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Projections

As you know, as I have said it repeatedly, we don't get too much into predictions around here.  I do it for fun sometimes, like taking my shot during the pre-season rundown of the league, but we tend to talk far more about what is happening than what will happen.  That means, generally speaking, when we do make a prediction it's pretty darn solid.

Well I was looking at the schedule tonight and noticed that we're 6-4 through 10 games in November with 8 remaining.  Back when the schedule was released it was instantly apparent that November and December were our hell months.  Only the very latest games in the season even come close (and they don't come very close at all).  As I reflected on the Blazers' play so far, looked at the schedule to come, and tallied up the numbers it became pretty apparent to me that we're going to win at least 3 of the remaining 8 games in the month.  That means we'll exit November with no worse than a .500 record.  That, folks, portends great things as far as a bid for a playoff seed.  If we can avoid a major, abysmal, pit-of-doom stumble in December we're going to be in amazing shape.  If we can exit December at or near .500 the shape will be more than amazing.  This team is probably going to make a run in the new year that is going to get people around the league buzzing.  Don't let that fool you...we're not ready to actually make noise in the playoffs yet and that's unlikely to change during the course of this season.  However if you just think in the context of making the playoffs, a record near .500 now means that whatever run we make when the schedule eases will allow us a great shot.

Anything can happen with young teams, of course.  Just as we've won some games we probably should have lost we will also lose some games we probably should have won.  You can't go down the schedule and pencil in wins against the Minnesotas and Clippers of the world.  Last night's game should have shown us that.  But it's both fair and correct to say that so far things are going extremely well and they're likely to be going well at the halfway point of this journey through schedule madness.  You couldn't ask for more.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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I'm banking on 49 wins.

I would go with fifty, but it’s such a round and meaningful number, I don’t want to jinx us.

by Bust a Bucket on Nov 16, 2008 1:29 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

49 sounds about right

id say we’ll beat the dallas mavericks out of the playoffs and become the 8th seed, losing to the Lakers in 5 games.

"im a buffet of goodness"-Channing Frye

by burritoman on Nov 16, 2008 2:05 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

im sorry....

l*kers

im still a bit new…

"im a buffet of goodness"-Channing Frye

by burritoman on Nov 16, 2008 2:05 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   2 recs

im not going to predict anything

but im loving seeing the guys play, 42 wins would be sweet, anything more than that is gravy

just watched the twolves highlights, got shivers when i saw travis and broys shots, the blazers name will be feared in the nba by the all star break, mark my words

by Yawnie on Nov 16, 2008 2:30 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

When Martell returns...

who drops out of the rotation? Does Batum go from starting to DNP-CD?

by torsoheap on Nov 16, 2008 8:34 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

probably

I didnt get to see the game last night, but Dave said that he was running under screens on an outside shooter (Mike Miller), which is sure to get you benched by McMillian. I dont see a whole lot, besides shot blocking, that Batum does better than Martell right now so I think he will be taking Nic’s minutes when he gets back. Let me also say I am really glad Batum has been playing well as it has made Martell’s injury easier to deal with and will allow Martell to fully heal while allowing Martell to come back slowly rather than logging 30min+ after a couple of full practices. Thanks Nic.

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Nov 16, 2008 9:39 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

that could be

we have a fairly small sample size of any Blazers ability to fastbreak as Nate does not like it too much. I do remember Webster being one of the few Blazers who could finish off a lob, but I only saw that play a few times in last years pre season.

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Nov 17, 2008 8:17 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Frye possibly

Nate could also give Nic some minute at SF and slide Outlaw over to PF and give him frye’s minutes plus some backup SF minutes.

by erastus25 on Nov 16, 2008 6:04 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

When Marty comes back to play

Hooray, Hooray!!

BOG will be sittin’ down
Trout will be PF bound

When Marty comes back to play
Hooray, Hooray

Elizabeth had a partner and he had a rap from the cops, Him and Lenny Suckerpunch were just out Tooling around

by Lizzy Lowblow on Nov 16, 2008 6:16 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think placing the Blazers somewhere around .500 at the end of December is fairly conservative, as long as we stay healthy that is. I agree with you 100% that we can’t look down the schedule and pencil in wins against the likes of OKC and Minnesota, but we also can’t look down the schedule and pencil in losses to the likes of Boston and NO.

This team is young, yes, but we have far more tools at our disposal this year than we did last, and more importantly a hunger to win I haven’t seen on the Blazers for a long long time.

