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Around SBN: Dissecting Nick Diaz's Positive Drug Test

Seriously, who got better?

There's another prediction thread over on O-Live today, in which people are making their cases, as we have here countless times, about whether the Blazers will have 42 wins or 56 wins or 82 wins.  The talk is inevitably deferential to teams that have finished at the top of their division last year, and which haven't sustained any serious personnel losses.  Which makes me want to flip the conversation over - this post's focus is on who in the west actually got better this off-season.

L*kers: Andrew Bynum returns from injury.  This moves Gasol to the PF, which is probably OK, and potentially moves Odom to the SF and Walton to the bench.  Crazy tall and talented lineup on paper.  We'll have to see if there's enough room on the block for both Gasol and Bynum, and Gasol isn't as effective outside as, say, LaMarcus Aldridge.  Still, with a healthy Bynum, the L*kers got better, and didn't lose anyone critical (only Turiaf, who was not).

Hornets: They got James Posey, a scrappy defender and a clutch shooter, who averaged less than eight points and four and a half rebounds last year for the Celtics in just over 24 minutes.  They lost Jannero Pargo, who averaged just over eight points in a little less than 19 minutes a game.  I'm going to call that a wash.  The year of experience they all got playing together was great, but what are the chances of Peja being able to go 75+ games again this year?  I mean, seriously?  I'm going to call them even.

Spurs: There's no substitute for experience, and these guys have a lot of that.  But they basically just got older going into the fall, Manu has ankle issues, and at their age you've got to expect they're going to have some injury issues again this year.  Roger Mason is not enough of an addition to offset the loss of Brent Barry and the ravages of time.  The Spurs got worse - their starting five are now 33, 32, 37, 35, 26.

Jazz: Kosta Koufos and Brevin Knight?  I'm going to say the Jazz spent the off-season treading water.  They still have a relatively young and talented starting five, with Okur, Boozer, Kirilenko, Brewer, and Williams, but they didn't make any major moves to improve, I guess they figure marinating the mix they have in place now will be enough to get the job done, that or they're contractually stuck until Boozer opts out and heads to Miami.  Either way, not improved.

Rockets: This one is a tough call, for the off-season, they picked up Ron-Ron and Brent Barry.  Brent Barry was a nice pickup, with his recent injury issues he should feel right at home in Houston.  But who does Ron-Ron start instead of?  I'm guessing the answer is not Battier.  So they start him at the PF at 6'7" instead of Chuck Hayes?  Or do they slide the 6'8" Battier over to the PF, to try and guard guys like Gasol and Aldridge?  I'm going to call this a no-better, despite them picking up Artest and Barry, as I just don't see Ron-Ron working out there, especially if he's fighting Battier for minutes.

Suns: Shaq is old.  Grant Hill is old.  Steve Nash is getting up there.  This is a team that needs to win now, so they didn't rebuild during the off-season.  They picked up some pine warriors - Goran Dragic, Matt Barnes, and Robin Lopez.  While they didn't lose anyone important, neither did they gain.  In the upper echelons of the NBA, standing still in the NBA is the same as running backwards, and they were at best standing still, which is why so many are predicting a slide this season.

Mavericks: Another very experienced team. Thank goodness they got Diop back!  (You can check your sarcasm detector there.)  It's been said the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result, so it's a natural conclusion that Mark Cuban is insane. Or maybe they just needed more time to gel with their new, 36 year old PG.  They got older, but mostly aren't geriatrics, and lost no major pieces, so they didn't get better or worse.

Nuggets: They traded their best defensive player for nothing, and let their other defensive player escape to free-agency.  If I'm George Karl, I'm headed for the door right now.  This team is bound for the lottery, despite all their offensive firepower.

Warriors: Lost Baron Davis, and their new franchise player Ellis hurt himself skateboarding.  Or maybe in a zorb.  New acquisition Corey Maggette does not like to pass the ball.  Hope that's not a problem.  Anthony Randolph looked good in summer league.  I wonder if Nellie will ever play him.  I'm guessing no.  Got Marcus Williams in a fire sale... hmm, I wonder why he was available.  Crowning achievement - signing Ronnie Turiaf.  Did they get better?  Hard to say, but I'm leaning towards no.

Blazers: We lost our best three point shooter, ouch.  But hey, we got the number one pick in the draft and the most heralded center since Tim Duncan back.  We also have the euroleague multi-tournament MVP vying for minutes, along with the summer league MVP. So many irrelevant MVPs.  Even so, getting three guys who could conceivably be contributors while losing one oft-injured wing has to be considered a huge improvement.  Soon, we'll find out how huge.

Kings: Picked up a couple of what could turn out to be decent rookies with Thompson and Greene and lost Ron-Ron.  Given my issues with Artest, I think this makes them better.  Maybe not much better, though, and they weren't very good to start with.

