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Oden

Read Henry's post first.

I just emailed in the following response and then realized, "Dude, what are you doing, you should just post it on BlazersEdge." I guess messing with Adobe Premier into the wee hours has me thrown off my game this morning.

----------------

Blogfather,

On draft night, a wise man, when asked whether Oden might be a flight risk out of Portland after his rookie deal, told me, "Out of here with your pessimism! It's party time! This is as good as it gets for Portland fans of the last decade."  After reading your Oden piece this morning I am inclined to return the favor today, the morning after Greg's first 20/10.


I love to nitpick Oden as much as anyone. The ball gets knocked out his hands far too often by much smaller players.  He shuffles his feet like crazy.  He relies too much on his arms to rebound.  He generally looks at all times like whatever he is doing is the first time he's done it.  I get all of that and cede those points.

But in the context of last night, in which the Warriors played four guards and Biedrins, a lineup in which you could add up the weights of 2 (sometimes 3?) of the GSWs and they would still weigh less than Oden, I thought Oden actually moved well.  And if not "well," then definitely better than we've seen to this point.  Better than last week.  Certainly better than a few weeks ago.  Better than at any point during training camp that was open to the media.  At the least we saw progress (when for so long we saw nothing); at the most we saw Greg keeping up (mostly) with the pace of a fast NBA game for the first time.

In particular, I liked Greg's mobility coming out to set very high picks (all the way out to the three point line) and then rolling to the basket efficiently, finishing with authority multiple times.  In contrast to Przybilla, a pick from Oden is an authentic pick -- giving the dribbler room to work and time to carve a path. Sure, Joel can lay the wood to someone but he doesn't pose any offensive threat himself so his picks are far less effective.  The Blazers need more easy buckets -- they have for more than a year.  Barkley called us out cold on that front last year and it was never resolved.  Until now.

Tall, agile and active, Biedrins is Greg's nightmare matchup. Never in his life has Greg played against someone like Biedrins.  Who else is even like Biedrins?  On the defensive end Greg has a ways to go, particularly rotating as you mentioned, and Biedrins was the perfect player to expose these weaknesses. These flaws weren't nearly as glaring against the Hornets or Timberwolves-- more conventional teams with more conventional bigs.  And Greg wasn't the only person flummoxed last night by Nellieball.  Nate was too.  Also not to be overlooked: Greg did everything he did last night with zero help from LaMarcus Aldridge.

Also, at halftime, after the stretch of ugliness you mentioned, both Greg and Sergio had a -11 plus/minus.  In general, I'm inclined to attribute large negative runs like that to point guards more than to post men.  Sergio came in frenetic, almost manic, which discombobulated everyone.  I thought SR settled down nicely in the second half and Greg's plus/minus in the second half, with the game on the line, was even.

Your point about having our shooters standing around cooling is one the coaching staff will address.  In the first half, we saw Oden and Rudy pass the ball in and out of the post 3 times on one possession, which led to a picture-perfect 3 from Rudy.  On that possession, Oden showed he can do the quick passing game -- I'm sure the coaching staff will drill that into him here in the near future.  For a team loaded with catch-and-shooters, the ball in Oden's hands attracting attention is exactly what we need.  Blake, Rudy, Sergio, Martell and even Outlaw all benefit from having a clean look at the basket. The only person I'm really worried about is Brandon, who likes to have the ball in his hands at all times.  Should we prefer Brandon making miracles off the dribble against double-teams every night or working in space with less touches but an easier road to the basket?

One last thought: not to encourage gratuitous rubbernecking but you did see the entire basket shake after one of his dunks, right?  I don't need to remind you that we've never, ever, in the history of the franchise, had someone that can make the 24 second shot clock shimmy back and forth like it's doing the Soulja Boy.  This is unchartered waters.  Try to enjoy it, Blogfather. Despite the loss, this is as good as it gets for Portland fans in the last decade. This was better than draft night.  Crystallizing talent beats raw promise every time.

-- Ben (benjamin.golliver@gmail.com)

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You're both right.

The +/- is telling, but so is the sweet sweet Oden.

by rmcdougall on Nov 19, 2008 10:12 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

+/- might telling over time...

but what stat isn’t?

Oden’s +/- could be a direct relation to the fact that he was brought in nearly exclusively with that second unit in the first half. That’s when Golden State took the lead. We played poorly to open the 2nd quarter.

