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Alpha, Beta & Offense

"Every Halloween the trees are filled with underwear, every spring the toilets explode." This was Dean Wormer talking about the Beta's and their love of chaos. Beta is a qualitative measure of volatility in investments with higher Beta reflecting more risk. Beta is also used to describe the second brightest star in a constellation, an exploratory technology design, and an obsolete video player. All but one of these definitions nicely describe one of the two truly dynamic offensive players on our team. Rudy profits from creating chaos, and will take risks on defense to make this happen. He also benefits from more player and ball movement on the offensive end, which also entails risk, since each additional pass means one more possiblility of turnover.

Star-divide

By contrast, Brandon is Alpha. To be Alpha is to be dominant, the brightest star in the constellation. There's also a financial corollary, but its boring and didn't advance the analogy I'm attempting to make. In any case, Brandon creates order out of chaos, and its that calmness under fire that lets him so consistently nail last second shots. How many times have we seen the shot or game clock ticking down with Brandon holding the ball at the top of the key and then victimizing his defender.

Both are great players we're lucky to have, and most of us would like to see them on the floor at the same time. But here's the problem to be solved (and I assume it will be). I would argue that the two players symbolize two different offensive styles that we'll have to choose between or blend together. The different styles they play reflect their backgrounds and skill set. Rudy is much more active without the ball, and naturally plays the international style of penetrate and kick with every body moving. Both Sergio and Batum seem to gravitate to this style as well. Brandon thrives in iso's and the pick and roll with little movement required of the 3 or 4 other guys on the court.

IMO the contrast between our foreign and local guys has much to do with the shot clock. A motion offense, like that in which the euros thrive takes time to gain momentum in any offense set. With the extra time on the shot clock in the euro leagues there is greater time to use screens to gain an advantage on the defender and less pressure to score quickly. 

In the NBA, the 24 second clock does not allow a great deal of time to use multiple screens and passes to get an open look. As a result many teams use the iso's and 2-man games. A lot of US players who are used to this system have gotten out of the habit of moving well without the ball. Additionally, point guards can be slow initiating the offense with the knowledge that once they get into the half court, it will only take 5 or 6 seconds for the relatively simple iso or pick and roll to result in a shot. Brandon exemplifies this very controlled moderate pace. Additionally, because he is so good at breaking down his defender and getting a shot for himself (or somebody else) without any help, he has a tendency to hold the ball in the offense to look over his options. This is detrimental to Rudy's and probably Batum's offensive games (what little I know of Batum's anyway). Brandon also is slow advancing the ball after a make or miss, which eats up clock and reduces the opportunity for more motion in the offense to develop.

Judging from posts and comments in the last week, a lot of us would prefer to see more ball movement. However, this is useless if two passes into the offense, Brandon or Travis decide to hold the ball and stare down their options. As soon as this happens, some of the guys (the Euros and Web when he comes back) who can't create their own shots, but who are good with screens and ball movement lose their advantage.

A lot of negativity has been focused on Travis lately, for allegedly killing offensive continuity in the first unit (as well as for his defense which I won't defend). I would argue that there is no continuity to kill (see Blazin's question to Dave in the Game I recap). I think that Travis fits well with the first unit, or at least doesn't hurt anything while Brandon is in iso, or LMA is in the extended post. Additionally, Boom Boom is a good fit with Rudy and Sergio, because his free flowing offensive game and generally good quick decisions in the open court are compatible with theirs. Also, with their ability to get steals, this group gets out into the open court better which maximizes their offensive skill set.

Nate has also come under criticism for a lack of offensive creativity throughout his career (see Blzrfan's posts on the topic - Our offense is offensive).

Ultimately, I'm ready for more Beta in transition and early in the shot clock. Ironically, our best player may be the one who will most have to change his offensive style, if we are to acheive some motion in the offense. But that's okay. I think he is capable, and within each posession, if the motion doesn't result in a good shot in the first 18 seconds, we'll still have Brandon, with the ball at the top of the key, about to go Alpha on some hapless defender. 