Like I said, I think .500 is a bit conservative a guesstimate for the end of Dec. So, with the powers of my amateur basketball BSery and feigned skills of clairvoyance, say they will be closer to a 17-12 mark at the end of Dec.

by eyeotiger on Nov 16, 2008 3:20 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Agreed

Also, I think the Blazers may well have gelled enough by playoff time to knock someone off. Wouldn’t that qualify as “making noise in the playoffs?”

Granted, the Blazers may well end up the 8th seed and have to play the Lakers. In that case, the “noise” may be more whimper than bang. But not to worry; long term, I like the Blazers’ chances vs the Lakers. Just think of that first Oden block vs Bynum. That was a portent of things to come…

"We don't back down to nobody." --Joel Przybilla

by hurryup09 on Nov 16, 2008 3:59 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

In the archives

Dave had a really nice post about why the Blazers will probably not excel in the playoffs and it was bases off of us only being able to execute our plan A, which will be defended, and we will have to go to backup plans that we probably wont be able to execute as well. Hopefully we get to the second round, but it will be awesome if we make the playoffs this year.

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Nov 16, 2008 9:42 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I likey

17-12 looks good to me as well.

quid Latine dictum sit, altum viditur

by dvcastle on Nov 16, 2008 8:20 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think you're right to be so cautious about predictions

The Blazers can just as easily do well during this tough schedule as they can suffer a let-down and play poorly during an easy part. Veteran teams can also foil the Blazers’ game and fluster them—they’re still young and not comfortable with all dimensions of the game. One question each night will be: will the Blazers’ youth and athleticism serve or harm them? Oh yeah, and how healthy physically are they?

That being said, they look so long and quick once defenders penetrate into the paint. If the shots are falling, they look unbeatable; when they don’t, they look for an answer somewhere. And whether they win or not, it is delightful to watch Oden healthy. I don’t care how many of those hook shots he misses or even if by taking too many he loses a couple of games; I just want him to get good doing that so that he becomes a threat in game situations. He is already passing and playing team basketball so well. What a treat.

Schonely got a raw deal. NO ONE gives Schonely a raw deal.

by OhOhOden on Nov 16, 2008 4:34 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

UNDEFEATED AT HOME

sweep sweeep sweep sweep Champions!

The Faith don't panic, the faith freaks out burns out farms and torchs small villages in the name of The Faith.

by faith on Nov 16, 2008 5:27 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Money quote
we’re not ready to actually make noise in the playoffs yet

Nobody will be until, oh, say April or so.

But come April, everyone will want to be seeded on the other side of the bracket from us.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 16, 2008 6:50 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, I know "make noise" is an undefined term, but I'm going to disagree with Dave on that point...

The Hornets weren’t ready to “make noise” in the playoffs last year. And what happened? They didn’t make the finals, or even the conference finals, but at the very least they made some noise.

I see similar things from the Blazers this year. Are they a top flight contender to make the finals or win it all? No. Not yet. So if you’re saying that to “make noise” means make a run somewhere in the vicinity of a title, I agree. The Blazers probably aren’t ready to do that.

But they can do something like what the Hornets did last year. Win a series, make a serious run in the second round, and who knows…

I’m thinking the rest of the league will consider that plenty noisy.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 16, 2008 12:40 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Well

what Dave said is we aren’t ready to make noise yet, and we aren’t likely to be ready to by the end of the year.

That’s not saying we can’t be like the Hornets, he’s saying we aren’t there yet, and he doesn’t expect us to be.

I’d say we can be, and we might be, but we might just flop and get swept, too. That kind of stuff happens to young teams. But we also might just win on pure talent, because we have more than anyone.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 16, 2008 11:44 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

GS wanted to last year

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 16, 2008 11:41 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The good news and the bad news

The good news: Last year’s Blazers could do what you’re talking about, Dave. With Oden + Rudy, and with Outlaw covering for James Jones, this year’s Blazers should do better.

The bad news: We’re still in a nailbiter every night. We could mess it up.

by Kaboomm on Nov 16, 2008 7:17 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Blazers can make noise this year in the playoffs

The Blazers will make the playoffs and it all depends who they draw in the 1st round.. I don’t think they can beat L.A. but the west is getting older and older. I’d feel okay with anybody but L.A.

by JRRIDER on Nov 16, 2008 7:42 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Actually

the Blazers might end up having more than a puncher’s chance aginst LA in a short series.

