and like I said somewhere in this thread, has a decent chance to be a top 5 SF of all time. Still, I’ve seen enough teams with mediocre or middling all star big guys get blown out of the water by a dominant big man in the playoffs, that that’s not enough for me.

I think Oden can be that dominant big, like what we’re seeing from Dwight Howard now. I actually think Oden has more skill than Howard already, he’s just less aggressive and less quick (for now, at least, good old MF), and certainly less sure of himself. Dwight gets almost all of his points off quick posts, and re-posts where he just stations himself so close to the basket that all he has to do is turn and dunk it. 4 years in and he still has barely any post game.

Back to the main point. If I felt like you did about their potentials, I’d be firmly in the Durant camp also, so I see where you’re coming from.

by Royster on Jan 25, 2009 6:49 PM PST up reply actions  

PP has been on the Celtics for a few years

KG comes and he gets a title

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 25, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Exactly: Are we sending up Oden alone?

hardly. He has complimentary talent around him. Does the same talent compliment Durant? I’d say no, but we can’t know how his game would have developed in Portland. Differently, without question.

A better example might be Dwyane Wade. He is healthy and playing lights out this year. It will be interesting to see how far that takes Miami in the playoffs. I note that Pat Riley is almost willing to part with a decent Shawn Marion in order to bring in a very wobbly Jermaine O’Neal. That’s how important he thinks a big man is.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 25, 2009 7:50 PM PST up reply actions  

Oh, and Shawn Marion is really decent now?

Have you watched them much this season? His game has regressed to a shocking degree.

And you’re kind of proving my point. My point isn’t that you don’t need any quality in the middle. Just that your best player doesn’t need to be the guy in the middle. Pat’s not thinking JON is going to supplant DWade as the leader of his team.

and it’s “complement” not “compliment”. “complement” means something matches or fits something else. “compliment” is a lie we tell our girlfriends/wives.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 12:59 AM PST up reply actions  

thank you for reading closely

I’ve only seen Marion a few times this year, but twice in the last few weeks, against Houston and Denver. He looked fantastic both times. He also has an expiring contract, which Jermaine certainly does not.

Since we still get to watch the whole regular season series against the once-Sonics, I suppose we’ll have this conversation again

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 6:41 AM PST up reply actions  

BTW, considering Shawn Marion is a player who's spent

the majority of his last five seasons playing PF, I fail to see how a rumored trade for one kind of washed up PF for another kind of washed up PF proves any kind of point you’re trying to make.

Way to have “lucked” into watching the two miami games in the past month where he managed to have 20/10+ games. You didn’t notice the 2/1 line he put up against the celts (he was banged up, but still) or the 4 point game at cleveland or the 4 point game at orlando – you know, the actual big games of the past month for Miami.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 8:05 AM PST up reply actions  

Man, you got to relax

I’ve seen plenty of poor games from Marion. I only said that the two I most recently saw he played very well. I watched the Houston game because I like Aaron Brooks. I watched the Denver game because it was entertaining.

I saw that 4 point game against Orlando. What I remember from that game was some outstanding defense on Hedo Turkoglu. 4 points is a poor showing on offense however.

Yes, D’Antoni played him at the 4, but then he was playing Diaw at center for a year. He is a small forward. Does his game resemble any PF you can think of? That’s a serious question.

The contract status has some meaning because it shows what Miami might be willing to take on in order to have some sort of post presence. But you are right – it is not directly related to the value of a big man

I look forward to hearing how I’ve been dumb or disingenuous this time. And any word usage or spelling errors

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 8:43 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm not saying you're dumb or disingenuous

but I am pointing out that you’re not actually disproving anything that I’m claiming.

The only rhetorical purpose of the arguments you’re making is if you distort the argument I’m making to a ludicrous strawman. My position isn’t that you don’t need good players at PF or C. My argument is that you don’t mindlessly draft a decent or good PF or C over a great wing while chanting “you can’t teach height” or “centers win titles wings win games”.

How is Pat thinking about trading Marion for JON at all relevant to that argument?

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 9:57 AM PST up reply actions  

IF Miami trades for a Jermaine

and that’s a big if, it might suggest that Riley does not think he can win without a decent post presence. There was talk of Eddy Curry to Miami earlier in the year. And Brad Miller more recently. And the importance of a big man seems to be generally agreed upon among NBA execs, thus the Darko experience, not just Detroit drafting him but then Memphis signing him.

I would follow the habitual logic of the NBA regarding centers. It is a matter of taste, I suppose. I think where we disagree is on Oden’s potential. I think he’s worth it – you can teach footwork.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 10:44 AM PST up reply actions  

Miami has the problem that they have literally nobody to score and rebound down low

Their best “center” is arguably Udonis Haslem, and he is undersized even for a power forward. Beasley is coming along nicely, but he will always be more comparable to Carmelo Anthony and not to a post-player. They are not really looking for a dominant big man, they are looking for any decent big man. What they currently have in that department is worse than what running and gunning teams like Phoenix and Golden State had/have.

by Norsktroll on Jan 26, 2009 10:52 AM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, really the crux is potential.

I just have trouble understanding how a guy who topped out at 20/10 in HS and 16/10 in college is going to be a 25/15 guy in the pro game. The competition gets harder and we expect him to produce more? Just doesn’t seem that sensible to me. I mean I guess it happens, but I don’t see any reason to think it’s likely here.

It’s not like he’s Hakeem who only picked up the game late in life, or a Bynum who physically developed late. Oden has been much bigger, stronger, faster than the competition for awhile, and his performance hasn’t been that overwhelming.

Again, I’m pro-Blazers more than I’m pro-my opinions, so I sure hope I’m wrong. I’m just skeptical of these really high projections folks around here have for the kid. I’d be thrilled if Oden tops out near Mutombo-level at this point.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 5:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Hey, Mutombo wasn't chopped liver

Just ask Sonic fans! Put Dikembe in his prime with Roy, Aldridge, et al, and that’s nothing to sneeze at.

But GO should be much better. He certainly has more natural offensive ability. Just look at his hands, and at his soft touch on those baby hooks.

Also: just visualize Mutombo attempting free throws left handed (like GO did @ Ohio State). Ugly, huh??

