The Likely List

by Dave on Sep 24, 2008 11:31 PM PDT

Last season we played a game that was pretty fun so I thought we should take a shot at it again.

11 events are listed below in no particular order. Your job is to rearrange them in the order you think they are most likely to occur, starting with the most probable and ending with the least probable. So the event you list on top is the most likely to happen of all 11 and the rest follow in order. Got it?

Obviously these events are judged only in relationship to each other. To provide a further clue as to what you think is realistic and what is not I'd also like you to put a "reality line" at the place you judge the actually-likely-to-happen-in-real-life events to end and the not-very-likely events to begin.

Thus if you had:

Event A

Event B

Event C

Event D

---------------------

Event E

Event F

Etc.

That would mean you think the first four events actually could happen while the rest probably couldn't. Your line could come after the first event, after the seventh, even above or below the entire list if you thought all of them possible or not.

Leave an explanation along with your list if you want.

Here are the 11 events:

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team

Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want)

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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Comments

first (with pun of pun)....

Hill has to make the roster, then rudy shocks the world and drops 40 on Los A. in the season opener, then bayless during the same game lay’s a 0-12 field goal percentage while hitting 12-12 from the line. Meanwhile dishing out 12 assists (to rudy), Nate notices the brilliance from the jump and rolls with it, inserting diogu into the 9 man lineup, and by mid way through the season, travis gets his first all-star bid, the team posts an unheard of 36-4 pre-all-star game record, prompting the team to trade martell given the cap crisis looming, martell goes to the Grizzlies traded for yet another guard and scores 18+per game for the rest of the season. Imediately after, blake goes down with a twisted ankle, bayless has the flu, forcing nate to start sergio who goes on to throw down 20 ally oops in a single game and not forcing a single turnover prompting kp to do something ugly and tell nate to start him for the remainder of the season, as by then we should be a lock for the playoffs posting a 64-6 record, cruizing on to a first seed in the playoffs, having the team sweep sweeep sweeeeep and sweeeeeeeep the competition under the rug to Portlands second NBA title in 3 decades….after it’s all said and done, nate is named coach of the year, Greg is the first rookie this decade to recieve an M.V.P award, and the league decides to induct Brandon Roy into the hall of fame pre-emptively….

did I get em all?..oh, 6th man…..when you score 40 points in your first game off the bench it kinda sets a stage for things to come,….RUDY RUDY RUDY!!! for the next 2 years…6th man of the year. may as well throw in a r.o.y to…2 of em!! one for greg too.

I'VE NO PROOF. NONE. NADA. I BASE MY OPINION ON FAITH AND FATE ALONE. BEFORE IT'S DOUBTED AND THROWN UNDER THE RUG, READ THIS AND TELL ME FATE DOES NOT EXIST.

May 23, 2006
"And come on now, really...had we gotten the #1 selection would we have been happy or just talking about how our cursed luck continues because this is the first year that high schoolers (and thus Greg Oden) aren't allowed in the draft? Save it for next year guys...save it for next year."
--Dave

a tribute to what it was, and the way it is. Mad respect Dave.

by faith on Sep 24, 2008 11:58 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs

That is exactly what's going to happen!!!! Faith? You should be Nostrodamus.

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Sep 25, 2008 7:54 AM PDT up reply actions

This year, or ever? I'm going with "ever" here

Nate for COY: It’s going to happen, if not this year then in the year Portland cracks the top 3 in the West
Oden for MVP: It’s going to happen, latest in the year Portland wins the West
Ike Diogu in the rotation: Yes, if Frye/LMA are hurt for a longer time or he becomes a MIP candidate
Rudy drops 40: His career-high in the ACB was 36, so one night it might happen in the NBA
Webster for 18 ppg: Not impossible (J.R. Smith did it last season in only 27 minutes per game), but he would still need to increase his minutes and efficiency a lot.
6th man: Outlaw or Rudy. (And you really don’t need to be an All-Star for this.)
————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
Jerryd 12/12 FT: Hey, if Wilt can do 18/18, Bayless can do a perfect 12.
Travis All-Star: With this forward competition, it’s a little doubtful — slam dunk contest doesn’t count here :-)
Sergio as full-time starter: Only if he develops a lot.
Roy in the Hall: HOF Monitor: 61 (Likely HOFer > 135). Terry Porter greets with a score of 113. So still a lot of work to do and awards to win.
Steven Hill: On the roster? Top 12? With Frye and Raef out? Slightly better chance than nope.

