A Modest Critique of Kevin Pritchard
Before I start, let me say that I am very glad Kevin Pritchard is the GM of the Blazers. I think he's done a great job and is one of the top 5 GMs in the league.
However, I want to temper the KP love around here just a bit with a few items.
Item #1: The Blazers did not do the best job in the 2006 Draft
KP's signiture move was the Telfair+Ratliff for Lafrentz+#7 pick trade, then swapping Roy for Foye with McHale. This was a brilliant job of identifying a player and doing what was necessary to get him. KP deserves every sliver of credit that he's gotten for this move.
However, it needs to be said that LaMarcus Aldridge is not the best Power Forward from the 2006 draft. That player is Paul Millsap. Millsap is a much tougher player, much better rebounder, better defender and more efficient scorer. Utah nabbed him in the 2nd round. That was the best pick of the draft, by quite a bit. Utah also found another terrific player, in Ronnie Brewer, with the 14th pick. I think Utah did a better job getting the most value of their 2 picks than the Blazers did. Also, while Danny Ainge foolishly gave up the #7 pick for Telfair, he made up for it with two brilliant selections in that draft, nabbing Rajon Rondo (who may well be the 2nd best player in the draft after Roy, though Millsap has a case also) with the 21st pick and Leon Powe in the 2nd round. Pritchard had a great draft, no question, but he didn't own the rest of the league as is popularly believed among Blazer fans.
Back to Aldridge. LMA is a good player, with a lot of upside remaining. He's potentially a great fit with Roy and Oden. However, he shoots too many jumpers and is not a good rebounder. I hesitate to call him "soft" but he certainly isn't "tough." That brings me to my modest criticism of KP:
Item #2: Kevin Pritchard loves finesse and lottery picks, which isn't what you want in a role player
Finesse players are fine. They can be effective. LMA is a good fit in the Blazer starting lineup, despite my above criticisms of him. However, if you are going to have a player like LMA in the starting lineup, its nice to have a high motor brusier off the bench. KP, however, loves to fill out the roster with "fallen angels." KP used that phrase after acquiring Frye (a former #8 pick) and Diogu (a former #9 pick). Raef is a former lottery pick as well. There is something to be said for "buying low" on this type of player, in hopes they'll remind everyone why they were drafted so highly. If they are mostly going to be riding pine, however, there isn't much chance of pumping up their value. In short, "fallen angels" make bad role players. Second rounders and undrafted players, who have had to earn everything in pro hoops, tend to have bigger motors and be more productive in short minutes. The Blazers need to have fewer Fryes and Diogus on the bench and more Carl Landry type players.
--
Again, I think KP is a great GM and this is a relatively modest critique of him. I don't want KP to go anywhere. However, I sometimes feel the KP love is out of hand in Blazer Land, and I want to keep things even keel. KP is human, after all.
Go Blazers.
11 recs |
338 comments
Comments
I fully agree that KP is a God
Aldridge is better than Millsap or will be if he isn’t currently as effective. Millsap is great. and yes We need more power players but that’s not a reflection on Aldridge. Oden will one day harm one opposing player per game.
If Nate let them run then LA would already be an All-Star. Well I think that sometimes. We’re waisting his most dominant feature which is he’s a super fast big man. LA will one day star dropping long range bomb after long range bomb then come inside and not be stopped in there either. The guy is good and was a boon to grab when KP got him. Cause he didn’t see how rood Rondo would be says nothing about how good he is or the ledgendary super draft.
by Blazersaurus on Dec 16, 2008 11:22 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Nope, Paul Millsap is more efficient and productive on both ends of the court than LaMarcus Aldridge.
Anyhow, one of my few criticisms of Kevin Pritchard are regarding his comments concerning Kevin Durant prior to the 2007 NBA Draft. In my opinion, anyone who considered for one second about selecting Durant in lieu of Greg Oden is a questionable evaluator of talent.
by AK1984 on Dec 16, 2008 11:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Questionable evaluator of talent?
Lets see some career numbers…
LaMarcus Aldridge – 14.2 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.2 blocks, 48.6% FG, 23 years old
Brandon Roy – 18.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, 5.1 assists, 24 years old
Sergio Rodriguez – 3.3 points, 2.7 assists, 1.0 TO’s, 22 years old
Greg Oden – 8.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.4 blocks, 20 years old
Rudy Fernandez – 11.0 points, 3.5 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 40.0% 3PT, 23 years old
Nicolas Batum – 22 starts, 4.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 19 years old!
…not to mention Jerryd Bayless…dude will be a very good point guard in this league for a long time
also, Durant is doing very well this year, despite not having a lot of help…
Durant – 23.1 points, 5.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 46.3% FG, 48.4% 3PT (makes 1.3/game), 1.0 steals, 0.9 blocks
"Smile! You're on a poster!!" - Mike Rice
by lefty6283 on Dec 16, 2008 11:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Okay, here's some fun statistics regarding Kevin Durant's performance thus far this season.
On-Court/Off-Court +/- Production … -9.4
Net Points Per 100 Possessions … -12.4
Net Points Allowed Per 100 Possessions … +14.0
Net Allowed On-Court/Off-Court eFG% … +5.7%
Jumpers eFG% … 40.0%
All things considered, Durant is a high-volume shooting chucker who can’t play a lick of defense.
by AK1984 on Dec 16, 2008 11:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
All things considered, Durant is a high-volume shooting chucker
Not this year. While you may be right about the defense, his offensive contribution to a pathetic team is undeniable. Despite taking a lot of shots, he’s at a .50 eFG. that is incredibly high, for as many shots as he’s forced to take on that team. Last year, you were well within your rights to call him out for poor shots, but this year, he’s only taking shots he can hit, and hit at a high rate. Last year he was a 43 FG shooter and a 29 3P shooter, this year he’s a 46 FG shooter and a 50 3P shooter. His attempts per minute have decreased, and he’s basically just taking the good looks he gets. No one has any right to like how poor of a defender he is, or how poor of a rebounder he is for his size.
All that said, you’d still be a moron to have taken him above Oden (eevn to this day). In reality I doubt KP had a hard time with that decision.
by as11osu on Dec 16, 2008 11:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Kevin Durant has bettered his shot selection this season, but there's still room for ...
improvement; however, the dude’s defense is so abysmal that it’ll always hurt his game.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Durant is surrounded by garbage
horrible coaching, horrible team, horrible front office.
Can you imagine, for example, Greg Oden trying to carry that team? He would have imploded a long time ago.
There are about 25 teams in the NBA where Durant would look significantly better. If he had someone to work on his defense, and was coached to work within an effective system he would be dynamite.
I am still glad we picked Oden. But if you plugged in Durant to the ‘3’ spot with the Blazers and gave Nate and his team a summer to work with him… forget about it.
by matthewcc on Dec 17, 2008 7:03 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Can't imagine what the writers
would be saying about GO on the Thunder. They are bad now, but they can’t be too bad because we are winning.
My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.
by OCBlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 8:28 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Get serious.
Pritchard selected Oden, not Durant. That’s as far as this discussion needs to go. As for any comments he might have made concerning his desire to select Durant first, for all any of us know, that was typical GM misdirection and smoke screening.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:17 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
Oden will one day harm one opposing player per game.
A fitting line from someone named Blazersaurus.
by Gargen on Dec 16, 2008 11:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This made me laugh
No easy trick considering I’m a reptile.
by Blazersaurus on Dec 17, 2008 3:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
LaMarcus Aldridge would be Tim Duncan-lite
if Jerry Sloan coached the Trail Blazers. Andrei Kirilenko, Carlos Boozer, Paul Millsap. It doesn’t matter who plays the position for the Jazz, they’re all great in that system that maximizes talent, especially out of the PG and PF positions.
by as11osu on Dec 16, 2008 11:26 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Sloan is a great coach, no doubt
That has to be taken into account. However, I don’t know that LMA has the motor to be as effective as Millsap in any system.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 16, 2008 11:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Man snake ...
… first you cast asperstions on LaMarcus. What next? That you believe in Global Warming?
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:20 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The closest thing to a poor man's Tim Duncan in the NBA today isn't LaMarcus Aldrdige, but rather ...
Brook Lopez.
There’s no ifs, ands, or buts about it. Stylistically, Lopez is so similar to Duncan that it gives me the chills.
by AK1984 on Dec 16, 2008 11:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I haven't watched much of Lopez this year
but he was a low TS% ballhog at Stanford. That’s not how I think of Duncan.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 16, 2008 11:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The problem with Brook Lopez at Standford was that he got constantly doubled-teamed and ...
was forced to move from the mid-block to the high-post ’cause of inept teammates on the wings, as well as the inability of his twin, Robin Lopez, to score anywhere sans underneath the basket.
Although Brook Lopez is nowhere close to Tim Duncan from a talent perspective, the similarities between the two of them stylistically are downright impossible to ignore from a scouting viewpoint.
by AK1984 on Dec 16, 2008 11:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
OK NO
Seriously Brook Lopez does not equal Duncan.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:07 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Stylistically, Tim Duncan and Brook Lopez are shockingly similar players.
Regarding inherent athleticism, however, Duncan is vastly superior to Lopez.
Of course, someone’s innate ability and style of play are altogether different things.
I’m sure that most intelligent people realize that, although I’m not holding my breath.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:11 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Lopez is 2 months into his nba career
statistically NOTHING..
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:14 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not talking about statistics in this instance, 'kay.
The matter at hand is apropos of style. I, therefore, have a question for you.
Who, in your honest opinion, is the most stylistically similar to Nicolas Batum?
I’m not only curious to your reply to that question, but to also the replies of others.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I would not be able to compare
because he’s 2 months into his rookie year. Also, his game has drastically changed. In France he was the go to guy on the offense… which makes me smile because it seems absurd at this point.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
For Nicolas Batum, I think he's a hybrid of Mickael Pietrus and Tayshaun Prince.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:52 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sure he has the potential to be a Tayshaun Prince
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Right, Nicolas Batum has the potential to be Tayshaun Prince.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's different then what you said above about Tim and Lopez...
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:58 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I wrote the following in my original post:
“Stylistically, Lopez is so similar to Duncan […] it gives me the chills.”
I guess that’s somewhat different than my assessment on Nicolas Batum, but I’m not bullish on him like you.
For me, Nicolas Batum’s best-case scenario is Tayshaun Prince, his most probable scenario is Mickael Pietrus, and his worst-case scenario is Tariq Abdul-Wahad.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 1:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I know everybody already knows this...
but I’d just like to remind everybody that Prince has a ring. =) Not picking sides…
by Thack on Dec 17, 2008 1:10 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
apropos doesn't need a preposition, which is how you can tell when
someone’s using it to sound smart
I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich
by hobobob on Dec 17, 2008 1:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If the rules were a bit different at this joint, then I'd swear constantly in my posts.
I’m sure that most of y’all would probably deem the incessant vulgarity to be a sign of stupidity, although folks with common sense would realize that it isn’t a person’s writing style — but rather the substance of their comments — which is indicative of someone’s knowledge on a given issue.
From a stylistic standpoint, Brook Lopez is similar to Tim Duncan.
http://www.hoopsworld.com/Story.asp?story_id=8898
People who don’t realize that undeniable fact aren’t sharp basketball analysts.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just pointing something out...
Both of those references just say Lopez wants to play like Tim Duncan, not that he actually plays anything like him.
by Thack on Dec 17, 2008 5:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, that's a fair point; yet, I still see the similarities in their style of play.
I also posted a highlight video of Brook Lopez in another comment of mine, which is a better reflection of how style wise he’s a lot alike to Tim Duncan.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 5:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You've made this conclusory statement 35 times
But have you articulated HOW they are similar stylistically? I’m a little skeptical, needless to say, but I haven’t seen Lopez play a ton.
What does he do similar to Timmy? Is it just that he likes bank shots? How else are they remotely alike?
You also said Duncan has innate physical talents that separate him from Lopez. How do you mean? Obviously Duncan is a beast, but he’s a fundamentally sound beast with an amazing BBIQ, not an athletically superior-type guy.
He doesn’t sky for rebounds. He doesn’t overwhelm with quicks. Maybe you could argue his coordination is off the charts for a big guy, and you’d be right, but Lopez is pretty coordinated too.
Again, I’m not even necessarily disagreeing, but you’re making a lot of statements multiple times without explaining your position. I’m curious about the rationale.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 6:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Duncan looked pretty slow and unathletic in college...
A lot of people thought he wasn’t athletic enough or tough enough for the NBA.
by PoliSam on Dec 17, 2008 9:14 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I was at Wake Forest when Tim Duncan was there
There was absolutely no doubt among the college sports coaches and writers that Timmy would be a force in the NBA. We didn’t know he was headed for MVP honors, but we knew he would be a force. He’s always been a very hard worker, very business-like and efficient. Coupled with his athletic ability, he simply rose to the top.
LMA has great touch when he’s on, but hasn’t proven to be an efficient, aggresive post player like Duncan. I feel like he really needs to develop the killer instinct and move toward the rim a lot more than he does. He has shown flashes of brilliance, like against Detroit this year.
by 3pointer on Dec 17, 2008 10:07 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed, I don't think that anyone doubted Duncan to the extent that sam suggests.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 11:18 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If you see Duncan when Lopez plays you need glasses
All big men who can score inside and hit a J don’t have to be reminiscent of Duncan. He’s a solid big guy, but you cannot be compared to the greatest PF of all time a quarter into your rookie season!
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 17, 2008 12:15 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed.
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:18 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
There's a big difference between stylistic similarities and one's intrinsic abilities, 'kay.
Someone around these here parts can probably grasp that, but I may be wrong about that.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:34 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I highly suggest not posting around these parts then
most of us grasp however that you are completely full of crap , ’kay!?
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The only way that my eyes could've been rolled more is if I was dead.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Why would you post that though? Can you not make a relevant argument without trying to attack the intelligence of the posters here?
You only invalidate what your attempting to convey.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:41 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ah Sophia always making friends
Come Out, Come Down, Face Out, Be Gone
Break down, build up again
Here she comes with a hand to lend
Get out of bed just to dive into the night
Torn lips and I feel uptight
Come out, Come down
Fade out,
Be Gone
WORD UP. STAY. FRESCO.
by Dheepan on Dec 17, 2008 12:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
:)
.
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't mind Sophia's obstinate, bullheaded ways.
It makes for an entertaining back-‘n’-forth confrontation.
A lot of folks back down during heated debates, so I like a change of pace.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:48 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This is why
E- mail’s are attached to your profile, less to sift through
by jlarose78 on Dec 17, 2008 10:03 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Whenever I get riled up about something, it's really hard for me to not be a jerk.
I honestly don’t mean anything personal against anyone, but my attack mode is a form of condescension.
I guess that’s my, uh, style. Yes, I know that I’m abusing the word style in this case.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
To get back to the player at hand, would you accept a "Chris Kaman" before we talk about "Tim Duncan" as his upside
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 12:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
From a production standpoint, I compare Brook Lopez to Andrew Bogut.
Bogut, however, is stylistically a more skilled passer than Lopez, although Lopez is the superior defender among the two guys.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:50 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe it is the "Stylistically" that needs to defined
What is Lopez’s Style that he shares with Duncan, and how are Bogut’s passing skills not an intrinsic ability but a style?
Or maybe nothing needs to be defined. Duncan and Lopez and Kaman play from 12 ft. in, have good moves around the basic, play at a slower pace, are good help defenders and work hard at rebounding. They are centers whose Style reflects their Skills. In fact their styles are delineated by their skills.
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 1:49 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Tim Duncan and Brook Lopez are both guys who are versatile ...
enough to play effectively in the paint anywhere from the low block to the high-post, while scoring in a fluid manner — although Duncan is way more efficient at this than Lopez — with either their face or back to the basket. Chris Kaman, by the way, is undoubtedly a stylistically sound comparison to Duncan and Lopez, although it’s obvious to all of us that Duncan is on a much higher level than the other two guys.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 2:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Never seen Lopez play away from the basket
except some high post plays, and have NEVER seen him score away from the basket. Please reload a new highlight real because thre is nothing like that in the one below
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Here's another Brook Lopez highlight video.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siPIqHeFLFQ
Early in the clip, you’ll see Lopez drain a mid-range jumper.