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 7:04 PM PST up reply actions  

Greg actually did start playing relatively late

didn’t start until 7th grade. I know that’s not like Hakeem, but comparable to Duncan (started in 9th grade). Heck by 8th grade I think we were already hearing about Lebron.

Also, as far as guys not improving upon their college averages in the pros, that’s ridiculous, and a little bit of research would show that it’s pretty common for guys to improve on their college averages. Duncan averaged 16/12 for his career in college, and is averaging 21/11 in the pros. Shaq improved his scoring significantly over his college average as well. Sheed never averaged more than 16 ppg in college.

Guys improve averages all the time, partially due to improving, partially due to having better teammates, and a lot due to the fact that there are 8 more minutes in the game.

Big guys, especially, improve. In HS, they’re generally triple or quadruple teamed, and so it’s difficult to score a ton on your own when you have wide open guys to pass to on every possession, and you get a similar effect in college. When you get to the pros, you can’t just gang up on the bigs as much because teammates will make them pay so they start to see more one on one matchups.

Basically, saying a guy’s stats will never improve above what he did in college sounds right, but flat out isn’t the case. Look up the definition of truthiness for that phenomenon.

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 9:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Shaq peaked at 28/15 his second year at LSU.

Duncan 21/15 his last year at Wake Forest.
Ra’s 17 and 8 at UNC

Those numbers aren’t that dissimilar from what they’re like as pros. Shaq’s an unstoppable scorer, Duncan is less of a scorer, and Ra’s production is frustratingly low for his level of talent.

These guys played during a time when freshman didn’t necessarily get featured as focal points on their teams. Things are pretty different now, when the biggest stars are one and done. So their overall averages might be low’ish but they started getting the ball fed to them their sophomore seasons.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 9:26 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, so what would Oden's averages have been

if he had stayed in college as long as those guys. You must be blind if you think Oden was “featured” any more at OSU than those guys were during their freshman years. He played half the season with a broken wrist. That team’s offense relied on Conley first and foremost.

Basically, you’re punishing Oden for only playing one year in college when his freshman stats were better than all those guys. Using their career stats from college controls for that some.

Regardless, there’s significant evidence that guys improve from ages 20-25, regardless of whether they’re the biggest guy or still growing. Would you look at Duncan or Shaq’s freshmen stats and assume they’d never improve on that in the NBA? It only gets tougher, right?

For all the talk of Shaq and Duncan not getting “featured” as freshmen, they played 28 and 30 mpg, respectively. I don’t have game tapes to look up, but that doesn’t scream “riding the pine” to me.

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 9:39 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm not "punishing" anyone

unless you think my offering my opinions is punishment to all the fine readers around here.

But yeah, I think my point (you can tease it out if you read the post immediately above your first post in this little corner of this thread) is that I find it hard to understand why we should expect great production from Oden when he never averaged over 20/10 any year he’s been alive.

You countered by giving examples of guys who averaged 28/15 and 21/15. Ok.

You then counter that those guys had weaker freshmen years than Oden. Fair enough, but the college game is totally different now than 10 years ago. 10 years ago, you didn’t often see guys like Durant and Beasley dominating as freshmen, because the best players were skipping college. 15 years ago, you didn’t see guys like Durant and Beasley dominating as freshmen because freshmen were never the first options for their teams – heck, the fab five only averaged like 15ppg each and it was a big deal that they did that as freshmen. 35 years ago, you didn’t see freshmen dominating the game because they weren’t allowed to compete as varsity.

So it doesn’t make really make that much sense to do these cross-era comparisons out of context. I still maintain that it’s a fair argument to say that it’s pretty rare to see vastly improved production in the NBA over college/hs, especially for someone who was physically mature earlier than many of his peers and opponents. My only real evidence, since I don’t have a lot of HS stats to throw at you, is that I’ve been watching this game for 30 years and that’s what I’ve seen.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 10:20 PM PST up reply actions  

More examples

Bosh, Arenas, D-Will, Devin Harris (this year), Vinsanity, Wade, Joe Johnson, Z-Bo, Redd, Jefferson, Brand, Baron Davis, Maggette, Artest, Paul Pierce, Antoine Walker, Nash, McDyess, etc.

All those guys improved their NBA numbers fairly significantly compared to their best college season, which is especially useful to note considering almost all of them played more than one year of college like Greg did.

And as far as Hakeem goes, by the time he was drafted, he had been playing basketball for about as long as Oden had been (~ 7 years each).

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 10:20 PM PST up reply actions  

and contract status?

How is that at all relevant to this point you’re trying to make? All that’s relevant to is a separate question of whether pat’s an idiot or not. Interesting question (i’d lean no) but absolutely not relevant to any discussion of how teams need a great pivot to be a title team.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 8:06 AM PST up reply actions  

7?

There are no good individual basketball statistics.
54!

by joof on Jan 25, 2009 11:10 PM PST up reply actions  

Who were the dominant big men the 10 years before that?

Drob, Shaq, Ewing, Hakeem, Barkley, Karl Malone right? The Magic Lakers, Jordan Bulls, and Isiah Pistons rolled over them all. Hakeem only won when Jordan took a vaca. And these weren’t just the top 5 bigs at their times; those are the two greatest PFs and four of the 10 greatest Cs all time.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 1:03 AM PST up reply actions  

Nota Bene

I don’t think Magic won another ring after Kareem retired. Someone check that. Magic was, of course, the best and most important player on that team. But I think Magic without Kareem won as many rings as Malone, Barkley, and Ewing.

And then there is Kobe…

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 8:49 AM PST up reply actions  

if you're going to play the KAJ in 87 and 88 card,

you’re conceding that your team doesn’t have to have a top 5 pivot or be “led” by your big to the title. KAJ wasn’t top 5 those years by a long shot.

I have never argued that you don’t need quality in the post. Duh. But what I argue against is this mindless bs about how “Cs win titles, wings win games”.

KAJ in 87 and 88, 18/7, 15/6 in 30 mpg. Good but seriously not great. Even an ego monster like KAJ doesn’t claim those as his teams or claim primary ownership over those titles. He does claim all the rest of them (kind of to an absurd degree in my view) but he doesn’t claim those two. Even if he’s still ranting about losing out the 1980 finals mvp to Magic.