"When I die, I want to go peacefully like my Grandfather did, in his sleep -- not screaming, like the passengers in his car"

by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Nov 19, 2008 10:25 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

+/- means very little

idk if you guys follow baseball but people who know the statistics always complain how guys with high runs and rbis always win the MVP awards when those are CONTEXT-driven stats. Same with the +/-. It is impossible to look at the +/- for what a guy brings to your team because there are so many other factors that go into it than just one guys play. For instance, LaMarcus has a positive +/- last night. Would anyone on this site argue that aldridge was good for our team last night? I doubt it.

by bluthbanana on Nov 19, 2008 12:47 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

You cannot use

the +/- stat for a single game and expect to have any kind of accurate picture. I don’t know how to put it any clearer and simpler than that.

The strength of the +/- stat is that it correlates an individual’s presence with the overall performance of the team. The weakness of the approach is that a lot of other things also affect overall performance. To lift out the +/- number from a single game is the same as saying the person was responsible for every single factor that affected the game that night…that it was all due to him. The idea of the stat is that if you play enough games many of those external factors will average out, leaving a clearer picture of how the player affected his team’s fortunes overall. But that takes time and many samples.

If you hit on the correct conclusion based on a single game +/- you got lucky.

I do not disagree about Greg’s return being an adjustment for the team. It certainly is. It’s going to affect some players more than others and some to the positive and others to the negative. The team may even stumble a bit trying to find its way during this period. But you’re not going to be able to tell that by the +/- stat.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 19, 2008 1:01 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The +/- for this game shows

that the Blazers were not as effective and the Warriors were more effective when Oden was in. So you can take something away from it. Just don’t draw any long-term conclusions from it.

"I believe in [Joel]. I just love the way he plays." - Nate McMillan

by jamon51 on Nov 19, 2008 2:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

But it also says that the Blazers were more effective when Sergio was in the game than when he was

Out of the game. How do you partition that reduction in efficiency? I actually, agree that Oden hurt the team a bit in the first half, but I think the plus-minus stat is typically very imprecise.

by PoliSam on Nov 19, 2008 2:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

How do you know that was Oden

or things that happened around Oden for some of the minutes he was on the court? There’s no way to tell.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 19, 2008 2:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

yes.

That he was brought in with 4 other players (one of them being Bayless who definitely appeared out of sorts) likely has as much to do with it as anything.

It’s the same as saying GO will be a bust after 29 minutes of action and the same as saying he’ll be ROY after one 20/10 game… the jury is out.

"When I die, I want to go peacefully like my Grandfather did, in his sleep -- not screaming, like the passengers in his car"

by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Nov 19, 2008 2:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Bayless was -1 in just under 4 minutes, so don't you go scapegoating him...

"Sergio is clearly the MJ of 3rd string point guards!" —Mortimer Pritchard

by timbo on Nov 20, 2008 8:48 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

nice explanation

If I didn’t know better, I’d think you were a statistician.

by PoliSam on Nov 19, 2008 2:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting about baseball

When you look at the win-loss records of starting pitchers, you will often find somebody with a lot of losses who turns out to be a pretty good pitcher. You don’t get to BE in the position of losing a baseball game unless you’re good.

Similarly, for basketball players who are on the court a lot – either starting or filling a major rotation slot – the +/- statistic probably has little relevance, being more of TEAM statistic.

But, as for Greg Oden, here’s a way to determine how well he’s playing: ask the guys who play against him. Are they having fun?

by CatMan2 on Nov 19, 2008 4:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That's because you can lose a game 1-0.

It’s hard to find representative stats for individuals for team sports.

by torsoheap on Nov 19, 2008 4:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Excellent Response Ben!!!

Did the BlogFather forget teh +/- of the previous two games of Oden? I love it how all these pundits who attacked GO when he was injured continues to nitpick him so they can say, “yeah but…”

I’m so done with all of them. They are the same pundits who said Roy and LMA were bad draft picks that will never amont to anything.

Give the guy a break…1.5 years on the shelf, and 4 games in….Compare his first four games to Yao…

I can’t wait to hear all the Mea Culpas!!!

by My3rdLegIsAlsoLongerThanMyFirstLeg on Nov 19, 2008 10:18 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

for the record

Abott isn’t one of them. Greg was ugly and he did disrupt the game. The plus and minus didn’t identify that, it simply helped support it.