St. Bayno's 120 Haiku Prospects: Nicolas Batum in the paint—prairie grass, blown by wind. Jerryd Bayless—leaps over a kite string, and keeps going.

by Norsktroll on Sep 25, 2008 12:43 AM PDT reply actions

Last season, J.R. Smith ...

averaged 12.3 points per game in 19.2 minutes per contest.

That’s 23 points per 36 mintues, though, which is impressive for a sixth man.

by AK1984 on Sep 25, 2008 1:31 AM PDT up reply actions

Oops, you are right

Stupid NBA is showing the postseason in their leader-board by default, and I wanted to look up who scored 18+ points in how many minutes last year http://www.nba.com/statistics/player/Scoring.jsp
And Smith did that in the postseason, scoring 18.2 in 26.9 minutes over 4 games. I change my season comparison to Ben Gordon (18.6 in 32 minutes) or Mike Dunleavy (19.1 in 36), and still think it’s possible one day for Martell.

St. Bayno's 120 Haiku Prospects: Nicolas Batum in the paint—prairie grass, blown by wind. Jerryd Bayless—leaps over a kite string, and keeps going.

by Norsktroll on Sep 25, 2008 1:56 AM PDT up reply actions

Ben Gordon ...

is a defensively inept, undersized shooting guard who’s an all-out gunner in the sixth man role. On the other hand, Martell Webster is a swingman whose apparent goal is to be a well-rounded, complete player on both sides of the ball.

Despite having damn near no ball-handling skills and an inability to create shots for himself, however, Webster could theortetically become an 18 point per game scorer one season. Yet, rather than emulate a completely different type of player in Gordon, Webster ought to watch some old tapes of Glen Rice; that’s his best bet at eventually making a noticeable impact in this league.

by AK1984 on Sep 25, 2008 2:12 AM PDT up reply actions

Shouldn't your line be just a wee bit lower

as you say Bayless could do 12/12.

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Sep 25, 2008 7:59 AM PDT up reply actions

Wilt was a bad free throw shooter

The fact that he holds the NBA record amazes me. I understood Dave that it needs to be a perfect FT result, so not 15/12 but 12/12 or better in just one game (and 18/18 is the record). That’s “possible”, but not really “likely” in my opinion.

St. Bayno's 120 Haiku Prospects: Nicolas Batum in the paint—prairie grass, blown by wind. Jerryd Bayless—leaps over a kite string, and keeps going.

by Norsktroll on Sep 25, 2008 10:20 AM PDT up reply actions

Nate McMillan wins Coach of the Year: It’s going to happen sometime, if not this season.

Greg Oden wins the MVP: A pivotman of his caliber out to win at least one Most Valuable Player award; otherwise, he won’t have lived up to those lofty, yet rational expectations.

Ike Diogu will crack the 9-man rotation this season: It’ll take an injury to either LaMarcus Aldridge or Channing Frye; unfortunately, that’s a strong possibility.

Jerryd Bayless goes 12/12 from the free-throw line in a game: That’s a tough feat, but Bayless does get to the charity stripe a lot and, most importantly, is an efficient shooter. It’s definitely a conceivable accomplishment, but I wouldn’t bet on it.

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 points in one game: During the early-‘90s, Willie Burton once scored 53 points in a game; that’s ’nough said …

———————————————————————————————————————————————————

Steven Hill makes the roster: I give it a fifty-fifty chance.

