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Why did Bayless fall so far down?

Im really happy that KP got us Bayless. KP told some of the blazers broadcasters that Indiana will take a point guard, even before the draft started. But Indiana already traded for T J Ford, so they didnt need a point guard. KP gave us a hint that he is going to trade with Indiana, but nobody got it as far as I know. But this is what I want to know did KP already know that Bayless will be at #11, or he was just proposing that there will be either one of the good point guards(Bayless, Westbrook, D J, Gordon) at that spot, and therefor made a deal before the draft with Indiana. If He knew what other GMs will pick, then KP works for CIA. KP said that the draft went exactly like he predicted up to pick 15. The other quetion I have is; why did Bayless droped so low in the draft? I heard some ideas that those 10 teams ahead of Indiana dont have a 2 guard like Brandon Roy(exclude Miami), and thats why they were looking more for a true point guard than a scoring guard. And one last thing after watching some youtube, I think that Westbrook will be better than Bayless, but Bayless is still young and can become better down the road. (Addition) I didnt see that this topic was allready discused before. So I found a link to an article, that says that KP is not done dealing. HoopsWorld Article

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No clear cut order for 4-11

Those were all up in the air, and it was really hard to predict what would happen there. Most of those teams drafted for need, and in a vaccuum, each of those picks makes sense. It’s only once you step back and see that #11 got Bayless, who could have been #4, that it’s strange.

I think the biggest mistake was Charlotte picking Augustin over Bayless at #9, but I think we all know why that happened. Pritchslap!

by rmcdougall on Jun 28, 2008 1:20 PM PDT reply actions  

GM's knew the deal.

Frankly, I think the draft, for GM’s, was pretty predictable. Consider first that once Charlotte and Portland got extra 1st rounders, and then Seattle/SD swapped, nothing else happened until Indiana/Portland. Everyone else simply drafted at their position. At the same time, the GM’s, all of which were talking trades and deals (Miami, Seattle, Memphis, Minnesota, Knicks, Milwaukie, San Diego, the Hornets and the Nets – all were reported to be talking deals), had to have a very good idea who each team was focussed on. After all, how could you talk a “deal”, if you didn’t talk about who X wanted vs. Y? And, conversely, who you wanted to pick if you moved up. After all, if the guy you wanted was the guy the other team you wanted to trade with wanted, it wouldn’t work. So they had to tell each other what their priorities were, who they were looking at, etc. SD wouldn’t have traded with Seattle if Seattle hadn’t promised they weren’t Gordon – for example.

That’s why by the time the draft happened, many GM’s probably had a very good idea as to the draft order.

As far as why Bayless fell, it started with San Diego who swapped with Seattle took Gordon – who became the 3rd guard taken. Seattle, in turn, took Westbrook. And then it fell to Charlotte. And Charlotte apparently wanted a “pure” point guard and distributor. The other teams had other needs rather than guard. The puzzler for me was Milwaukie taking Alexander having just traded for Jefferson. In any case, thed key was when SD swapped spots with Seattle – but took Gordon. Seattle had decided to trade up because they’d settled on Westbrook as being their player in their system.

by Eben Calder on Jun 28, 2008 1:44 PM PDT reply actions  

Clarification

Well, I agree with the main point of your post, but it should be clarified that the Sonics/Clippers trade fell through. The Sonics picked fourth and the Clippers picked seventh, but the trade fell through.

by bocious on Jun 28, 2008 6:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also

Why do you refer to the Clippers as being from San Diego? Is it on purpose (like censoring the word L@kers) or just a slip?

by bocious on Jun 28, 2008 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

As someone that lives in SD, I wish you'd stop

because it gets me happy thinking we have a team. Either you should buy the clips and move them to SD, or please refer to them as being from LA.

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Jun 28, 2008 8:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

Further

Perhaps the real Pritchslap is the fact that KP has such a reputation for deals, and had so many young assets, that he used that reputation to talk to every GM in front of him that he needed to talk to to determine every pick prior to his. If you think about it, it’s a virtual certainity that would happen. Everyone knew he wanted a guard – and he made sure everyone knew he wanted to trade up. So, when they talked, he pried the players out of each of them that they intended to draft.

by Eben Calder on Jun 28, 2008 1:47 PM PDT reply actions  

so

you think that KP is only smart to do smoke screens?

by RipCity on Jun 28, 2008 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

no but some GMs are just terrible

Example MJ. KP took him for a ride and they wasted their pick. Now Raymond Felton who looked like he was going to be locked up by the Bobcats is asking to be trading. I think the Bobcats are going to suck permanently.

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 28, 2008 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

traded. I need to proof read

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 28, 2008 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

This fanpost from me on June 24,2008

http://www.blazersedge.com/2008/6/24/557880/bayless-falling

I had a hunch. I just didn’t think that he’d fall as far as he did.