Magic led a team no one took that seriously past our best squad into the finals against Jordan. They got beat pretty easily in 5, but his two best teammates Worthy and Scott both went out with injuries in game 4. That was looking like a classic series until they both went down – Lakers stole game 1 in Chicago, Chicago stole game 3 back in LA, and game 4 was up and down until them two got injured.

I don’t know if Magic ever would’ve won another title if it weren’t for the HIV diagnosis. He looked damn good in 90 and 91, and even when he came back in 96 fat and five years removed from NBA action, he got a team of scrubs looking like world-beaters, until his young teammates revolted over their loss of playing time and spotlight to the old man. That 1991 squad was already showing its age (worthy especially declined quick) but Magic lifted the level of his teammates so much, he made Elden Campbell look great.

by howlingfantods on Jan 26, 2009 9:52 AM PST up reply actions  

Did I say Kareem led that team?

or did I say that Magic was the best and most important player. If I could choose one player from NBA history to build a team around, it would be him.

We don’t know if Magic would have won another title if the HIV diagnosis had not cut his career short. He did make Elden Campbell look good, and even made Rambis famous. But he did not win without Kareem.

Kareem still complains about the ‘80 MVP? that’s ludicrous.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 10:19 AM PST up reply actions  

Scorers are dime a dozen in the NBA

Every season, there are players rotating in and out of the top 20 in scoring. Oden has the ability to change the complexion of the game on both sides of the court and on the glass. Calling Durant a possible top 50 player of all time is premature and assuming Oden is only going to be a top 50 center is just stupid.

BINGO, BANGO, BONGO

by blzrfan on Jan 25, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually, we don't KNOW about either of them...

……………………………. But Oden is showing SIGNS that his klutziness and rawness is fixable. And if he develops from a C+ to an A- Center, he’s a MUCH RARER COMMODITY than another perimeter jumpshooter.

That’s why the big guys make the big bucks.

Andrew Bogut, anyone?

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 9:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Timbo, somewhere in Portland's West Hills

Oden is pulling pins out of the Timbo Voodoo Doll and giving it a big hug.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 9:30 AM PST up reply actions  

I never consigned Oden to the depths of hell...

…………………………….. All I’ve said is that he’s raw and it drives me nuts when he gets favorable treatment over a guy who was playing the position better.

Now that Prizzy is dinged and Oden’s looking a little better, things have evened out.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 9:39 AM PST up reply actions  

I was just razzing you

and yes, he is a shuffler. I’m just glad that he is rewarding us who were patient with the initial awkwardness.

I had no doubt where you would come down on this question, by the way. It was suggested a few times during this debate that we could be starting the following lineup:
PG: Blake
SG: Roy
SF: Durant
PF: Outlaw
C: ALDRIDGE (all caps for your benefit)
Tailor-made for fans of small ball

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 9:53 AM PST up reply actions  

Send him to Pete Newell's Big Man Camp . . .

      to learn Big steps & pivots.

  • Did Pete Newell go to the big court in the sky ?

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 4:08 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes, I recall that he passed away

What became of his Big Man Camp, I dunno.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 7:04 PM PST up reply actions  

I would LOVE Durant on the Blazers!

He would be a great fit on the current Blazer’s roster. Adding another perimeter scorer of KD’s capability would take a lot of pressure off of Roy. But not at the expense of giving up Oden. Truthfully, Portland can get a Durant-esque player through free agency or trade. However, getting a center of Oden’s quality would be much more difficult.

Think of all the swing players who Portland could use besides KD:
LeBron
Kobe
Wade
Caron Butler
Gerald Wallace
Tracey McGrady
Rashard Lewis
Hedo Turkoglu
Josh Smith
Manu Ginobili
Tayshaun Prince
Pierce
Antwan Jamison
Iggy
Richard Jefferson
Vince Carter
Luol Deng
Granger
Melo
Rudy Gay

Compared to the centers we could use besides GO:
Big Z
Howard
Bynum
Duncan
Yao
Shaq
Tyson Chandler

I’ve probably left some guys off, but you can see I got most of them. 20 swing players versus 7 centers. Now clearly if we are talking about LeBron or Kobe talent then that is something all together different. But so far KD is probably right in the middle of that pack of the elite swing players I put up…not for his stats, but his overall effect on the game. Greg is probably near the bottom of the elite centers, though I’d put him ahead of Z and Bynum…again not for his stats but his overall affect of the game.

So the question is, what is a more likely pickup via trade or free agency? We get one of the elite 20 swing players or we get one of the elite centers? I’m not a betting man, but if I were, the odds are clearly on the side of getting an elite swing player.

by JasonT on Jan 25, 2009 10:38 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

I'm not sure I would rather have Yao or Tyson Chandler...

Three that I would unquestionably take over Oden…

1. Howard

2. Bynum

3. Duncan (although he’s actually a Power Forward, thus #3 instead of 1).

Shaq would be #1 on the list of true Centers, ‘cept he’s long in the tooth…

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 27, 2009 9:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden. Hands down. Not even close.

Its about PRESENCE. Oden alters the game on BOTH offense and defense. For all Durant’s numbers, he does not have close to the presence on the floor that Oden has. There are a lot of players who throw up big numbers: Tracy McGrady, Allen Iverson, Vince Carter; that are not dominant players. Oden can dominate games on both ends of the floor, in so many more ways than Durant ever will.

And we aint seen nothing yet. Early in the year both the Blazers and Greg Oden were tentative about how hard Greg should play during his comeback from MF surgery. In addition, staying out for a year was a big hit to Greg’s conditioning. Oden has been limited by foul trouble because he wasn’t moving his feet. His conditioning is improving and he’s been able to stay in games — and get into games — more often.

Toine43, ask the same question mid-year next year (or maybe even by the end of this season), and even Celtics fans will shift their opinion. Lets take 2008-2009 stats:
  Kendrick Perkins: 28:36, 8.6 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 1.7 bpg
  Greg Oden: 23:11, 8.7 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.1 bpg
and this kid is just starting. Do Celtics fans really think that Greg would not be a bigger upgrade over Perkins; than Durant would be over Pierce. [Cant imagine that you’re going to tell us that Celtics fans would swap Ray Allen’s spot up long-range shooting for Durant’s small-forward skill set].

by FromAfar on Jan 25, 2009 12:00 PM PST reply actions  

If Oden's such a great defender

and LMA is improving on defense, can anyone explain to me why our defense is worse this year than last? Last year, we were below average, 17th in the league in defensive rating, and gave up 108.4 points per 100 possessions.