While Lopez rarely plays away from the basket, he’s capable of doing it. Lopez is most successful when posting up on the mid block with his back to the basket, but he’s certainly not a one-dimensional player.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 3:42 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
this comment makes me laugh
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
so back to Lopez.
are you contending that Lopez style of play is very close to identical to that of Duncan? Lopez is young enough to model his game after Duncan and therefor I will contend that any young PF comes in w/ the ability to shoot the mid and play down low will try to be like Timmy.
I cant say Lopez reminds me of Duncan, his shooting is nowhere close to Tim’s and I think it will take a significant amount of time to evaluate who the next Tim Duncan is.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:50 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brook Lopez will never be Tim Duncan, which is due to two main factors.
1. Duncan is a better athlete.
2. Duncan has better court awareness.
Nonetheless, Lopez’s style of play is eerily similar to that of Duncan.
Lopez, in the end, is essentially a homeless man’s version of Duncan.
It’s sort of like how I’m a homeless man’s version of Jon Heder — since he and I look very similar to each other — although I’m an unemployed atheist rather than a famous Mormon actor.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
UUUUUUUHHHHHHHHHHH OK
So then Im right. I win. Stylistically any power forward that plays the post and has a pretty high release quick mid range jumper and plays good defense is stylistically similar to Tim Duncan…
The last paragraph has left me without words…
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:00 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Okay, with regards to the last paragraph.
I’ve been compared to Jon Heder numerous times during the past few years — especially to his character in Blades of Glory — that it boggles my mind.
Yet, there’s probably worse celebrities to be compared to out there.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 1:09 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
im laughing b/c
1. that’s like, the most unflattering person to be compared to
2. the comparison of Hedar and AK is based on looks alone. Not substance. It would be a relevant comparison if you said,
" Im often considered the poor man’s version of John Hedar b/c I have a youtube mini series produced in my basement chronicling the life of my ultra dorky alter ego which features several one liners but nothing quite as memorable as Hedar’s films"
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:13 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Well, I'd rather be compared to Jon Heder than Jonah Hill.
The point is there’s much, much uglier celebrities out there.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 1:17 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
OK !
the point just changed but ok, sure whatever , I do agree ..
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:18 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's no big deal, since the medium-length hair and ...
and boyish looks surely aren’t a good physical quality.
Yet, as a 6’4" tall, lanky guy, I ought to just embrace it.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 1:25 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What makes Tim Duncan Tim Duncan to me is his smart play
While he has great size and good tools he is not the most physically gifted player at his position, but he has really learned to make the best out of what he has. With his range and the way he banks shots over the glass you can barely block him. He rarely is out of position. He closes out on shooters at just the right time (recently in the final seconds of a game against the Warriors when he came out to prevent Baron Davis from doing what he did against us). And even when his shots are not falling at all (which e.g. can take Dirk completely out of the game) he still gives you a lot of rebounds and a few trips to the line to help the team win.
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 12:58 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A lot of this comes as a player gets older and more experience and practice.
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I have to back AK on this one.
He’s not claiming that Lopez is another Tim Duncan.
He’s just saying that he sees elements of his game that remind him of similar elements in Duncan’s game. No big deal.
I haven’t watched Lopez play, so I have no opinion either way as to the accuracy of AK’s observation. I do think it would have helped if he had provided some details as to how they are stylistically similar, particularly after using the adverb “Shockingly”.
I’ve called AK out several times on his repeated criticism of McMillan’s coaching abilities. But that doesn’t mean he should stop coming here.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
But in order to continue posting he must first post pictures of himself next to a life sized cut out of john heder.
by moflow on Dec 17, 2008 4:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Regarding physical appearance, here's a comparison between Jon Heder and I.
It’s not the most uncanny resemblance in history, but I still do look similar to him.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 8:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Now that IS uncanny
Not exactly twins, but brothers or cousins would be a possibility. You should try to get courtside seats or at least entry to some after party for the next Lakers-Blazers game in LA. “What do you mean, don’t you know who I am?”
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 8:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Finally, someone with the aptitude to actually comprehend my original comment.
Here’s a great highlight video on Brook Lopez.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sufHcnYsHck
Lopez isn’t as talented as Tim Duncan, but he still plays a similar style of game to him.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Man, I watched this twice. It is a center dunking and making tough layups
That does not define Tim Duncan’s style for me. Maybe there is more than that 2:42 Youtube clip (or the couple of Net games I’ve seen).
Did I miss a clip of him taking a ball on the wing, jabstepping, and then draining a mid-range jumper? That is the Signature Move of Duncan’s Style.
I could have pasted Kaman’s face over Lopez’s and would not have thought twice about it. Not that anyone should have Kaman’s face pasted on them
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brook Lopez has a decent face-up game around the elbow; yet, he used it ...
more often in college at Stanford due to playing beside a true center in his twin brother, Robin Lopez, even though your right that most of his game on offense comes from posting up on the low block with his back to the basket against a smaller, less powerful opponent.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 2:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Get off your high horse AK
I know you think you do, but you don’t know everything, ’kay.
You should work on your intrinsic style, and try not to come off so abrasive. You act like your opinions are facts.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 8:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Y'know, I don't know everything.
You, by the way, didn’t know that I know that I don’t know everything.
Now, though, you know that I don’t know that I don’t know everything.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ugh, I botched that last sentence.
Oh well, it at least shows that I don’t know everything.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think he's trying to say he doesn't know everything.
I know less than half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.
by haildablazer on Dec 18, 2008 7:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, that was the goal.
I don’t know if I reached it, though.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 3:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
good post jksnake
I think I can only add "The NBA, where caring for everybody but the fans happens". --amlmart1
by prezofdeath on Dec 16, 2008 11:30 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Great post jksnake...
a couple more critiques while we are at it:
1. He needs to shave the goatee…esp for TP tonight. He looks all unabombish
2. Drop the “we need to draft the good guy” shtick. We can’t always know the true character of a player until they grow up. These kids are just…kids and mistakes happen. Good guys = soft???? With all our draft pick, I like us to set aside one every year for a potential goon.
"I just like to smile! Smiling's my favorite. Have you seen these toilets? They're GINORMOUS!" Buddy the "Elf"
by broyposse on Dec 16, 2008 11:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad
you’re not running the team.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 12:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Tough you need—goons you don’t. Maurice Lucas, Buck Williams, and Ime Udoka are as tough as anyone—and “good guys” as well.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 1:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
you guys take some comments way too seriously;)
should i note all my comments with ‘sarcasm’?
"I just like to smile! Smiling's my favorite. Have you seen these toilets? They're GINORMOUS!" Buddy the "Elf"
by broyposse on Dec 17, 2008 9:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
There should be a special font
We could dub it the TiH
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 11:45 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I was talking about that with BAB
I think there’s a mini-mint to be made here. Like dem things you get on the pillow.
I know less than half of you half as well as I should like, and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve.
by haildablazer on Dec 18, 2008 7:23 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
KP's draft record is not "perfect", but it is so very very good especially when looking at the positions he often had
- I don’t blame him for passing on Chris Paul in 2005, since he was not the GM. Obviously it would have been great to have the best PG in a very long time, but who knows in what direction this franchise would have headed instead
- In 2006 he made the absolutely right moves swapping Tyrus for LMA and Foye for Roy. Genius. Period. As a bonus: Sergio. And maybe next year we will see Joel Freeland as another bonus. Had he also taken Millsap and he would have taken the same development, that would have been the most unlikely draft of the century. Thus it’s just the draft of the decade.
- In 2007, he drafted Petteri and Green as point guards of the future along with McRoberts (and Byars and Nichols), and passed on Ramon Sessions (and Marc Gasol, now that would have been a Spanish triangle) who obviously now would have been great to have at least as a backup. But that same mistake made almost everybody else. And of course that draft also netted Greg (luck) and Rudy which was a brilliant move. Terry Porter could barely hide that he would have loved to have Rudy on his team.
- He moved Zach Randolph and pieces, which was an “addition by subtraction” deal. Zach would have stumped the development of LMA and this whole team. With Frye we didn’t get a ton out of it (though you could incl. Rudy here also), but obviously NY was not very happy with what they got for all that money either.
- In 2008, he traded up and around other teams to snatch Bayless and Batum. Again brilliant. Verdict regarding this draft class to be determined. He also converted a Turkish center who has now torn his ACL (OMG our player are injury prone before they even get here) into 3 future second round picks.
by Norsktroll on Dec 16, 2008 11:42 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
indeed, I believe Canzano has reported that KP wanted Chris Paul
but John Nash wouldn’t have it. This was a modest criticism of KP— his overall drafting record is quite good, as you nicely outlined.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 16, 2008 11:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No, my friend, that was a flat-out contract flush, in which we wrote of Steve Francis' megabucks contract and added the thoroughly useless Channing Frye for a legitimate 20/10 guy...
……………………….. Did a deal have to be made? Given Brandon’s views — YES.
Did KP make a good deal getting NOTHING for Zach Randolph? NO.
He moved Zach Randolph and pieces, which was an "addition by subtraction" deal.
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 2:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So what's your point?
I’m glad he’s gone; The team is better off without him.
Didn’t the deal, which brought us back a trade exception, also enabled us to land Rudy, and rent JJ? Isn’t that how it went down?
Either way, I’m happy Zach is gone. NY received Tim Thomas, woo hoo, and they are now experiencing how we felt, relieved he is gone. Oh, and they may have saved Cat’s life in the process.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 3:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ya know what I think though?
I have a pet theory that it ’twas Joel that said Z-Bo had to go.
No demands, no giving in to a young star. Just KP and Joel, friends, compadres, and Joel speaking honestly— Z-Bo was a detriment to the team on the court and off.
Morty
by Mortimer on Dec 17, 2008 5:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting
Everyone has assumed that it was Brandon. But he and Zach seem awfully friendly to this day.
Well regardless, kudos to whoever it was who spoke to KP. Classic case of addition by subtraction. Zbo was the young Blazers’ training wheels; by the end of his last season, he was just holding them back.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 7:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Mort, it's a good theory
Brandon saying that Zack had to go is an urban myth — it’s been repeated so many times that folks assume it’s a fact. Quick mentioned that it was a team leader, and everyone figured he was talking about Brandon. But “team leader” could easily mean Joel, as he was one of the captains that year, no?
by Corvid on Dec 17, 2008 9:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's a really funny theory... Somebody ask Joel!
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 9:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I had more details to go with it
If I find a mo’ I will find that post and re-write it to make myself look better (I’m sure there is something incorrect in it).
I think Joel would have the biggest problem with Z-Bo, Z-Bo’s friends, and the balls to go to the GM and do something about it… more than rookie year Roy woulda’. Plus, Roy and Z-Bo are still friends.
Also, Joel and KP are friends and are more likely to talk on the team plane, thus more likely that would Joel would complain about Z-Bo to KP, and Quick always says Joel is one of the ‘prominent Blazers’ (which I believe was all the quote said). Joel and KP’s friends-not-just-GM relationship would make it easy for Joel to approach KP about this, too.
I could be wrong, but I think Joel fits better than Roy does, though having it be thought of as Roy’s doing is better for Roy’s mystique as team leader.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 17, 2008 10:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It 'twas?
Mortimer, you’re such a skilled wordsmith that I can’t physically resist calling you out. Stay with me. ‘Twas is an abbreviation for “it” and “was,” right? So saying “It ’twas” is kind of like saying "I’m am."
Anality aside, interesting theory about Joel. I can see it. Makes sense. No ill will intended, just one guy venting about another guy to another guy. And KP saw the writing on the wall that Zbo gots to go.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 7:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll be honest...
I find this to be fairly absurd. Your points are relevant to your argument, but I just don’t see the point of the argument. I don’t really see why it’s necessary to compare LaMarcus to Milsap, and do we really need another power rebounder? I’ll take LaMarcus over Milsap for this team any day, so I don’t really see how K.P. did anything wrong there. Regardless, actually – say I give you Milsap. K.P. has demonstrated an incredible eye for talent, and you’re critiquing him on not taking the guy that made it all the way to the 2nd round? And for LaMarcus? And in response to your second argument, Raef is an expiring contract, and Ike came with Bayless.
K.P. is outperforming every GM in the league, and we need to pick apart every draft and trade he has been involved in to see where he could have squeeked out one more ounce of perfectness? Seems a little unnecessary…
by Thack on Dec 16, 2008 11:44 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
thanks for the comment
Disagreement makes this site fun.
I don’t think LMA was a bad pick— I think it was a good pick. I just think Millsap was a great pick. I think I showed that KP is not the only GM who cleaned up back in 2006— there are other excellent GMs out there… Kevin O’Conner in Utah, RC Buford in San Antonio, Donnie Walsh—who’s doing a great job in NY— etc.
The LMA/Millsap point wasn’t my main thesis here— my main thesis was that KP likes “fallen angels” too much. The LMA/Millsap discussion was just my effort to show that there are other quality GMs out there.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 16, 2008 11:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You'll have cap space
The Blazers can sign Milsap (who is a FA) just for the hell of it.
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 17, 2008 12:17 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That would be hilarious.
If Pritchard just offered obscene money to Milsap and stole him away from Utah. Not sure how that would work out… I guess when Joel leaves, it’d be Oden for 35, LMA for 20 at PF, 13 at C, and Milsap for 28 at PF. I suppose it could work.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 12:23 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Utah Jazz ought to match any offer to Paul Millsap, while letting Carlos Boozer walk.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 12:39 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed
Someone will pay Boozer too much money.
I’d rather have LMA than Milsap. I like Milsap but he’s too short. – Elgin
It's all blues and no dinner at the Ministry of Bag. The steaks are getting thinner. The office is a drag. - Pete Brown
by 22baylor on Dec 18, 2008 2:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think you approach either critique from the right perspective
Hindisight is 20-20. The Jazz found a diamond in the rough in the second round, and yes, if you did the draft over today, Milsap would go top five. But the Jazz got relatively lucky there. They wouldn’t have taken Milsap in the first round, either. In fact, they had a chance and they didn’t.
To assess the merits of a pick like LMA, you can’t really go beyond ten or so picks down the line. Otherwise, it’s unrealistic to compare two players. Milsap wasn’t in the conversation in the first half of the first round, much less in the top five.
If there were another top ten pick at PF who were tearing it up, that would be a basis for criticism.
As for the “fallen angel” theory, maybe that has more merit. But again, you reallly have to assess it based on opportunity cost. We don’t know what else was on the table when the Blazers traded Randoph, so it’s hard to do. Seems maybe KP could’ve gotten a little more than Frye + buyout, but maybe not, and either way clearing space for LMA and Oden (pre-surgery) to operate was the right move.
Ike doesn’t support the theory. The opportunity cost for him was basically zero. The Blazers were thrilled to get Bayless.
So, at most, I’ll grant you that maybe KP overvalued Frye an eencie-weencie little bit based on his lottery pick status. But even if that’s true, you wouldn’t retroactively undo that deal. So the criticism is halfhearted, at best.
Basically, what you’re saying is Pritchard isn’t a prophet and he isn’t perfect. But he is the best.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 17, 2008 7:46 AM PST up reply actions 3 recs
I was going to add a comment, but this is pretty much what I would say.
