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Around SBN: Maryland Fails First Test, Falls to Cincinnati

"...And the fifth best team is the Portland Trail Blazers. Although I have not looked at all rookies, Greg Oden and Rudy Fernandez look to be on pace to be the primary contenders for Most Productive Rookie award. Currently Fernandez has produced more wins. Oden, though, has the higher WP48 and should eventually have a higher Wins Produced (if he stays healthy). I should note that Oden’s productivity has been obscured by the outstanding play of Joel Przybilla. And I should also note that Portland employs six players with WP48 marks that are above average. None of these, though, are named LaMarcus Aldridge..."

The Wages of Wins Journal has some interesting thoughts on the early season. Regarding the Blazers-- it is well known that Wages of Wins gives a TON of weight to rebounds, which helps explain why it loves Joel and Oden, and hates LMA. However, I think its clear that to be a player we can consistently count on, LMA needs to up his FG% and his rebounds. I'm not sure who the 6 Blazers playing above average by this metric are, but I am 99% sure 4 of them are Roy, Joel, Oden, and Rudy. My guess is that the other two are Blake and Batum. (Win Scores hates low rebound, low True Shooting % guys like LMA, Frye, and Trout-- but I'm not sure how it feels about Sergio).

11 months ago Otto_tiny jksnake99 2 comments 0 recs  | 

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after doing a little work with the more simple Win Scores...

… which is related to wins produced, I now see that this metric loves Batum’s per48 production. He is definitely one of our 6 “above average” player by this definition. Also, it appears Sergio’s WP48 is probobly better than Blake’s— his TS% is much worse but he has excellent Ast/48 numbers and a superior rebound rate to Blake.

This is just another metric. Take it for what it is- another way to look at things.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Dec 1, 2008 7:26 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I, too, take issue with LaMarcus Aldridge's inarguably troublesome 48.7% TS% thus far this season, but ...

his weakness at crashing the glass definitely isn’t the reason behind his mediocre defense. On the contrary, he’s soft on that end of the court due to being a tall, lanky pansy who’s too scrawny to play satisfactory man-to-man interior defense and, moreover, lacks the aggression to be a productive weakside help defender.

Conversely, Carlos Boozer is known as a tough, hard-nosed banger when it comes to gobbling up boards — which probably means that Dave Berri’s Wages of Wins metric heaps him with undue praise — nonetheless, the dude is so utterly slow, unathletic, and undersized defensively that he’s a humongous liability there.

by AK1984 on Dec 1, 2008 7:49 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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