Clippers: Lost Elton Brand, gained Baron Davis and Marcus Camby.  Also picked up Ricky Davis so they'd be able to put a team on the floor that's majority Davis.  Nice.  Also got Jason Williams from Miami, go figure, huh? Signing Brian Skinner was the crowning piece.  It's hard to say how effective Brand will be coming off the injury, but comparing the output to that of the old Brand, it's hard to see how the Clippers didn't end up worse off.  Keep in mind I'm not a huge fan of Baron Davis in this assessment.

Timberwolves: Nice pickup with Mike Miller, not so much with Brian Cardinal. Didn't lose big Al, their only player going into the summer.  Remind me who's going to play center for these guys?  Calvin Booth, Jason Collins?  It's surely not going to be Kevin Love. They also grabbed Carney in the off-season. One could argue they got better, but starting from where they did, it was difficult not to.  I still expect them to finish near last in the conference this year.

Grizzlies: They got dope Darrell Arthur, Marc Gasol, Marko Jaric, Antoine Walker, and O.J. Mayo in the off-season, while losing Mike Miller, their best veteran.  Gasol may start.  If anyone saw the Olympics, you know Marc was not the scoring threat his brother is, he's more of a space eater type.  Anyway, though they were thoroughly terrible last year after dumping Gasol for pennies on the dollar, they improved little, if at all, because they lost Miller.

Thunder: Hopefully these bastards will lose every game.  I won't be watching.  But sentiment aside, they didn't lose anyone important (only Ridnour, who really wasn't) while gaining Westbrook, who may be decent.  They got better, but are still surely bound for the cellar.

Executive Summary: Among the teams with a real shot at the playoffs, the L*kers and Blazers got better, the Nuggets and Spurs got worse, the Warriors mixed it up big time, and the rest spent the off-season hoping that this was the year it would all come together. The Hornets and Jazz are young enough that standing pat may not hurt them.  But to my mind, people who are touting 50+ Blazer wins are not talking solely from the perspective of fan hysteria.

Comment 66 comments  |  10 recs  | 

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Excellent post!

I agree with your assessment across the board. My only concern is the Hornets, Lakers, Spurs and the refs. I think we have a great shot to take the rest of the west behind the woodshed.

He's Coming! Oden Slayer of Giants

by Idog1976 on Sep 16, 2008 9:04 PM PDT reply actions  

I largely agree with your evaluations

I’ve been thinking for a while that we should have a good year not just because we’re adding Oden and two potential impact rookies to another year of experience for our core players but also because the rest of the West, except for the Lakers, looks to have stood still or fallen back a bit.

I commented today on the Clip Nation blog and got shot down. Tom’s right, the fans of other teams don’t know squat about our team.

"Screw the chalupa – it’s the victory I want." --timg56

by MiledAnimal on Sep 16, 2008 9:41 PM PDT reply actions  

Yeah, I'm with you,

when I read other SB nation blogs. Although, I’d have to say, I’m not entirely up on the other teams additions. That’s why I really like posts like this one, that try to bring some prospective on the growth of our team alongside other Western conference powers.

by Montavilla Steve on Sep 16, 2008 9:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sure, but to dismiss Greg Oden the way they do?

That’s just ignorant and/or wishful thinking. It’s like he’s flying under the radar.

"Screw the chalupa – it’s the victory I want." --timg56

by MiledAnimal on Sep 17, 2008 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

True...

That crazy podcast by quick from yesterday had some comments about how the blazers organization wanted to keep him under the radar a little bit.

Not that hes sneaking up on anyone but who knows.

"Jerryd is straight ahead at you. Rudy dips around. Jerryd is a rock. Rudy is the wind. Jerryd loves the ball in his hands. Rudy moves without it. Jerryd defends by getting up in your grill. Rudy plays the spaces in between. Jerryd has focused vision. Rudy sees all around him. Jerryd likes to score off of the dribble. Rudy can catch and shoot. Jerryd is aggressive. Rudy is sneaky. Jerryd will hit you hard. Rudy will annoy you until you hit him." -Dave

Word.

by joelor on Sep 18, 2008 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed!

great post man, i really enjoyed it. You did your research.

Rip City REVIVAL

by HonestPete on Sep 16, 2008 9:50 PM PDT reply actions  

Nice post.

"TominHawaii's real name is Hubert and he's a rancher in Burns."

by timbo on Sep 16, 2008 10:09 PM PDT reply actions  

I like how you write

the only part I thought twice about was your take on ron ron. he was a blazer KILLER for the sac’s last year and although I agree it will be difficult to fit him into a position in houston, his defense and ability to score as a 2, 3, or 4 will make him a valuable addition to that team. the biggest issue for the rockets is the inevitable injury that Yao Ming will have in the first week of the season. Of course, I’m sure rockets fans are saying the same thing about Oden right now…

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 16, 2008 10:12 PM PDT reply actions  

oh and you mentioned chuck hayes

didn’t you mean luis scola or the more effective carl landry at pf? I wanna find a picture of that guy after he got his front tooth knocked out during last years playoff victory against in utah

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 16, 2008 10:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hey, good points

Scola would be more of a factor in the NBA if he didn’t hack the crap out of people. He sometimes got away with it during the regular season but nearly averaged a disqualification in the playoffs. Maybe he’ll adjust to the refs and improve on his “handsy” defense this year. I like Landry too, but he’s a useful bench guy, like Craig Smith and maybe, if we’re lucky, a healthy Ike.