So with this great defensive stalwart added to the team, why are we worse than below average, 22nd in the league in defensive rating and giving up 109.3 points per 100 possessions?

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 12:24 PM PST reply actions  

I think there's two reasons

First reason: The personnel changes and injuries have resulted in us having poorer defenders on the floor for more minutes. Greg I think is a slightly worse defender at this point than Joel. While Nicolas is an upgrade at SF, Trout is getting minutes that Martell used to have. Sergio is a worse defender than Jarret Jack and Rudy is a worse defender than James Jones.

Second reason: We’re playing a lot of rookies and we’re seeing rookie mistakes. A rookie or boneheaded mistake at defense leads to an easy two points or an and-1. A rookie mistake at offense is at worse a turn-over but more often is 5 seconds of the shot-clock or a lower percentage shot being taken. So our rookies are bigger defensive liabilities than offensive liabilities.

by boppitywop on Jan 25, 2009 1:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Out interior defense is great.

Our perimeter defense sucks hardcore.

There are no good individual basketball statistics.
54!

by joof on Jan 25, 2009 5:23 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes. I've never seen so many wide open looks.

My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.

by OCBlazerFan1 on Jan 26, 2009 12:06 PM PST up reply actions  

Why do people think that LaMarcus Aldrdige is anything beyond a subpar defender?

If the Trail Blazers swapped Aldridge for Paul Millsap, then the team would be improved on the spot.

Millsap would bring two things to the table that are lacked by Aldridge, which are efficiency and defense.

by AK1984 on Jan 25, 2009 5:41 PM PST up reply actions  

You're not gonna trade LMA or get Millsap...

LMA is the guy. He needs to get tougher and play lower.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden Hands down

Portland doesnt really even try to establish Greg on the offensive end on a reguler basis and when they do look for him in the post Greg is actually calculating whether he has the best shot or if there is probably a swing player in a better position to score. Durant is option #1 for the thunder. I would bet he touches the ball every drive down the court.

I really wish we were argueing this thread with are former rivals up north.

I try to help with everything," Fernandez said. "If the coach says go rebound, I go rebound. I work for the team.

""If I'm playing this game to get media and attention, I shouldn't be here," Aldridge said. "I'm here to play basketball, and do what I can do to help this team win."

by Dragonage on Jan 25, 2009 12:29 PM PST reply actions  

How come we can't have both?

And please… Durant is learning to play D just like many young Blazers are, but his game is getting better there.

I doubt KD will ever be as good as a Kobe or a LeBron on D, let alone a Jordan—but he doesn’t have to be to be an awesome player in this league.

by EngineerScotty on Jan 25, 2009 1:25 PM PST reply actions  

Oden or Durant either one could do the job

Durant is very skillful and could have been a great piece to the puzzle but obviously KP would have tried to reinforce the center position after… maybe trying to get Brook Lopez in the draft (instead of Bayless) or make a trade for a player like Kaman… who knows. There are many ways to build a great team. My point is if KP had drafted Durant he would have made different adjustments to the roster than he has once he selected GO.

Disagree with Sophia and others who suggest that he will never be a good defender. Not so long ago not many people thought that LBJ was a defender… he had to dedicate himself to get there. Also it is hard to say why he is not a better defender… is it coaching, demands made by the coach and GM or maybe it is because they said: kid, don’t worry about it, we need points and entertainment first. Who knows how he would have developed under Nate and surrounded by the talent on the Blazers?

It is very hard to judge young players by their so called reputations without considering context. Look at Boris Diaw for example, when he went to the Suns people claimed he was a bust and his game didn’t translate the the NBA. He had a few really good years with the Suns and then with TP as coach his rep as a player took another beating and he was sent to the Bobcats and they are saying what an excellent team player he is now and Brown all but credits their recent turnaround to Diaw’s vision and skillset.

Durant’s PPG would be way down with the Blazers but so what… he could have helped in so many ways as a Small Forward…

Having said that… I still think KP and probably all other GMs would have picked GO with the first pick. It is easier to comment on what actually is and GO fits in well with the setup of the team, he has had an impact and the potential is incredibly high for him to have more. Agreed that impact centers are hardder to come by.

Also give him credit for the hard work he did to rehab from his micro fracture. there is an article in the Charlote Observer on Sean May which talks about the rough road from rehab and I think this gives even more credit to what GO has accomplished so far, hope the link works

This is my first post!!

Marc

by QuebecBlzrFan on Jan 25, 2009 1:58 PM PST reply actions  

Bienvenu!

well done said on your first post. As far as I know you are the only correspondent from Quebec. Perhaps, playing on the Blazer’s promotional Block Party at Center Court, you could form a Bloc Party Quebecois.

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 25, 2009 4:17 PM PST up reply actions  

Merci!

I have been trolling for a while and I am probably the only one from my block on here but who knows! I like how you linked Bloc and block! Truth be told I am not into the Bloc but I could get into the Blog party!

by QuebecBlzrFan on Jan 25, 2009 4:35 PM PST up reply actions  

You may be as Anglo as Stephan Harper but we like exotic

e.g: Scotland: jscot
Spain: Amimart (Sp?)
Hawaii: tominhawaii
El Pueblo de Nuestra Señora la Reina de los Ángeles de Porciúncula: El Mortimer

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 25, 2009 7:43 PM PST up reply actions  

Can't compete

on the exotic, or prolific posting front with the big four but I am French Canadian, have lived on our east and west coasts and have windsurfed in Oregon in the 90s… now I settle with keeping tabs on the Blazers progress which is made easy by Blazers Edge and M.B. Blog.

by QuebecBlzrFan on Jan 26, 2009 8:23 AM PST up reply actions  

Impact for the Blazers

How much effect would Durant have in a game where he only gets 5 to 9 shots?

Oden averages ~5 FGA/Game, Durant averages nearly four times that! KD is looking to have grown into a legit volume scorer in the NBA, but the Blazers already have 1.5 or 2 of those (Roy, Aldridge), so that is/will be covered. To add on to this is the drafting of Nicolas Batum, who looks closer to being the perimeter defender at SF we need than KD.

Now let me ask you this, if OKC/SEA had the #1 and picked KD over Oden who could they have grabbed in this last draft to fill their need at C (assuming same picking order)? One of the Lopez twins? Jason Thompson?