I purposely left LMA out of the discussion, not because he isn't an important offensive piece, but because his offensive style isn't distinctively open and fast paced (beta), or slow and static (alpha).  GO also will require some accomodation when he returns. Going forward, I'd prefer to see all our handlers pushing the ball up the court (make or miss), not because we're likely to get a quick shot, but rather so that we have more time for motion in the offense.

What direction do you think the offense will take?

Correction Note: ClackPik points out that FIBA has been using a 24 second clock rather than 30 second clock (since 2000). Thus, my theory that the differences in style of play is due to clock time doesn't hold up. Please see Phizbin's explanation in the first comment, that probably better explains the reason for the differences.

7 recs  |  Comment 19 comments

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Interesting Frame...

I’m not sure I go the whole distance with you in the way you set up the Euro game versus the US game. While I agree with many of your premises, I also personally believe that the US lack of fundamentals in the game (well-documented) also contribute to the lack of motion without the ball and the constant attention on isolation plays. To the point, it’s not that the Americans would play a Euro game if time were added to the shot clock but rather they don’t know how to do so.

Regarding Roy: I agree. I love Roy but there are a couple of things I worry about when I think of his game and you mention both of them: he seems to scorn the break and pushing the ball up the court. That may not be such a big problem.

But the other you mention is his tendency to gravitate towards isolation. A thing I often hear/read is that “Brandon needs the ball in his hands to be effective.”

And that’s cool as far as it goes… after all, he willingly passes and his assist numbers are quite good.

But the more subtle and complex question is this: does he make the players around him better?

I think the next evolution of Brandon’s game is to move away from his need to “have the ball” and start creating situations where other players are able to create their own situations because of screens or decoy moves Brandon makes.

Please don’t misunderstand: Brandon is not a selfish player. I’m merely stating that when he makes players around him better, their plays are most often derivative of his plays. That is, he creates with the ball. Soon, I want Brandon to become a player where other players’ plays are self-created based upon his presence on the court; that is, he creates without the ball.

When that happens, Rudy and LMA will flourish and dominate. And the box score will take no notice of Roy’s contributions (sadly).

So what direction will the offense take? I’m not sure… but I’d almost like to see a stretch of games where Brandon isn’t even allowed to play the point just to see how he’d adjust his game. Then, I think you’d see either an alpha or a beta situation emerge.

Great post, btw. Rec.

Buck Williams for the hall of fame

by Phizbin on Nov 5, 2008 11:48 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

I agree with your point about the lack of fundamentals

and I’d also like to see Brandon make the pass that leads to the pass

by JMoon on Nov 5, 2008 12:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Isn't that creating?

Sometimes you’re the second or third person touching the ball, who then passes to another passer.

Oden and LaMarcus and Roy, oh my!

by Quik_Baller on Nov 5, 2008 3:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Good post

Alpha particles are roughly 20 times more damaging biologically than Beta in terms of radiation. Alpha can’t penetrate the skin, but if it gets in you…ooooh, count down your time, you’re done.
Rec’d the post…love BRoy

"I'd hate to be you if I were me." - Eddie (Barfly)

by NBAstard on Nov 5, 2008 1:01 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Travis' defense is indeed indefensible...
A lot of negativity has been focused on Travis lately, for allegedly killing offensive continuity in the first unit (as well as for his defense which I won’t defend).

FREE SERGIO -- Trade Him or Cut Him NOW!!!

by timbo on Nov 5, 2008 1:24 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

#25

Love,

Annie-in-Absentia

FREE SERGIO -- Trade Him or Cut Him NOW!!!

by timbo on Nov 5, 2008 1:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

What does Los Angeles have to do with anything?
I purposely left LA out of the discussion

FREE SERGIO -- Trade Him or Cut Him NOW!!!

by timbo on Nov 5, 2008 1:26 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Meeec: 24 second clock is a FIBA rule

So the next paragraph doesn’t make sense:

IMO the contrast between our foreign and local guys has much to do with the shot clock. A motion offense, like that in which the euros thrive takes time to gain momentum in any offense set. With the extra time on the shot clock in the euro leagues there is greater time to use screens to gain an advantage on the defender and less pressure to score quickly.
In the NBA, the 24 second clock does not allow a great deal of time to use multiple screens and passes to get an open look.