I was rooting for a Bayless pick during the draft and I am beside myself about getting him.

by parkinglotj on Jun 28, 2008 3:20 PM PDT reply actions  

ok

alot of drafts had Bayless the 4 pick, thats the sonics. But acording to ESPN, the sonics where talking to Charlotte for a trade. But it didnt go down because the Sonics want to much in return. So if the Cats were interested in Westbrook, then that explains why Westbrook went before Bayless.

by RipCity on Jun 28, 2008 4:34 PM PDT reply actions  

Ah that makes a lot of sense

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 28, 2008 4:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

The rap on Bayless is that he has short arms...

.................................. and won’t be able to guard his position very well.

t

"You don't live by the jumpshot, you die by the jumpshot." ---Charles Barkley, 2/7/08

by timbo on Jun 28, 2008 6:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Well it means he has arms that are proportional to his body

Considering he is not undersized, and he is strong, fast, and everything else you would want physically from a point guard he will be fine defensively against PGs.

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 28, 2008 8:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

I neither agree nor disagree...

................................ but “has short arms = bad defense” is the rap on him that is going around.

I think it’s probably horsepucky.

t

"You don't live by the jumpshot, you die by the jumpshot." ---Charles Barkley, 2/7/08

by timbo on Jun 28, 2008 11:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Shane Battier

Has short arms… Just saying.

Joel Freeland=Stud

by hightide on Jun 29, 2008 12:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

....but

Does he have T-rex arms or Raptor arms? Because Rapers can open doors. Didn’t you watch Jurassic Park?

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 29, 2008 12:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

idk

But Battier kind of looks like a Raptor…

Joel Freeland=Stud

by hightide on Jun 29, 2008 1:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

Oops.

"Besides, AnntheFan will be here any minute to #25 you." T Darkstar

by annthefan on Jun 29, 2008 5:04 AM PDT up reply actions  

I LOVE big wingspans

But, if wingspan was all someone needed for defense, Travis Outlaw wouldn’t be the worst defender on the Blazers.

I’ve heard/read the same things, but Bayless was regarded as a good defender with lockdown potential, and that’s because of his quick and big he is.

http://www.draftexpress.com/nba-pre-draft-measurements/?page=&year=2008&sort2=DESC&draft=0&pos=0&sort=

Aside from his arm length, his lateral quickness and other measurements are either the same or better than Derrick Rose, and that’s why he should be a great defender over time. He’s 6’3” in shoes, and his arms are a lil’ over 6’3”, so while it’s not as nice as Rose’s 6’8” reach, it isn’t horrible. His arms are as long as shorty DJ Augustin’s after all, and with the added height and size otherwise, I don’t worry about it too much.

That’s one reason I really like this pick (aside from the obvious ‘bang for our buck’ stuff); not only is he a great scorer and has already-good PG skills, his super-quickness and size should make him a really good defender—but beyond his size and athleticism, he seems like a really smart kid who GETS how offense and defense works. If ya just can’t get a handle on HOW to defend mentally, then all the athleticism in the world doesn’t help that much.

So yeah, his arms are short when compared to NBA playas’, but I think it’s a kinda lame argument for why he’d be a bad defender when so many lanky long armed players who aren’t as athletic as Bayless are really bad defenders.

Don’t get me wrong, I wish he had a 6’9” reach… but as long as he gots the other stuff (and he appears he does), I don’t mind his arms being normal length. Time will tell, of course.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Jun 29, 2008 7:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

Westbrook not now close to Bayless

RW may become better, but it’s not close at this point.

I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich

by hobobob on Jun 28, 2008 8:20 PM PDT reply actions  

I had heard

Bayless only worked out for three teams. Looks like Knicks, Sonics, and TWolves.

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Jun 28, 2008 8:45 PM PDT reply actions  

And Miami

A Time For Heroes,
It's not right for young lungs to be coughing up blood
And it's all
It's all in my hands
And its all up the walls
Well the stale chips were up and the hopes stakes were down
Until Kp came into Town!
'Sing it Petey!

by Dheepan on Jun 28, 2008 8:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

My initial impression is enormously positive...

.......................... another nice, hardworking, young guy—and a westerner to boot. He’s a really good match for what the Blazers have going here.

Can he play? I don’t know that. I don’t watch college basketball… He’s highly touted and has the right makeup, I know these things are true.

We’ll see, huh?

t

"You don't live by the jumpshot, you die by the jumpshot." ---Charles Barkley, 2/7/08

by timbo on Jun 28, 2008 11:52 PM PDT reply actions  

Yep.

"Besides, AnntheFan will be here any minute to #25 you." T Darkstar

by annthefan on Jun 29, 2008 5:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

I like what I see too

A lot, actually.

I knew Bayless was good, but didn’t overly consider him aside from in passing here… I just didn’t think he was in our range, based on all of the scouting reports and the common belief he’d go between 4 and 6. Once it appeared on draft day that we were positioning ourselves to snag him for nuthin’, I got pretty excited even though I knew I wasn’t an expert on the kid.