There’s no doubt Artest’s defense gives Roy fits, as it does most wings. But Ron-Ron doesn’t like not getting his minutes, and I’m not sure where they’re coming from at this point. Oh, also, he’s crazy.

by baduk on Sep 16, 2008 11:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Landy has not been re-signed yet

But likely will if he can’t get an amazing offer from Europe.

St. Bayno's 120 Haiku Prospects: Nicolas Batum in the paint—prairie grass, blown by wind.

by Norsktroll on Sep 17, 2008 2:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Chuck Hayes is a defensive beast though.

He’s like a Przybilla, I think. Awesome on defense and suck on offense. Obviously he’s a small PF, but that doesn’t stop someone like Ben Wallace (in his prime). The Rockets were the second best at defense last season, and it wasn’t only because of Battier.

by poster on Sep 17, 2008 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, Chuck Hayes' ...

defensive fortitude is best utilized — while his offensive ineptitude is best masked — beside a frontline partner like Luis Scola, who can play the high-low game effectively due to his versatility on offense. Yet, with the addition of Joey Dorsey, Hayes might find himself dealt elsewhere prior to the season. It might be imprudent to rely on a rookie in Dorsey rather than a proven veteran like Hayes, though.

Anyhow, ‘cause Scola will most likely be benched due to the acquisition of Ron Artest — who, despite some earlier comments to the contrary, is perfectly built to play power forward in the Rockets’ frontcourt alongside center Yao Ming and small forward Shane Battier — Carl Landry appears to be an expendable piece. That explains why Landry, who’s a restricted free-agent, has yet to re-sign with the ballclub.

Also, Dikembe Mutombo should be retained as injury insurance for Yao Ming. So long as Ming is healthy, Mutombo can relax on the inactive list in a player/coach-esque role. However, in the reasonable chance that Ming has more injury issues, the allegedly 42-year-old Mutombo can rip off his warm-ups and once again show everyone why he’s one of the best defensive pivotmen in NBA history.

My biggest qualm regarding the Rockets is its reserve point guards, as the mediocre depth behind Rafer Alston — whose playmaking and defensive skills compensate for his streaky shooting from beyond the arc — are an also-ran in Steve Francis and the unproven Aaron Brooks are huge question marks. While parting ways with Bobby Jackson was necessary to obtain Artest, the Rockets might ultimately miss him.

It’s not much better behind Tracy McGrady at shooting guard, either, as Luther Head and D.J. Strawberry are one-dimensional players — with Head’s dimension being a chucker on offense and Strawberry’s dimension being a solid defender — thus, if T-Mac brittle body breaks down this season, the aging Brent Barry will have to adjust from being Battier’s sharp-shooting backup at the 3 to starting at the 2.

by AK1984 on Sep 18, 2008 4:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm with you on Ron Artest

He made the Rockets better. My guess is that Shane Battier will come off the bench and sometimes they’ll play together. If the Rockets stay healthy, they will be, to me, the Blazers most feared opponent in the playoffs. I’m not saying the Blazers will even win a series, just that I like their chances better against all other teams.

"Sometimes GSoM can be the WWE of basketball!" - Tony.psd

by tominhawaii on Sep 17, 2008 5:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ron Ron

Made the rockets a HELL of a lot better. Look for the Rockets in the Fourth to play T-Mac at the Point, Ron Ron at the 2, and Shane at the 3, thats how you get Shane and Ron Ron in at the same time. If a HEALTHY Rockets team faces the Lakers in the playoffs, they will beat the Lakers. The Rockets with Artest will make the Rockets like the Celtics last year, a physical defensive beast that can also score. But the big question will be IF they are healthy becasue history has not been on there side.

by ggassen85 on Sep 17, 2008 7:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Rockets won't meet the Lakers.

Houston better worry about beating the Jazz before they look ahead to the Lakers.

The more you try to erase me, the more that I appear.

by clarkpojo on Sep 17, 2008 7:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

Jazz-Rockets would be a GREAT playoff matchup.

If (as the consensus seems to be) the Blazers will be below the top 5 this season,
and the Hornies, Spoors, L[xxx]rs, Jazz and Rockets are those top 5 who are better than Portland,
then I could easily see Utah-Houston being the Cavs-Wizards type of 4-5, evenly-matched series.

"Mister Oden is a very, very big human being." - Jerryd Bayless

by QualityPie on Sep 17, 2008 8:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

We've seen enough Jazz-Rockets

A Lakers-Rockets series sounds very interesting to me. A chance for Rick Adelman to ruin Phil Jackson’s year. Yao versus Bynum. Kobe versus T-Mac. Artest playing D on Kobe.

"Screw the chalupa – it’s the victory I want." --timg56

by MiledAnimal on Sep 18, 2008 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yao would eat Bynum for breakfast.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Sep 18, 2008 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yao'd think so

One thing about Yao has always bugged me: how can he be six inches taller than anyone else yet doesn’t average 20 blocks a game?