Re: the LaMarcus v Milsaps comparison. Utah also made a mistake in not picking Milsap earlier, by these standards, unless they knew 100% that someone else was not going to take him.
by PoliSam on Dec 17, 2008 9:20 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
good post
II agree with much of what you wrote. I guess your last sentence is correct, though I’m nto sure I’d declare KP the best GM in the league yet (top 5 for sure, but I’m not sure I’m comfortable calling him #1). However, there are plenty of Blazer fans who are unwilling to admit he’s ever made a mistake at all, just as there are plenty of Blazer fans who are unwilling to admit Millsap is better than LMA, despite the overwhelming statistical evidence of it.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 1:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe another thing to keep in mind
is that we can’t have all the best players in the league. :) I’d like to get Fransisco Garcia on the Blazers but wouldn’t want to part with any of our 2-guards to get him. So there ya go.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 1:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Just like you can't admit you're wrong
Obviously, we’re dealing with opinions here. Numbers are a tricky thing, and in my book, fail to tell the entire story. LMA forces the defense to come out of the paint, stretching the defense. His defense has improved and he’s getting himself some blocks and altering shots finally.
His rebounding numbers don’t jump out at you, but we also have 2 great rebounding centers who happen to gobble up a majority of the boards. Our team is amongst the best at rebounding this season. The way we use LMA, outside, stretching the D, he’s not put in position to get many boards, other than a few long rebounds off of 3’s.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 1:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Apologies, that was horribly written
But you get the idea.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 1:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I can admit I am wrong
People have done a good job showing some errors in my post, and I’ve acknowledged that. I’m not wrong in saying Millsap is better than LMA though. So far this season, it hasn’t even been close.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 3:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
KP is definitely up there, but he really doesn't have much of a body of work
Really, the 2006 draft was his shining moment with LMA, who basically fell into his lap since the bulls liked Tyrus, although he made a nice move to keep him away from Charlotte (not sure what they would have done if he was around at the 3rd pick), and the Brandon trade was nice, although looking back it’s tough to fault Ainge too much for that since before he became RLEC, he was just RLC, which was ugly in all kinds of Z-Bo/Troy Murphy ways, but it was a good call to grab Brandon, even though he was basically just some knee issues away from being a consensus top 3 pick.
The rest of his moves have been decent, bordering on great but since he has so much margin for error with the ability to grab late picks by SPAMing, it takes a lot of pressure off. Sergio is looking like a great move, as is Rudy, although I feel like Rudy was a fairly obvious pick at the time given that we had a bunch of guys under contract back then and he could be stashed, plus his potential to be locked up long term in Europe for big money probably scared most teams off.
The rest: Green, McRoberts, Freeland, and PetKo, not exactly hits, although who knows with Petteri and Joel, but given that it would have been realistic to take one of Millsap, Powe, Gibson, or even Craig Smith over Joel, or one of Landry, Pruitt, Big Baby, younger Gasol or Sessions over PetKo, it’s probable that he would have liked those picks back. I don’t count taking Oden as a KP move, really, just because he really had almost nothing to do with us getting Greg, no offense to Durant or anything. Batum’s looked good as well (another SPAM addition), and who knows how the Jerryd Bayless experience will end up, way too early to write off anyone, especially when he’s stuck behind to PGs playing the ball of their lives.
The Zach trade was really just a salary dump. I credit KP for having the stones to trade our top scorer for basically Steve Francis (I have a hard time believing that Frye was really anything more than a throw in from the Knicks’ standpoint), but at the same time, it was a move he had to make, and there was basically only one spot to dump huge long-term overpaid contracts in those days, and there wasn’t a whole ton the Knicks had that we wanted. A pick or two would have been nice, but they had pretty much given all of those away already.
It adds up to one of the best GMs in the league, and given that he’s been at it such a short time, he has a definite chance to become the best, but he’s not so far head and shoulders above every single GM in the league right now as some here want to believe.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 1:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Statistical smatistical
You know that in chess a rook is worth 40% more than a bishop and 45% more than a knight? Well, how about this, I’ll let you increase your statistical margin by 42.5% by swapping all your bishops and knights for rooks. You can keep your queen. You’ll never make it past the opening. Better is not always reflected by numbers. Surely, you have favorite foods.
Consider, also that better is ALWAYS a value judgment. There is no ostensible way quantify it without value judgments. Thus, better is always a “better for” situation. Millsap may be better for Utah, but he’s not better for Portland.
I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich
by hobobob on Dec 17, 2008 2:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you
That’s exactly what I’m trying to say, JK seems to think he’s spittin’ facts here, while he’s dealing with opinions.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 3:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Millsap has been much better than Aldridge this season
It really hasn’t been close.
I never argued that Millsap was a better fit for the Blazers. As I’ve stated in several places in this thread, the Millsap/LMA discussion was intended to show that KP is not the only great GM out there… he’s not head and shoulders above the other quality GMs of the NBA.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 3:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Not Close? I dunno
their stats are pretty close: LMA plays a few more minutes, gets a few more points. Millsap a few more rebounds (but then he is not playing with a GregZilla swallowing up boards). If LMA gets more RBs, are we going to get better rebounding? We already have the best differential in the league.
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:20 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
its all about shooting efficiency and defense
that’s where Millsap has LMA licked. Badly.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 18, 2008 6:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, Paul Millsap slaughters LaMarcus Aldridge in those categories.
Paul Millsap
19.9 PER
55.6% eFG%
60.0% TS%
-2.4% Net On-Court/Off-Court eFG% Allowed
-5.4 Net Points Allowed Per 100 Possessions
LaMarcus Aldridge
17.7 PER
46.8% eFG%
49.5% TS%
+2.6% Net On-Court/Off-Court eFG% Allowed
-2.0 Net Points Allowed Per 100 Possessions
While Millsap will always be a better defender than Aldridge, I wonder how much Nate McMillan’s elementary offensive scheme hinders the tall, lanky power forward’s shooting efficiency. Yet, despite that issue, Aldridge seems like he may forever be a soft, flimsy player who lacks an edge to his game.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 6:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
thats cute AK
Where is the Net Points Scored Per 100 Possessions?
Where LMA is +15
Or the Net per 48, where LMA is +14.4 and Millsap is only +12?
This has turned into you bad mouthing LaMarcus without much regard for anything. Aldridge scores at virtually identical rates on his jump shot and inside shots, he just happens to shoot a ton more outside, most likely because of his teammates and Nate’s schemes. Aldridge also has the potential to be a better defender than Millsap, and already is a better defender on the perimeter. You need to broaden your horizons on what a good 4 can be in the NBA. LMA definitely qualifies, and actually qualifies better than Millsap would for this team. IF Millsap were on this team, he would be a backup, without question. That should tell you enough.
by as11osu on Dec 18, 2008 12:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
To be fair,
LMA is also backed up by Frye and Outlaw, not exactly all stars out there this year, and Millsap has been splitting time with Boozer and Okur, both guys who have been to the All Star game, somehow. For Millsap to have similar +/- to Aldridge playing with those guys instead of Frye is a big argument in Millsap’s favor.
by Royster on Dec 18, 2008 12:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Boozer has been out for over half the year
so that makes your Boozer argument an argument for Koufos who is worse than Outlaw, or at least Outlaw at the 4 (who has been good in limited time there).
by as11osu on Dec 18, 2008 12:44 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thankfully, "Royster" slammed already slammed post, but I've ...
already explained in detail why LaMarcus Aldridge’s ostensibly high on-court/off-court +/- is a farce.
"Apropos of LaMarcus Aldridge, it’s on offense whereby he boosts his +/- stats.
From that standpoint, one would conclude that Aldridge’s enhances the team’s offense and makes little difference on defense. That’s a misleading statistic in this instance, however, ’cause Aldridge is playing ahead of two even softer, more selfish mid-range chuckers in Channing Frye and Travis Outlaw.
All things considered, Aldridge, Frye, and Outlaw have each played like they own tons of stock in Proctor & Gamble Co. — which produces Charmin toilet paper — as they’ve taken the power out of power forward."
http://www.blazersedge.com/2008/11/23/668519/14-games-in-another-jksnak#10269166
Why, by the way, are we discussing this already resolved issue?
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 3:33 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Because you brought up worthless stats
check above. If you’re going to bring up the defensive stats that make Millsap look better you HAVE to bring up the offensive stats that show how important LMA is to this offense. You also for the most part completely neglect the Jerry Sloan factor, and playing next to the 2 best rebounding centers in the NBA. Who besides Dwight Howard on gods green earth (I’m also an atheist), is going to get a substantial amount of boards next to who we have? LMA is the better perimeter defender out of he and Millsap, and thats more of the need since we already have Greg and Joel, and potentially a new backup 4 coming in soon.
You’re simply not being a fair observer on a lot of these points.
by as11osu on Dec 18, 2008 5:22 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
he resigned Travis Outlaw
instead of trading him while he was hot..
there is an error. cant get nearly as much for him now
"Why would we lie to ourselves dude?"
"Be excellent to each other."
"All we are is dust in the wind, dude."
"Strange things are afoot at the Circle K."
The Wisdom of Bill S Preston Esquire and Ted Theodore Logan
by GreatOden'sRaven on Dec 17, 2008 4:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That is about as unpredictable as the stock market
The general direction might be south, but we won’t know until a trade is announced (and maybe even later if it is for a younger player).
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 5:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course Milsap was a great pick
They got him in the second round. NOBODY talked about him being a high lottery pick. He basically came out of nowhere. Did you want KP to take him with the fourth pick? What is your scenario for KP snatching MIlsap, maybe I’m missing it.
….and don’t get me wrong, I love Milsap and would be thrilled if he were our backup.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 8:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think the other issue with Millsap is that we picked
a PF with the last pick of the first round, also, so while you can’t fault KP necessarily for drafting LMA at #2 over Millsap, you can fault him for picking Freeland over Millsap. I don’t mean to write off Joel here, but there’s a pretty minute chance that he becomes better than Millsap is.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 9:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I forgot the Freeland pick was in that draft
But at the same time, I have a hard time faulting any GM for not picking a player in the first round, when everybody expected him to go in the second round. Nobody, and I would even include Utah in this, thought Milsap was going to do what he’s done. In hindsight, it’s obvious, but I’d think most people hadn’t even heard of Milsap until he started producing for Utah. Milsap is different than a player who “slipped” down to the second round, such as CDR.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 10:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, as I recall
Millsap led the NCAA in rebounding for 3 straight years at La Tech, and was the first player to ever do that, so it’s not like he came out of nowhere, at least from a scouting standpoint he shouldn’t have. Millsap had the same knock on him as Boozer in that he was an extremely productive college PF that was seen as an inch or two too small to play it at the pro level, and both those guys have done well after being second rounders. Of course, Boozer went to Duke, which is a little different than La Tech.
While I doubt too many average NBA fans had him on the radar, almost every GM/scout should have. I know leading the nation in rebounding doesn’t make him a first team all-american like CDR, but it’s still makes him stand out.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 10:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No, I agree with you
I knew who he was, as did other hardcore basketball fans, but I would venture to say that we were the exception, not the norm.
At any rate, it’s pretty hard to knock a GM for passing on a guy like Milsap, IMO. GM’s can’t select everybody, know what I mean? We got LMA and Roy in one draft; That’s pretty amazing in my book.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 11:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't mean to imply it was a major knock
on KP and that he’s not an incredible GM, just that he’s no infallible. It’d be like knocking Brandon for turning the ball over once or twice, no one’s perfect. It’s way better that he goofed on taking Freeland over Millsap than say, taking Morrison over Aldridge, or Patrick O’Bryant over Roy.
Really, my point was that we had a legit, realistic shot at millsap around where he was projected, and opted instead to take Freeland, plus whatever happened with that Alexander Johnson (taken 2 picks before Millsap), I just can’t remember the details there. Did pretty much every other GM make a similar mistake? yeah, but that doesn’t mean KP didn’t goof on that one just like pretty much everyone but Utah.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 12:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Undersized PF's
There have been so many over the years who failed in the NBA. Every now and then, one comes along that works out. Utah got pretty lucky, IMO. It doesn’t always turn out to be roses……
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 1:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, there are multiple flavors of undersized guys
Guys like Millsap and Boozer and clearly strong, filled out guys who were super productive in college. Those guys tend to succeed regardless of whether their one inch shorter than their competition or 3 inches shorter than their competition. The only real busts I can remember of “undersized” PFs in recent NBA history have been Sean May (permanently injured), Mike Sweetney (ate himself out of the league), and Alando Tucker (only in his second year). In contrast, you have productive, but somewhat smaller college PFs like Boozer, Millsap, Powe(knee issues also caused him to fall), Big Baby, and Chuck Hayes (undrafted), there’s an argument to be made that guys who aren’t complete athletic disasters (aka Adam Morrison) that are productive in college will be productive in the pros, regardless of inch or two.
Given that those guys are almost exclusively second rounders, the success rate on them has to be higher than project Euro centers, which is who is getting drafted ahead of them, usually.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 1:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
One factor in Millsap's favor
…is that he has very long arms. I don’t have the predraft measurements at hand, but I’m sure they support that. Wingspan and standing reach are what’s relevant, not how high the top of your head is.
Apart from that, Millsap has desire, anticipation, quickness, timing, toughness—all the ingredients that make a great rebounder and ball hawk. The fact that he led the NCAA in rebounding three straight years should have tipped off SOMEONE that this guy was a very special “tweener.” But GM’s nowadays tend to miss the forest for the trees. KP wasn’t alone in overlooking Paul Millsap.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 2:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
For future reference
And I forgot that Shelden Williams was so short, so chalk that one up in the undersized bust column, although his wingspan was even better than Millsap’s. Maybe because his height is amplified by his foot long forehead.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 2:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Alando Tucker isn't an undersized power forward; instead, he's a ...
weakside cornerman in the mold of Josh Howard, Josh Childress, et al.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm just curious as too how many stars you've picked prior to a draft?
You make it sound like evaluating players for the draft is child’s play. The fact there are far more busts than All-Stars selected tends to indicate it is quite difficult to accurately and successfully do this.
Some organizations seem to be better at it than others. San Antonio comes immediately to mind. So far, Pritchard seems to have taken that skill with him when he left SA to come to Portland.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 18, 2008 8:26 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not talking about finding all-stars in the second round
just that certain guys: hyper-productive college PFs who slip because they’re missing an inch or two seem to be traditionally undervalued in the draft, and I gave some examples. I’d say my ability to evaluate everyone outside of that small subset is pretty terrible, but anecdotally, that’s what I’ve noticed. I’ll call right now that I think Hansbrough’s going to be a productive player somewhere, maybe not an all star or a 35 MPG player, but a solid sixth or seventh man on a decent team as his floor.
by Royster on Dec 18, 2008 12:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well, you and I am in agreement about Hansbrough.
And you just made a friend in Tom.
I started to look at past drafts going back to 1999. Seems like when it comes to PF’s (of all sizes) there are far more busts than hits.
I stopped because the first issue I ran into is what is the definition of undersized. I think we can agree that Millsap’s 6-7 meets that definition. (And there have been very few 6-7 PF’s drafted.) But what about 6-8 or even 6-9?
Today, 6-8 seems to be considered on the small size for a 4. Even 6-9 is questioned (particularly when you have an increasing number of 6-10 SF’s). Yet one of my all time favorite PF’s was Buck Williams, who was closer to 6-8 than 6-9.
I will agree whole heartedly with you that teams tend to overvalue height. I’ll take guys like Wes Unseld and Charles Barkley and Paul Millsap over more hyped guys any day. On the Aldridge – Millsap debate, I’ll just say that I don’t think LaMarcus has been overhyped. And when the player many think his game and ceiling most resembles is Rasheed Wallace, then I think it’s a no brainer you grab him if you can.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 18, 2008 5:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I love Hansbrough
I think his role is to cause the other team to get technical fouls.
"There is a difference between having two guys banging down low and having two guys who can bang down low." - Blazin'
by tominhawaii on Dec 19, 2008 2:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I just dont think that all of KP's moves are completely apparent yet.
Does anyone here believe that Aldridge has completely maxed out his potential yet? No, he still is growing as a player. He’s only been a starter for two seasons. He’s better this year than last. His inside game is expanding. His outside shooting at least those long jumpers are better. If he continues to grow exponentially at the rate he has so far he’s gonna be one of the top forwards in the league in the years to come.