The differentes euro leagues (like the ACB → the spanish basketball league) use the FIBA rules. Therefore, if in the ACB Rudy could play this kind of basktball, why not in the NBA? (Rudy, Batum, Sergio, and all the players who has played in Europe)

NBA vs FIBA rules

by clackpik on Nov 5, 2008 2:37 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Thanks for pointing that out, guessing I'm showing my age

Looks like FIBA went to the 24 second clock in 2000, so your right the Euro’s free flowing style couldn’t have developed due to the clock. Looks like Phizbin’s explanation above is that much more persuasive.

by JMoon on Nov 5, 2008 2:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Different explanation for style differences

I think part of the reason for the different offensive styles is due to the heavy usage of zone defenses in Europe. Man-to-man defense is emphasized rather than zone defense in the US, and until a few years ago zone defense was illegal in the NBA. Even now that zone defenses are legal, there are still some rule differences (defensive 3 second rule). I think the Euro style developed because iso plays are ineffective against a zone defense and they needed to use more movement and teamwork to get good shots.

by trk on Nov 5, 2008 3:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"What direction do you think the offense will take?"

First of all, great post. You’re seeing the issue re: playing style with Roy vs. Rudy that will ultimately force a “which 2 guard?” decision for the Blazer’s front office. Bravo!

Nate answered your question in an interview the other day. He wants an “inside, then out” offense. That means iso, not motion. It’s a proven NBA style and hard to argue with. If you’ve got post players (or penetrators) that can draw double teams and find the open man, you can really toy with the opposing defenders (K*be, Tim Duncan, etc) In the bump and grind of the playoffs, this kind of offense (with the obligatory superstar) will come out on top at a ridiculously high percentage.

There are a few coaches who run a “motion” offense (Don Nelson, D’Antoni, Adelman at Sac-town come to mind) Notice that these coaches haven’t had the benefit of a superstar post player, for the most part, so they’ve had to “make do” with movement and passing. Also note the lack of championships and deep playoff runs with this style of offense.

Can Sergio, Rudy and Batum mesh their talents with a Nate McMillian offense? The answers will come over time. As much as I’d like to see Nate “turn ’em loose” for alley-oops and easy fast break baskets…in the long run it’s the boring “San Antonio style” grind-it-out offensive style that usually plays in June

by two4larue on Nov 5, 2008 3:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Offense vs defense

Phoenix was #2 in the league in offensive efficiency last year, and Golden State was #4. Clearly the must have been doing something right. The reason neither team was as good as San Antonio is because San Antonio was much better on defense. The “motion” offense seems to be effective, you just have to keep in mind that defense wins championships and not compromise on that end of the floor.

by trk on Nov 5, 2008 3:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Regular season vs. playoffs

Quick, name the last motion offense that played for the championship

Blazers, 1977

Anything more recent?

by two4larue on Nov 5, 2008 3:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

A lot of truth in this article

For all the clamoring to have boom boom start, he really does look his best with the second unit. The ability to get out, get in the passing lanes and finish on the break makes him better playing with other guys who do the same thing.

Playing with B-roy he won’t get as many opportunites to get out running and attack the rim.

Also, Regarding LMA I would rather have him in the Beta style as well. He is very fast for a 6’11" guy, and running actually gets him attacking the basket first instead of settling for jumpers.

Rooo-D!

by truls on Nov 5, 2008 4:26 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

It's way too scripted imo

Every team knows what the Blazers do better than they do themselves. I wish Roy and LMA would freestyle a bit more. Maybe they will eventually. Who knows.

You can’t run any sort of offense with Travis in the game unless it’s a shot for him coming off a pick. Like it or not, he’s a black hole in the offense.

And the problem still remains that the Blazers have no inside offense with or withour Greg Oden.

Blazer Fan

by leeroyjenkins on Nov 6, 2008 7:17 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

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