"Screw the chalupa – it’s the victory I want." --timg56

by MiledAnimal on Sep 18, 2008 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

His arms are 6'8"

I wish Draft Express had his wingspan, because it’s gotta be a good eight, twenty inches shorter than his height. He has the lil’est ’ittle bittle armsie warmsies.

I don’t know if Yao would do well with Bynum, as I don’t think Yao does particularly well against very athletic big men who are quicker, faster, and more explosive than he PLUS not much smaller.

Bynum is purty big, of course.

Point is, Yao’s arms are like a baby girl’s.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Sep 18, 2008 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

The same reason why a street light pole can't defend a good dribble

St. Bayno's 120 Haiku Prospects: Nicolas Batum in the paint—prairie grass, blown by wind.

by Norsktroll on Sep 18, 2008 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

we’re one of the few teams that made major additions. However, the other teams, while they didn’t improve, didn’t regress either… LA, Utah, New Orleans, Houston and San Antonio are still better than we are. Phoenix, Dallas and Denver are the wild cards.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Sep 16, 2008 10:17 PM PDT reply actions  

its true

bruce bowen will be able to knee steve nash in the balls well past the age of 40. the spurs are aging like fine wine. if fine wine were to complain to referees about every call that doesn’t go there way. Phoenix is putting in a new system though and shaq looks like the marshmellow man from ghost busters right now. Dallas may be a wild card (because J-Ho…seriously, thats what dallas commentators call josh howard…may show up to training camp stoned), but theres nothing wild about what denver is going to do this season. score 130 points and lose by 20.

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 16, 2008 10:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

When the topic is the Spurs, the term is fine whine

LMA>LA!
LMA's reign as "LaMonster of the Low Post" has just begun!

by LaMarvelous on Sep 16, 2008 11:21 PM PDT up reply actions   2 recs

Oh snap! +1

If somebody hits you with an object you should beat the hell out of them.-Charles Barkley

by Winchester on Sep 17, 2008 12:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

Eventually

wine goes bad, and I believe this is the year when the Spurs will begin to go bad.

by ggassen85 on Sep 17, 2008 7:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Drink it before it's bad.

The spurs know this will be their last serious chance at a title with the Duncan-Parker-Manu trio. It’s an odd year and they need to win it now. I think the Spurs will have this one last year to be an elite team with what they have. I don’t think they’ll win, but they could still pull it off.

by Bskey on Sep 17, 2008 10:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

I totally agree

I think this is the last year the Spurs, as currently constructed, will be able to seriously contend though this could also be the year they fall to the second tier of the West. I’m very interested in how the Spurs’ season goes.

by BlazerD on Sep 18, 2008 12:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Shaq as marshmallow man! LOL!

Big Aristotle needs to run a couple hundred thousand laps. Unless he plans to don forty yards of white spandex and shoot Michelin ads when he retires.

I like your Denver prediction too-it’s just like things often were in the 80s and during Paul Westhead’s brief tenure in the early 90s: lotsa firepower and no D.

by Modal Rounder on Sep 17, 2008 10:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm already there!

"Screw the chalupa – it’s the victory I want." --timg56

by MiledAnimal on Sep 18, 2008 9:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

I smell a big year for the Hornets...

The James Posey addition will be much bigger than anyone wants to admit. They really missed that do it all type guy and lockdown defender last year in the playoffs. Peja has shown he can have a nice season relying on his silky jumper, but he has never been a very dependable “big game” player. He tends to get exposed over the course of a 7 game series as his only significant strength is outside shooting. Posey should help offset Peja’s weakness’s and provide New Orleans with a veteran with a knack for making the big play in the biggest of games. I think they have a great chance of coming out of the west if they can stay healthy….

RUDY > MJ

by myemic23 on Sep 17, 2008 12:07 AM PDT reply actions  

Seconded

The Hornets are starting to look scary – did I actually say that? They could be a spoiler for many a WC team as will the Blazers. If I were a fan one of the established WC ‘bigs’ I’d be getting a bit concerned.

by DonkeyShins on Sep 17, 2008 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

They seem unstable to me...

They could prove me wrong for sure but I just think if they don’t win early they might end up underachieving throughout the season. I can see them pointing fingers and staying frustrated instead of pulling together. They have talent, but with West and Chandler they just have a strange energy for lack of a better word…maybe a Rasheed type of immaturity? Paul seems to get a bit pouty also and Peja is a follower not a leader.

PTB Liberation Day - 2/10/04

by tssbro on Sep 17, 2008 7:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

Terrific post and excellant effort.

I think you’re a little too dismissive of the improvement with age factor for the teams like the Hornets and Jazz – it’s one of the key factors in why the Blazers will be better – but you make up for it later as I completely agree with the executive summary.

myemic23 makes a good point that just because the Blazers are one of the few teams poised to make dramatic improvement that still may not be enough to overtake the teams that were better than them last year.

It does give us a lot of reason to be excited for the start of the season though.