Greg will not always stink it up. It’s amazing he does so well WHILE stinking so badly. That should have teams everywhere shaking in their boots. The guy IS on the level of Shaq.

That said, he caused the team to stink last night.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 12:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think differently.

Golden State caused the team to stink last night.

NellieBall had the Blazers by the cajones. No one but Roy and Oden looked like they knew had to take advantage of a smaller, quicker player… hence the turnovers.

The fact is that our offense was actually clicking. We had 106 points. We got to the free throw line. We nailed our threes.

Too many turnovers, too many missed free throws, and most importantly too many MADE free throws by them sunk us. If they shoot their average from the stripe they only hit 25, not 33, in which case we win. That’s twice this year we’ve been beat by a team that made their free throws (the Jazz hit 21-22 in a close game). Even if they shoot above average and hit 28, as long as we shoot OUR average we make 22 instead of 20… tie game.

You’ve got to make your free throws.

"When I die, I want to go peacefully like my Grandfather did, in his sleep -- not screaming, like the passengers in his car"

by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Nov 19, 2008 12:50 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes but...

We had this this team and we were starting to throttle them.

Oden comes in has a turn over. The other end I think he fouled and then had another turnover.

He didn’t know what to do with the ball all the time and would sometimes pass it back liek “hot potato I doos not wants!!!”

The team has a whole has a responsibility as a stink because they went from their pace to the golden state pace, and that was just bad. Some of our players can play that, others it’s not their strength.

Other factors may be there, but my spidey senses went off on Greg in that first minute. We lost our groove.

That doesn’t mean Greg should never play or he stinks, but the team and Greg are adjusting and learning. Frankly, i also think it was a bad team to have Oden out there so much on. I’d have picked Chicago or ANY team that played slower ball than golden state.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 1:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I missed the first half, but the area he seemed to be lacking in

was his mobility on defense. It really seemed like he was having a tough time get his footwork straightened out covering the Warriors’ pick and rolls. He’d come out a little too far, get caught in too narrow a stance, and the guard would get a step on him, resulting in either a foul or a layup.

Offensively, he seemed to be doing okay, although it really looked like he was getting hacked on a lot of those TOs. I would’ve liked to see him rolling a little more aggressively to the basket off some of those picks, but that hesitancy should fade with more minutes. Sadly, though, it looks like refs are going to call fouls against Oden the same way they’ve called them against young Shaq and Yao, as in, it’s going to take a monumental hack for them to even call anything and a lot of these smaller hacks on his wrists and arms are going to slide. Hopefully this was an aberration, but I could see this becoming a major irritation for me.

by Royster on Nov 19, 2008 1:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Tercero

Enjoyed your post. Answering your Q: I’d like to less dependence on " … Brandon off the dribble … against double-teams.

"I began to imagine as always at my left side just out of range of sight, a brazen winged beast which I associated with laughing, ecstatic destruction." William Butler Yeats

by OBJuan72 on Nov 19, 2008 10:21 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Among other things, Henry is missing the fact that basketball is a TEAM GAME! I actually agree with him that GO’s numbers were better than his performance last night. But a lot of the problem is that his teammates need to learn to play with him. As I wrote elsewhere this morning, you could see the same problem with the Suns last season after the big trade; as great a point guard as Steve Nash is, it looked like he’d never thrown an entry pass in his life! The same goes for Roy, Rudy, and GO’s other new teammates. Also, the guys haven’t fully grasped that when GO blocks out the opposing center or leaps for a block attempt, they need to rebound! Not to worry: the chemistry will come; these things never happen overnight.

The other big factor that Henry is underrating: that GO is still shaking off the rust of a lost season and getting in shape. Much of the awkwardess in GO’s movements that Henry describes is simply the result of fatigue. When GO first enters games, he moves and reacts well and he displays plenty of hops. But he quickly becomes more sluggish in his movements. Again, not to worry: GO’s stamina has noticably improved in each game. In fact, he’s starting to get a second wind at the end of games—a very good sign.

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Nov 19, 2008 10:36 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Oden + Aldridge = ?