———————————————————————————————————————————————————

A current Blazers wins the NBA Sixth Man Award: Although it’s an unlikely occurence, I could envision Rudy Fernandez pulling this off one day. Despite Fernandez lacking Emanuel Ginobili’s defensive fortitude, he’s capable of putting up similar numbers on offense. Thus, due to the fact that sportswriters are oftentimes doltish morons who dont’ recognize the importance of defense, Fernandez could someday easily win said award.

Martell Webster averages 18 points per game in a season: Unless Martell Webster developes a consistent three-point shot like, oh, Glen Rice — and, moreover, the NBA returns to its fast-paced, high-scoring era of the ‘80s — it’s not in the cards.

Travis Outlaw is at least a one-time NBA All-Star: Nope, Outlaw isn’t that good of a player; he’s a garden-variety, run-of-the-mill combo forward off of the bench. I still don’t get why some of y’all treat him like some kind of deity, but that’s your problem.

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter: Yeah, uh, this isn’t Europe.

Brandon Roy is elected to the Basketball Hall of Fame: It’s not the Hall of Very Good, okay.

by AK1984 on Sep 25, 2008 1:52 AM PDT reply actions

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year – I expect this to happen this year or next
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. – within 4 years
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game – at any time
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want) – item 3 > item 4
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. this could easily be #1
———————————————————————————————————-
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter – he’ll get his shot with a bad team but it won’t stick. On average he’ll be a backup.
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team – two things have to happen 1) he gets traded (likely enough) but then he has to average 18+
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster – I think KP will leave it open
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star – roster too crowded for him to get the recognition
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation – Ike will eventually lose out to Frye or somebody else.

Free Joel Freeland! (with the purchase of 1 Wafer)

by LaughingJon on Sep 25, 2008 6:07 AM PDT reply actions

oops

screwed up the formating on item 4, didn’t mean to strike it out.

Free Joel Freeland! (with the purchase of 1 Wafer)

by LaughingJon on Sep 25, 2008 6:08 AM PDT up reply actions

My votes and reality check

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year (Yes, it will happen sometime in his career)

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. (I’m sure even Chris Dudley had one lucky game)

Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster (Gonna’ happen)

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (So many young kids, someone has to get it…either with this team or another)

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game (This guy can score. It will happen)

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame (I only put Roy making Hall of Fame ahead of Oden MVP because Roy might steal some MVP trophies from Greg—haha!)

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. (Still, I think it will happen)

——————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team (Could happen, but I honestly can’t think of a team where he’d be first or second option)

Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star (Mildly plausible, if he gets traded)

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter (Can’t think of a team where he’d be better than 2nd right now)

Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation (I’m tempted to pull a Fatty-esque guarantee this won’t happen)

"I think that the team that wins game five will win the series. Unless we lose game five."
Who else? Charles Barkley

by prezofdeath on Sep 25, 2008 7:11 AM PDT reply actions

I have read the teas leaves, and this is what I see...

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
——————————————————
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Obviously, some of these we will know fairly soon (for example, if Steven Hill is there opening night), and others will take rather longer (Oden for MVP? Roy for HoF? Well, they have their whole careers ahead of them to get there!)

I really think this would work better if it were limited to topics for this season only. Or conversely, were comprised of events that will all take years and years to come about.

Wherever you go, there you are.

by Majikj0n on Sep 25, 2008 7:13 AM PDT reply actions

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year (easy)
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game (It’s gotta happen at some point)
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. (inevitable)
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame (I hope so)
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. (If he’s as good as we’re told, and we win rings, yep)
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star (He said it’s his goal, he’s athletic enough)
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team (That guy can score, and I can see teams that would use him as a second option, which should give him enough shots to get there)
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster (somebody has to)
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter (I think he’ll be a late blooming PG)
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want)
——————————————————————————————————
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation (If it’s down to nine, I just don’t see him in there)

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Sep 25, 2008 7:52 AM PDT reply actions

Philthyanimal's list

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. – hes already demonstrated he can at Summer League.