No disrespect to those players, but they ARE NOT Oden. If you happen to be up late and catch a blazer game, watch under the basket when Oden is playing. Don’t watch the ball, don’t watch the shot go up, just watch the area under the rim. What you will see is Oden clearing out an entire side for the offensive rebound, unless he is boxed by two bigs. If a wing is sent to help, it will limit the area he can rebound, but not much.

Defensively he affects everything around the rim, so long as it isn’t a PO’d Shaq or a result from a complete breakdown on the perimeter (happens for us more than a Celtics fan is used to seeing). And again watch him COMPLETELY seal his man from rebounding position. Once Oden gets his man on his hip, that guy is lucky to have both feet inside the baseline. And it looks effortless (I’m not saying it is, but Oden certainly makes it look that way).

This is something that doesn’t come along every draft. This last year there was wing scoring, even same bigs who can score, but how many are dominating the rebounds as a rookie? How many were heralded for their defense? Robin Lopez was the only big that was picked for D, and he plays sporadically. Greg has a skill set that is hard to come by, and anything short of KD becoming Jordan makes their respective values a no-brainer.

Oden (along w/ Przy) is an integral part of why the PTB are now one of the top rebounding clubs this season, and has been a HUGE key to us winning. I doubt KD would have helped us in controlling possession much. At best he would increase our offensive efficiency and have no effect defensively, BUT we have been in the top 3 of offensive efficiency all season already.

 If any fan should understand that there is more to winning than scoring you think it would be Celt’s fans. How many points does KG score now? How about all those scorers that the division rival Knicks picked up over the past few seasons? I mean were Curry, Randolph, Marbury, Richardson, and Crawford really all that imposing?

They all were great scorers when acquired, but their skills were redundant (and thus easily defended) when on the court together. And that is what KD would have been for us, redundant. Roy is a scoring machine, so what would KD be when Roy was on?

"I don’t have the first clue who he is talking about, because all I worry about is Jerome." – Jerome James, on comments by coach Nate McMillan about Seattle SuperSonics players being selfish.

by Devenex on Jan 25, 2009 2:46 PM PST reply actions  

Redundant?

As I said I think we made the right pick with GO but if we had the second pick it could have worked with KD.

I don’t think that KD would be redundant when Roy is on… if you look at the Celtics do you think that Allen and Pierce are redundant? Of course not, they just give more options on Offense and they seem to work out quite well on defense as well. KD wouldn’t get 20 shots but he would probably get somewhere around 15, same as for LMA and Roy. So on Offense they could be pretty good since KD can shoot, has range, can drive and get to the free throw line, seems to be able to pass so there is a lot of potential.

I agree that GO has an huge effect under the basket but at least we already had a good defensive center in Joel so who knows what the team would have gotten to fill in the pieces. Suppose they had gotten Brook Lopez this year… a starting lineup of Lopez/Pryz, KD, LMA, Roy and Blake could have been pretty good. The style of the team would certainly have changed if we had chosen KD instead of GO… we likely would not have kept KD, Martell, Travis (not to mention Rudy and Nic).

by QuebecBlzrFan on Jan 25, 2009 4:32 PM PST up reply actions  

In the case of the Celtics

Yes their ‘big three’ are not redundant and heres why:
KG carries the defensive load, so whether or not he’s scoring he being productive.

Paul Pierce is the main guy on offense. He typically gets the most shots, and when theres a big play to be made on offense it goes through him.

Ray Allen has not had too many plays run for him in the games I’ve watched. BUT he can make shots without needing a high volume to keep in rhythm, which is why he is recognized as great shooter. You don’t put up his career numbers by being the type of guy who’s either on or off, you put them up by being able to hit a shot at any given opportunity regardless of how the rest of the game has gone.

No how does KD fit into this. I said before that he is shaping into a good volume scorer (the role Pierce plays), but Roy already does that. This means that he’ll need to be efficient with limited opportunities, which I’m not sure he could do. He is not someone who will quarterback the defense, and I don’t think he can knock down a big shot when cold. His main skill set is volume scoring, which would be redundant because of Roy. Think of the Nuggets w/ AI and Melo.

Now I haven’t seen Durant this season, so maybe I’m going off his rookie campaign too much, but I don’t think KD in place of Oden makes the Blazers better now or in the future. Especially when you factor in the minute crunch we’d have at SF.

"I don’t have the first clue who he is talking about, because all I worry about is Jerome." – Jerome James, on comments by coach Nate McMillan about Seattle SuperSonics players being selfish.

by Devenex on Jan 25, 2009 9:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Oden

If we had Kevin Durant he would be getting Jerryd Bayless minutes.

*nuff said

I have my P.h.D in unreliable hyperbole.

by Eat Politicians on Jan 25, 2009 4:35 PM PST reply actions  

I think we have learned our lesson from trader Bob that

stockpiling talent and gunners is not the way to win titles. Chemistry does matter. As previously stated we are already one of the most efficient teams on offense in the league. I will take it a step further by saying that I would take Tayshaun Prince over Kevin Durant for this team to fill in our cracks. Oden will be just what the doctor ordered.

I'm a little confused by your tactics

by oderiferous emanations 74 on Jan 25, 2009 5:32 PM PST reply actions  

All trader bob proved

is that he couldn’t tell the difference between famous players and good players.

And that he couldn’t tell when players were well past expiration date.

by howlingfantods on Jan 25, 2009 5:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Bob proved many things

He proved that you can’t put a price on leading the league in Technical fouls.

He also brought in Shawn Kemp to teach the state of Oregon that cocaine does not always give you extra energy and help you lose weight, saving countless lives I’m sure.

"I don’t have the first clue who he is talking about, because all I worry about is Jerome." – Jerome James, on comments by coach Nate McMillan about Seattle SuperSonics players being selfish.

by Devenex on Jan 25, 2009 9:53 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I don't like Boston...

or the people that make it home.

Oden/Pryz
LMA/Frye
WebFoot/Trout
Roy/Rudy
Blake/Bayless
**Champs 08-09**

by BigCelPhone on Jan 25, 2009 7:11 PM PST reply actions  

Lol

Hi-fives on that one.

by Jumbo on Jan 26, 2009 4:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks for Asking

I didn’t think Greg would get 90%, so it is nice to know that many Blazer fans are not second guessing the big man at this point in his career. Oden will be the better player when all is said and done. That is why the Blazers drafted him.