IMO one of the biggest questions is; will Oden’s game wipe our LaMarcus Aldridge’s efficacy (as it appeared to last night) or can the Blazers learn how to use Oden to give LaMarcus better offensive opportunities. If they can figure that out, they’ll be a very difficult team to contend with down low.

by tiesque on Nov 19, 2008 10:37 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Elbows/Short Corners

Aldridge will fit very well with Oden. When Oden is on the floor, Aldridge will get his shots at tthe elbows, the short corners, cuts to the basket, and pick and pops.

Last night, he seemed to be in good health (he didn’t appear to have a stiff neck), but Maggette’s quickness on defense killed him. How many offensive fouls did Aldridge have? The last foul (blocking) against him was a bad call. His feet were set and outside the protective area.

by Turnout on Nov 19, 2008 11:04 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Henry Abbott is a ....

How dare he type that stuff? I was going to write a FanPost expounding why Mr. Abbott is no better than Colin Cowherd, because +/- is the dumbest stat in the world. I reject +/- unequivocally, it is the stat for excuses and “what ifs.”

But then I don’t care what people say about Oden this early in his career. Mr. Abbott may have a point, but like I said +/- is a worthless stat. If LA could have figure out how to turn towards the basket without trowing his elbow into his defender, and stayed in the game, everyone’s +/- would have been significantly different. Mr. Abbott has lost all credibility with me and I am going to write ESPN and demand that he is fired.

If I saw Mr. Abbott on the street, I’d give him an atomic wedgie and call him Colin Cowherd.

by tominhawaii on Nov 19, 2008 10:42 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Aldridge got a +1 on the night

He must have been way more effective than Oden huh?

Kwame and Darko - Grizz '07-'08. The rebuilding is complete.

by RecordTOs on Nov 19, 2008 11:53 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hey now...

No hate for the Blogfather. He’s been one of the biggest champions of the Blazers we have in the media (Dave, Ben, Casey and BE excepted). He’s allowed to state his opinion. However, I think it would be good for him to either link to Ben’s post or quote part of it within his blog.

by DonkeyShins on Nov 19, 2008 12:20 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I honestly can't tell when you're serious or being silly

you seem so angry of late.

You didn’t need the plus or minus, it simply backed up what you could see out there on the court.

I had the feeling of a complete BLOW out watching the game. It was going to happen, it’s my spidey senses that tells me how games will end. then Oden came in and within the first minute my spidey senses were telling me that if Pryz didn’t play and close the entire fourth, we’d lose this game.

We lost.

The plus and minus simply backs up the observations that we saw with our own eyes.

Good seeing him out there, but it was ugly and disruptive. He’ll get better, we all know that… but our well oil machine found some lovely bits of rock to go into the corner and make out with. The ride was bumpy after that.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 12:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

and sillily serious

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 1:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I was kidding though.

I like Mr. Abbott and don’t mind if someone critiques the Blazers. They’re grown men and they can handle it.

by tominhawaii on Nov 20, 2008 1:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry ratbastird

My spidy senses tell me you are way off base.
Golden State is a streaky team, and even though they were down early, its their home court and they would make run at the blazers. No way this was going to be a blow out, whether Oden came in the game or not.

At no time this season did I feel the blazers playing as well oiled machine for any extend period of time, again with or without oden. I have said all along a top tier team would wear down Roy and shut down the blazers in a seven game series. Thats the ultimate goal, to peak at the end of the season, and to win a playoff series. To do that we absolutely need to go to through Roy, and GO;
and the other players need to find there roles.

I’m not saying this team doesn’t have great potential, but in way last nights lose is good, and will make them realize what they need to focus on.

by MotoMan045 on Nov 19, 2008 1:46 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with Henry,

but I think the point he was making is that right now the Blazers are trying to figure out how to play with him. This isn’t Greg’s fault, it isn’t anybody’s fault, it is part of the team maturation process we all knew was coming.
My big question is: how much are we missing Maurice Lucas? This seems to be a critical time to be w/o our big man coach. Who is struggling the most? I’d say LMA and Fry, and Greg sure needs to work on his post moves, footwork, positioning, etc. Some of this is due to rust, but a lot of it needs to be taught and practiced. Greg is doing great even while having these deficiencies.
Who works w/ the big guys while Luke is out?

by crakarjack on Nov 19, 2008 11:01 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Mission Accomplished

Oden has gained his confidence. As Dwight opined today, no need to delay the inevitable. Oden needs to start. He needs to gel with the starters as soon as possible. The more Nate delay this move, the longer it will take for the team to gel.

by Balian on Nov 19, 2008 11:13 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Ummm...no

He doesn’t need to start yet. If anything, he needs to gel with the White Unit a bit more so they become more automatic and so he learns all the sets. As he plays more games and gets more end-of-fourth-quarter burn and more in shape, he’ll be ready to assume a starting role. However, I don’t see that happening prior to the All-Star break.