Everyone here focuses too much on the right now, and KP focuses on the future. I like what you said about the fallen lottery picks though, but those were never supposed to be our main guys anyway. They make solid role players off the bench against the rest of the leagues backups and tend to shine at times which is enough for now.
by lethaldose on Dec 16, 2008 11:51 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
"...but those were never supposed to be our main guys anyway"
That’s the point. If you are trying to steal a “main guy” from another team, you might try the “fallen angel” strategy… buying low on a talented player who just hasn’t made it work yet. However, those guys don’t make good role players. By what definition have Frye and Diogu made good role players this year? Frye did have several stretches of very solid play last year, for which I give him credit, but most of the time he flat out hasn’t gotten it done.
I agree with your thoughts on Aldridge, however.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 12:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I thought Frye,
had potential, But he isnt showing it this year at least not so far. He’s certainly moved farther down the bench. Still dont think KP really went after Frye all that hard, he seemed to really want to get rid of Randolf, and Frye was just the best he could get in return. I like Frye, but your probably right on he’s probably gonna end up a failed KP experiment but wont end up hurting this team in the end.
by lethaldose on Dec 17, 2008 12:17 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Frye was, is, and will likely always be a "rental."
He is never going to be Dirk.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 11:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That could be the understatement of the year, Everett...
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 9:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I only said it, because I have heard people say that he had the potential to play like Dirk.
Here, or on O-live, can’t really say which, but I just remember thinking it was silly.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 9:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
I think KP saw Channing as a significant piece when he made that trade. There’s no question it was primarily a Randolph dump first and foremost, but I think KP saw something in Channing that we’ve seen in spurts, but not nearly enough.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 9:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, maybe...
but I don’t see it happening.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 9:41 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't either
my point is that I believe KP thought Channing was a player, and he appears to have been incorrect.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 9:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Disagree, it was a personality/salary/contract dump
Zach’s contract made it necessary.
Still look at Frye’s rookie year. Not that bad.
Diogu was just part of the deal to get Bayless, and get rid of Jack. Where did anyone imagine Diogu was going to fit in? My thoughts at the trade were, great, in case LMA, and Travis, and Frye, get injured we have insurance
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:28 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He got him strictly to be a backup, though
Frye was never intended to be a starter, so I dunno how much KP really thought he’d give us, aside from a good backup PF and more depth.
If he bounces back from his bad sophomore year, great. If not, he’s just the backup.
KP talked Frye up of course, as he does for everyone to the media, but its not like the Rudy or Oden hype or something. I don’t think we targeted Frye as a guy we want, we targeted the Knicks as people who would take Z-Bo in return for a shorter contract for us plus a decent young guy who we could use (and another big man).
If KP could, I’m sure he woulda’ opted for David Lee, but getting rid of Z-Bo and his contract was more important than the player(s) we were getting back.
Since Frye IS a young big on a still-developing team last year, you give him minutes, but I still don’t see Frye as anything but a ‘best we could get from one of the few teams willing to take Zach’s contract’ player. Like I said, he’s young so ya hope for the best, but that’s just a side benefit.
Frye’s value had dropped to a point where we probably could have got him without giving up Zach, if we were just after Frye.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 18, 2008 2:48 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, it was all about Z-Bo
And I recall at the time there was some discussion of getting him out of the Western Conference (funny how he’s back and is undefeated against us playing for a West team).
I can’t remember the team exactly (Denver?), but there were Z-Bo trade rumors and it was obvious that NY was a better destination than the alternative.
by Bust a Bucket on Dec 18, 2008 2:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Disagree
KP thought of Channing like he thought of Ike during those draft day trades. Nothing really expected, but there was a glimmer of hope they were “fallen angels”.
Of course Channing had done more in NY than Ike in GS or IN, but Channing wasn’t going to be a starter ever and he’s played about how I expected. If you give him minutes (like when LMA has been hurt) he will put up some numbers, but that doesn’t mean your team is successful.
It was all about Zach’s 5 years left versus Francis’ 2 years left, or whatever they are. Plus, B Roy (or some “prominent” member of the team as reported by the Oregonian) told them to get rid of Z-Bo. Plus, we drafted Oden that day and LMA looked good toward the end of his rookie year. Channing was at best a sweetener in that deal, but not the purpose of it or any kind of deal breaker for KP.
by Bust a Bucket on Dec 18, 2008 2:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I dont think
KP particularly targeted Frye; but rather wanted to get rid of Randolf, and Frye was the best return he could get with that deal. Frye certainly has been dropping in value since the start of the season though and your right he’s not much of a role player right now. Still KP has got us pretty spoiled if we are debating Frye and Diogu as potential KP screwups.
by lethaldose on Dec 17, 2008 12:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
The nice thing about “fallen angels” is that they are cheap, and if they don’t work out you don’t have an awful contract to deal with. This is definitely a minor critique— KP has yet to make a major mistake.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 1:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
except he allowed Patterson/Nash to trade Ha.
I tell you, he had greatness.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 1:09 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I disagree with both these points...
Obviously, I think LMA is better than Millsap as an overall player, and even more so for the future of this team. Secondly, when you land the #1 overall player in the draft at #6, that’s the whole point of this league. Nailing your lottery picks and getting, at worst 2 of the 5 best players from that draft was a mighty feat. Add to that Sergio Rodriguez who is one of the 15 best players from that draft (taken at 27) and you have yourself a downright coo. I don’t even think Utah had the 2nd best draft that day… that honor belongs to the Celtics (Rondo and Powe).
Secondly, role players are very important to any team, but the number one goal of a GM just starting out, trying to build a long term successful team must first find those elite players, and the ones with the highest potentials. While later down the line you can add those role type guys, there isn’t any second chance to get the other potential franchise guys. We’re currently in a position to add plenty of role players, even Millsap for example, but there’s no way we’re getting the super elite types (Rondo, Gay, Fernandez (had we not drafted him)).
by as11osu on Dec 16, 2008 11:52 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I've yet to see a reasonable evidence based argument...
… for LMA being a better player than Millsap.
I agree with much of the rest of your post, however.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 12:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They just don't play the same game.
Aldridge is a better jump shooter, and about the same inside as far as efficiency goes. The difference is Millsap sticks down low, and lives there. Here in Portland, Aldridge isn’t asked to play that game, and thus far into his career has been the #1 post player on this team, and thus the #1 post player the opposition plans to stop. Aldridge is working on a game taylor made for life next to Greg Oden. While Paul Millsap in the next couple years may turn into what we used to have with Brian Grant, Aldridge is drawing up plans working on Rasheed’s old game. Getting that 3 point shot helps force a defender to go outside, further opening up things for a true post player (Oden). While Milsap is a better down and dirty defender in the post, Aldridge is the more versatile defender, with elite athleticism for his position and incredible length. I think the future of this game is heading more towards the type of PF Aldridge will be than the type of PF Millsap is. That isn’t to say right now the thought of Millsap isn’t appealing, he’d be a heck of a backup PF now, but thats just the thing, even when the thought about bringing a guy like Millsap in comes to mind… that thought immediately takes a backseat to Aldridge’s future with this team. Just watch Boston play defense and tell me the type and variety of defense that Garnett can play, and which of the two has a better chance to resemble it. Aldridge admittedly is a long ways off, but he’s the guy you bank your future on, he’s the guy that can be a franchise changer, not the sturdy bangers, of which there are tons of already in this league.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 12:25 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Milsap is a free agent.
Would be awesome to stick it to Utah and sign him.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 12:26 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The sticking it to Utah part would just be the eating of the cake
Getting Millsap is benefit #1. Honestly, if you go out and offer Millsap the max, is it really that horrible of a move? I’d rather have him at his age for the duration of his career than any of those other FA’s.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 12:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think that was already discussed today somewhere, but isn't he restricted in 2009 coming off his second round contract
Meaning Utah can match offers for him (Gilbert Arenas provision). And wouldn’t they do that, even more so than offers for Boozer at this point.
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 12:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If our plan isn't to use that cap space until the 2009/2010 trading deadline...
then you have that option to mess with Utah. Getting Millsap in that situation to me is better than waiting for the 2009/2010 trade that may or may not come.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 12:56 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He is restricted
and I don’t think the Blazers would sign him. I was just wondering what would happen if Pritchard threw crazy Paul Allen near-max money at him. Not really sure if the Jazz value him that much.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 12:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That is my point: Even max money is not much for a player with such a low draft position and 3 years in the league
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 1:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, ok.
I haven’t seen him much to be honest, don’t know his market value. I hope they max him and Okur out so it hurts their cap flexibility.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 1:05 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Unless you have info I don't
the max contract for a player in the NBA 3 years is between 13 and 15 million dollars.
http://members.cox.net/lmcoon/salarycap.htm
I’m pretty sure its just the 1st round picks that have the incremental increases over 4 years. 2nd round picks become free agents after their deals are done.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 1:15 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It could be a little different, but I am not sure about the details
See the “Gilbert Arenas Provision” in that document. AFAIK that situation is applicable here, so the available cap space of the teams offering for him influences the total amount they can offer. I don’t know all the details. Chad Ford even left him off his list of interesting FAs for 2009, which is really weird, but I’m pretty sure closer to free agency we will read a lot about him. Utah will have full Bird Rights on Millsap, so they should be able to match if they want (especially if Boozer has been traded or just left).
One more problem I could imagine: Millsap respectively his agent know his worth is rising. He knows he can be more than a backup, potentially even becoming a star. Would he even want to come to Portland when e.g. Memphis also has tons of cap space and no adequate PF?
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 1:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If I understand this correctly, and I think that I do...
1st Year = 5.9 (MLE)
2nd Year = 6.4 (MLE X 1.08, 8 percent bump)
3rd Year = 15 (Max for 6 year Player)
4th Year = 16 (Max X 1.069, 6.9 percent bump)
5th Year = 17 (Previous X 1.069, 6.9 percent bump)
Max we can offer forcing them to match would be…
5 Year Contract worth 60 Million
We would have to be 12 million dollars under the salary cap this year to be able to offer this contract.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 2:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
"there are tons of sturdy bangers at the PF"
and a number of them have killed us. There’s a reason so many 4s in this league are physical… it works.
by Blazin' on Dec 17, 2008 12:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Think abot the Sturdy Bangers at 4 in two of the last three losses
Z-Bo and Rashard Lewis! Nevermind
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You'll need stats to prove LMA's better to jake
I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich
by hobobob on Dec 17, 2008 2:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Unlike Rasheed Wallace, LaMarcus Aldridge is lacking two important facets to his game.
Aldridge is, well, a poor three-point shooter and is a substandard man-to-man interior defender.
As a rookie with the Washington Bullets during the ‘95-’96 season, Wallace was so versatile that he managed to start numerous games at small forward alongside Gheorge Muresan and Juwan Howard. Anyone who thinks that Aldridge could’ve pulled that off is downright kidding themselves.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
wallace developed the 3 point shot later in his career and i think Lamarcus is developing it too. the defense is what keeps aldridge from being like Wallace
and i still hold optimism that he can develop it.
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 7:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
As a rookie, Rasheed Wallace shot 32.9% from beyond the arc.
I doubt that LaMarcus Aldridge will average higher than that in any season of his career.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 8:25 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
he's already shooting 20 foot jumpers at above that, he needs to add like two feet to his range. if he can't do that he's gonna be a bust
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 8:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think that's a plausible scenario, though.
With regards to jump shooting efficiency thus far this season, LaMarcus Aldridge’s performance is out-’n’out pitiful in comparison to Rasheed Wallace. Aldridge has a 40.7% eFG% on jumpers, while Wallace has a 51.5% eFG% on jumpers. That’s an extraordinarily substantial difference.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 9:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
what about in Wallaces third season? if you look at the stats he shot 32% his first year then promptly dropped to 27ish and even into the high teens
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 9:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
My guess is that had to do with how Rasheed Wallace was used by ...
P.J. Carlesimo and Mike Dunleavy, Sr., as he didn’t start frequently bombing it away from downtown until the arrival of Maurice Cheeks. Also, Wallace was starting on a frontline next to a pivotman, Arvydas Sabonis, who liked to roam away from the paint due to his versatility on offense. Yet, once Wallace had Cheeks coaching and Dale Davis holding down the low block, he was given more room to shoot mid-range jumpers and from beyond the arc.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 9:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
At least you're good at making excuses for one of the two
There is 0 reason to believe that in the next 3 years LMA can’t be a 30-35% shooter from 3. He’s got a sweet stroke from outside, and a couple feet can be added to someones range pretty easily (take a look at Outlaw).
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 9:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
God I hope LMA doesn't become a 3-pointer shooter
BINGO, BANGO, BONGO
by blzrfan on Dec 17, 2008 11:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you
That was the downfall of Ciff Robinson and ‘sheed. The outside shot ruined Patrick Ewing as well. Sure, it’s occasionally useful to have a 6-11 guy draw an opposing big away from the paint with the threat of the outside shot. But what a waste to have him live out there.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 11:49 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sort of agreed
If he shoots fewer jumpers in general, everyone would be better off. He’s much more efficient around the basket than he is shooting jumpers.
However, if he must shoot long jumpers, I’d much rather have him learn to hit ~32-34% on threes than ~40% (or less) on 20 footers.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 11:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Its a better compliment to Oden
if LMA can shoot 3’s, than if he lives in and demands the paint. If he’s going to be shooting long jumpers, its much more efficient to be 3 pointers. If he hits 33% of his 3’s, that’s the same as shooting 50% from inside. It just works better if you think Oden can eventually become a force inside that LMA has that 3 down. I can’t tell you how many times in the last 4-5 years I’ve seen Rasheed hit a dagger 3 pointer. A player that requires a cover out there also makes Oden a 1 on 1 responsibility for some poor sap underneath (this all assumes Oden can become at least a fraction of what was originally thought).
by as11osu on Dec 18, 2008 12:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
sort of agreed
however, two inside bruisers together can work also. Duncan and Robinson come to mind. More recently, the Lopez brothers at Stanford— Brook would draw so much attention on the block that Robin could sneak in and gobble up tons of offensive rebounds… he couldn’t shoot a lick and was still a great compliment to his brother (the main post threat on his team). I wouldn’t mind LMA replacing 20 footers with threes, but I still want him battling on the boards and in the post more often, especially while Oden is still super raw offensively.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 18, 2008 12:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Take the Cavs for instance...
Needing one “inside” big guy and one “outside” big guy to space the floor is a myth. There would be nothing wrong (at all) with say, and Oden/Milsap frontcourt.
Didn’t think Varajeo and Wallace could play together at first. But all the offensive boards more than make up for any deficiency in scoring from the high post.
Rebounds are good. Two guys who can rebound helps, not hurts. Even alongside Oden, Aldridge’s affection for 20-footers is NOT a good thing.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 7:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
It’s something a vet adds to his bag of tricks.
Sheed didn’t shoot 3s early in his career. LMA will work on those over the off seasons and eventually become a credible 3 point threat like Sheed.
by Bust a Bucket on Dec 18, 2008 2:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree
If it was all about shooting percentage, then sure: a slightly lower percentage by LMA on 3’s would be preferable to a slightly higher percentage on 13-17 footers. But the 3-pointer takes even the quickest big completely out of the offensive rebounding picture. That’s a huge waste, in my view. What’s the point of having “twin towers” if only one of them is mixing it up in the paint?
Having LMA set up shot just outside the paint or with one foot in it while GO is under the basket works beautifully. As LMA develops his driving game as an alternative threat to the short jumper, he can draw and dish to GO. But that 3-point line is death to all those options.
As for ’sheed’s “daggers,” sure that happens. But it’s more than offset by the loss of ’sheed’s big body in the paint. The Detroit coaches and Dumars have all implored ‘sheed to get his butt off that 3-point line, but he’s fallen in love with that shot. Typical ‘sheed: he’d much rather not get his hands dirty actually helping his team win.