It’s reeaaaal early, I know, but even the Laker-besotted LA sports commentariat have evinced some concern that their heroes may have been somewhat exposed at the hands of the Pistons the other night. In their win, the Pistons took advantage of the same Achilles Heel that doomed the Lakers against the Celts in the finals – a squishy soft interior D. Detroit kept pounding the ball inside against Pau and Bynum who looked as if they were helpless to stop them. Hell, even the much maligned Kwame Brown(!) ended up posting a double double.

Now, Pau has always been – and will continue to be – soft as a baby’s bottom. Bynum is still young and could well end up being the rugged interior presence upon whom the Laker faithful have pinned their title hopes. However, in the season opener, Bynum did appear to shrink considerably after being rejected by Oden. Despite the blowout, Bynum never really was much of a factor for the rest of that game, even after Oden’s departure. It was as if Oden came in and told Bynum “I may only have been in the league for three minutes, but I’m the Alpha Dog here;” a point that Bynum appeared more than willing to concede.

I’m guessing that as the Blazers continue to coalesce around Oden’s interior presence, they could wind up being precisely the team the Lakers do not want to face in the first round. Yes, there is a lot of basketball left to be played but, hey, if the NBA punditry were ready to declare the Lakers champs after winning their first seven games against opponents with a combined .375 win percentage, then I’ll continue to stand by my preseason prediction that this year’s Lakers will prove to be the NBA’s version of the Dallas Cowboys.

by knickfan on Nov 16, 2008 8:59 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

.375? Really?

I didn’t know that. That is antithesis of how our schedule was constructed. Intersting

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 9:26 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That number is largely a funtion

of their having played the Clippers (1-8) twice and Dallas (2-7) once. So some might argue that it is a bit misleading. Nonetheless, I remain far from sold on the supposed invincibility of this year’s Lakers squad.

by knickfan on Nov 16, 2008 9:45 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nice post, but it seems

like Oden was saying he was anything but an alpha dog in his first game. It seems like we just beginning to see what he can do, but I still have yet to see him assert himself. Granted my sample size is small with only a few games and his one year of college to go on, but he just doesent seem like a naturally dominating personality.

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Nov 16, 2008 9:47 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Oden may not have said it

but that block of his spoke volumes. And it looked like Bynum heard it, loud and clear.

by knickfan on Nov 16, 2008 9:50 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

agree to disagree

good to see you posting again knickfan. BTW I was getting some dinner the other night and they guy behind the counter was wearing some PTB gear so I got really excited and asked him if he was a fan. He replied that he was knicks fan. I didnt know what to do at this point, but just politely paid my money and grabbed my food. My question is, is it common for Knicks fans to be so enamored with the Blazers?

Life is exhausting when you are this stupid.

by jonestr on Nov 16, 2008 10:21 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

.................... It was last year.

"Sergio is clearly the MJ of 3rd string point guards!" —Mortimer Pritchard

by timbo on Nov 16, 2008 10:25 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Anyone else worried about a rookie slump?

Rudy I’m not so worried about.

Batum and Oden… well, if Webster gets back, I worry a bit about a rookie wall with Oden but not so much with Batum.

For that matter, I’m worried a bit about Sergio. The last few games he’s become an important part of the team… can he last all through winter? I seem to recall his shot flattens its trajectory incrementally with each game. It’s already looking a bit flat this fall.

One nice thing about all this depth on the team is that it helps ease my personal worries about a rookie wall (thanks KP!) but I still worry.

All my playoff expectations are going to be temepered by my unreasoning fear of January and February.

Buck Williams for the hall of fame

by Phizbin on Nov 16, 2008 7:53 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

(raises hand)

I worry about it too, and I think it’s gonna hit Rudy as well as the other guys. Luckily Martell’s coming back at a good time.

by Corvid on Nov 16, 2008 11:18 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I seem to recall his shot flattens its trajectory incrementally with each game. It’s already looking a bit flat this fall.

Sergio’s shot has gone from arching in game 1 and 2, to flat, to more arching again in the last few games (not coincidentally, he’s made three 3-pointers in two games).

I think his arch will stay up more if he works with the shooting coach throughout the season. It looks like they’re trying to cement changes in his shooting stroke. Even if he’s not shooting like Rudy, any improvement is good improvement.

by Timmay! on Nov 16, 2008 2:13 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I hope you're right

Buck Williams for the hall of fame

by Phizbin on Nov 17, 2008 3:30 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Cure for rookie slump

Depth.

None of the rookies has to play long minutes. Batum won’t get many if we stay healthy at SF. Oden isn’t likely to average a lot of minutes, and he’s a different case, anyway.