Since we got him, I’ve been reading his interviews and articles about him, and I really like what I see. Gets to the FT line, really works hard on his game, gets the intangibles, smart kid from a smart family, really hyper-athletic… his only knock that I can see is his arm-length, but I’d rather have his other stuff and his height over 7 foot long arms.

He really seems like exactly what we need: a PG who can defend but also is great offensively. It almost doesn’t seem fair that we got him, and all we gave up was a HIGHER draft pick (even though I liked and rooted for us to draft Brandon Rush, I don’t see SF as nearly the need that PG is—I just didn’t think we’d be able to get a GOOD non-short PG in the draft) and two players who weren’t projected to get much time this upcoming season.

It’s crazy. The league is gonna feel really silly letting the kid slip to us, because he seems really, really good.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Jun 29, 2008 7:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

It's very strange that he fell as far as he did...

..................................... “You’re selling me a Corvette for $5,000?? What’s wrong with it???”

t

"You don't live by the jumpshot, you die by the jumpshot." ---Charles Barkley, 2/7/08

by timbo on Jun 29, 2008 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

I would expect

SOMETHING to have come out right before or after the draft to explain it, if there was “something” to cause him to fall.

Everything has been overwhelmingly positive, from what I’ve read. No kidney problem, no heart murmur, no attitude dealio either. Just perfect.

I think he is far better than Alexander, Westbrook, and Augustin. You can throw the Guinea in NY in that list as well. The first three were the proverbial ‘hyped right before the draft and taken too high’ case, which usually only causes 1 guy to get taken too high, not 3. The Italian kid is intriguing enough, and could be a perfect fit for the D’Antoni system that the pick is excusable.

However, Bayless woulda’ been prolly nicer running a D’Antoni. That team NEEDS a PG.

The Sonics needed a PG, and got a combo guard in Westbrook, so if they liked his defensive potential over the fact that he isn’t a real PG yet, that’s fine. I’ll go with it, since it favors us. Next was Memphis, who ended up with Mayo, and didn’t need a PG since they have a few that’ll end up as nice players probably. Then NY, who shoulda’ taken him for sure, but liked the exotic Euro instead.

Then the Clippers… well, they need a PG unless Livingston is healthy, but to me even if he’s healthy they need a PG because he’s just a banana peel away from the morgue. They liked the scoring of Gordon, and they needed a guard who can score. I can see it.

Then Milwaukee has Mo Williams, who can’t/doesn’t play defense, but is a good offensive PG. They fell in love with Alexander, but I bet you he’ll prove to be the guy who look great in workouts and so-so in games. I got enough problems with the current Outlaw, I don’t need a White version that is even LESS experienced. Count me out, and thank goodness they liked him.

Charlotte takes Augustin for mysterious reasons, unless Larry Brown just loves the kid’s pure PG-ee-ness more than Bayless. Perhaps they were trying to beat KP at his own game and disrupt a potential trade the Blazers had in place, but if so they are silly dilly’s and shoulda’ just went for BPA. I coulda’ lived with Augustin if KP liked him the best, but I wasn’t ever that sure about the DJ kid because of his height. It IS a big deal, even with the size we got otherwise.

End of the day, they take DJ over Bayless, for whatever reason. I don’t understand it, but they have routinely taken the wrong player in drafts, for whatever reason they think is wise at the time.

The Nets come next, and they got Devin Harris, who I can only hope Bayless becomes a better version of. They got no need for Bayless except to trade him, and instead of messing with that noise they take a stiff big who will be a role player at best. Hey, that’s their call. I’m sure Brook Lopez will double his 6 boards a game in the NCAA once he gets to the bigger/faster/stronger NBA.

So then, after a few logical (if ultimately erroneous) picks based upon ‘need’ or trade speculation (which I think is a likely reason the Bobcats did what they did), Bayless finds his way down to Indiana at #11. A deal was already in place to swap picks, Indy has to honor it and already traded for a starting PG in TJ “Like a Rock” Ford.

So, we end up with Bayless and it is NOBODIES fault except the team’s picking.

At least, until I hear that Bayless has a child porn dungeon that everyone found out about aside from Kevin Pritchard, I’ll assume this was the case.

There is plenty of historical instances where this has happened to GOOD to GREAT players, and there was no real reason that they fell. I just feel lucky we got a GM who could take advantage of one of these situations, and turned a #13 pick and 2 non-rotation dudes into a potential star who is also a great kid.

If it wasn’t KP, perhaps I’d worry more… I can only assume that if there WAS a real, valid reason he fell to #11 beyond what I listed above, that KP would know it. Since we got him and all signs point to it being a burgle by KP, I’m more than happy with the pick.

How does that guy do it? We all know KP is from Indiana, right? He prolly adored Bird as a HS kid, and a young man. KP just ripped off his idol, potentially. That is awesome, and I hope to do the same one day.

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Jun 29, 2008 10:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

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