However, as my wife is happy to point out, I have been wrong on numerous occasions.

by DonkeyShins on Nov 19, 2008 12:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You are kidding right?

Why the hell do we need him to gel with the white team when gelling with the starters is more important? So he should gel with the white team for 1 month and spends another month to gel with the starters?

Production of Rudy and Outlaw has been drastically down since Oden came back. The second team is not used to having a low post scorer.

Oh BTW, we lost 2 out 3 games since Oden start picking up the pace.

He needs to start so the team could get use to him in his regular role. Oden coming off the bench is counterproductive right now. Stop avoiding the inevitable.

by Balian on Nov 19, 2008 1:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Let's see...

How about a bulleted list?

 - Joel has played with LMA, Roy (and to a lesser extent Blake and Webster) for two years – the chemistry is there as well as familiarity with all the plays
 - Roy and Webster (or, for now, Batum) and LMA are better defenders than Rudy (sorry, he isn’t there yet), Outlaw and Frye so he has a better defensive contribution on the White Unit
- He’s not in game shape (stamina-wise) yet
- He’s more comfortable coming off the bench (this will hopefully change as he gains confidence)
- He hasn’t earned it yet (he’s admitted this himself).

I’m sure Nate knows more that either you or I know about being an NBA coach. When he feels Greg is ready to start, you’ll bet he’ll be starting.

by DonkeyShins on Nov 19, 2008 6:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

depends on whether you want the blazers to keep winning

or start losing.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 12:24 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

As we all know, it's not a matter of who starts (Batum) but who finishes (Fernandez)...

………………….. Oden off the bench makes a lot of sense. How would YOU like to play for 7 minutes, start getting tired, and IN COMES ODEN? Can you imagine a biggest psychological HOLY [CRAP] to drop on a team?

I like Pryz and Oden in roughly equivalent time, shuttling back and forth to keep them fresh, with Pryz the starter and Oden the finisher.

"Sergio is clearly the MJ of 3rd string point guards!" —Mortimer Pritchard

by timbo on Nov 20, 2008 8:51 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Great Post

Oden did look good, the pure joy in his eyes on the first monster dunk was like nothing I have seen in a while, since Brandon’s game winner at home VS Houston perhaps.

Time For The Spanish Guard To Step Up

by TheGreatDane17 on Nov 19, 2008 11:19 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Start Oden!

Were going to have to get through this learning process to live up to what we can become. We need to get our guys comfortable with each other now. We all know how good we can be, we need to make the sacrifices now. This whole year will be a learning process for us, but hey this has been the greatest learning process I have ever seen, Ijust feel lucky to be apart of it. GO BLAZERS!

G.O. for R.O.Y.

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by j-blaze on Nov 19, 2008 11:19 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Better off the Bench

Don’t start Oden. He’s better off the bench right now- that and don’t you want to hear the Rose Garden crowd go crazy when he checks into the game? As for the +/- stat, here’s a sample of how far off it can be. Last night, Derrick Rose -20, Thabo Sefolosha +10, obviously Sefolosha should take over the starting spot from rose based on the stats. Also last night, Chris Bosh was a -7 and scored 40pts, JJ Redick was +20 and he scored 10pts, thanks but I’ll take 40 points and 18 boards over JJ any day.

by Polish Chocolate on Nov 19, 2008 11:36 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

Henry Abott and I

Are 100% on the same page.

My only hope out of last night is that Nate KNEW we were going to lose that game playing oden and thought it was more important to play him than win.

I hope this because if Nate couldn’t recognize that Pryz was the better player and fit… then I have HUGE concerns about his coaching abilities as it was clear as day to me.

I do think it’s important to develop Oden. I would have only played him 20 minutes, but maybe Nate believes that’s not enough.

My burning question is for Nate. “did you intentionally play Oden to get him into the game faster and did you recognize that you were putting the win in jeopardy by doing so”.

Probably need to reword so it’s more politically correct. Nate’s answer on that question is important to me as an evaluator of his decision making.