Rookie slump usually hits guys who come into the season in shape, and get mentally worn down by a longer season than they are used to playing.

Right now, Oden is kind of like the guy who got a little out of shape over the summer, and is trying to play back into condition. He can’t go long and hard yet. He’s like a high/school college player in September.

His December this year will be like the college player’s October, January will be like training camp, and then he’ll have a 3-4 month season, just like he had in high school and college. About the time a lot of rookies start to burn out will be about the time Greg is rounding into shape and gearing up.

I don’t worry about the rookie wall with Greg. I just worry about him getting himself into shape without pushing too hard and injuring himself again in some way. And I shouldn’t worry, because they’ll be watching that closely.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 16, 2008 11:52 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

think big - go big

12-6 at the end of Nov.

21 -11 at the end of Dec.

by rburg on Nov 16, 2008 9:15 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

That's almost championship quality right there

No champion in the NBA has ever reached 20 losses before they’ve reached 40 wins, which is a .667 win record 60 games into the season.

21-11 is a .656.

by JordanLeDoux on Nov 16, 2008 11:43 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hmm

Not true.

Portland Trailblazers 1976-77 NBA champions, lost their 20th game in game 55 (record 35-20), didn’t win their 40th until game 69 (40-29).

http://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/POR/1977_games.html

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 16, 2008 11:57 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Really, going into the season I think a lot of us suspected we'd be sitting 2-8 or 3-7 at this point....

……………………………….. Things feel very different this year than they did last year, and it doesn’t really have anything to do with Oden. The team is hitting another gear (while at the same time teams like Dallas and San Antonio are coming back to earth…).

The window is now open.

"Sergio is clearly the MJ of 3rd string point guards!" —Mortimer Pritchard

by timbo on Nov 16, 2008 10:10 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Exactly

I am quite pleased so far…..especially since we have season tix. Because that means we get 1st dibs on playoff tix (if there are any).

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 10:27 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Things feel very different this year than they did last year

Games 1 and 2 felt exactly the same.

And then out of nowhere, the team seemed to gel. Their course is looking very different from last year, you’re right. Even without a major offensive overhaul (but less useless pick/rolls, thanks Nate!), they look more confident.

To quote Tom Petty, the future is indeed wide open.

by Timmay! on Nov 16, 2008 2:15 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I also think the window's open.

I agree with Timbo. Now granted, I believe the Spurs will show up in playoffs as long as they’re healthy. However, Dallas and Phoenix are both another year older and another step slower, Houston must stay healthy to make a run, and taking Orlando at home without Oden seems a fair measure of our abilities vs. other playoff teams. We have gotten better. We’re a year older, and Fernandez and Oden give us more weapons. Question is, other than LA with the return of Bynum, did any of the other playoff teams actually “get better?”

We may just surprise some people. In fact, if we stay healthy – I’d bet on it. Of course, it would have to be Dave’s house – not mine. But I’d still bet.

by Eben Calder on Nov 16, 2008 10:28 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A few teams

Houston got better with Artest (kinda a no brainer)
Don’t over look NO picking up Posey, he won the game for them against us
And I think Denver just got better with their trade

"Sometimes I catch myself watching him and he's shooting floaters all-net. And just to watch how he's talking trash. I loved it. I loved every minute of it. Rudy's a competitor." - Brandon Roy

by Trail Ducker on Nov 16, 2008 10:39 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Can we just play 82 games at the rose garden?

"Sometimes I catch myself watching him and he's shooting floaters all-net. And just to watch how he's talking trash. I loved it. I loved every minute of it. Rudy's a competitor." - Brandon Roy

by Trail Ducker on Nov 16, 2008 10:35 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The 3 road wins are huge

The Blazers, I’m confident, will continue to be a very good home team. So, if they can go ~.500 on the road, they could get to 50 wins. I don’t think they’ll quite make either of those goals, but its possible.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Nov 16, 2008 10:45 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I bet if we go .500 on the road

and win at home at the same rate as last year…..we will be at 50 wins almost exactly

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 11:06 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If we do that ...

… then we’ll beat out Utah for top of our division.

quid Latine dictum sit, altum viditur

by dvcastle on Nov 16, 2008 12:13 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

you are correct sir

Last year we won 28 home games. So, 20-21or 21-20 on the road would put us at 48 or 49 wins.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Nov 16, 2008 2:15 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Last year

we couldn’t beat either Houston or San Antonio at home. This year, we’ve got two wins in that category already.