Now you want LMA out there bombing away?
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 18, 2008 10:17 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Oops--I meant "set up SHOP"
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 18, 2008 10:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nobody wants him out there
But the point is that a three is better than a long two. A long two puts LMA in rebounding position that’s just as bad.
For instance, LMA has taken a bunch of twenty-two footers from the key area. Those are twos. Nowhere near the paint. Nowhere near rebounding position.
Those are bad shots. If LMA’s going to take 22-footers, he HAS to take them from the corner, where they’re worth three.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 12:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The jumpshot "ruined" Ewing?
Without that J Ewing would never be a HOF player.
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 18, 2008 3:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nope - Sheed kind of played where he wanted
watch the infamous 2000 WCF. Rasheed is shooting from all over the floor. He tormented the L*kers with three’s in that series. That was with Sabonis at center. Dale Davis came later and NEVER held down the low block on offense.
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:43 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sabonis
Now there’s your 3 point shooter!
by Bust a Bucket on Dec 18, 2008 3:00 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Dale Davis never had much range to his game, though.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t8df2zCpypk
While Davis was mainly a face-up player, he undoubtedly sucked at efficiently shooting mid-range jumpers. Thus, regardless of whether or not someone considers Davis to have been a true threat down on the low block, he nevertheless took up more space in the paint than Arvydas Sabonis.
In fact, Davis’ shooting percentages while playing for the Portland Trail Blazers heavily indicate that he should’ve absolutely avoided shooting the rock from beyond 12 feet away from the basket.
http://82games.com/02POR12A.HTM
http://82games.com/03POR21A.HTM
Rasheed Wallace, moreover, shot a much higher percentage of his field-goal attempts as jumpers, which he drained at a substantially more efficient rate than that of the aforementioned Davis.
http://82games.com/02POR11A.HTM
http://82games.com/03POR19A.HTM
Wallace, by the way, shot just 13 three-point attempts out of 225 total field-goal attempts in 605 mintues during the 2000 NBA playoffs.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/POR/2000.html
Yet, if Wallace for some reason went off on a three-point shooting binge one game against the Los Angeles Lakers during the 2000 NBA Western Conference Finals, then I’d call that an aberration.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 3:56 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
lamarcus is shooting 25% for the season from three, granted in very, very limited numbers (3-12)
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 9:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think its a drastic overstatement
that you think Wallace his rookie year is ahead of Aldridge now. And yes, Aldridge is one of the PF’s that could probably see some minutes at the 3, and not have it be a huge detriment to the team. That scenario you’re pointing out, with Muresan and Howard doesn’t represent Wallace playing the 3, because Howard is the 3 in that case. Aldridge is among the better perimeter defenders at the 4 in the NBA, and that next to Oden cannot be undervalued. In time, Aldridge has every bit the potential to be the 3 point shooter Rasheed currently is (35-38 percent). Successful teams for the most part don’t have 2 guys on the low block powering away, and thus LMA’s use in regards to that is moot. Currently we have Oden and Przy taking those kind of guys out, with our backup PF most likely doing a bit of the same eventually (when that player is acquired).
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 7:38 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wallace is so much better on D than LMA it isn't even close.
I actually agree that LMA could reach Wallace’s level offensively.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 8:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
the question is can LMA learn those defensive skills
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 8:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Rasheed Wallace was a weakside cornerman on offense with the Washington Bullets.
Juwan Howard, on the other hand, played the traditional 4 spot by manning the high-post.
Unlike Wallace, Howard lacked the range and handles to play small forward in any case.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 8:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wallace played 3 in Portland, too
Alongside Sabonis and Brian Grant.
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
During Brian Grant's three seasons with the Portland Trail Blazers, it appears that he ...
and Rasheed Wallace split the amount of games each one started at power forward; yet, I have no doubt that they both played alongside one another in the frontcourt for a few spurts here and there—regardless of whether or not a true pivotman was on the court with them.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 4:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd like to see the poll results for this.
I have a feeling you are in the decided minority on rating Millsap as a better player than Aldridge.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Among Blazer fans maybe
Not among neutral observers. Milsap has had a double-double every single game he’s started this year. How many does LMA have?
Lamarcus is a jump shooter who doesn’t shoot that well. In stretches, he looks great. But he’s nowhere near as consistent as Milsap, and his value as a jump shooter is nowhere near Milsap’s value as a (much, much) more efficient scorer and a (much, much) better rebounder.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 17, 2008 7:49 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Then lets limit the poll to GM's and coaches.
I’m betting LaMarcus gets more votes.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:51 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't know about that
Milsap has a PER of almost 20 and a TS% of almost 60, and a rebound rate of 17.
Lamarcus has a PER of 17, a TS% of 49.5 (grotesque), and a rebound rate of 12 (ditto).
Any other stat tells a similar story. By RealGM’s method, Milsap has a floor impact counter of 16.4 – meaning he’s about the 26th best player in the league. Lamarcus has a FIC of 12.1.
I agree with you that some GMs would still take LMA based on his high PPG and his “potential.” And some of Milsap’s success is definitely attributable to Sloan.
But if you’re evaluating who’s actually played better this year, or any other? Milsap in a landslide.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 17, 2008 8:03 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Blazer Fan vote for Millsap > LMA
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 11:25 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
System has to be accounted for though
Utah’s system always highlights the PF and PG, because Sloan is the best pick and roll coach in the game.
What are they’re usage rates?
BTW, I’m a HUGE Milsap fan and would love to have him on our team to back up LMA. I know the stats are nice to look at, but I’d still take LMA over Milsap; With Oden or Pryz in the middle and Milsap on the opposite post, the paint would get clogged. I would be fine with him getting BU minutes though…..
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 11:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hindsight is 20/20. Dark horses and busts happen every year. GM's do the best they can at evaluating talent, while trying to make " safe " picks too.
LMA was rated higher that year. I think Utah probably would have taken LMA if they had the number 2 / 3 pick.
by dario argento on Dec 16, 2008 11:56 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
easily!
My favorite teams are the Blazers and any team that is playing the Lakers.
by OCBlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 8:30 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Of course, but that's kind of the point
It’s really about finding the right guys in each “tier” of players. I mean, if Adam Morrison had somehow fallen to like 9 or 10 that year, whoever took him would have been hailed as having an incredible draft, because he was projected much higher, and even if he still turned out to be a bust, you couldn’t fault the GM for drafting him.
We arguably got the top guy in the “top” tier (LMA), and the best guy in the next (Brandon), which is impressive for KP, given that we drafted 4th and 7th, but at the same time, I’d probably argue based on finding the best guy at a “tier”, Boston probably had the best draft. Rondo is head and shoulders above everyone drafted around him, and the only guy better than Powe or even remotely close to him drafted after 45 is Millsap.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 9:15 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sort of like Darrell Arthur
in last year’s draft—he dropped to the late 1st round when he was supposed to be a lottery pick. Whoever got him is regarded as getting a good deal, although now it turns out he isn’t really all that effective.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 12:56 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for the discussion guys
Hopefully you don’t mind me replying to most of your posts. I’m enjoying the back and forth.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 12:06 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
Love the Millsap arguement
Especially around the nature of our backup PF.
Plus is Utah’s GM the real secret to Utah Sucess?
by holder on Dec 17, 2008 8:11 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Jk. I like the post b/c it has opened up some good and healthy debate
but i disagree with you for a couple reasons.
1. The drafting of LmA or rather trading for that pick was brilliant in that we were not #2 in that lottery. Also, Broy was to be had that year , thats 2 top 10 picks for extrememly relevant and necessary pieces to our championship puzzle on one night via some complicated and very gutsy moves made by KP. Utah comes in and picks there non lottery 2nd rounder and clearly b/c they have a good system there and competent GM and scouts they pick the best available.
I think the mystery is why Milsap slips so far? He’s turned out to be a great player but will be relegated back to the bench when Boozer is back and then what? He’s back to his old numbers.
2. The Jazz and Blazers were in completely different fazes at that point. What the hell would we think of KP if he dumps all those players to trade for a 2nd rounder? It’s 2 clubs w/ different needs and really Milsap is good but he and LmA are not really comparable. Milsap and Oden together would be interesting but not the two headed monster that LMA and Oden will be.
Anyway, yeah 3 years ago we had a completely different team and were winning 29 games… we are on track to win 50+ this year, that is incredible and awesome that a complete rebuild is done in that time. Haven’t seen that in my short lifetime. KP is a G and THE BEST GM.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:17 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
+1
Because I don’t contribute posts anymore, this is pretty much my opinion. Except I think Paul Millsap is not better than LMA. Millsap has a lot of heart and hustles, but the dude is 6’8" and who knows how tall that really is, and is not all world athletically. He’s a garbage man type player. LMa has been slumping this season with the new Blazers but once he finds his groove I think he’ll be posting 20 and 8 efficiently and regularly.
Come Out, Come Down, Face Out, Be Gone
Break down, build up again
Here she comes with a hand to lend
Get out of bed just to dive into the night
Torn lips and I feel uptight
Come out, Come down
Fade out,
Be Gone
WORD UP. STAY. FRESCO.
by Dheepan on Dec 17, 2008 12:24 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If you noticed, LMA's "slump" started when Oden was made a starter
it’s clear that LmA is having a hard time adjusting to Oden in the lineup. I cant place exactly what the problem is but I’m not that worried about it.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:26 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know that I'd call 4 straight 20-point games a slump...
though he did have an off night tonight.
by Thack on Dec 17, 2008 12:37 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm glad his off nights now include a healthy dose of rebounding
"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"
by Magnum on Dec 17, 2008 12:41 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
me either, I was referring to the 10 games or so right when Oden started that LmA's offense was well below his average.
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:42 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah the twin towers synergy has not yet developed
Last year the Blazers made it a point to spoon feed Aldridge shots in the 1st quarter, we kind of moved away from that strategy this year. That also might have something to do with it.
Come Out, Come Down, Face Out, Be Gone
Break down, build up again
Here she comes with a hand to lend
Get out of bed just to dive into the night
Torn lips and I feel uptight
Come out, Come down
Fade out,
Be Gone
WORD UP. STAY. FRESCO.
by Dheepan on Dec 17, 2008 12:44 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
spoon feed :)
i dont know why , but that strikes me as funny
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The exact opposite is true
Aldridge’s worse run was the first 16 games of the season, and Oden was out altogether for 6 of those, and came of the bench for another 8 of those.
Aldridge’s numbers actually improved dramatically over the last 11 games. The 2nd of those games is when Greg was re-inserted in to the starting lineup.
With all due respect, not only is your point wrong but the exact opposite is true.
by matthewcc on Dec 17, 2008 7:20 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Oden was out the first month of play and returned in Mid-late November, the beginning of LmA’s slump. Several sources noted that LmA had trouble adjusting to Oden on the block. t.
Substantiation ..
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 12:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Data
I had looked over the numbers already. Here they are broken down. Really, there is seemingly no rhyme or reason to LMA’s performance. Not only does there not seem to be much correlation between Oden’s minutes and LMA’s performance.. there doesn’t seem to be much correlation to the opposing teams defense! I found that pretty strange.
LMA had been up and down before Greg came back… and he was up and down after (mostly down). That his shooting picked up when Greg was back in the starting line up is, I think, as random as it going down when Greg started coming off the bench.
Keep in mind when Greg was coming off the bench and LMA’s shooting went into the tank, Oden was playing mostly with the 2nd unit and not with LMA at all.
Honestly, I think you can chalk up LMA’s wild fluctuations and his hot and cold streaks to the fact that he has essentially become a jump shooter.
All games in chronological order
LMA FG% / Oden minutes / Opponent Defense Efficiency rank (Opponent)
Laker game (Oden leaves 13 minutes in):
.333 / 13 / 04 (Lakers)
Oden misses six games
.455 / 00 / #10 (Spurs)
.389 / 00 / #23 (Suns)
.467 / 00 / #09 (Jazz)
.600 / 00 / #06 (Rockets)
.533 / 00 / #26 (Timberwolves)
.471 / 00 / #03 (Magic)
Average FG : 48
Oden comes off the bench and plays mostly with the 2nd unit:
.353 / 16 / #17 (Heat)
.438 / 24 / #12 (Hornets)
.429 / 24 / #26 (Timberwolves)
.286 / 30 / #28 (Warriors)
.308 / 17 / #14 (Bulls)
.471 / 19 / #29 (Kings)
.429 / 14 / #23 (Suns)
.214 / 19 / #29 (Kings)
Average FG : 36.6
Oden reinserted into the starting lineup:
.700 / 26 / #17 (Heat)
.615 / 24 / #12 (Hornets)
.579 / 31 / #21 (Pistons)
.583 / 19 / #24 (Knicks)
.438 / 31 / #30 (Wizards)
.462 / 18 / #01 (Celtics)
.500 / 28 / #22 (Raptors)
.706 / 11 / #03 (Magic)
.556 / 32 / #09 (Jazz)
.391 / 42 / #13 (Clippers)
.300 / 21 / #19 (Kings)
Average FG : 53
by matthewcc on Dec 17, 2008 4:10 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And here's why that's so looking at it this way... Every night is a small sample size for LMA shooting, the percentages are meaningless...
……………….. Ya rim one out or make an easy tip and the percentage changes dramatically. Drowning in numbers but it’s based on the incorrect (I believe) premise that LMA’s FG% on a nightly basis is a valid measurement of when he has a “good” or “bad” night…
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 9:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I watched Danny Granger dominate tonight
shooting 11-27.
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
of course a single game is a small sample size
that’s why I included all the games, and why I included an average of the average at intervals to mark certain Oden-related events.
As far as whether LMA has a good or bad shooting game (which is what people mean when they say ’slump’) I think FG% is a perfectly reasonable measure.
Anyway, my point was LMA’s bad stretch or bad nights are not tied to Oden, which was someone else’s point and which I was refuting. Its noise; if anything there is a clear uptick when Oden is put back in the starting lineup.
by matthewcc on Dec 18, 2008 5:49 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
if anything
looks like he’s better with Oden on the floor.
by Blazin' on Dec 17, 2008 9:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Paul Millsap is reportedly 6'7.25" tall with shoes on and has a 8''9.5" tall standing reach, ...
while LaMarcus Aldridge is reportedly 6’11.25" tall with shoes on and has a 9’2" tall standing reach.
Someone’s height and standing reach aren’t everything, though, as is noted by ol’ Mouhamed Sene.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Height and standing reach
Now that they’ve actually played two+ seasons of NBA ball?
They’re nothing.
Those are numbers used to evaluate NBA potential BEFORE the guys play against NBA-level competition.
Now that they have… Lamarcus’s height and standing reach don’t put points on the board or provide extra possessions. Milsap’s rebounds do.
Maybe they still indicate some level of “potential,” but Lamarcus has been a subpar rebounder his whole career, Milsap has been a good rebounder his whole career. Probably not going to change, notwithstanding the extra few inches.
(As an aside, height is irrelevant even BEFORE the draft. Only standing reach and wingspan are considered important these days.)
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 7:38 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Mmmk...
I think that the Millsap thing is interesting. He is less of a focus on offense, and I would put LMA’s offensive game above that of Millsap. The thing is that LMA lacks the killer rebounding instinct. Millsap won’t draw double teams like Aldridge will; Aldridge won’t clean up the glass nearly as well as Millsap. It comes down to what you want in your power forward. A couple of guys at SLCdunk were noting that he struggles guarding taller players… Aldridge could potentially eclipse him in defense if he could just add weight.
As far as the fallen angel thing, I don’t buy into that just because of Frye and Diogu. Frye was a piece in the deal that we got rid of Randolph in. That was the linchpin. Diogu came back to make the Bayless trade work. I think that KP was simply touting the players he had acquired, noting their high draft status. Personally, I think he’ll go after a Brandon Bass/Jason Maxiell type this offseason. We could use a rebounding machine on that second unit.