Of course, I’m sure he’d come back with a PC “we in no way expect to lose any game”. When Joel was on that floor though… the blazers were clicking like crazy. With Oden on the floor, that well oil machine suddenly had 10 clogs and two turnovers in just a minute.

Oden has NOT arrived yet. Nice stats, but it’s about winning games. Oden didn’t help us do that last night. He will, but his arrival was not last night.

That said… he’s looking a lot better than he did against miami (last time I saw him). If he keeps making that rapid improvement he’s going to be very good in 16 games (when I predicted we’d see the true Oden minus the rust).

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 12:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I had a similiar thought during the game

I thought that if Nate cared 100% about the win, he probably would not have played Oden 30 minutes because Joel was playing really well and Oden looked tired at times.

by PoliSam on Nov 19, 2008 1:31 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think it is the opposite

Of when a team’s all star goes down and the team goes on a winning streak. Dropping a guy who can get 20 points and 10 rebounds into the rotation requires everyone to adjust their game.

by tominhawaii on Nov 19, 2008 1:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

To Henry, I say, "whatever"

Oden had a bad game, but still scored 22 points, grabbed 10 rebounds, and blocked 2 shots in 30 minutes of action. This in his fourth full game coming back from microfracture surgery.

Other people can worry all they want about Oden, I’m happy that he showed a hint of the effect he can have on a game.

by PoliSam on Nov 19, 2008 12:48 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I don't think he's worried about oden

Frankly… can you imagine another team in the league that you can say “he had a bad game” and he’s 22 points, 10 rebounds, 2 blocks in 30 minutes?

You can say that about Oden and THAT’S what’s scary awesome.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 1:09 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I'm not...

sure exactly what his emotions were. One way to read his post is that Oden will have much better games in the future, that when Oden arrives it will be even more impressive…. On the other hand, the way Henry described Oden’s play struck me as irritated? Frustrated? Something. It was not just an objective description of his game.

by PoliSam on Nov 19, 2008 1:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

ah

it’s funny how different people can read something and take something else away from it.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 10:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Oden's mobility was much better last night

He was moving well setting high picks and even chased down a loose ball in the corner. He stamina was also better than it had been in previous games and he played almost 30 minutes for the first time. His footwork still looks very awkward and he needs to hang onto the ball and reduce those turnovers. But I think that is just a result of not playing real ball for many months. Give him 4 weeks to work things out, not 4 games.

Yes, Oden’s 4th quarter turnovers would likely have changed the outcome of the game last night. So would have the pass that Roy threw away, the rebound that bounced over Sergio’s head, Rudy’s missed 3, or half a dozen other things that went wrong in the 4th quarter. The Blazer’s played awful, but GO’s progress was the bright spot of the night.

"But we need a center", Inman said. "So play him at center!" Knight yelled back. - Bobby Knight on Michael Jordan prior to the Blazers' 1984 draft pick of Sam Bowie.

by BlazerFanSince1970 on Nov 19, 2008 1:04 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Facing away from the loss we should have won...

Yeah, you’re right. Oden clogged things, but he’s also VASTLY better than when I last saw him play (Miami).

When he gets smooth and gets power back… ooooohhhhhh man. A bad game at 22 and 11. SeriouslY? yeah…

Just imagine when that guy actually plays a good game.

Greg Oden, where posters happen.

by ratbastird on Nov 19, 2008 1:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I would settle

for his feet leaving the ground. Can he jump anymore?

by torsoheap on Nov 19, 2008 2:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

LMA and Greg

There’s no reason it shouldn’t work. LMA’s problems last night were not cuased by Greg. LMA is just not well suited to the plays they were running for him last night. They kept asking him to back down Magette from 15 feet. What did he get, 3 offensive fouls and 1 basket on that play? It’s not his game. There’s nothing wrong with him facing up and shooting over a shorter, stronger defender.

by Hawthorne Wingo on Nov 19, 2008 1:30 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

+1

Asking LMA to guard Magette is a big waste.

We need to bring back a couple of Jerome Kersey types to guard the Maggettes and the SJaxon of the world. Outlaw and Batum look really skinny compared to those two. – Elgin.

All the kids who played the blues would learn my licks with a bottleneck slide. - Richard Palmer-James

by 22baylor on Nov 19, 2008 5:00 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

whats got me excited about oden

is not his stats.