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want) – with our loaded bench any one of our guys can be a 6th man. the only thing preventing them from becoming a 6th man winner is that they may not always be the MAN off the bench since there are 2 others that could lead the bench. My pics are Rudy, Trout, and in a distant 3rd JBay.

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year – I think last year was possibly his best chance to win COTY. If he wins here on out unless the team makes a quantum leap towards being a title contender I dont think he’d make a big enough splash to warrant the award.
Plus with the talent we have in our pool…it is expected we win. Last year no one expected us to do so and we shocked the NBA.

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. – hes already demonstrated he can at Summer League.

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game – It’s kinda rare to see anyone on our team score 40 since we spread the ball out so much. I guess it’d be even more rare to score 40 off the bench. But I’m just too high on rudy to think he can’t do it. He’s versatile enough to score with the ball or using his off the ball movement to get scores as well.

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. – of course hes GREG freaking ODEN

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter – possibly on the right team.
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

by Philthyanimal on Sep 25, 2008 7:58 AM PDT reply actions

Da Kine

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year – Some day it will be true
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. – This too will happen
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game – I should probably move this down, but I like the idea of it happening.
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game – Better chance of this happening than him getting 12 assists
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want) Rudy or Outlaw
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame – Injuries are my only concern
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter – Why not?
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star – He has a chance
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster – He has a chance
——————————————————————————————————————
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team – Not going to be traded
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation - I just don’t know enough about this guy at this time

Blazers Edge has an alarmist vision

by tominhawaii on Sep 25, 2008 8:23 AM PDT reply actions

I like this game...

Here’s my take…

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want)
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

——————————-

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

If the Blazers win anything close to 50 and make the playoffs, McMillan will be a favorite to win coach of the year (sort of a reward for the past TWO seasons). Oden isn’t gonna be an MVP THIS year, but there are few dominant centers in the NBA and those are the sort of guys who DO win MVP awards… We’ve got three leading 6th man candidates THIS year (Rudy, Rex, Outlaw), any one of them could go off… Bayless gets to the rack a lot which means lots of foul shots and is a good shooter. Actually, this is a high probability event, I think I’ve conned myself into moving it to the top of the list… I think Hill is the #15 guy, not Jackson or Randolph…

Marty will go, but he’s not an 18 point guy… 40 in a game are superstar numbers; Rudy will get into the 30s, but I don’t think his middle name is Kobe… Roy is good but not god… Diogu is odd man out… Trout won’t ever make the All Star team… And Sergio will be back in Spain soon…

Hike.

"TominHawaii's real name is Hubert and he's a rancher in Burns."

by timbo on Sep 25, 2008 8:28 AM PDT reply actions

Diogu COULD make the 9 man if it's a brutal year for injuries, which is why that's not dead last probability, by the way.

"TominHawaii's real name is Hubert and he's a rancher in Burns."

by timbo on Sep 25, 2008 8:33 AM PDT up reply actions

My list

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
____________________________________

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

"From Bill Walton to Brandon Roy, we wanna know it all
From Clyde Drexler to Greg Oden, from the basket to the ball
Every move they make is covered, somebody make the call
The shot clock's always running at Blazers Edge"

by blazermaniac32 on Sep 25, 2008 8:37 AM PDT reply actions

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award

Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team

Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Sep 25, 2008 8:42 AM PDT reply actions

What's the over-under on Bayless killing somebody with that stare?

At the very least he’ll give an old lady a stroke if she looks directly at it. Book it.

by Heizer on Sep 25, 2008 8:49 AM PDT reply actions

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (Rudy, Travis, Bayless, Webster?)
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

by fatwansaboni on Sep 25, 2008 8:51 AM PDT reply actions

Seeing that there is only one option I wouldn't like...