Stolen wins, maybe, and maybe not repeatable. But add a couple bonus wins and we get 30, even if we’re no better than last year.

We’re better than last year, though. Look for 32-33 home wins this year, perhaps as many as 35. There are few teams that should beat us in Portland. We’ll lose some we shouldn’t, undoubtedly.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Nov 17, 2008 12:01 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yeah...

… but we did beat the Lakers and Jazz twice each at home, which I don’t imagine will happen again. I could see the Blazers 30 home wins… but not 33… and there’s no way we’re going 35-6.

Boomshakalaka

by jksnake99 on Nov 17, 2008 8:40 AM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

"Prediction is very hard,

                                            particularly about the future."
                                                        —Yogi Berra, American philosopher.

But no one will remember what we predict now, anyway, unless we’re Dave or Ben, so why no let predictions fall like leaves from our November trees. It’s fun. It’s easy. We’re unaccountable! Assuming no major injuries to the team, especially to Roy, here’re mine:

      * 50-52 wins
      * 6th playoff berth
      * eliminated in the second round
      * the 2009-2010 season begins with the rest of the league afraid. Very afraid.

And that’s the Truth.

by Trutherlizer on Nov 16, 2008 11:29 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The most encouraging thing...

…is that the Blazers are 6-4 after a ridiculously difficult ten game stretch – and they haven’t even come close to really putting all the pieces together.

First, of course, Martell’s been out, and he’s an important player for this team.

Second, Oden’s only begun to show glimpses of what he can do.

And third, each game it seems like one or two of Roy, LMA, Rudy, and Trout play well, but not three or four. Guys are going to have off nights (like LMA last night) but hopefully as the year progresses, those become fewer and farther in between.

That’s part of the beauty of this team – they can win without firing on all cylinders.

But when they start to do that… man, watch out.

Q: Is Greg favoring his knee?
Frye: He favors dunking on your head, that's what he favors.

by KP Corleone on Nov 16, 2008 11:54 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Excellent Point

That blinding light on the horizon is the Blazers rising.

by Trutherlizer on Nov 16, 2008 5:09 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

dave's drinking the kool-aid

I’m going to go to the O Live comments section for some more meaningful analysis.

har har har

by 50backflips on Nov 16, 2008 12:35 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's fine to be conservative but....

 Looking at how they have handled the veteran teams so far i think the 21-11 range is attainable. Roy has stepped up to a new level yet again. This is of course partially due to a much better supporting cast. Rudy has been well …Rudy. Oden is just scratching the surface. Look for exponential improvement during the next 20 games or so as Roy, Rudy, LMA, and Oden figure each other out! Not to mention Oden’s defensive presence.. did you see how Jefferson could barely get shot off on him!
It’s a great day to be a blazer indeed!

by Odenrising on Nov 16, 2008 1:02 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

problem i can see so far

is a lack of consistency, top notch teams will blow out crappy teams, last season and this season i have yet to see a convincing blow out from the blazers. i love the wins but we should be beating the twolves by 10, especially at home.

more convincing inside play, and less jump shooting would be nice as well. everything else seems to be going well, i doubt many teams have as many weapons as the blazers.

by Yawnie on Nov 16, 2008 1:02 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think the upper limit

for the end of November is 11-7
and for the end of the calendar year 18-14

WWKPD?

by Magnum on Nov 16, 2008 1:25 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

For What It's Worth...

(and that’s not much…)

Here’s my prediction.
October 0-2 (Ok, so we’re already +1)
November 9-7
December 7-7
January 9-5
February 7-5
March 8-8
April 5-3.

Season: 45-37.
Which should be good enough for a playoff seed. Probably an 8 and the L*kers, which will be an early exit. But if we can get a 7 and draw Utah or New Orleans, we might have an outside chance at the second round.

by LicketyBrindle on Nov 16, 2008 1:39 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

If we project current winning percentage of .600

outward for the rest of the season…..we end up with a 49-33 record. And we haven’t even got to the easy part of the year yet let alone gelled as a team. Here it is

53-29……7th in the west

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 1:59 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

53 wins

gets us better than 7th in the West. Last year was an anomaly. The year before 53 wins earns us the division title and the 4th seed. Same thing the year before that. And if we don’t win the division we would just have the 5th seed.

WWKPD?

by Magnum on Nov 16, 2008 2:11 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Fine!!!