Free Joel Freeland! (with the purchase of 1 Wafer)

by LaughingJon on Sep 17, 2008 7:54 AM PDT reply actions  

Great post Baduk!

Im thinking the Clippers are going to do pretty well. The Nuggets and Mavs wont make the playoffs, IMO

hmmmkay

by TylerM on Sep 17, 2008 10:39 AM PDT reply actions  

dude your avatar (thats what they're called, right?) is awsome!

you should totally make that into a t-shirt if it isn’t already

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 17, 2008 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

are you kidding me

rockets improved the most out of all the teams in the league

ron, dorsey, donte green

they have as much talent and depth as us, or more

by KObeHater on Sep 17, 2008 12:23 PM PDT reply actions  

they do however have 3 oregon university grads on their roster though,

so that should count for something…

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 17, 2008 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

The key to championship gold!

"Sometimes GSoM can be the WWE of basketball!" - Tony.psd

by tominhawaii on Sep 17, 2008 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

Maarty Leunen, who ...

had a NCAA Division I leading True Shooting Percentage of 70% last season at Oregon, ought to replace fellow long-distance sharpshooter Steve Novak as the Houston Rockets’ third-string small forward. Leunen isn’t guaranteed a roster spot, however, with rugged combo forward Mike Harris — who’s a native Texan and Rice University alumnus — being his main competition.

by AK1984 on Sep 18, 2008 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Donte Greene is on SacTown's roster.

He was part of the Ron Artest trade. However, I agree they have extreme depth regardless of whether they have a raw rookie.

by poster on Sep 17, 2008 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fact Check

Donte Greene is a Sacramento King.

Dorsey is a second round pick, we’ll see how he does. And as for Ronbo, there’s a reason Henry at TrueHoop had him at the top of the list of players who don’t run the offense when their number isn’t called. He’s a great defender when he’s dialed in, but it’s not at all clear he makes the Rockets a better team, at least to me.

by baduk on Sep 17, 2008 5:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think

joey dorsey is a good guy to have on your team if you were about to get into a fist fight or something, basketball not so much. and donte green got traded to the kings.

Afew years ago, a broadcaster once said Pryzbilla's name is "Polish for 'personal foul.'" Ouch.

by chrischa on Sep 17, 2008 12:36 PM PDT reply actions  

Mostly agree ...

My disagreements are thus:

Lakers: I think losing Turiaf hurts that team more than you think. He wasn’t a big scorer or anything, but he brought a lot of energy to that team. One of their major success factors was the quality of their bench, and they lost some of that when they lost Turiaf. Who’s going to bring the energy now? I also think they’re facing some chemistry issues with the return of Bynum. And let’s face it—there’s a good chance Bynum’s not the same, at least to start the season. I think the Lakers might even be a little worse this year than they were last.

Hornets: The addition of Posey is nothing to sneeze at. Losing Pargo and adding Posey is absolutely not a wash. Posey has been on multiple title contenders and won two titles—he brings experience that Pargo never had. The man knows how to play some ball and typically makes his whole team better. And the fact is he’s money down the stretch. There were multiple times in last years finals when he’d spot up for a three and I knew it was going in. He simply doesn’t miss shots in the 4th quarter of big games. Add in to all that the fact that he is a defensive stopper when needed. The Hornets made a very simple addition with this guy, and I think it makes them a much better team.

Rockets: I think you are letting your personal opinion of Ron Artest affect your judgement of what he can do on a basketball court. The Rockets were already one of the best defensive teams in the league. Now with the addition of Artest they’re going to be 12 different shades of nasty. They can bring size, strength, and skill from every position except maybe PG. Even if they lose Yao or TMac this year, they’ll still be a handful with Artest, and if all can remain healthy I’d give them the edge to win the conference. Heck, they rattled off 20+ wins last season, half of which were without Yao. With and withough Yao, they were 40-10 after January 4th last year. That’s ridiculous. Nobody is going to want to play these guys.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Sep 17, 2008 12:40 PM PDT reply actions  

Posey

is totally over-rated, he’s won of those guys who plays in the finals then gets completly over-hyped and gets a big contract. I think loseing Pargo is more of a loss then adding Posey is. Pargo was a slasher who could score in punches and provide a great punch to a weak bench, and not to mntion he was Pauls backup. Posey brings you some D to an already good defensive team and a little 3 point shooting, but I dont thinks its as much as what Pargo brought.

by ggassen85 on Sep 17, 2008 7:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

You just proved everyone's point about why Posey is so valuable.

You said Posey is one of those guys who just plays in the finals. Yes he does. He is the modern day Robert Horry. No matter what he does during the season, he flat out balls in the big games. That is what the Hornets need. It is no coincidence that Posey has won 2 championships in 3 years. The Celtics wouldn’t have won games 5 or 6 without Posey. Period. He is clutch. And Pargo provides some great energy off the bench, but he is a streaky, streaky shooter and from the point guard, that usually isn’t good.

The more you try to erase me, the more that I appear.

by clarkpojo on Sep 17, 2008 7:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

He's also the veteran stabilizer on a young team.