Keep watching. He is starting to put some pretty nice games together. Consistency will come soon.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Jan 25, 2009 7:37 PM PST reply actions  

Maybe not so soon

But does it matter? Bynum was supposedly a bust his first couple of seasons, but he’s looking better all the time. You have to be patient with centers; like point guards, they tend to be late bloomers.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 7:44 PM PST up reply actions  

I was deliberately vague...

…Like sometime in the next year or two.

I think his surgery has affected him more than some people think. The combination of returning from surgery and not having any NBA experience (oh, and that twisted ankle that some made out to be just short of career-ending) made his first couple of months tougher than most #1 picks’ introductions into the league. He still doesn’t have the athleticism that he demonstrated in the summer of 2007. I hope he gets it back this off-season as he keeps gaining confidence that his knee is healed. If not, he seems like he is learning to play at his current level of athleticism pretty quickly and will get better as he gets to know what his body can and can’t do and how he can play effectively within those limitations.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Jan 25, 2009 9:46 PM PST up reply actions  

"Soon" = one or two years? Sneaky, tssbro. But I agree with most of what you say

I’m not sure how much the knee is affecting GO. I suspect the bigger impact at this time is the loss of conditioning he suffered from the year off. Remember how truly horrible Magliore was the first 3/4 of his season with the Blazers. He kept saying it was conditioning, but it was hard to believe he still had any game at all. Then lo & behold, Magliore started being able to move (somewhat) and became a passable NBA center before our eyes.

My point: it can take big guys longer to work their way into shape than regular players. GO is worlds ahead of Magliore already, but he’s still got aways to go. That means he should keep improving as the season wears on—and he’s already starting to have a very positive impact when he’s on the floor.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 25, 2009 11:43 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree about the conditioning...

but I also remember how long it took Zach, Amare, and others to recover from micro-fracture surgery. There was a lot of speculation, about those two guys in particular, that they might not ever return to their previous level of athleticism during their first year back. And a lot of that speculation was about confidence in the strength of the knee and a reluctance to cut loose out of fear of reinjury. That could be playing a role in why Greg hasn’t shown that same explosiveness and spring that he had pre-surgery.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Jan 26, 2009 6:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Of course you could be right

We’re both guessing here, as GO hasn’t said a lot about how his knee is behaving. But remember, Zach, Amare, and the others apparently had much more extensive damage to their knees prior to surgery. Reportedly, GO’s lesion was the size of a pencil eraser, and the Blazers elected to have the microfracture surgery performed “out of an abundance of caution.”

So my hunch is that GO’s knee is mechanically fine—at least for the near future. (The microfracture procedure’s long-term outlook apparently is a bit uncertain.) I also suspect that the strength in the leg is as great or even greater than pre-injury (after all, he had a top team of therapists working with him for a full year). The only likely issue at this point is Greg’s confidence level in the knee. And I sure don’t notice him being tentative out there at this point.

Remember, even in the preseason, what Frye had to say? When asked if GO was favoring the knee, he replied, “What Greg favors is dunking on people’s heads!”

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 12:49 PM PST up reply actions  

I would take Oden

I remember talking with my brother about the pick back then and he thought that Durant could develop into KG with even more offensive moves after he builks up.. so I think that it is ironic that this was posted by a Celtic fan..

but I’d still take Oden not only because I think that Durant will never develop into the type of defensive presence that KG is but because I hold to old school values that a franchise center can everything on the court.

Short of Durant becoming the combo of Kobe and KG my brother though.. I’m pretty sure most Blazer fans will not regret this like past draft picks that didn’t go great.

"Slum dunk? You just go to the rim, and crush.. crush the ball in the rim."
- Nic Batum

by idoltime on Jan 25, 2009 8:11 PM PST reply actions  

Sweet Justice

Would be to pick up Durant in free agency and pair him with G.O. Because, Durant should and will seek to flee that festering sinkhole of a city/state in which he is now imprisoned. This is the dream I dream.

by chnews on Jan 25, 2009 8:47 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

rekt for justice

Man, we should forfeit before roy’s hammy explodes, knocking him into LMA’s ear who loses his balance and hits Greg’s knee… - HurraKane212

http://www.nba.com/news/miles_10_080919.html

by maid tu rek on Jan 26, 2009 9:35 AM PST up reply actions  

i dont think we can afford him

unfortunately over the next few years it is more than likely we will have to develop our existing players, because until 2010 we dont have much cap flexibility unless KP makes a trade

by Yawnie on Jan 27, 2009 5:54 AM PST up reply actions  

Developing

When Oden got hurt, I cringed and cursed for not having durrant. Who knows if his offensive power could have helped us to the playoffs last year. As of lately, I’m so happy we have greg oden. He’s going to develop into an amazing player. 24 points 15 rebounds against the bucks. Last night he had a double double in the first half against the wizards. In less than a year Oden will be averaging a double double a game. Anyone know what team leads the nation in offensive rebounds this year? Portland, 2nd chance buckets are huge, and oden’s only going to get better. If you’d still rather have durrant because he’s an amazing scorer, that’s fine. But I wouldn’t want OKC’s 9 and 35 record. Oden is still DEVELOPING, he will be great. Bayless is looking like a developer as well. RIP CITY!

by jaspitzer on Jan 25, 2009 9:00 PM PST reply actions  

You broke out PER

to breath new life into a dying thread, because everyone agrees on PER’s value…

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 8:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Absolutely!

I’ve just noticed that PER seems to get people’s dander up like no other stat. Probably because its Hollinger’s

"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy

by Honka Playboy on Jan 26, 2009 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

And my dog has a PER of 17.17, taking into account all the valuable skills that dogs put up. He poops with the best of them and is an excellent serial urinater, not to mention his sniffing aptitude...
As we speak, Greg Oden has a PER of 16.85 (and we know that is not a defensive stat)
Last year, Kevin Durant – not coming back from surgery – had 15.85.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 9:33 AM PST up reply actions  

Hollinger continually uses it to compare players on different positions

Fully aware that it doesn’t track everything a player does, especially if he doesn’t get many steals or blocks (thus it e.g. undervalues Bruce Bowen). It’s designed to comprise all the different measurable statistical aspects of a player, so you can go on and look at what else he does:

What PER can do is summarize a player’s statistical accomplishments in a single number. That allows us to unify the disparate data on each player that we try to track in our heads (e.g., Corey Maggette: free-throw machine, good rebounder, decent shooter, poor passer, etc.) so that we can move on to evaluating what might be missing from the stats.

by Norsktroll on Jan 26, 2009 10:56 AM PST up reply actions  

Not buying, my friend, not buying...