The most likely to happen:

1. Bayless hitting 12/12 FTs
2. Mcmillan getting COY
3. Rudy Springin 40 pts on L.A.
4. Brandon being enshrined
5. Greg renames the MVP trophy: ODEN
6. Travis is voted by the coaches into the All-Star game
7. A Blazer by the name of Rudy! Rudy! Fernandez wins Best 6th Man
8. I like Ike in the 8th spot to crack the 9-man rotation
9. The Bearded Razorback makes opening night’s roster
10. Sergio could, maybe, with a lot of hard work…well anything is possible!
_______________________________

11. Martell gets traded and avgs 18+ for another team? KP will never give up on his boy!

by Mallardvalue on Sep 25, 2008 9:10 AM PDT reply actions

my list

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
—-
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want)

by RocketsFan on Sep 25, 2008 9:59 AM PDT reply actions

Probably all wrong, but here goes:

- Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster (if Frye is out, it is almost a given)
- Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
- Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation (McMillan determines that we’re better off with Frye playing center and Ike at PF in many cases)
- Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (Bayless or Rudy – but ones needs to be gone or start first)
- Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
- Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year (expectations may now be too high)
- Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
- Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
——
- Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter (probably not in Portland)
- Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star (will take playing better D, winning a championship and some current stars fading or moving conferences)
- Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game (not really his game – his high in Euroleague was 26)

by hoopla-pdx on Sep 25, 2008 10:25 AM PDT reply actions

The List

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award Rudy, Jarred or Travis
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
_______________________________________________________________________________
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Sep 25, 2008 10:38 AM PDT reply actions

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. ( but I am not sure what might qualify as better 13-14 or does he still have to shoot 1.000?)
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year (I would be very surprised if this didn’t happen.)
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award
-
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. (that is going to be tough, but I guess its do-able)
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game (it would have to be a game against the thunder with Brandon out for some reason, but its completely possible)
-
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
-
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster (But I’ve been wrong many times before)
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation ( Pretty doubtful)

Jaws were hitting the floor as Greg repeatedly attempted to tear the rim off the backboard...

by TheOdenator on Sep 25, 2008 10:41 AM PDT reply actions

here's mine

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
——————————————————————————
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

Rule #1 of nitpicking is to get it right.

by douglast on Sep 25, 2008 11:55 AM PDT reply actions

My List

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (in order of likeliness: T-Rav, T-Rex, C-Frye)
——————————————————-
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

It's officially been coined: "Decade of Dominance" (D.O.D.)

by LaoTzu on Sep 25, 2008 11:56 AM PDT reply actions

Assuming that these are "ever" unless otherwise noted:

1. Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
2. Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
3. Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
4. Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
5. Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
6. Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
7. Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (Rudy most likely)
8. Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
________________________________________________
9. Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
10. Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
11. Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

by BlazersAx on Sep 25, 2008 12:05 PM PDT reply actions

my take

Rudy – with his confidence it will happen
Roy – on his way
Bayless – his strength is drawing the fouls
Nate – You can’t take a team from last to a contender and not be noticed
6th man – Rudy or Trout
Oden – Will he get overlooked because of our team oriented style?
___________________________________________________________
Hill
Sergio – There are some bad teams that need a PG
Ike – injuries…a lot of injuries would need to happen.
Outlaw – even if he gets that good, his personality/marketability will not allow All-star birth
Webster – He will never be the go-to guy… which is fine for us.

Sometimes I feel like I'm going in different directions...

by porterfan30 on Sep 25, 2008 1:07 PM PDT reply actions

A spin on this.

Nate- Coach of the year. This or some year will be his for the award
Brandon- Wins MVP. He has to be taken seriously for the award. MVP material.
Greg- Blazer for R.O.Y. First since Roy won R.O.Y.
Travis-Gets all star status.
Martell-Gets traded, gets us good value of a playoff tested player.
Rudy- establishes himself, and gives GO a run for R.O.Y.
Ike-traded. I thought we gave up JJ too early. Indiana might make us eat that one.
Jerryd- accuracy from the FT line. Say 12-12.
Steven Hill- Opening night on this year;’s opening night roster.
6th man-Channing Frye
Sergio- becomes a starter.

by CanadianBlazerfan on Sep 25, 2008 4:05 PM PDT reply actions

Considering "ever"...

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (Trout or Rudy)
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
_
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Jerryd Bayless has two emotions: Kill and Win.

