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(OT) Does Kevin Love have any upside potential?

I just kind to wanted to address this issue more head on then how we have been discussing Kevin Love recently. While it seems fairly clear that not many of us want to have Kevin Love on our team, what is his future going to look like in the NBA?

To me he has always seemed like a guy who would be awesome in college play, but he doesn't seem to be the type of player who is going to excel in the NBA. John Canzano, recently has been talking about how he has the potential to be a Zach Randolph style player with his excellent footwork and generally excellent grasp of the basics of basketball.

The way I see it is that footwork and basics will get you only so far in the NBA. At a certain point the fact that the other forwards can just jump and get rebounds over him, and at the same time move a lot quicker than him seems like it will become a serious problem. In short if he is getting out hustled and out muscled, will he be able to be effective?

Also on the defensive end the players he would be guarding should have very little problem dunking over him unless Love commits a flagrant foul. The biggest thing he has going for him is his passing, but with his offense being under the basket he's going to have a hard to impossible time throwing his passes over 6' 6" perimeter defenders.

These are the issues that I see with Kevin Love, and there does not seem to be a way for him to improve upon these skills. His problems being a limited jumping ability and his slow speed, can he ever really get better at these things? His best move, the outlet pass, is completely reliant on him being able to get easy rebounds, and in the NBA I just don't see him getting very many rebounds that easily.

To me his liabilities seem almost impossible to improve upon, and his strengths seem to have reached their pinnacle. So I will put the question to you does Kevin Love have any upside potential? And in a alightly unrelated topic, does that really matter?

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Not advocating that the Blazers pick him...

but, yes. I think it may take more time than people expect, but I think Love does have some NBA upside potential. Furthermore, let’s give the man a little credit. He is not as unathletic as you make him out to be (and more athletic than Z-Bo, although not as crafty at this point). While he is not a quick leaper, he can get off his feet pretty well. And while he is not reactively quick (and this will hurt him on defense), on offense he might surprise you now and then. Furthermore, as the NBA slowly moves to a more pick-and-pop game he will be quite effective with his wide body and excellent shooting range. The key for him will be staying in shape and keeping his weight down. If he can stay in shape, I think people might be surprised. He will never be star, but I really could see him as an average to above average starter at the four or a very solid contributor off of the bench.

by The Graduate on May 29, 2008 9:10 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

easily rattled

Love is soft both physically and emotionally. He is easily taken off his game. He pouts and sulks when things aren’t going his way. These are attributes which are absolutely deadly when it comes to the NBA. If he can toughen up emotionally and accept his NBA mediocrity, then he’ll be alright and play a few years in the league, maybe ten years. But he’ll never be a star. Just a serviceable backup.

Nature bats last.

by fisheyes on May 29, 2008 9:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

This is mostly an iterview

but pretty early they show him dunking and he looks much more explosive then he has ever been.

"My, that is a handsome fella. He must be the offspring of a Greek God!" - Bill Walton calling a Clipper's-Laker's game as Luke Walton checks in.

by JTDuck22 on May 29, 2008 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

no upside

He is too slow for the NBA. If he gets quicker by losing weight, he will disappear at his position. “D’d” if you do, “D’d” if you don’t. I am not saying he can not make a career in the NBA, but I do not see him as ever being dominant.

by clonigro on May 29, 2008 10:00 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No using the word D'd, it offends my sensitive little ears...

"You don't live by the jumpshot, you die by the jumpshot." ---Charles Barkley, 2/7/08

by timbo on May 31, 2008 7:05 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Z-Bo comparison is an interesting one.

Zach is an effective NBA player despite his physical limitations (he can’t jump over the free-throw stripe). Where Zach gets into trouble is effort and somewhat selfish play—I’ll leave the off-court stuff alone.

Zach’s main gifts are a) he’s an excellent halfcourt scorer who commands a double-team when he catches the ball, and b) he’s a good rebounder, especially for a guy who can’t jump.

Zach’s main liabilities are a) he’s a poor passer, who when the double-team does come, will often force up a bad shot or turn the ball over, and b) he doesn’t bother to try on defense.

If Zach’s only problem were a), and he at least played mediocre defense (not being able to stop his man one-on-one in most situations, but at least making an effort to stay and front and rotate), he’d probably be an All-Star. The bad passing from a frontcourt player, a team can live with—many worse ballhogs have won titles in this league, and are in the hall of fame. (Moses Malone is a fine example).

But the problem with Zach, and a big reason the Blazers were so happy to unload him, and a big reason the Knicks are rumored to be trying to unload him, is that his defense isn’t merely mediocre, it’s terrible. He’s not just an often-abused-by-the-man-he’s-guarding bad defender, he’s a sabotages-the-entire-defensive-scheme bad defender. He doesn’t bother to rotate on D. If he’s on the weak side of the court, his team simply cannot double-team the ball—he won’t move to the strong side to cover the double-teamer’s man. He just won’t. For double-teaming to work properly, the defense has to rotate to ensure that the guy who isn’t being guarded can’t be easily reached with a single pass; otherwise it’s easy points. With Zach on the floor, the double-team comes, and the passer has an easy look to someone cutting to the hoop for a dunk.