Its more that we can obviously see that hes so raw, but yet he can still dominate.

Its tantalising to imagine what he may be able to do over the next few years as he develops.

But on the flipside if this is the way he plays his whole career, i could still live with that, a big center that gives u maybe 15/10 and a block or two while being a defensive presence is not a bad thing.

Plus hes a great guy with a sense of humor!

by Yawnie on Nov 19, 2008 1:39 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

henry abbott's post simply sttruck me as bizarre

and i guess that’s all the further i’ll go with that.

as dave said above, of course there’s going to be an adjustment period, harder for some players than others. the law of unintended consequences. this isn’t rocket science.

neither is the very superficial, even absurd =/-

ignacio

by ignacio on Nov 19, 2008 2:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Equal-minus?

No wonder the poor guy can’t get ahead.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 19, 2008 2:26 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Yes, that's right.

It doesn’t matter how many equals you have, but if you have an even number of minuses it becomes a positive. Another helpful stat.

by shralpster on Nov 19, 2008 2:54 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

My politician's take: Mort- uh, I mean, Abbott and Ben are both right...

Re: whether Oden “arrived” last night, it begs the question, arrived where?

It all depends on your perspective. If you’re mainstream and worried that Oden was a “bust,” after the last three games, I think Oden has arrived as a non-bust. The kid can play in the NBA. He’ll be a factor. That much we know.

If you weren’t worried about the “bust” talk – and Abbott wasn’t at all – then maybe you weren’t as ecstatic last night. Because, yes, the big guy didn’t look as comfortable as he will down the road. He had some bad (and costly) fouls due to not moving his feet, conditioning, whatever. He brought the ball down too low and let himself get stripped (whether through his wrists or not) when he should have taken his time and gone up with more authority and poise.

He can do much better.

The key is, this much we now know: he will.

And I agree with Ben – that’s something to get excited about.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 19, 2008 2:58 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I am sure glad I missed this game.

For the following reasons:

1) I was saved from the stress of blaming the refs for a Blazer loss – regardless of whether it actually had to do with the officials.

2) I don’t have to waste the energy worrying about whether Oden is hampering the team or not, whether he should be starting or with the 2nd unit, or if Nate purposefully gave him extended minutes at the cost of a win.

Based on the box score and many of the comments, it sounds like Greg generally looked better last night than the game before – where he looked better than the game before that. I take away from this the sense that Oden has managed to improve every game so far. If he’s already at 20 & 10 three games into his season, I’d say that’s reason to be estatic. Why care about his impact on the flow of the offense. That’s a situation that is easily fixed with time. It is certainly a much easier problem to address than finding out that Oden is a lumbering giant whose offensive game is a major work in progress and might never amount to much.

hakkaa päälle !

by timg56 on Nov 19, 2008 3:07 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Oden's

entire offensive repertoire on display last night consisted of dunks and free throws. No drop step, no Dream Shake, no Patrick Ewing lumbering travel to the rim, just dunks and free throws.

He lumbers though that’ll improve with conditioning, but I didn’t see him jump much and his offensive game is most definitely a major work in progress. He is incredibly raw.

by torsoheap on Nov 19, 2008 3:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

He is not "incredibly raw"

He certainly has room for improvement. But guys like DeAndre Jordan are incredibly raw. Oden has a LOT of room to improve, but he put up 22-10-2 on 8 for 12 shooting against an opposing center who will likely make the all-star game (or should). On what was not his best night.

He’s more advanced than you think – just not with the ball in his hands and his back to the basket. But don’t underestimate the kid’s BBIQ. It’s very, very high. He has a soft touch, great hands, and knows where he’s supposed to be on the court.

Oden has put in a TON of work getting to where he is skill-wise. That he isn’t breaking out spin moves and dream shakes doesn’t mean he’s raw or undeveloped. It means he’s too smart to bite off more than he should this early in his first season playing for a good team that doesn’t need him to do that much.

I don’t want people to lose sight of that.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 19, 2008 3:25 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I was there last night, 100 feet from him,

and every time he caught the ball when guarded, he looked “shaky.” I wouldn’t really call anything he took a “shot” since they were all within about a foot of the rim. Don’t get me wrong; I’m glad he’s on our team, but is still very much a work in progress.