I love your post, it has sparked some great debate. I just think we need about five more years to look back and really judge LMA vs. Millsap, the fallen angel issue, etc. But I like your logic and thought process.
honor rasheed wallace
by Cablinasian on Dec 17, 2008 12:21 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Also true
Five years is the time you need to accurately rate a draft.
Come Out, Come Down, Face Out, Be Gone
Break down, build up again
Here she comes with a hand to lend
Get out of bed just to dive into the night
Torn lips and I feel uptight
Come out, Come down
Fade out,
Be Gone
WORD UP. STAY. FRESCO.
by Dheepan on Dec 17, 2008 12:26 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The OP already explained his reason for including point1
So, regarding point 2:
I don’t see a problem with KP’s strategy as long as it doesn’t dominate the moves he makes. Grabbing “fallen angels” and finesse players is a personal preference, not necessarily a flaw. And pigeon-holing 1st rounders as guys who don’t work hard is a bit silly. We could use a bruiser type for sure and if we don’t ever draft, sign or trade for one in the future I would be disappointed in KP. Right now, I think he’s done a great job of getting a whole mess ’o talent. The next steps are refining the roster, figuring out the PG/SF situation and picking up a Landry or Millsap type backup forward.
This is more conjecture, but I want to include it. After seeing Oden bog down our offense for a while, maybe KP knew that adding another power player to the roster would disrupt the way the team currently plays. Just a thought.
"It’s a good ol’ fashioned Rip City beat down!"
by Magnum on Dec 17, 2008 12:41 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'm not saying 1st rounders don't work hard
I am saying that a common cause of “fallen angel-itis” is a low motor (not necessarily due to a bad work ethic— some guys just don’t have it). A common symptom of “fallen angel-itis” is inability to be productive in short minutes.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 12:45 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And you know so much about "fallen angel-itis" because ....
…. it’s the subject of your term paper?
Your post is well written and thought provoking. I just think you are reading too much into one phrase. You are doing a good job of expanding on the concept, but I think it’s pretty much reached it’s bursting point.
I think it is a mistake to try to read too much into what Kevin Pritchard says. We are talking about a man who knows that public comments to the media come with the job and who is smart enough to make them without actually reveling what he is really thinking. For all we know, Pritchard is exhibiting another case of classic misdirection. Hoping that other GM’s will perhaps reach conclusions that are far from what Pritchard is actually aiming at.
hakkaa päälle !
by timg56 on Dec 17, 2008 7:48 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
About the Fallen Angels thing...
…especially as it pertains to Diogu…
I think KP just kinda says that as a way to make Diogu look better, feel better, and to make the trade sound even better on our end. Not only did we get Bayless, we got a fallen angel who just a few short years ago was a lottery pick. A “fallen angel” who never got a chance because of injuries.
And as far as I know, he’s only said this in regards to Diogu and Frye, and really I don’t think it reveals a preference that KP has towards those guys because neither were the targets of either trade he did; they were throw ins. Even Frye was.
I think it’s just a spin-type thing to say, but that it isn’t necessarily untrue. Frye’s second season made him throw-in material, and Diogu has never materialized as anything to write home about.
Just like Roy/LMA/Oden etc haven’t had enough time to REALLY know what sort of player they are or will become, KP has only been a GM for an extremely short time period and I don’t think nearly enough time has passed to reveal any tendencies or preferences on his part. I always think “ehh, we don’t KNOW that” when people say things like “KP doesn’t like mid-season trades”, just because he hasn’t done a big one yet in his 2 seasons as a GM. He might LOVE them, who knows, one hasn’t come up that’s worth doing is all.
All we know truly about KP is that he values good character dudes, hard workers, likes new-wave stats and salary cap shenanigans (with help from Tom Penn of course) and has the “golden gut” for picking talent as all that he has drafted in the 1st round has worked out great thus far. That’s the only tendency I can see that is pretty much “for sure”.
I think we take everything KP says in interviews as concrete beliefs of his, when I think sometimes he just… says stuff. Doesn’t make it his modus operandi.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 17, 2008 10:35 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely, you have to take what KP says with a grain of salt
He’s a master of misdirection. Just look at all the stuff we heard from him leading up to the last draft—everything BUT the name “Jerryd Bayless.”
As for trying to identify any tendencies of KP’s, I do think jsnake99 may be correct in pointing to a general preference for finesse players. You could point to the decision to draft GO over Durant as an exception. But just the fact that KP apparently seriously considered picking a beanpole gunner over a guy projected as a dominating center underlines KP’s “finesse bias.”
Months ago, I had a fanpost suggesting that KP’s having been a point guard may lead him to undervalue big, physical players. That was probably a stretch; point guards may value size more than anyone because they lack it! But while I’m an unabashed KP fan, I do think the current roster is a little overloaded with stringbean-types. “Where’s the beef?”
Not to worry: I’m confident this issue will be addressed soon. Hopefully, that’ll happen by playoff time, when there’s truly a premium on physical players.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 12:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't consider Jerryd Bayless
a finesse player. He’s a power player for his position. And KP could have drafted plenty of string beans instead.
By the way, some of the most effective players in the NBA are string beans…Kevin Martin, Rudy Fernandez, Manu Ginobili, Tayshawn Prince, the list goes on. Even Kobe is a bit of a finesse player. So that’s not necessarily a flaw. And Oden and Przybilla give the team the toughness inside that it needs.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 1:02 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Jerryd Bayless Is not a finesse player .
He just isn’t So yes you are correct in that.
Sophia
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:06 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Also
I don’t really consider Roy to be a finesse player. He’s a pretty physical, strong in the post, shooting guard.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on Dec 17, 2008 1:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
roy is any kind of player
he’ll go up to throw it down hard, but if defender’s there, he’ll use some finesse and pass it to a big man under the bucket or switch to the left and finish at the rim. Roy is heady, smarter than most players on the court, which transcends a simple “powerful” or “smooth” label.
by appel82 on Dec 17, 2008 2:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brandon Roy is neither a finesse nor power player, but rather a fluid performer.
Depending on the circumstance, Roy will alter his game offensively to make a play.
Defense, however, is an altogether different matter; Roy’s always been subpar at it.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 4:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That was Waltonesque
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:47 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
"always" been subpar meaning continues to be subpar?
might argue
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 3:01 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
As a Washington Huskies fan, I watched Brandon Roy's mediocre ...
defense be masked throughout his college career by a lockdown wing defender in Bobby Jones — whose one-on-one perimeter defense is outstanding — and there’s absolutely no doubt about that whatsoever.
Now, if you truly think that Roy is anything more than a so-so defender, then I strongly suggest that you raise your standards up a few notches.
by AK1984 on Dec 18, 2008 4:05 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brandon can make himself a great defender for 30 second stretches of time...
Throughout the course of a long game, he’s average. But in basketball, unlike some other sports, good defense doesn’t really stop good offense (although EXCEPTIONAL defense can stop good offense pretty well sometimes) so it’s not quite so important.
Brandon is first and foremost an offensive player, which is just what you want from your 2 Guard.
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 7:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
First, I didn't say "stringbeans" can't be great players
I said “the current roster is a little overloaded with stringbean types.” Big difference. In fact, further up in this thread I said that I’d take LMA over Millsap, Maxiell, Landry, or any of the other guys of that type as the Blazers’ starting power forward. I think that a finesse player like LMA is a perfect complement to power centers like GO and Przy.
Second, toughness at the center position does NOT give a team “all the toughness inside that it needs.” You don’t need beef and attitude at every postion. But you need balance on your team. Too many finesse players and you’ll get pushed around. Just like too many power players and you’ll get outquicked and outshot. Where the Blazers could specifically use more physicality, IMO, is at the back-up four spot.
Third, do you really think Manu Ginobli is a “stringbean?” He could play running back in the NFL!
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 2:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Also, KP takes great pride in his scouting staff and their abilities
I’ve heard him say many times that he and his scouting staff “really do their homework.” This means he doesn’t have a scout see a potential player just once, but multiple times in person. This is especially true of the Europeans. This is how we landed Rudy, Nicolas and Koponen.
In this regard, KP is a great GM. He has assembled an excellent team who know the entire league as well as the Euros better than most.
by 3pointer on Dec 17, 2008 2:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed for the most part
KP is definitely a top 5 GM in the league, but he’s really been playing with a stacked deck with regards to having Paul Allen’s money. It’s a whole lot easier to draft a Sergio Rodriguez or Petteri Koponen or Rudy Fernandez when you’ve already snagged a piece you need earlier in the draft. Most teams are generally looking to pick up a guy they can plug into the end of the rotation to help get them over the edge at that point in the draft, and don’t necessarily have the luxury of taking a flier on some of those guys, especially in Rudy’s case where there was a legit concern he’d never come over due to the money.
As far as the 2006 draft goes, you make some valid points, but it’s looking like this will actually end up being a pretty decent draft, if a little weak at the very top. I think you have to say there are three players in the top tier at this point (Roy, Gay, Rondo, with Roy the best of the bunch), a few guys not real far below them (LMA, Millsap, and Farmar, although Farmar’s a definite step below those two but not as big as most of us like to think), and then the rest of the decent players (Sergio, Brewer, Lowry, Boone, Carney, Foye, Boobie). Yeah, we’ll need probably at least through the next year to figure out exactly the pecking order of the draft picks, but I’d be shocked if the guys listed there don’t make up all but one or two of the top ten guys in the draft looking back, and we ended up with three of them, so it’s hard to complain about that.
The interesting argument about KP will be, depending on what happens with our cap space in the long run, did we make the right move for Zach? Not saying we shouldn’t have traded him, but was there another deal out there which might have forced us to take on a longer term salary commitment than Stevie Franchise’s, but gotten us more than Frye in return.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 1:48 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Interesting post.
And lots of debate. But as some have pointed out, your thoughts completely neglect circumstances.
Item #2 b/c it’s easier:
Others have said it, I’ll repeat it. The trades that nabbed Frye and Ike were primarily for other reasons. Both guys had low risk/high reward written all over them. Could we have gotten bruisers (or with Ike, a better bruiser)? Probably, but a low risk/high reward investment as the secondary part of a trade is still ok.
And don’t talk about RLEC as a player. It’s a contract.
Item #1:
Millsap/Brewer comparison… ok, so two tough players join a team full of stars. That team of stars already played a very efficient form of basketball. So because two role players join a team of proven players that play efficiently, your argument is that they are better because they play to their strengths and are efficient about it? Uhh, duh? As for your argument that they got the best value for their picks… well both might have deserved to go higher, but we had Zach and LmA, so why do we want Millsap? That’s why we got Sergio, we needed a pg prospect. And Brewer wasn’t possible after Roy and LmA b/c our next draft pick was too far down… who would you rather have?
Rondo/Powe comparison… uhm, does Rondo turn into this player without the Big 3? Any thoughts to why he is putting up huge numbers? DID YOU WATCH THE PLAYOFFS LAST YEAR? THE ONLY WAY THE CELTICS LOST WAS BY DARING RONDO TO BE THE SCORER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Guess what, he can score day-in/out against teams not gearing up to play the Celtics every night. Come playoffs, he may or may not play the same. And Powe… good player, tough, etc. Come playoffs, any all-star caliber PF will shut him down. That’s why PJ Brown got more pt over him.
LmA/Roy… Uhm, neither of your comparisons talk about the heart and soul of a team. So it doesn’t add up to me. Roy has lead a team from 20 some odd wins to a potential 50+ win ball club, putting them on his shoulders while we have so many young players it’s a bit disgusting. LmA was a finesse player who was hurt and behind Zach his first year. The 2nd year he had to play the weakest part of his game (low-post offense) to satisfy the needs of a team. Is he going to be efficient playing against his strengths, being one of the focal points of the defense, on a team that was not expected to win until this year? Ha!
Nice try. But I don’t get it.
-Ty
Oden and LaMarcus and Roy, oh my!
by Quik_Baller on Dec 17, 2008 5:46 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
Granted KP probably could have made better moves.
I just find your arguments weak.
Oden and LaMarcus and Roy, oh my!
by Quik_Baller on Dec 17, 2008 5:49 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
at least he didn't draft the stache, bargnani, or the crap load of other busts from Roy's draft
honor rasheed wallace
by Zaron5551 on Dec 17, 2008 8:40 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Morrison
Please don’t make me remeber all that idiocy, people screaming about the next Larry Bird…in some alternate universe the bizzaro Blazers are talking about the Blake Griffith sweepstakes
Bayless has been testing the fences for weaknesses
by blazeraddict on Dec 17, 2008 9:41 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
lol
"It feals like there should be a Blazer game tonight"
said by my GF
by maid tu rek on Dec 18, 2008 3:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
One question regarding Millsap (and other PF bangers): Would that even be the best type of player to pair with Greg now?
The discussion is getting a bit away from who Pritchard should have acquired, but I think it is interesting and maybe helps to understand his reasoning. As I said above, I have some doubt that Millsap would come to Portland if a) Utah would let him go at all and b) he could be the starter (and potential star) elsewhere, but if we assume we really really want such a player type how well would that work in combo with inside players like Greg and Joel to begin with?
Millsap is not bad from a little distance away from the basket according to the NBA Hotspots (.500+ from three zones, cold from others). But presumably he rarely takes contested shots from there, and in total he has just converted 24 shots this season away from the basket. He lives inside, and has successfully made 122 shots directly around the basket, hitting them at a very high rate (62%).
Contrast that to LaMarcus: He has made about 80 shots directly under the basket (54%), but over 100 from other zones (mostly at lower percentages).
But I think in Utah the roles of PF and C are a little bit reversed: Okur is their LaMarcus, taking and making a lot of shots literally from all over the floor. Millsap/Boozer are their inside bruisers. In Portland the roles are more conventional. For Greg/Joel everything is a dunk or layup. LaMarcus/Frye are roaming a little more outside. That is sometimes cringe-inducing when they miss jumpers and we scream “go inside”. But if we had two guys all the time under the basket, that could make a few things better, but it would also totally clog the lane for a guy like Roy to drive to the basket. Is that really what you want on your team, two big guys on the floor around the basket with very similar styles and skills? No doubt we should have such an inside POWER forward on the roster as a weapon to be able to change things if needed (and Ike while fitting the role description likely isn’t a long-term keeper), but I’m not convinced such a player should be the default next to our center.
by Norsktroll on Dec 17, 2008 8:48 AM PST reply actions 6 recs
Agreed
LMA has the perfect skill set to pair with Oden. This was also part of the reason I was so high on the Joel/Frye combo at the begining of the year, with Rudy in the second unit, they could do similar things as the first offensively with Roy/LMA/Oden. Obviously, Frye has been a major letdown thus far, so things haven’t exactly worked out, and he and Ike are both in walk years. The good news is that this draft class will be rich in the “banger” type PFs I think the roster needs (Pat Patterson, Hansbrough, and Jon Brockman – as a 2nd rounder, being my 3 favorites to fill that role) so this is something that can be remedied. If Frye can accept his role, I think he’s still an asset (depending on what’s happpening on a game by game basis, the option of a jump shooter PF and a banger is a good one to have off the bench), but as his minutes decline, I don’t see him being eager to come back.
Bayless has been testing the fences for weaknesses
by blazeraddict on Dec 17, 2008 9:40 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Plus
Forgot to mention this, but another reason this is a sound strategy on KPs part is the injury factor. Obviously, a significant injury to GO, LMA, or Roy would hurt the team signficantly, but “mirroring” these key guys with backups who play a similar style in Joel, Frye, and Rudy allows the first unit to continue functioning as close to normal as possible in the event of a turned ankle/flu/etc. Definitely a fan of the theory
Bayless has been testing the fences for weaknesses
by blazeraddict on Dec 17, 2008 9:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
There is a difference between
having two guys banging down low and having two guys who can bang down low. LMA would greatly improve his value to the Blazers and the league if he chose to do what is necessary to develop a low post game at both ends.