But it IS true:

Mr. Bingo Bill Smith > Oden > Durant.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 26, 2009 5:14 PM PST up reply actions  

For the same way that theirs a single quantifiable stat to compare pitchers and second basmen?

WAR compares the value of everyone on the baseball diamond, and does it really well.

There are no good individual basketball statistics.
54!

by joof on Jan 27, 2009 12:11 PM PST up reply actions  

I didn't read the whole thread, but if the question is asking RIGHT NOW

who would I rather have, the answer is clearly Durant.

But this is Durant’s second year and Greg is a rookie, so is the comparison really fair?

See me in five years and ask the same question.

Blazer Fan

by leeroyjenkins on Jan 26, 2009 10:51 AM PST reply actions  

You'd rather have 3 starting SF's than Oden?

I have to disagree.

Oden has been the difference in more than a few of our wins this year. Durant would have zero effect on the ability for the rest of the team, whereas Oden instantly allows for everyone else to be more aggressive on both ends. I’d honestly rather have Batum than Durant, because we already have guys who can score at any time in Roy, Outlaw, Rudy, and Aldridge. What we need are role players. Still, people who know very little about basketball are dazzled by Durant chucking up 30 foot faders every possession and think that it is what basketball is about. Even at the NBA level, basketball is still a team sport. Durant is not a team player. Sorry but you are wrong.

by koyote on Jan 26, 2009 11:26 AM PST up reply actions  

Oden is a beast

G. O. Would Dunk Durant thru the hoop and then Freak his girlfriend at the after party!!

by NewRipCity on Jan 26, 2009 11:19 AM PST reply actions  

That girl appears to be about 6'6" and in top shape

If she can shoot, I say sign her up! She looks much better than Trout.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 12:53 PM PST up reply actions  

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

oh wait, you’re serious!

Ye of little patience. Honestly a number of blazer fans are suffering through that and some obviously agree with you. Less than I thought.

#1: Oden as a player has not put up amazing stats. His surgery has definitely hindered him. Durant had a year to develop and Oden is still warming up.

#2: Offenses bend around Oden’s defense. Yeah, he may not have great stats RIGHT NOW, but teams are still struggling to get around him. he alters shots. He’s doing this while looking amazingly ugly out there.

#3: Oden has improved by a large amount since he started playing at the beginning of the year. He’s faster, his shot is looking better, and he’s looking nimbler. He’s still amazingly out of Bball shape and will only improve.

#4: Durant had to be close to MJ amazing to be a good fit for the blazers. Blazers have weaknesses and Durant didn’t really fill them ENOUGH. Oden only has to be good. He has the potential to be amazing, but frankly… even just being good he upgrades the team about 5 notches. Joel is an awesome guy, but he can’t handle some centers and he’s weak on offense. Oden isn’t and when he gets his groove on, there won’t be a single center in the league he can’t hold his own against.

#5: KP picked him. Frankly, KP has shown pretty good judgment in talent. He had the inside scoop and plenty of experts with him, and they all still picked Oden. It’s unfortunate that greg had to have surgery, but wait until you see what this guy can do NEXT YEAR! This year, he’s just warming up.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Jan 26, 2009 11:51 AM PST reply actions  

Did anyone notice if Tonie43

has replied to any of these comments? It’s like he threw a fresh steak into a cage of lions and then drove back to Boston, not even bothering to call the lion tamer to see what happened.

- Rookie fe[a]st 2009 -

by appel82 on Jan 26, 2009 3:53 PM PST reply actions  

I haven't heard from him since the weekend,

but from chatting with T43 in the past, I think you can be pretty sure that he’s read every one, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up responding a bit over the next few days (but don’t hold me to it). He’s had a busy couple of weeks from what I understand and seems to do most of his posting on the weekends of late, but I have no doubt that he is interested in what you folks had to say and that he has seen it, albeit perhaps silently. He’s good people, and I’m glad to see the many responses the piece drew.

For what it’s worth, I’m with the majority on this one. Lest we forget, prior to the lottery, this was an issue back in Celtic-land as well. I wanted Oden as our “next great big man” then, and nothing that has happened since has dissuaded me from that view. Assuredly, the injuries had to be worrisome (and I’m sure they would have made my stomach turn if I were a Blazer fan), but there’s so much time for this guy to become something otherworldly, and some of the beginning signs are already there. I’m on the GO wagon.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2009 7:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Funny how the Celtics

are only ever truly horrific the year before the “next great center” is entering the NBA. At least, it’s been that way ever since Bird retired.

0 for 2, though.

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 9:13 PM PST up reply actions  

I think you're really short-selling how bad we were

in several years around both the Duncan and Oden drafts. I know you gave us the “truly” horrific tag, but really, 2002, 2003 and 2005 excepted, those were really not fun times at all. And to be honest, I’d say I might have enjoyed 2003-04 (36 wins, Obie resigns, nobody has any idea what the plan is) least of all.

That said, I understand what you’re saying, and it’s an interesting point.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2009 9:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Well, you guys were deceptively mediocre

That team was never going to win anything, obviously, but the C’s won at least 30 games every year except for 96-97 (before Duncan), 98-99 (maybe they wanted Brand?), and then 06-07. I put those records in the “frustratingly mediocre” category rather than “truly horrific”.

Although admittedly, I wouldn’t wish the Pitino years on anyone.

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 9:30 PM PST up reply actions  

We can certainly agree on that last part

I still root against Louisville on that principle. Which probably isn’t fair, given that the Ricktator is for the most part an excellent college coach, at least in part for the same reasons that he was awful in Boston. And I stubbornly remain bitter because of just how bad those years were.

Also, in fairness to your point, it bears noting that the sub-30 mark in ’98 was due to the lockout shortening the season. The team played .380 ball, which would project to a shade more than 31 wins over 82 games. So score another one for you.