Which brings us to young Kevin Love. Love has shown good rebounding skill at the college level, it is unknown whether that will translate to the NBA (where he will be facing bigger, faster, and stronger opponents). But Z-bo shows that it isn’t out of the question; Love is a better athlete than Zach. Love, unlike Zach, is regarded as an excellent passer. And while he ain’t Garnett or Duncan and will never be, he does appear to at least try on defense.

So… Kevin Love could conceivably be an All-Star in this league. He could conceivably become a scorer and rebounder on par with Z-Bo, and without Zach’s two huge liabilities. But that’s a big “could”—most unatthletic 6’9 players don’t become borderline All-Stars and 20/10 guys in the NBA; most find themselves as off-the-bench beef, whose job it is to box out, get boards and the occasional gimme shot, and not screw up while the star is on the bench. And you don’t pick at #13 looking for that sort of role player, at least not unless you are Isiah Thomas. Guys who do what Zach does are the exception, not the rule.

by EngineerScotty on May 29, 2008 10:27 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Good summary

I’m not sold on Love yet, but based upon your comments, I’m willing to give him a closer look.

by DonkeyShins on May 29, 2008 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think

His passing and able to shoot the NBA 3 will be sexy off the bench. I don’t really see him as a starter though.

by tominhawaii on May 29, 2008 12:07 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

Yup.

What he said.

He’s a white, mini-version of Bill Walton, crossed with a lil’ Z-Bo, and some Pistol Pete-esque passing.

I think he’ll do better than advertised.

Current team + Greg + Rudy = Blazers losing narrowly to the Spurs in the 2008-2009 Western Conference Finals. Book it.

by prezofdeath on May 29, 2008 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Prob'ly right

but Oakley couldn’t jump, and he was almost always valuable.

by begottenson on May 29, 2008 12:28 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Enforcer

Part of Oak’s value came from his enforcerness, which Love will never acquire

by tingeyga on May 30, 2008 8:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

OKay

I was thinking of this more as a post at whether kevin love could ever get better than he is right now. All of our young players have tremendous upside, and need to work on their consistency or shot selection, and their gifts are their athletic abilities. Whereas Love already has all of those things our players need to work on, can he get any better?

I would push the case for no, Love is right now as good as he ever could possibly be. He can’t grow any bigger, he can’t reshape his bone structure so that he is built like Zach, he can’t magically get jumping ability. He’s been working out and using weights his entire life, its not like the NBA’s trainers are that much better than Nike’s. His ceilling isn’t zach randolph, i would say his ceilling is where he is right now. i honestly think that their is no aspect of his game that is deficient that can be coached and improved upon. What you get when you draft him is exactly what he is. Other players like Beasley or Danilo can get better and improve upon their abilities, making them in time better players, personally the only way i take Kevin Love is if I think he’s better right now, than other players in the draft will be in three years.

(Woody)

by TheOdenator on May 29, 2008 12:39 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Your analysis was great.

I would say his upside is seriously limited. I do however, think he can be a servicable role player either coming off the bench or as a starter. For a guy who is limited athletically, Kevin Love is not tall enough to shoot over players such as Zydrunas Ilgalskus can. He faces the same problem Zach Randolph does with passing out of double teams…he is not tall enough or athletic enough to create an angle to make the right pass.

Most players when they get into the NBA and their bodies start to mature, are much improved. Unless Love can pull an Andrew Bynum with his body, he’s going to have trouble handling the superior NBA bodies. That being said, he is very skilled, and with the right match up and in limited minutes I think he can be effective. Undoubtedly, someone is going to spend a high pick on him and be very disappointed if they expect him to be a future star.

by JasonT on May 29, 2008 1:24 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I guess the thing about footwork is . . .

. . . is it really DOES offset the tendency to be “outmuscled”.
Good footwork = getting inside position at all times, both posting up on offense
and getting position for a rebound, on both ends of the floor.
A player who can always get positional advantage over his man before the ball comes to the paint
is a player that is difficult to “outmuscle”, even when matched against stronger players.

Personally, I’m not big on KLUV, but I see the argument for “positioning > brute strength”.

Blazers have a five-on-three...and they pull it back and wait for help.

by QualityPie on May 29, 2008 5:03 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Love would be difficult to "outmuscle" even if he didn't have good footwork

If you compare Love to LMA, Frye, Outlaw, or McBob, I think you’ll find that he is significantly stronger than any of them.

Kevin Love wasn’t the best rebounder in college basketball because of his height, quickness, or leaping power, none of which are much above average for a college big man. It helps that he boxes out, but there are a lot of other players in college that know how to box out as well. Kevin Love was the best rebounder in college basketball because he has the strength to obtain a good position and push everyone else out of the way.

by trk on May 29, 2008 8:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know about Love,

But I don’t think this was off-topic at all. If teams don’t like him, he could fall down to #13 as easily as anyone else.

Off topic is something more like “We’re Doing Mad Libs Today!” or “Who Else Has an iPhone?” Or something that really can’t be tied to basketball. I think someone should do the Mad Libs thing, though. Seriously.

One of Two Official Blazer's Edge Poets Laureate for the 2008-2009 Season

"Scholars have long known that fishing eventually turns men into philosophers. Unfortunately, it is almost impossible to buy decent tackle on a philosopher's salary." - Patrick McManus

by T Darkstar on May 30, 2008 7:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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