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Game 13 Preview: Blazers vs. Kings

On the road again.  I just can’t wait to get on the road again…

 

Yes, folks, the Trail Blazers you saw blow through town on Wednesday night actually do exist.  They aren’t a mirage.  They just move fast.  But I’ll tell you the truth, unless we can get these guys to settle down and spend a little quality time at home with us there’s couples counseling in our future.  Tonight, though, being the good and dutiful partners we are, we will support them and keep the home fires burning as they mess around with the Sacramento Kings.

 

A Look at the Kings

 

Oh man…remember a couple years ago when the Blazers were young?  I know, we’re still young, but I mean the kind of young that makes your fans say, “We can bank on our star guy most nights and this other guy is pretty good…now if only five or six of our other players will get their games together we should be in pretty good shape.”  That’s about where Sacramento is now.  This team feels like the Zach Randolph Blazers, minus the baggage.  (Thank goodness for Kings’ fans.)

 

Their bankable offensive star is Kevin Martin, the 25 year old, 4th-year shooting guard who averages 22 points per game.  Martin is a true offensive impresario.  He’s also been injured for the Kings’ last 6 games.  There’s no new news on his ankle that I can find.  Officially he’s day-to-day.  Obviously it’s much better for the Blazers if he can’t go.  In Martin’s absence the Kings have been getting a ton of mileage out of John Salmons.  He’s an athletic 6’6” small forward that any team would be proud to have.  His last four games he’s scored 21, 31, 18, and 29 on 63% shooting overall.  After that the roster gets interesting.  Veteran Brad Miller is having a fine start to the season, averaging 12 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists.  He’s also shooting over 44% from three-point range.  He’s backed up by big Spencer Hawes, averaging 12 points, 8 rebounds, and shooting 43.5% from three-point range.  Power forward Mikki Moore had been starting for the Kings but like Martin he has sprained his ankle.  Young Jason Thompson is getting to spread his wings as a starter with all the injuries.  Beno Udrih continues to toil away at the point.  He’s also taken and hit more shots since Martin has been out but his play goes up and down.  Bobby Brown and Bobby Jackson spell the guards.  Forward Donte Greene started the last game with marginal impact.  Jackson got a game in the starting lineup before that.  No telling who Reggie Theus will throw out there to try and plug the holes tonight.

 

The list of things wrong with the Kings is long.  For whatever reason--youth, talent, assimilation adjustments--their players don’t really mesh together and it shows.  They’re a poor defensive team and also very poor on the defensive boards.  They allow 47% from the field and 41% from the three-point line.  They don’t force turnovers either--the compensation mechanism for many offensive-oriented teams.  Even scoring 103 per game their offense is hampered by a lack of free throws and the inability of anyone (healthy) outside of their centers to hit from distance.  They stay alive because every single player on the team whose name doesn’t start with “Q” can score the ball.  The Kings shoot an incredibly high percentage.  Even with the lack of extra point, those twos add up.  They distribute the ball well also.  Their shots are spread out among multiple players and you have to defend them all.

 

The Kings are far from a good team but their offense has won them 5 games this year, including contests against Golden State and New Orleans.  A team that can shoot always has a chance.

 

Keys to the Game

 

1.  Sacramento presents a different look in the middle than anything we’ve seen yet.  Their centers are as dangerous from the perimeter as they are in the paint.  Brad Miller is also dangerous with his passes.  Joel Przybilla and Greg Oden won’t be served that well by chasing them all over the court.  One option might be to have Lamarcus Aldridge guard their centers and let our centers hang back in the middle.

 

2.  Speaking of interior players…Sacramento’s don’t defend much better than Chicago’s and you saw what happened there.  Not just our middle men, but the whole team should be assaulting the paint all night.  No shot blocking, not great size, not a ton of experience, not much commitment to team defense…why take any hard shots against them?

 

3.  If John Salmons is going to score like an MVP candidate, treat him like one.  Key your defense on him.  At worst make him take a ton of shots to get his points.  At best make him miss those shots and take away his production.  Everybody else on this team can shoot but who else is going to give you 22+?  It’s not impossible for one of the supporting players to do it but I’d like to see them prove it before I believe it.

 

4.  Oh…when you’re done assaulting the paint keep in mind that the dish to the three-point line is going to be open all night long.  Blazers = best three-point shooting team in the league.  Kings = close to the worst three-point defending team in the league.  All players of recent European extraction please line up for your open looks on aisles 1 and 2.

 

5.  Kings no score 100, Kings no win.

 

Storylines to Watch

 

1.  Who Plays for Sacramento?

 

Will Martin or Moore be back?  If so, who starts and how many minutes does everybody get.  They’ve been cobbling together lineups so long that even their regular one would feel cobbled together tonight.