And I think it is too early to say that he has a perfectly complimentary game to GO. I want to see that synergy at least as much on the defensive end as the offensive.
Norsktroll=voice of reason on BE.
by Blazin' on Dec 17, 2008 12:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
I needed a new signature.
"There is a difference between having two guys banging down low and having two guys who can bang down low." - Blazin'
by tominhawaii on Dec 17, 2008 12:39 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
LMA did improve his low-post game
Watch him on the post. He rarely faces up now except on pick and pops. He often does the running baby hook or the shake left-spin right turnaround J on the block, not fading away as much as last year. His inside game HAS improved.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 1:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
true
but i want to see more on the defensive end.
by Blazin' on Dec 17, 2008 1:19 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That's fair
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 1:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
his shooting efficiency is still really bad
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 1:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Indeed, LaMarcus Aldridge's shooting efficiency is trash.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 5:10 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
LMA is a 2% better jump shooter and 2% worse inside shooter
However, LMA has to play outside a heck of lot more than Millsap due to Oden and Okur and their games. If LMA played and started for Jerry Sloan he’d be a 21 and 10 guy nightly. Getting to rebound next to Okur is also a huge benefit to straight numbers than having to rebound next to both Oden and Przy 100% of the time.
by as11osu on Dec 17, 2008 5:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The difference is Lamarcus takes 2/3 of his shots outside
And Lamarcus has never, ever, at any level shown the potential to get 10 rebounds a night in the NBA.
In college, he was an above average rebounder, but not for a future NBA power forward. Kevin Durant was a better college rebounder.
Lamarcus could play for Jerry Sloan with Phil Jackson, Pat Riley, and Wooden as assistant coaches, and he still wouldn’t average 10 rebounds a game.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 7:42 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A power forward doesn't need to get 10 rebounds a night, playing with an exceptionally good rebounding C -- he needs about 7 or 8.
LMA could average 8 or so, playing in position on a consistent basis.
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 7:59 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
It’s a flip flop of the Walton/Lucas championship formula. In that case, you had the bruising forward playing alongside the finesse center. With GO and LMA it’s the other way around. Either way, it’s about balance and chemistry.
Going forward, LMA and GO will complement each other perfectly. It’s a match made in heaven. The two guys just need to mature and learn to play off each other. It’s going to come; you could see the potential the very first time LMA and GO played together back in last season’s summer league.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 18, 2008 10:27 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Wow. Just wow.
Did you just compare LMA to Walton? Walton was “soft” in that tandem?
Between 74 and 78, Walton averaged 12-14 boards every season. Lamarcus will probably never average 10 rebounds in any season in his career.
The balance and chemistry thing is used to support/rationalize deficiencies in talent all the time. LMA isn’t a bad rebounder because he’s next to Oden or Pryz – he’s just a bad rebounder.
That might not be AS bad since he’s playing next to guys who are good at that… but it’s still not a good thing. And he has nothing in common with Walton.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 18, 2008 12:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He still takes 2/3 jumpshots
He needs to take 2/3 inside shots and 1/3 jumpshots. Right now, the percentages are flipped.
He’s taking 66% jumpshots this year, with an eFG% of 40. He’s taking 34% “inside” shots, with an eFG% of 60.
I wonder what % of contested 18+ jumpshots he takes/makes? I have a feeling most of his troubles with shooting percentage can be tracked to shot selection. He makes wide open in rhythm jumpers at a much higher clip than when the defender gives him an extra two feet and he feels compelled to jack up a shot.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 17, 2008 3:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If LaMarcus Aldridge had a complete face-up game and awesome first step like Chris Bosh, ...
then he’d be the perfect power forward to play on the frontline beside pivotman Greg Oden. Aldridge could benefit by vastly improving his one-on-one interior and weakside help defense, too, although he’ll never be a board crashing, shot blocking monster like Marcus Camby, Emeka Okafor, Brook Lopez, or Jermaine O’Neal.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 5:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
He doesn't have to be though
Oden is that guy. Aldridge just has to be a good one on one defender, using his length to keep PFs from trying to get inside, and boxing out on missed shots. No player is complete in their 3rd season, there’s a lot of work left for Aldridge, and given how far he’s come I’m sure he’ll do it.
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 17, 2008 9:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You are completely missing the point.
There are two front side players on either end of the court. When we play a team like LA, or Boston we need to have two guys who can bruise defensively against the post. LMA will be a liability until he figures out how swing defensively and help when we play big strong teams.
Also, how far has he come? What areas has he greatly improved in? What makes you so certain that he is going to continue up this supposedly steep development curve?
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 17, 2008 9:51 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Blazers get in trouble when then go 1 low and 4 high; 95% of the battle is making sure they keep LMA low.
…………………….. And nobody in the league can beat Boston, ‘cept for the Hawks in Atlanta sometimes, so that’s not the best measure for a successful team this year.
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 8:02 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
meh, Its not about beating Boston, its about playing with Boston.
And I think that was basically what I was getting at about keeping two guys down low.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 18, 2008 11:29 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I LOVE Paul Millsap
But he’s a “tweener”—much shorter than LMA. Therefore, he’s useful in a different role than LMA—that is, coming off the bench to provide energy, rebounding, defense, and general physicality. (I notice that Norsktroll makes this basic point above.)
Last season, a friend of mine, in homage to my constant harping on the need for the Blazers to pick up a Millsap/ Maxiell-type, coined the term “Maxsap” to describe this type of player. So my love of Millsap—as well as Maxiell, Landry, Bass, and all the other guys of that ilk—is well-documented. All of those guys were steals in the second round. But I wouldn’t give up LMA for any of them. LMA’s combo of length, footspeed, shooting touch, and shotblocking ability makes him a very special player—an ideal starting power forward on a team featuring a power center.
So no, I don’t think KP was outdone by anybody in the ‘06 draft. But I DO hope that the Blazers pick up a Maxsap soon. Much as I love Channing Frye the person, I don’t think he’s a great fit on a team that already features a finesse starting power forward. I hope that KP can eventually package Frye with Trout (gifted but lacking in basketball I.Q.) for the bruising forward-off-the-bench that the team needs.
Oh, and as for Rondo—no argument there. Ainge found a gem in that guy. Who cares if his shot is funny-looking. But I’d take KP over Ainge as my GM any day. When this little two-or-three season Celtic run is over, it’s the Blazers who are likely to be the dominant team in the league. And that’s for the LONG haul.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 10:02 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Milsap is averaging something like 18/11 as a starter
Boozer has missed a big chunk of time. Milsap has (or had – but I think it’s still active) a string of double-doubles spanning the entire streak. He can’t be dismissed as an “energy” guy. In games he starts, he averages more points than Lamarcus does.
Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.
by KP Corleone on Dec 17, 2008 3:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Milsap is a far superior player than Maxiell
Milsap just had a 32/10 against the Celtics, he’s got good basketball IQ, improved his jumpshot. If he was just an energy guy his production would have tailed off by now. Instead, he keeps starting and is looking better each game. I wouldn’t say Utah did a better job drafting because the guy obviously fell into their laps.
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 17, 2008 4:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
Millsap used to be Maxiell type player but he’s much much more now.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 4:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Paul Millsap is also a superior defender to Brandon Bass, Jason Maxiell, and Carl Landry.
by AK1984 on Dec 17, 2008 5:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
No argument--I'd say he's probably the best of the bunch all-around
Although remember: Maxiell was able to guard Dwight Howard very effectively in the playoffs last season. Remember? When asked how he was able to do it, Maxiell said dismissively that Howard’s upper body was impressive but that he had weak legs. THAT’S a “Maxsap” talking!!
People forget that rebounding and defending isn’t just about height and leaping ability. There’s a definite sumo wrestling aspect to NBA frontcourt play. “Widebodies” take up a lot of real estate in the paint and are very hard to deal with. I know that in my playing days I’d get extremely frustrated rebounding against short, earthbound guys that had big lower bodies and knew how to use them.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 5:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Amen.
I’ve been saying for months that the biggest Blazer need isn’t a starting PG or SF, it’s a bruising PF off the bench that doesn’t launch jumper after jumper with only 3-4 rebounds.
Koponen - PG of the future. For Italy, that is. Book it.
by Blazerholic on Dec 17, 2008 10:14 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
This deserves a rec
Just for all of the discussion that it has generated about MIllsap vs Aldridge.
I think our “fallen angel” strategy is a good one. It makes sense to me to try and pick up young guys who have been underwhelming so far, and then attempt to develop them into serviceable role players. Especially with the reputation for teaching and nurturing the coaching staff has picked up, I think it is a win if they develop, and we havent lost much if they don’t develop against a veteran who is on the decline or another draft pick that hasn’t quite made it up to snuff.
by usdblazerfan on Dec 17, 2008 11:25 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
It depends
If KP can acquire “fallen angels” then shine them up and get good value in trades for them later, then that defines the term “Pritchslap”! But I agree with the ‘snake…Frye and Diogu are not the answer for backup 4 to LMA. They’re either too “long” (Frye) or too short (Ike) to defend bruisers like Millsap when it counts (in the playoffs)
My proposal stands: deal away the expiring contracts of Frye and Diogu (plus draft choices and cash) to OKC for Chris Wilcox (who is neither fallen nor an angel)
by two4larue on Dec 17, 2008 1:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
UTAH SUCKS...
Aldridge is Exactly the Power Forward we need, And KP is The first of his kind.
Time will cure all, and we’ll get ours in the order that KP has Written.
I’ll rec it, but only becuase it boiled my kettle dry before I could say anything rational about it.
good job, in that weird kind of way. its got its 7 now. :)
The Faith don't panic, the faith freaks out burns out farms and torchs small villages in the name of The Faith.
by faith on Dec 17, 2008 12:30 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
You sir get a rec.
Though patience be a tired mare, yet she will plod. - William Shakespeare
by BlazerFan1 on Dec 17, 2008 1:05 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Thanks for the post jksnake
I think what you need to keep in mind is that good GMs learn from mistakes and missed opportunities like the rest of us. Missing Paul Millsap is probably one of the things that KP has kept in mind and added to his criteria for evaluating draft talent. It’s less likely that a guy like that will slip through the cracks now.
Also, the fallen angel theory is a little far-fetched to me, but I’ll play along. Again, I think that KP will be less likely to pursue that avenue now that he’s seen what returns have come through. I think Diogu was a response to the “too soft at PF” argument and has turned out to be a low-risk, low-return investment…which is better than paying too much to someone in his position. In reality, Diogu has done all that we’ve needed from the 12th guy on the roster—be ready to play, don’t poison the locker room, work hard in practice, compete, etc. So in that sense, he’s been a great pick-up. Frye has had mixed results but I think most people can agree he’s been good for team chemistry and probably hasn’t reached his potential yet. So there’s another good pick-up. Other fallen angels…well, I guess you could even say Steve Blake was one of those, and Pritchard brought him back, to good results.
So even KP’s weaknesses don’t seem all that weak when you boil it down, and if he learns from those (I think he’d be the first to say he’s always learning) then we’re in a pretty darn good position to stay a powerhouse for years to come.
"Brandon Roy, that man is unstoppable, it's like he's playing NBA Live." - Anthony Johnson
by jamon51 on Dec 17, 2008 1:16 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Would you trade Roy and LMA for Millsap, Brewer and Rondo?
I think that pretty much says it all right there.
It’s nice to come up with contrary points once in a while, but you’re reaching very, very hard with this post. KPs not a god. Great, but you’re dead on wrong that Utah had a better draft. Roy and LMA > than any other two combos of players in that draft. Period. All you have to do is include Roy in there and that makes it.
I'm a really really ridiculously good looking orange mocha frappaccino drinking manhammer sandwich
by hobobob on Dec 17, 2008 1:43 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't trade Roy/LMA
for Rondo/Powe or Brewer/Millsap.
However, Roy/LMA were taken essentially with the 4th and 7th picks (even though they were actually drafted 2nd and 6th). Rondo/Powe and Brewer/Millsap were more impressive examples of doing more with the available picks. Both those teams got 2 excellent players in an awful draft without the benefit of a top 10 pick.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 3:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It's a flawed question to begin with
Of course we had the better draft, we had 2 top ten picks and Utah had none, but the question he’s asking is, which GM did a better job, so you have to try and control for draft position. Say Bayless and Batum both turn out to be solid starters in the league, maybe not all stars, but just below that level, then I’d say KP had a better draft this year than Paxson, even though Rose will undoubtedly be the better player, but there was no skill or scouting that Paxson had to do to get that top pick.
It’d be like playing a pick up game and being spotted a 5 point lead, and then bragging that you’re better because you beat someone 11-10.
by Royster on Dec 17, 2008 3:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ask yourself this: If Zach Randolph was on this current team instead of Channing Frye, would the Blazers be better or worse?
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 3:01 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
here's a vote for
none of the above
by two4larue on Dec 17, 2008 3:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting question
I’d say we’re better off with Frye because of Randolph’s attitude. He has to have the ball and can’t really team player up or play defense like we would need. Roy needs to be the main man on this team and now he will be for the rest of his career. Zach can languish in Clipperville. Frye will join him soon enough but we’re better off with out Zach.
NOw if Zach could be a team player who wouldn’t love his offense and rebounding of the bench?
by Blazersaurus on Dec 17, 2008 3:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Worse
Aldridge doesn’t develop at all, or not as much since Randolph can and will produce offensively no matter where he is. Defense takes a huge hit. He just doesn’t fit with the rest of the roster.
Vinny Del Negro interviewed for the job today. I mean come on! Nobody else thinks this is nuts?
by Juiceboxjerry on Jun 6, 2008 4:21 PM CDT actions actions 0 recs
by Ozzie Montana on Dec 17, 2008 4:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
If it was a video game
And the new-fangled “chemistry/attitude” mode was turned off, yeah, we’d be better with Z-Bo.
But if you think our defense is bad now… ooph.
And if you like how quickly the ball moves and how unselfish everyone is… ooph.
Z-Bo was, is, and always will be a stat whore. He also would never, ever take a backseat on “his” team. He is a dominant personality off the court and a ballhog on the court. Count every blocked shot by LMA as a scored bucket because Z-Bo ain’t getting those, and make our record 7 and 19, because instead of Roy taking all the last shots ya got a power struggle between Z-Bo and Roy.
LMA is a good defender for a young big man. I even think he is underrated there, but mostly on the perimeter. His interior play on both ends needs to be stronger. But, overall, his defense helps us IMMENSELY more than Z-Bo’s inefficient (team-wise) offense and non-existent defense. And you wouldn’t just be taking Z-Bo’s admittedly high talent and replacing Frye with it, you’d be taking LMA’s higher talent and replacing Z-Bo with it.
Zach would only make us better if you take all the elements away that make him Zach Randolph.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 17, 2008 6:04 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Amen
Zbo is a textbook case of how stats are deceiving. Basketball is a TEAM GAME!! Thank goodness the Knicks didn’t understand that; they were too busy lusting over Stat-bo’s 20/10 number. The Blazers are better with Frye vs Zbo in the only way that counts—wins and losses. Even had the Blazers gotten absolutely nothing for Zbo, they’d have been better off unloading him and his fat contract.
But this is an OLD debate. If you haven’t recognized the true nature of Zbo’s game by now, you never will.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 7:13 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
agreed
Zbo sure is putting up an impressive December though. Take a gander at his assist numbers as well as his shooting percentages. We’ll see how long it lasts.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 10:32 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nah, I've been watching Zach pretty closely this year. He does very well EVERY night and it's not like he's the great black hole on offense...
……………………………. It’s mostly because he plays in position such a high percentage of the time that he’s THERE to make those rebounds and put-backs.
The questions of “does LMA develop if Zach is there?” and “does Zach poison chemistry, or can a team absorb one jackass and live to tell the tale?” are valid… But people REALLY underestimate what a good player Randolph is (and thus, how badly the Blazers got rooked in that Cambyesque dump for NOTHING.)