Fair points – especially since I never stepped back to think about the records that way. It was really easy to just get wrapped up in the misery then, as you might imagine.

Good stuff, Royster.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2009 10:11 PM PST up reply actions  

At least you can be thankful that Ainge did an incredible job

turning those mediocre picks into viable talent. Instead of Delonte, Tony Allen, Big Al, Gerald Green, Powe, Gomes, and Rondo, they could have just as easily had Monia, Khryapa, Robert Whatley, Julius Hodge, Marcus Williams, Chieck Samb, and Kirk Snyder.

Good luck using that to snag KG and Allen and win a title.

by Royster on Jan 26, 2009 10:35 PM PST up reply actions  

Trust me, I really hate sounding *too* bitter

about those bad years, especially on other sites. We’ve reached an era where, as long as it’s going, the past can be the past, and I should be focused on enoying what’s here.

And I’m grateful as possible for that. It’s been a beautiful year and a half, and I’m hoping it continues.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2009 10:42 PM PST up reply actions  

The C's wanted Durant anyway, though, right?

Jerryd Bayless has two emotions: Kill and Win.

"I want to put points on your face."
-Rudy to Pau Gasol

NorrisHopper30: "someone injure pubert jones"

by rockingharder on Jan 26, 2009 10:16 PM PST up reply actions  

that was the rumor at the time

although I can’t remember if DA came out and said anything explicit about it.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 26, 2009 10:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Wasn't DA fined for being too chatty with Durant's family?

Jerryd Bayless has two emotions: Kill and Win.

"I want to put points on your face."
-Rudy to Pau Gasol

NorrisHopper30: "someone injure pubert jones"

by rockingharder on Jan 27, 2009 12:55 AM PST up reply actions  

yes, he materialized next to his mother at one of KD's games, I think

or something along those lines.

But I’m not sure how definitive of Ainge’s preference that is, seeing as I imagine everyone wanted to be close to both players before the lottery was decided.

-sw

Manuel Aristides Ramirez is the greatest hitter I've ever seen.

by Steve Weinman on Jan 27, 2009 7:00 AM PST up reply actions  

Tag line please . . .

GO = BEAST
            Durant = Bony Gunner.

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Jan 26, 2009 4:13 PM PST reply actions  

Oden is all that, plus...

…he has touch. He can make shots. I swear, with dog as my witness…he will develop a mid-range game that will be at least as good as Amare’s. Not this year, but soon, and for the rest of his life.

by chnews on Jan 26, 2009 4:54 PM PST reply actions  

Agreed

I’m surprised to hear actual experts—e.g., Charles Barkley (he WAS a pretty good player)—say that GO has no offensive skills. I definitely see plenty of raw ability there, as well as the desire to develop it.

Along with the obvious size & strength, GO has quickness, soft hands, nice touch, and good form on his jumper (or at least his set shot). On one recent play, GO even showed the ability to put the ball on the floor and drive to the basket. Remember that play? GO started in the left corner. The shot got blocked, but the ballhandling ability he showed on the way was eye-opening.

This is NOT a defense & rebounding-only center. Moving forward, he looks like a 20/14 guy to me (with 2 1/2 blocks thrown in.) Thanks to that wizened face, it’s important to remind ourselves that GO is barely 21 years old.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Jan 26, 2009 7:16 PM PST up reply actions  

Charles Barkley make use of hyperbole?!? Really??? He's THE WORST ANNOUNCER IN THE HISTORY OF BROADCASTING!!!!
Charles Barkley (he WAS a pretty good player)—say that GO has no offensive skills.

"Now with a non-provocative footer!"

by timbo on Jan 27, 2009 9:34 AM PST up reply actions  

Dwight Howard had no offensive skills either as a rookie (and the Magic were destroyed for passing on Okafor)

He averages 20 points a game without a jumpshot or finesse game. It can be done, especially in today’s league where relying on strength and athleticism can be just as important as actual basketball skill.

Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs

by Ozzie Montana on Jan 27, 2009 10:05 AM PST up reply actions  

sick of all the arguments

let the guys play, they dont play different positions, and every game moves us further away from the 2007 draft.

if we were to compare it would be in 10+ years, when both these guys are age 30+

by Yawnie on Jan 27, 2009 6:04 AM PST reply actions  

Yes

I wish I had Durant on my team. I made the mistake of taking Gilbert Arenas in the 8th round, which was a gamble that didn’t work out. My team could really use another scorer – especially since Amare Stoudemire is not scoring at the same level that he was at last season. I’m glad I took Brandon Roy in the 4th round, but I made mistakes on draft day. Durant would be most welcome on my team.

Oh, wait, you mean on the Blazers? Of course, the Blazers would take Durant. Although not at the price of Oden……

by Storyteller on Jan 27, 2009 11:03 AM PST reply actions  

I wish I had Durant

in a box. I’d ship him off to Antartica so you fools would quit talking about him…

I have my P.h.D in unreliable hyperbole.

by Eat Politicians on Jan 28, 2009 1:56 AM PST reply actions  

Somehow I missed this thread

90% of 629 votes says more than 352 comments does.

"Only dunk and go to the defense." Rudy Fernandez

by Sabonis4Ever on Jan 28, 2009 1:57 AM PST reply actions  

Durant is a great offensive player, but we do not need him when we have Roy and LMA.

We need defense and that is what Oden does.

by neBo503 on Jan 28, 2009 9:20 AM PST reply actions  

For anyone who is still looking at this post

Someone questioned why I haven’t been responding to any of your comments (thanks for all of them, by the way), and as my friend from CelticsBlog who was sticking up for me explained, I have been very budy of late during weekdays. As a Celtics homer, who indeed knows what it’s like to be a homer, I understand the overwhelming suppport of Oden. That’s not to say that many of you didnt have valid reasons for you choice, but clearly you all have tons of reason to be biassed. As I tried to explain in my post, and I hope you all realize, I wouldnt be suprised at all if Oden ends up becoming the better player. Right now, I think that Durant has the edge, and I think that there are a lot of people out there (besides in Portland) who would agree with me. Again, thanks for all the great responses. I read every one of them, altough I have to admit that there were so many so fast that in responding I wouldn’t have even known where to start.

Thanks,
Toine43

by Toine43 on Jan 28, 2009 9:26 PM PST reply actions  

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