The question is whether Przy would’ve put up the same numbers if he had been playing.

by torsoheap on Nov 19, 2008 4:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Has Pryz ever scored 22 in his career?

That was an amazing rhetorical question you posed. Absolutely amazing.

I understand where you’re coming from. But there is no comparison between Oden and Pryz on the offensive end. None. Pryz has never once posted up for a reason. He can’t do it. His points come when his man bails and he catches the ball wide open, stationary, under the rim.

Oden caught the ball in the post repeatedly. There are going to be turnovers, and he’s going to look not very smooth at times. But to ask whether Pryz would’ve had the same numbers? Wow.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 19, 2008 5:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Close.

He made it to 19 twice: http://www.nba.com/playerfile/joel_przybilla/career_stats.html.

Maybe I was caught up in the excitement of being at the game, but I don’t remember Oden making too many moves. Roy or Rodriguez would drive in, Turiaf or Biedrins left Oden to double and then he slammed it home. Przy couldn’t do that?

I’m not saying that Przy is even in Oden’s league offensively, but Oden was the garbage man last night.

by torsoheap on Nov 19, 2008 5:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Pretty sweet that you were there, by the way.

I’m jealous, even with the loss.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 19, 2008 5:08 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You say it like that's a bad thing.

He is a player who is putting up great numbers in his fourth game back from surgery, getting back into shape, without any move.

What will happen when he learns the offensive game? He scored 22 points on 12 shots. I can’t really complain about that, especially as it will get better as he learns the game.

He’s not jumping or moving laterally because of the microfracture. Do you remember Amare try to come back? He had serious issues getting his previous athleticism back. Took him over two and a half years.

"Can tjeu hit the target firing like that?

Boy, there’s no target left over there. I think they blew up the concession stand too." - Dave

by Cablinasian on Nov 19, 2008 3:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

well written Ben

I liked what Henry said, and I liked what you said.

We keep coming back to this, over and over again. All The Young Dudes, including Greg, are still young, and they are still getting their individual AND collective acts together. This will take most of the season to figure out. I hope they get it figured out by playoff time, and go a few rounds into it.

I dare not hope for more. I do dare to hope for a championship next year. – Elgin.

All the kids who played the blues would learn my licks with a bottleneck slide. - Richard Palmer-James

by 22baylor on Nov 19, 2008 4:57 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Whatever happened to just watching games

and seeing how stuff turns out.

I understand to a degree the role that making predicitons and assessments has in conversation, but the wild speculations, swings of opinion, and dramatic conclusions based on one game, then two games, then four games is almost painful to read.

We don’t need to reach for conclusions, they’ll be obvious by the end of the year, or maybe next year. Maybe.

by raoulduke on Nov 19, 2008 5:33 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Oden Highlights from warrior game

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CjNou_uSK1Y

ps. when Oden gets his second and1 layup the GS announcer saying there was very little contact. They should just let the players play……
WOW

"All our holes," says shooting guard Brandon Roy, a surprise All-Star last year in his second season, "are holes that Greg is going to plug."

by bowdown on Nov 19, 2008 6:53 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I told you

those calls appeared to be going the other way earlier…at least from the G.S. standpoint. This is the problem with local broadcasts to my point of view. You always hear about the calls that go against you but never a word is said about the calls that go for you. The Golden State guys were complaining during the third quarter last night and silent about the refs in the fourth. I’m sure it was the exact opposite for Portland’s broadcast. The net result is that every fan base is convinced their players are getting screwed. If I could change one thing about NBA broadcasts this would be it.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 19, 2008 6:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

good piece

The only person I’m really worried about is Brandon, who likes to have the ball in his hands at all times. Should we prefer Brandon making miracles off the dribble against double-teams every night or working in space with less touches but an easier road to the basket?

I’ve been trying to address this for weeks. In the recent thread about finding a PG that is complementary to BR. In the Euro v. Iso approach to offense conversations.. In the Rudy-Roy backcourt option that was creating a lot of interest for a while. And now with the adding of GO.

Brandon is going to have to adapt his game to an increasingly talented lineup. And we need to run our offense through the PG, not through Brandon. Sergio is looking more and more like a guy who can do that.

I expect that when Brandon and Nate are able to let go of last year’s conception of this team, the whole team will jump to the next level. Mark my words! ;)

by Blazin' on Nov 19, 2008 7:00 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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