(stomps out of the room)

jk

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 2:16 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Just foolin'

Good point……giving it some more thought I have to agree with you

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 2:57 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It's early to annoint the L*ckers the 1 seed

Who knows what will happen. Sure they’re the favorites to get #1 seed, but let’s not go on and on like it’s a certainty.

by 50backflips on Nov 16, 2008 3:13 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

as far as an Oden rookie wall goes.

I think he is hitting the brunt of it right now. This guy has been so hyped to the moon and back that teams are double and triple teaming him, playing dirty and fouling him hard already.

Rudy on the other hand is probably about to hit that wall here really soon, as Ben said in the post game the scouting report is out on him, the league adjusted to him, now it is his move.

92… you think 53 wins is only going to be good enough for a 7th seed this year?… I really don’t think we are going to see W column numbers like we did last year in the west. If we do manage 53 wins I would guess a 5th seed or so…

by eyeotiger on Nov 16, 2008 2:16 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

See above

Yeh I have to agree wit ya too

"Fez, the foundation of any good relationship is three little words: I-don't-know.

What're you doing? I don't know.

What're you thinking about? I don't know.

Who's that under you? I don't know. "
-Michael Kelso

by 92wastheyear on Nov 16, 2008 2:58 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hard fouls

Didn’t Jefferson hammer on Greg last night and then start shaking his arm like he smacked a concrete barrier? Greg calmly walked to the free throw line like it was nothing.

quid Latine dictum sit, altum viditur

by dvcastle on Nov 16, 2008 3:33 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

So I get into town...

after being cut off from civilization for 9 days and see Oden’s coming off of the bench (for now), Batum is still starting - and they had a winning road record!

I love it when two things I lobbied hard for came to fruition and the results are positive. Make me feel special in my own insignificant way :).

when i get sad, i stop being sad & become awesome again. true story.

by Net Ranger on Nov 16, 2008 2:34 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

seems to have worked!

i think everyone has been pleasantly surprised so far, hopefully the good results will continue

by Yawnie on Nov 16, 2008 3:05 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We should really be atleast #6 in west

Think about it.. We have all these guys
Roy (Teams envy him)
Aldridge (Gifted scorer. Very effective majority of the time)
Oden ( There is no way he is not top 10 Center even at this point)
Fernandez ( He’s Pass He’s Assist. Nothing else needed)
Outlaw (He will do atleast something good off the bench)

Most teams have no more than 2-3 guys that are even descent.

"All our holes," says shooting guard Brandon Roy, a surprise All-Star last year in his second season, "are holes that Greg is going to plug."

by bowdown on Nov 16, 2008 3:33 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Nothings changed . . .

    55-27 & building when the playoffs arrive.
GO BLAZERS !!!

It's GO time !

by walkoff41 on Nov 16, 2008 3:51 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'll stick to my 46 Win Projection

So far so good in the close games, but these things tend to even out. I’m still concerned about our PG rotation and SF play. I don’t trust the defense to carry the Blazers to a 50 win season this year. Outside shooting is not a good strategy in the long run, the defense has to win some games when the shots aren’t falling. I would like to see Oden play 30+ minutes, but fouls will probably be an issue most the season due to bad perimeter defense. Roy and Oden will power the Blazers to 46 wins.

BINGO, BANGO, BONGO

by blzrfan on Nov 16, 2008 4:24 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

don't sandbag us blzrfan

you’re like the guy who shows up to the club championship with a 30 handicap and shots 5 over par.

unless you’re a Hornets fan during hurricane season, there is no need for sandbagging.

by Bust a Bucket on Nov 16, 2008 5:04 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yes!

I begin to think the Blazers have what it takes to have a winning season this year. A lot of things have to go right for them in terms of playing together, but looking at the schedule, 45-46 wins seems totally doable.

by Blazin' on Nov 16, 2008 5:00 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

DaVe this is borderline flag worthy

what you tryna do? jinx us?

Just for the record if we lose on Tuesday expect an inflamatory email from me.
;-)

Sophia

"Feminism encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcreaft, destroy capitalism, and become lesbians. [speech at GOP Presidential Convention 1992] Rev. Pat Robertson

by BlazerFan1 on Nov 16, 2008 10:26 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

LOL

Well I picked a pretty safe minimum of three more wins this month. Hopefully that isn’t too much of a jinx.

—Dave

by Dave on Nov 16, 2008 11:34 PM PST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

can’t wait for martell to return. hope everyone stays healthy — want to see what we are capable of at all cylinders. because we are ballin right now.

honor terry porter

by Ben. on Nov 16, 2008 10:50 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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