He’ll be worth more to New Orleans than he would be to a fully-set veteran team like, say, the Spoors or Pistons.
There will be a lot of times this season, in a high-pressure/high-energy situation, where he and Byron Scott
will be able to provide the voice that says, “Here’s how things go in a game like this. This feels
just like a playoff game I went through, and here’s what went wrong for some guys, and here’s what went right.”

The Hornies need that.
Peja can’t give that to them.
Neither could Pargo, for that matter.
And I think their meltdown against the Spoors last season reflected that lack.

"Mister Oden is a very, very big human being." - Jerryd Bayless

by QualityPie on Sep 17, 2008 8:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Check out Pargo's player info at HoopsHype.

He’s been released from almost everywhere he’s ever played. He can hit some jumpers, but really he’s just a short shooting guard who can’t defend very well. The Hornets were eliminated last season because they couldn’t get a few key stops on San Antonio when they needed to. Posey will help with that. Besides, the Hornets also picked up Devin Brown to help with the point. Not great, but a heady veteran who plays under control, and who also won a championship with the Spurs.

Finally, players who step up in the NBA finals are exactly the type of players whom young teams need. I simply don’t see how you can overrate that type of experience. Here is a player who has succeeded on the biggest stage in basketball, and he’s overrated? No. Your comment proves to me that he is actually still underrated by the public at large.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Sep 17, 2008 9:45 PM PDT up reply actions  

A little worse?

Even if LAL had retained Turiaf, he’d be playing behind Radmanovic. His passion will be missed, but Vujacic, Ariza, and Farmar are capable of picking up the slack.

What made the LAL bench so good was their ability to maintain good spacing(b/c of their above avg. 3pt shooters) and run the triangle efficiently because their players are also skilled, above avg. passers.
      
I doubt there will be any chemistry problems between Gasol and Bynum. Gasol is already pretty adept at playing the Hi-Lo game, as evidenced in the Olympics when he partnered with his brother Marc. They’re a pair of good passers, with outstanding length, and great hands. They complement each other perfectly.

Bynum’s playing pain-free, so far. Not only that, he’s in shape. Camp hasn’t even started yet, and his body fat % is something like 6%. I believe that’s lower than last year’s %.

Chances are he’s ready to pick up where he left off.

I’m skeptical about the Hornets. I imagine Paul’s game is still improving(although it’s hard to identify an area where he isn’t already excellent). West, Stojakovic, and Chandler are rock-solid. While the addition of Posey, a versatile veteran lock-down defender, is something that can’t be discounted, I don’t believe they addressed their need for a good backup center. Who is going to back up Chandler if and when he gets into foul trouble? Hilton Armstrong? Sean Marks? Will these guys do an adequate job guarding the likes of Bynum, Duncan, Oden, Shaq, Amare, Yao, etc?

If they play to their potential, I think the Rockets may be a little better than LAL. Their defense is solid; the players will be more familiar w/ Adelman’s motion offense; they’re a deeper team this year. But there are a lot of variables (durability of their best players, esp. Yao & T-Mac, the mercurial Artest) that will factor into the equation of how far they can go.

"I've hacked into your brain. You're throwing a party and no one's showing up."

by ignign*kt on Sep 17, 2008 7:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yessir ... I'm also thinking

the Laker’s and Rockets will be the team to beat in the West NBA this year.

I'm just a modest guy with much to be modest about

by TwoDeep on Sep 17, 2008 8:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

I was more thinking of Odom ...

when I said chemistry problems. I just don’t see him being very successful playing the 3 full-time. Maybe for certain matchups, but not full-time. Which means he’ll probably need to go to the bench at some point to back up Gasol, and he strikes me as the type of player who might get a little pouty if that happens. A little discontent can go a long way.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Sep 17, 2008 9:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

In the triangle

the 3s chief responsibility is to feed the post. Odom’s tall enough to handle that with ease. He doesn’t have a very good perimeter game, but he’s better over-all than radmanovic, vujacic, or walton; and I believe he brings more to the table than Ariza, at this point. He’s a team-first guy and his generosity and leadership are key reasons LAL were able to bond last preseason. He’s an unselfish player, and scores most of his baskets cutting to the basket or after crashing the boards. Whenever Bynum or Gasol take a breather, he’ll slide over to the 4. He’s a true combo forward and will see his fair share of minutes.

"I've hacked into your brain. You're throwing a party and no one's showing up."

by ignign*kt on Sep 18, 2008 1:00 AM PDT up reply actions  

I agree

I don’t see big chemistry problems for LA. It may take a month or two for everything to click together just right for them, but by mid-season at the latest, they’ll be rolling.

Head-to-head, we seem to hold our own against them quite nicely, and with Oden that will only improve. I don’t think they’ll want to see us in the first round of the playoffs.

But over the course of the season, they’ve got a really strong combination that I just don’t think we’re ready to compete against yet. They’ll click together, and win a lot of games.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Sep 18, 2008 1:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

Just some thoughts from a Jazz fan.