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 8:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Au contraire: I don't think ANYBODY underestimates how talented Zach Randolph is
Unlike many other players, Zach’s talents are immediately apparent in the most often-cited stats: point and rebounds. What’s less obvious is how Zach’s defects as a player—slowfootedness, selfishness, paint-clogging, lack of interest in defending, etc.—cancel out his strengths. Great players make their teammates better. Zach reduces his teammates to spectators and sets them up for failure defensively.
Don’t get me wrong: Zach can help the right team. During Roy & LMA’s rookie years, they NEEDED someone like Zach to provide consistent scoring punch. Zach won many games for that team. But as the youngsters matured, Zach became that set of training wheels. By the end of that season, Zach was just slowing the youngsters down.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 18, 2008 10:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Worse
The guy was a constant distraction, and if he doesn’t get his (win or lose) he’s causing problems
Bayless has been testing the fences for weaknesses
by blazeraddict on Dec 17, 2008 10:29 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Don't agree
Here is my problem with this post:
1) Considering the players taken around Roy and LMA, there is no doubt that Pritchard got the best bang for his buck. The Jazz did well in taking Millsap and Brewer (very well) but Portland got an All-Star and the best big man in the draft. Millsap is a better rebounder, but he defends the other team’s 5, not there 4. Plus, he gets killed if he has to play more than 10 ft away from the basket. Did I mention that Millsap is 3 years older than LMA? Right now, Millsap is playing better, but he and Oden would clog the middle if they played together.
2) It ignores the fact that Portland has drafted well outside of the lottery (Batum, Fernandez & Rodriguez.)
3) It ignores the fact that Portland has had to draft in the lottery because the team was not good enough to make it to the playoffs. Evenso, Pritchard has “hit” on all of his lottery picks, can any other team make that same statement? (If you are going to pick on Bayless then riddle me this: would you rather have Rush and Jack, or Bayless right now?)
4) Is assumes that Portland likes finesse players. Portland picked up Raef to get Roy, they picked up Frye to get rid of Randolph and picked up Diogu to get Bayless. In each case, Portland picked up a player because they had to in order for the deal to work. I agree that Frye duplicates alot of what LMA brings, but that brings me to my final point.
5) It ignores the biggest move that Pritchard has gotten hardly any accolades for: Portland picked up oodles of cap space for 2009. You spoke about Millsap, Portland could sign him to a deal, no problem at all. Heck, we have a shot at Boozer, or Kidd, or Marion, or ??? Cap Space will allow Portland to add the missing ingredients to a championship team.
by da34shadow on Dec 17, 2008 3:17 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
good points
I don’t think I ignored them though, I just didn’t focus on them in this post. I said that I think KP is a great GM but I don’t think its unreasonable to offer this modest critique or to remind my fellow Blazer fans that there are other great GMs out there.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 3:26 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I am extremely happy with KP
There is no gm that will get the best player in every draft i think he has done a great job.
by bleedrednblack on Dec 17, 2008 4:27 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I just realized...
… that Josh McRoberts also fits into the “fallen angel” category. He was a national HS player of the year, and was expected to be a lottery pick before falling from grace with an underwhelming Duke career.
Boomshakalaka
by jksnake99 on Dec 17, 2008 6:11 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
So does Bill Bayno
I mentioned that in the Bayno thread, but he qualifies as well… and it paid off, I think.
KP just wants to save everyone, is that so bad? Just another thing he has in common with Jesus.
Morty
by Mortimer on Dec 17, 2008 6:52 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
AHA!!!!
That explains the new facial hair.
"If [Roy & Aldridge] walked around in fur coats, with a bunch of glamour & glitz, we'd have a bunch of guys wearing fur coats. But they don't. They're just good guys who want to win and know how to play the right way." --Kevin Pritchard
by hurryup09 on Dec 17, 2008 7:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Here's one big determining factor of when LMA has a good or bad night... "Does he play in position or hang around on the perimeter?"
……………………….. When he gets down an dirty, he sucks up rebounds and makes some shorter shots. When he’s doing his Rasheed imitation, he’s either red hot or a clankmaster depending on whether or not the shot is falling, and that’s all there is for him because he’s out of position to rebound, out of position for putbacks, out of position for short shots.
Get the guy to play low and who needs Chris Bosh (or Millsap)?
That said, the Blazers do need a real live banger to back him up. The quicker that Frye is sent to Neverneverland or the Neverland Ranch, the better…
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 17, 2008 9:34 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
A good case here
for clearing out some jump shooters. In a trade for a physical PF.
by Blazin' on Dec 17, 2008 9:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
An Inmodest Critique of a Modest Critique
Let me temper this post with saying your post has garnered at the time of my writing this , 200+ comments. I think you’ve tapped into something. So kudos for a provocative posting. However, late I’ve come to the party I will still add my 2 cents worth.
Item #1. Your contention that The Blazers did not do the best in the 2006 draft? I disagree. Turning a #7 pick obtained with the assets of Telfair and Ratliff, into Brandon Roy is a super trump card. You can simply stop right there no need to discuss LMA and whether he is “The Best PF from the 2006 draft”. In my opinion, you turn Telfair and Ratliff into Brandon Roy and I don’t care what happened with your other pick, You win! You’ve won!
If you absolutely must insist you can bring LMA into the picture and debate whether he is the best PF from the draft but does it really matter? I mean LMA has turned out to be better than most pundits at the time projected. Plus LMA is a good PF with I think much more upside still left. Putting a ceiling or final label on LMA I think is a mistake.
The fact that Boston nabbed talent in the draft in my opinion is also inmaterial. I don’t think anyone said KP cornered ALL the talent available. You can’t draft em all. Great Boston drafted Rajon Rondo and Leone Powe, unless you think that tandem is better then Brandon Roy and LMA then I think that’s a “comparison over” scenario as well. Utah? Milsap and Brewer? again good job Utah but straight up if offered either Brandon Roy and LMA or Milsap and Brewer I think Brandon Roy tilts the scales easily towards the Blazer Value side. Brandon did turn out to be the R.O.Y. for 2006.
Finally, remember that going into the draft I think a lot of GM’s and a lot of so called experts had the whole draft severely undervalued. Everyone was looking forward to the next year with Oden and Durant and the prevailing thought was that 2006 was a weak draft. Remember also that Danny Ainge was quoted as saying he made he Telfair trade because he didn’t think he could obtain a player better than Telfair with the 7th pick. Statements like that in retrospect are what get you labeled fairly or unfairly with a “Pritchslap”. KP wins he draft for getting Brandon out of discardables and getting the PF we wanted after the lottery gods frowned upon us and gave us the 4th pick.
Did we “own the whole league” of course not, you never own the whole league. Did we do the best? Given the overall talent, skill and leadership and what Brandon means to this franchise, Brandon Roy means we did the best in the draft.
Item #2. Kevin Pritchard loves finesse and lottery picks, which isn’t what you want in a role player.
Our lack of a strong banger type of PF doesn’t mean to me that Pritchard loves finesse and lottery picks. KP likes talent. KP likes whatever makes The Blazers better. He’s been assembling talent, remaking the entire roster and rebuilding the franchise from the ashes. Let’s cut him a break if he can’t solve every need immediately.
Yes, I agree sometimes I think the KP support becomes a little on the zealous side. But he’s done a great job and communicates freely and I think connects with the fans. KP’s enthusiasm for his job and this team seem genuine, thus the support.
It will be interesting to see how perception of KP remains over the next few years, once the draft becomes more mundane. For me, he took a philosophy of fostering Culture and Character and honestly applied it to franchise that was reeling at the time. To me if the worst criticism of him that you can foster is that he has given us LMA, Frye and Diogu then I invite you to take a look at Blazer GM’s of the past and what “talent” they brought into the Blazers. Bucky Buckwalter, Stu Inman…the Blazers have had some excellent management, but KP is carving his own name into that niche.
"Mother Nature started this fight, I think it's about time we ended it!"
by Krang on Dec 18, 2008 12:46 AM PST reply actions 2 recs
Said best here:
Our lack of a strong banger type of PF doesn’t mean to me that Pritchard loves finesse and lottery picks. KP likes talent. KP likes whatever makes The Blazers better. He’s been assembling talent, remaking the entire roster and rebuilding the franchise from the ashes. Let’s cut him a break if he can’t solve every need immediately.
I think that really this was implied in the spirit of the post, but it is absolutely true none the less.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 18, 2008 1:00 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Haven't read the entire thread since I'm heading to bed soon.
I think it’s worth saying that it’s really hard to fault KP for not getting Millsap when NOBODY took him until the 2nd round. The Jazz took what they thought was the best player available at the time, which turned out to be very true and I agree in hindsight it was the best pick of the draft.
That said, even they had no idea he would become what he is now. Otherwise they would have taken him much sooner or he would have gone top 10 easy. They got lucky with him turning out this way. There was not a single GM in the league who would have considered taking Millsap over LMA at the time. jksnake I realize you’re not the biggest LMA fan, but it’s really unfair to judge KP for not taking Millsap who at the time was a 2nd rounder destined for mediocrity over one of the top prospects of the draft.
by Bskey on Dec 18, 2008 2:19 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Just wanted to add I realize you're not saying LMA was a bad pick though,
I think we won the draft because of what we used to get Roy and LMA. Utah got lucky with Millsap while KP made deals to get what he wanted.
by Bskey on Dec 18, 2008 2:28 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I'll summarize the thread for you
Basically, Jake the Snake 1999 claims that Kevin Pritchard is actually a horrible GM who lucked into one good pick (Roy) and the rest are various degrees of “bust” (to use the scientific term). Jake hates KP personally and says we are all homers.
Methinks Jake is being a contrarian for contrarians sake (but being contrary to points no one actually believes in, such as “we are the only team that did well in the 2006 draft”— no one says that) and that he hates KP because KP can grow a kick ass stubble on his chin.
But, it was an interesting conversation. Jacob the Snacob from the Year 1999 is still one of my favorite people, his hatred of KP notwithstanding. He said a lot of mean things about you, Bskey, but to be fair I’m sure he had good reason.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 18, 2008 2:40 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They're right Morphus
its time for bed. PHX game tomorrow. No more picking off stragglers at the end of the thread
"its tough to play with one eye, unless you're a pirate." Delonte West
"una canasta a Pau en la cara" Rudy
by Honka Playboy on Dec 18, 2008 2:52 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
i like Milsap
But for the Roster been built for Blazers, i like LMA-Oden Tandem than Milsap-Oden.
If LMA can adjust with Oden they will be a TOUGH combination Inside the paint. LMA can drag his man out of the paint while Oden posting himself.
Milsap- Oden combination will be like Shaq-Amare clogging the paint.
by spoiled on Dec 18, 2008 5:43 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'll take Shaq/Amare over Milsap/Oden or LMA/Oden, thank you very much.
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 8:14 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
.................. but maybe not so much in 5 years' time...
"Now with a non-provocative footer!"
by timbo on Dec 18, 2008 8:15 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Mike D'Antoni would kill for a Amare/LMA combo in NY to space the floor for him
Add LeBron to the mix, and there is nothing the Blazers could really do ;-)
by Norsktroll on Dec 18, 2008 9:07 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You kind of lost me when you said Brewer/Milsap is better than Roy/LMA
Sorry, it’s just not true.
Blazer Fan
by leeroyjenkins on Dec 18, 2008 11:12 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, i think Roy swings it.
I heart taxes.
by everett on Dec 18, 2008 11:31 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
but for the position they were drafted at
Brewer/Milsap were the true gems in the rough from that draft..
the Blazers definitely “won the lottery” that year.. getting the two top lottery picks who have both turned out great or better than advertised..
not only did we have a 2nd round pick that could have gotten milsap (but was traded to indiana) but we also bought that pick from the suns and had a pick from detroit that we got sergio and joel freeland with.. hard to argue that utah didn’t get the immediate win by grabbing milsap waaay down at 47..
imagine what we’d look like if we could have gotten rondo by trading the picks for sergio and joel?
Boycott Rose Garden Concessions!!!
http://www.blazersedge.com/2008/11/8/657044/boycotting-rose-garden-con
by idoltime on Dec 18, 2008 11:53 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
stretch calling brewer a gem at 14
just milsap really… i wouldn’t take milsap over LMA or roy but I would take milsap over 90% of the players draft ahead of him that year.. probably even over sergio and joel
Boycott Rose Garden Concessions!!!
http://www.blazersedge.com/2008/11/8/657044/boycotting-rose-garden-con
by idoltime on Dec 18, 2008 11:54 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Brewer is pretty sweet
Brewer is a really good young player, good defender, lanky as hell, and with an improving jump shot. We’d love to have him.
Not more than Roy of course, but Brewer is good.
I think we can all agree that Utah did VERY well in that draft, and I can see the argument for saying they got the most ‘value’ for their assets since they had a #14 pick and a 2nd round pick and got two great players, whereas our chance of getting 2 great players with 2 lottery picks is much higher.
Not taking that into account though, of course we ‘won’ the draft because we got Roy, the best player from the draft. We got great value out of our assets too, since we traded scrubs for Roy— which I think is higher bang for your buck than even getting Milsap in the 2nd round, but it is arguable.
Telfair/Foye/Ratliff into Roy is as much bang for your buck as anyone can hope for.
Utah did great in that draft though, and time and time again their front office is underrated. They consistently make great draft picks in both rounds and have fielded at least a DECENT team every year of my life it seems.
Gay, LMA, Roy, Brewer, Milsap, anyone else worth a lot in that draft? I’d say we got 2 out of the 5 best players in that draft, as did Utah. But the snagging of Roy trumps anyone else they drafted.
Utah did great though, we can’t argue against that.
Mortimer
by Mortimer on Dec 18, 2008 12:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
best/worst of 2006 to date
best: roy, gay, lma, milsap, brewer, rondo, farmar.. boobie gibson, powe have to get some love for making any kind of name for themselves as second rounders..
worst: bargnani, morrison, thomas (could have been a great pick several spots lower), j.j. reddick, sene
harder to judge sergio and even joel freeland.. who knows how that one will turn out..
we definitely won that draft but utah definitely found the most hidden talent..
Boycott Rose Garden Concessions!!!
http://www.blazersedge.com/2008/11/8/657044/boycotting-rose-garden-con
by idoltime on Dec 18, 2008 12:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
A couple of questions
1- what is the record for highest number of comments on a non-political junk drawer, non-game thread post?
2- is this thread going to break said record?
by tingeyga on Dec 18, 2008 12:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
This should have been a fanshot.
j/k
"When I die, I want to go peacefully like my Grandfather did, in his sleep -- not screaming, like the passengers in his car"
by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Dec 18, 2008 2:32 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
Assuming the same trades were made...
what would the 2006 draft look like today, if it could be “done over”?
I’d say:
1) Roy. No doubt—by far the best player from the crop.
2) Gay.
3) Rondo. Having great teammates certainly helps his cause, but damn, he’s good. Certainly better than any of our 1s at this point. If he could just develop a jumpshot…
4) LMA. By a hair over Millsap, even though PM is having a better year so far. I still say that Aldridge has more potential; and that Millsap is a system player, as is Boozer. Przybilla would score 20 points per game on the Jazz—so there. :)
5) Millsap. The Jazz now have a QB controvery on their hands. Will Carlos Boozer, presently watching Millsap kick some butt, be back? He’s opted out… and he’s not exactly a guy known for his loyalty.
6) Brewer. A fine player, though a step below the first five.
Other players who would be drafted (before GM’s start to pass) would be Randy Foye, TT,
Redick, Thabo, Sergio, Hilton, M-Will, Farmar, Collins, Powe, Ager, Lowry, Renaldo, and probably a few I forgot. These latter players are not listed in any particular order.
by EngineerScotty on Dec 18, 2008 4:25 PM PST reply actions 0 recs




