"I think it’s going to be very beautiful game next year."
-Nicolas Batum

by rockingharder on Sep 25, 2008 4:36 PM PDT reply actions

Random Prediction Power Rankings!

[NOTE: I wasn’t paying attention and all my rankings are based on the chances of these events happening THIS SEASON. But I’m so close to being finished that I’m not rethinking it!]

1. Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.
(No brainer. All he needs is semi-decent minutes against a foul prone team. Book it.)

2. Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night Roster
(His hard work stands out and he would be valuable in a 2-for-1 trade)

3. Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game
(Dependent on minutes and opponent, but could easily happen in the preseason before Brandon’s back on board and the other teams have no scouting data on Rudy.)

4. Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation
(If Steven Hill isn’t recruited, having 5 bigs between two positions isn’t overkill factoring
injuries and/or specific matchup situations. That said I dont see him replacing Channing, yet.)

5. Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award
(I would rank this higher except for my fear that our boys lose because they cannibalize each others votes and fall in the totals.)

———Not the reality line, but the PLAUSABILITY line———————————————

6. Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year
(We probably need to go 6-7 games in the 2nd round for him to be a serious contender,
but Nate will get substantial credit if we show great chemistry with our rookies and everyone plays 1st class team defense.)

——-THIS is the reality line———————————————————————————————-

7. Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team
(Don’t see him getting traded at all, IMHO, not with the rumors of his improved physicality and defensive intensity.)

8. Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star.
(First off it won’t happen unless he proves himself as a starter, so maybe 7 has to come true first. Secondly, it’ll have to be the reserve team, he won’t get in on fan votes.)

9. Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter
(Clearly not here, but possibly as the result of a trade deal. This might be more likely than I think only because I don’t know enough about other teams weakness at PG.)

10. Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.
(I don’t think this could possibly happen unless we make a finals appearance. If it had been ROY, I’d place this in the top 4.)

11. Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame
(Clearly not going to happen this year… hence I thought, “Hmm, maybe I misread the post.” Doh!)

by conspirator5 on Sep 25, 2008 5:22 PM PDT reply actions

Well, given my moniker, I HAVE to respond…

This Year’s Yes’s:
Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster — perhaps not most likely, but first
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (You can say who you think will do it if you want) — Rudy, Rudy, Rudy!
Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game – in ’08…

Next Season:
Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. - if healthy, more than once
Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. - next year, when he has more respect and PT…

All-time:
Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame – if he stays healthy, sure…
Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year – a lock, as long as he remains with Portland.

————————————- reality line -————————-
Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation – 10-man, yes this year, 9 no…
Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team — traded yes, 18+, no.
Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter — he’ll be in Spain in ‘09.
Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star — no, West is too deep, and the writers won’t put everybody from the Blazers on the team…

Good fun, Dave, thanks…

by Visionary1 on Sep 25, 2008 7:50 PM PDT reply actions

My take

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P.

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game.

Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award — Rudy

Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

—————————————-

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

by kickbrass on Sep 27, 2008 12:19 PM PDT reply actions

what i think

Nate McMillan is voted Coach of the Year (it’s gonna happen sooner or later)

Rudy Fernandez scores 40 in a game (he’s a scorer, no doubt.)

Brandon Roy makes the Hall of Fame

Steven Hill makes this year’s opening night roster

Greg Oden wins the league M.V.P. (big centers don’t like to get votes for MVP, for whatever reason)

Martell Webster gets traded and averages 18+ for another team (it’s possible, i guess)
————————————————————-
Any Current Blazer wins the 6th Man of the Year award (it’s so random, it’s not likely to happen

Jerryd Bayless goes 12-12 or better from the free throw line in a game. (he’d have to get that many FTs, don’t think it’s gonna happen any time soon)

Ike Diogu eventually finds a place in the Blazers’ 9-man rotation

Sergio Rodriguez becomes a full-time NBA starter

Travis Outlaw becomes an All-Star

by blazersman on Sep 27, 2008 3:07 PM PDT reply actions