Almost every Jazz fan would tell you that they aren’t excited about the lack of offseason moves in Utah, but laughing Jon makes a good point. Of all the teams, maybe Utah does the best by just getting older. All their starters are under 28 years old. If they learn to play defense, which usually is played by veterans, they will win championships. Maybe you didn’t see them improve, but they are still the toast of the Northwest division.

Secondly, I don’t think people are sleeping on Greg Oden, they are just keeping things in perspective. I love Greg Oden, I think he will be a big asset, but as a rookie, his effects will mostly be felt on the defensive end. I know people call him the next Tim Duncan, but it will take him a few years to learn to be an offensive force and not just dunk. And as a Jazz fan, I know how good of a defense you already had, so he will help, but he isn’t going to change the NBA or anything. He will probably average about 12 to 15 points, grab 10 to 12 rebounds, and block 3 shots a game. Those are great numbers, but not Shaq-like earth shattering.

Thirdly, I think Ron Artest will hurt the Rockets before he helps. He is talented. No doubts there. But where will he play. Take the Jazz for instance. If they meet again, who would he guard? He would get punished by Boozer and AK would force him outside and Battier is a better perimeter shooter than Artest. He can’t play the 4, so he is going to duplicate what Battier brought to them. And Artest’s shot selection is questionable, just like McGrady. So pick your poison. Do you want McGrady or Artest to shoot bad jumpers or do you want Artest or Scola to get abused down low defensively.

With all this said. Jazz fans know how good the Blazers will be for many years to come. If you guys had a bonafide point guard…wow. And Bayless doesn’t count yet.

The more you try to erase me, the more that I appear.

by clarkpojo on Sep 17, 2008 2:19 PM PDT reply actions  

Welcome.

Thanks for the thoughts. I agree you guys will be just fine by standing pat. I don’t love Memo on your team, but I don’t know how you could have upgraded.

Also, I don’t think Boozer pushes Artest around down low, and I don’t think AK beats him outside. I don’t like Artest’s style, but he thrives on physical play. I think he would relish guarding Boozer. Boozer’s not that much bigger than him anyway.

"These are dreams that we have." --Rudolfo Fernandez

by bfan on Sep 17, 2008 3:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

We need Memo. He spreads the floor.

And I meant that Artest would have a hard time scoring on AK, because he would be forced to shoot outside more. And Boozer has 2 inches and 25 pounds on Artest. That’s a lot. Boozer is a beast against people smaller than or as big as he is. He struggles against length like GAsol and Duncan.

And to the guy who said Artest made the Rockets a HELL of a lot better cuz Artest will play the two, with McGrady at the point. That is two streaky jump shooters in the backcourt. Yao is there low post guy. I think Brent Barry will be getting more 4th quarter minutes at the shooting guard spot than Ron Artest, because he can space the floor. With the lineup of McGrady, Artest, Battier at the 1,2, and 3, teams could just pack it in and force all those guys to huck up jumpers. That is how the Jazz beat the Rockets every year. They turn McGrady into a jump shooter and they could do the same to Ron Ron.

The more you try to erase me, the more that I appear.

by clarkpojo on Sep 17, 2008 7:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

T-Mac can not play the point consistently, or in big situations.

He doesn’t have the five-man-team court vision, and he CAN’T guard the rabbis that play point in the West.

Tell ya what, though: The next mediocre season Houston has, with Artest there,
they may be in a good position to move beyond the T-Mac Era, and rebuild on the fly
around Yao, Battier at small forward, and Artest at shooting guard.
Until then, Artest, Battier and T-Mac are 3 starters covering 2 positions.
There’s not a decent power forward among the bunch.
Which one goes? Battier is the least heralded, Artest is the most unpredictable,
and T-Mac is the most likely to go into decline at any time.

3 starters, 2 starting spots.
They’ll run one of them at power forward for now, sure – but long-term, someone has to go,
and how the team does this year may dictate who the odd man out is.

If Artest goes wacky at all, he’s out, as his contract ends.
If Ron-Ron passes muster but the team declines and/or T-Mac misses many games with injury,
they start rebuilding for the post-T-Mac Era with Artest taking his place at the 2.
And if Artest is stable, AND T-Mac has a full and productive season, AND the Rockets are a 50-win, top-4 seed,
then Battier becomes trade bait in the hunt for a starter-quality true power forward (expect Channing inquiries).

"Mister Oden is a very, very big human being." - Jerryd Bayless

by QualityPie on Sep 17, 2008 8:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Interesting

I know some conspiracy theorists see Jewish influence everywhere, but rabbis playing the point in the West? That’s really jumped the shark.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Sep 18, 2008 1:23 AM PDT up reply actions  

I agree with most of your comments

The Jazz will definitely be better just by being older — just like the Blazers would be, even if they didn’t add Oden/Rudy/Bayless. Young teams improve with experience, etc. I’ll be surprised if we catch them this year — and I expect to win 55.

I think your numbers for Oden are probably pretty good. What I think people are sleeping on is the impact on Portland. We’ve got a great shooting team. Our weaknesses last year were 1) interior defense when Przybilla was out 2) rebounding 3) lack of a low post offensive threat 4) lack of fast break points due to the fact that everyone had to help on the defensive boards.