 

2.  Centers of Attention

 

The Blazers have the ultimate two-feet-and-under center scoring game.  The Kings have the ultimate twenty-feet-and-over center scoring game.  Which pays dividends?

 

3.  Amped Up or Let Down?

 

Will the Blazers be coasting after demolishing the Bulls Wednesday night?  Playing lazy against the Kings is a great way to let them steal the game.  On the other hand a decisive burst of energy early could well turn this into another dunk-battered cakewalk.  The Kings could really go either way and it’s more or less up to the Blazers to decide which Sacramento team they want to deal with.

 

Final Thoughts

 

The game against Phoenix will be tough so it would be nice to make this one easy.

 

Check out the Kings’ point of view at  SactownRoyalty.

 

Enter the Jersey Contest for tonight’s game here.  Don’t forget that tomorrow’s form will come up after this game ends.

 

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

0 recs  |  Comment 16 comments |

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Martin and Salmons

concern me.

We always seem to struggle at ARCO.

If we don’t show up with at least our B+ game, we’ll lose… and they are capable of shooting the lights out and beating our A- game on some nights.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Nov 20, 2008 11:34 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

but with that said...

…this is obviously a game we can win. I think we get it done.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Nov 20, 2008 11:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You know

I laugh out loud at these. (I mean, not when they’re in every thread but like you’re doing them now.) They’re like those Dixie Cups we used to get as kids or like a fortune cookie. You’re expecting it to say something cool but they repeat, like, every third one. So it’s, “This AGAIN?” Seriously, we busted open the cookies and my friend got a detailed analysis of Greg Oden’s play in the paint and I got “Vote for your All-Stars everyday.” Man…I feel cheated!

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 21, 2008 12:37 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't vote for All-Stars

I don’t feel the All-Star game or being an All-Star is worth anything, due to how early they pick the candidates and the way they select them.

"I believe in [Joel]. I just love the way he plays." - Nate McMillan

by jamon51 on Nov 21, 2008 1:39 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Oden played well against Hawes in the preseason.

He drew a lot of fouls. It might be a good strategy to go to him to cause foul trouble.

Should be a fun game. I want to see a wide-open offense tonight. Lots of driving, dishing, dunking.

by Cablinasian on Nov 20, 2008 11:43 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Very tough game

Good shooters tend to shoot better at home. These guys are dangerous.

I think Dave nailed it that we have to assault the paint. If we do that, we should win, and their bigs will be in big foul trouble. If we don’t, we may come down to one of those nail biters where you hope Brandon or Travis is going to hit a miracle shot to bail you out.

Similarities to the GS game, a team we should be able to beat, even on the road. Hope Nate reminds them of that game. We need to keep our road win percentage up, and this is the kind of game you can do that.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 20, 2008 11:52 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

it'll be interesting to see if the recent points-in-the-paint strategy

continues. obviously the presence of greg oden has sparked this more than anyone out here anticipated. i think a big factor has been the ability of oden to hit FTs.

greg also seems more and more comfortable passing back out, which stresses the defense as re-entry passes are made — there’s a “will to power” factor here which wears down opposing post-players’ minds.

ignacio

by ignacio on Nov 20, 2008 11:54 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

incidentally, if lamarcus can develop a la maurice lucas

so that he can handle high-low action with greg, he’ll find himself with some wide-open looks IN RHYTHM as well as some open lanes to drive and score.

i’m sure this will come.

ignacio

by ignacio on Nov 20, 2008 11:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I think Kevin is still out.

“Kevin is a little bit better, but he’s still probably a little ways away,” Geoff Petrie said. “I’m not even saying this is possible, but maybe the middle of next week. I wouldn’t say that’s written in stone, though. It’s getting better. It’s just (a matter of) when he’s going to feel comfortable just really going on it and I don’t think he’s gotten to that point yet.” — Sacramento Bee

by Nick Van Excellent on Nov 21, 2008 12:02 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

ESPN Game Preview on K-Mart's status;
Salmons has stepped up in the absence of leading scorer Kevin Martin (22.4 points per game), averaging 18.8 points while shooting 50.8 percent from the field. Salmons has scored 26.0 points in his last three contests.

He may have to shoulder the load for a few more games as it appears Martin, who initially targeted Friday to return from his sprained right ankle, won’t be back until next week.

"You're really making me feel good about myself, little man," says Oden as he starts dancing after scoring a goal. "You better come harder than that."

by BlueBooYay on Nov 21, 2008 6:42 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It will be...

…Burgers galore!!!!!

by ifrclone on Nov 21, 2008 6:58 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Man

I just hope the Blazers can squeak out win.

by tominhawaii on Nov 21, 2008 12:48 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I want the same fire we had playing the bulls at home.

Acquire Serge Ibaka.

by TheGreatDane17 on Nov 21, 2008 12:50 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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