It isn’t that Oden’s numbers will be dominant. It is that, if you look at our four big weaknesses from last year, he will significantly improve all of them, even as a rookie. I don’t think people are sleeping on Greg’s numbers, but I do think they are sleeping on his impact. For a few more weeks, anyway.

Finally, Houston. I’ve actually got a lot of confidence in Adelman to be able to make this kind of thing work. They’ve got crazy talent. If anyone can find a way to put it all together, it’s probably Adelman. I won’t be surprised to see Artest go stupid, and Houston to struggle to match last year. But I also won’t be surprised to see them win 60+ and win it all. It’s one of those things where if chemistry happens, they explode, and if it doesn’t, they might implode.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Sep 17, 2008 3:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nice post

One cautionary note about the Blazers: on PAPER they got much better with the additions of GO, Rudy, & Bayless—even with the subtraction of Jones. But short-term, those new guys will have to be integrated, and that might disrupt the team’s chemistry. How often do we see a team that’s playing well with one or more starters out, then when the starters return they lose their mojo? On paper, the team is better, yet they lose their winning chemistry. The addition of the new guys will necessitate a lot of adjustments, and teams tend to win more when they’re comfortable & familiar with each other and when everyone’s roles are set.

Having said, LONG-TERM the Blazers clearly made a big leap forward this off-season. We fans just need to roll with the punches if the season starts out rocky. It’s a long season, and there’s going to be time to regroup and make that playoff run.

Of course, maybe things will fall into place right off the bat. That’d be cool, wouldn’t it?

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Sep 18, 2008 12:50 PM PDT reply actions  

warriors' fan here

i’ve gotta say, you guys picked a good time to get significantly better. the next four teams in front of you in the standings got worse (my dubs included. why monta!? why!?) and then you add greg oden, rudy fernandez and jarryd bayless. it’s like paul allen was behind the mavs, suns, warriors and nuggets deciding to get considerably worse next year.

i see the blazers as the 6 seed, and depending on the manu injury, possibly the 5. if they draw the rockets in the first round, which seems very possible with the 5 seed, and not likely with the 6, that’s a series the blazers can win. i think artest makes them marginally better. the problem with saying that they are suddenly a top 2 or 3 team is that it seems to imply that artest is WAY better than battier, which is false. he’s better offensively, and pretty similar defensively. not exactly world altering stuff for that team. add that to the fact that they need a healthy t-mac and yao to win, and that’s a first or second round out to me.

to say that the mavs will be just as good seems flawed too. first of all, they were worse after the kidd trade, so they won’t post as good of a record based on that alone. second, (another kidd situation) jason kidd gets worse and worse every year. it’s like the pg position gets downgraded every year for his team. i like j-kidd a lot, but he’s done. not to mention the fact that he’s routinely described as a coach killer, i naturally can’t say anything about that for certain, but that’s what i consistantly hear.

i’m more pessimistic about the suns too. i just see an old team full of injury prone guys, in need of a new system (which will probably come), who can’t really defend anyone. is it so crazy to see them as possibly being much much worse? that said, they also have a lot of talent, so if they stay healthy and things fall together properly, they could be a middling playoff team. not the best thing to hear about a team that contended for a title each of the past few years.

the remarks about the nuggets are dead on, they will be dreadful.

and my warriors, well, they should have been a playoff team, they should have, but then monta had to go and participate in some unnamed outdoor activity. it’s not out of the realm of possibility in a weakening west, but it’s not likely either.

best of luck to you, blazers fans.
cheers.

heart of a champion, will of the warrior.

by cap'n hack on Sep 19, 2008 12:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Yeah, best of luck to you, too

Unfortunately, you’ll need a lot of luck this year. Maybe next year will be better.

Not sure you “should have been a playoff team”, but you should have been in the middle of the conversation.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Sep 19, 2008 12:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

people were counting them out

because they got a little worse than last year, and weren’t a playoff team last year. this a reasonable way of looking at things, but the fact that the nuggets look really bad, and the suns and mavs seem ready to fall off the earth too had me thinking that they were a playoff team. the 7 or 8 seed, no higher, but i had them in the mix. turiaf and maggette were great additions. maggette is overpaid, yes, but he provides a ton of offense and has a great work ethic, something that needs to be mentioned on a team with so much youth. i had even talked myself into the monta/jack two headed offense-initiator, with marcus williams able to play when there was a need for a truer point. turiaf is the exact hustle, rebounding, defense guy that the bench needed. and now it doesn’t even matter. uggh, see you guys in 2010. playoffs, baby, i believe.

heart of a champion, will of the warrior.

by cap'n hack on Sep 19, 2008 7:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

You guys really

ought to contact KP and try to pick up Sergio Rodriguez. He might really shine in your system, and I think he can be had for not an awful lot. Especially with Monta out for a while.

I shudder at what would happen to you on defense with Monta and Sergio, I don’t know who would defend a big SG, but you’d have a lot of fun on offense. And that’s pretty much your game, anyway.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Sep 19, 2008 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

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