Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Terry Collins, David Wright, And The Mets/Brewers Kerfuffle

Blazers 2008-09 Season Predictions

Now that the preseason is over, and Dave has done his final Preview of the team, it is time for us all to put down our Final, (meaning you can't change them anymore!) season predictions for the team. As Dave's said in his post, these are meaningless, however I feel they are very fun to try and get right! So first here is some information, (stats!) to help everyone decide on their predictions.

Preseason stat link: http://www.nba.com/blazers/stats/

Using these stats, as well as last season stats for a minutes baseline, I have run the numbers to show what each players season would look like if he simply played like he did in the preseason. (Yes I know this is not perfectly reliable, but it is just meant as some info to help everyone with their predictions, don't take it as the bible).

Stat:     Min      PTS     AST     REB     STL     BLK    TO       FG%    3PT% FT%

Blake   29.9     10.8     5.2       1.5       2.2       0          .7         48        36        67

ROY    37.7     22.2     5.0       2.7       2.7       0          2.0       60        64        56

Batum  15.0     5.3       1.1       2.3       .6         1.0       .7         43        36        60

LMA    34.9     19.1     2.3       7.8       1.8       .8         1.0       47        0          71

Oden    30.0     14.6     1.7       9.9       .6         1.1       3.2       58        0          66

Rudy    27.2     11.1     3.7       3.1       2.4       0          3.1       46        35        100

Travis   21        8.3       .7         3.0       1.0       .9         .5         37        36        76

Frye     15        6.2       .6         3.6       0.0       .4         0          44        100      63

Joel      18        5.1       0          6.2       0.0       1.1       1.1       67        0          57

Sergio  20        5.1       5.7       1.7       1.3       0.0       2.1       38        37        50

*Web   22.6     13.0     .9         6.9       1.7       .9         .9         63        25        100

*Webster only played in 1 game so his numbers are very debateable.

Some minutes projections were based soley on what I thought a player would play, while others were just takin off of what they did last year, (like Roy's 37.7)

I think these are a possible outcome, however  few things I will change for my prediction.

 

Comment 7 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

How did webster average

.9 assists, 6.9 reb, 1.7 stl, .9 blocks, and .9 turnovers if he only played in one game?

Word.

by joelor on Oct 24, 2008 12:18 PM PDT reply actions  

Uh oh, never mind

classic case of overzealous posting.

Word.

by joelor on Oct 24, 2008 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

just to clear it up in case anyone else has the same question.

I took each players preseason stats, the did the math to adjust them based on the minutes I projected them to play in the regular season. Some played less in the preseason than they will in the regular season, (roy/oden/lma) while some played much more, (sergio/frye/etc). The minutes I decided on by taking the top 10 guys from last year, (based on minutes) adding up those minutes to get a base line. Then I did a top 10 this year, (projected, because of injury to web there are 11 players listed) put in the minutes that our returning players played last season, with some adjustments for new roles. For example I reduced Outlaws minutes from just over 27, to 21 per game, the same from Frye, and Joel. While Sergio minutes I adjust up for his new position as the main back up PG. For the rookies, I simply took what has been reported as a goal for the players, like getting Oden about 30 a game, and playing Rudy as much as possible off the bench. So that is how I came up with all those stats.

As for my predictions:
Roy 19ppg, 5.0 ast, 5.0 reb, 47FG, 40 3pt, 72% FT
Blake 6ppg, 5.0 ast, 2.0 reb, 45% FG, 38% 3pt, 75% FT
Batum 4ppg, 2.0 ast, 3.0 reb, 43% FG, 35% 3pt, 72% FT
LMA 20ppg, 2.0 ast, 8.0 reb, 48% FG 75% FT
Oden 15ppg, 1.5 ast, 11 reb, 50% FG 70% FT
Rudy 12ppg, 3.0 ast. 2.0 reb, 45% FG 38% 3pt, 85% FT
Travis 10ppg, 1.0 ast, 4.0 reb, 44% FG, 37% 3pt, 70% FT
Frye 6ppg, 1.0 ast, 5.0 reb, 45% FG, 36% 3pt, 75% FT
Joel 3ppg, .5 ast, 6.0 reb, 55% FG, 65% FT
Sergio 4ppg, 6 ast, 1.5 reb, 44% FG, 34% 3pt, 68% FT
Webster 9ppg, 1.0 ast, 5.0 reb, 45% FG, 39% 3pt, 75% FT

That adds up to the Blazers avg 99ppg with Batum, then 104 ppg when Webster comes back from injury in January.

by usmcr3049 on Oct 24, 2008 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions  

We traded him.

Sergio + Rudy = 16
Sergio + Bayless = 16
Batum 8+8=16

by amlmart1 on Oct 24, 2008 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

who did we get

I hope we got Lebron and CP3

WWKPD?
Ambassador to the Miami Heat

by Magnum on Oct 24, 2008 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

I guess I should mention

I only did the first 10 players or the 10 players who will get the most minutes, Bayless will not be one of those players in my opinion. He will be lucky to get 5-8 mins a game to start, but if he improves over the season and passes sergio, then he will take his spot. I just don’t see that happening. If you want to predict Bayless’s numbers go ahead, becuase I could be wrong about him.

by usmcr3049 on Oct 24, 2008 2:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

The ultimate coverage and analysis of the Portland Trail Blazers.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Trade Drawer: The Big 5?
Kpavatar2_small
Not 5, not 6, not 7, not EVER - Junk with Heat poll
Small
Dissecting the Champions
Kitten_small
What Happened to the Junk Junk Drawer 5 12 12
Small
Batum and Salary - a Comp

Recent FanPosts

Duck_pot_small
View from Pounding the Rock
Duck_pot_small
View from Cannis Hoopus on Batum
450px-the_thinker__rodin_small
Top Free Agents: Centers
1_small
LMA or Dirk ?
Myvydas_small
Blazers Reportedly Interested in Any Current NBA GM/AGM. Anyone.

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recommended FanShots

Quick: Stern Says Blazers Not For Sale; More GM Interviews Coming
Freeman: Blazers Want To Bring Over Joel Freeland, Victor Claver

Recent FanShots

If you liked my SABAS Arvydas Sabonis video, here's my 2nd highlight video: MAGIC vs BIRD. Songs...
Good news for Seattle?
Would Houston Do This Trade?
Schwan analyzes Dragic versus Jack
Haynes: Batum's Agent Says No Waiting For Blazers
Valencia's GM: Victor Claver Will Stay In Spain Next Season
OKC exploits Andrew Bynum’s weakness
Ben Golliver helped us out at SB Nation Studios in New York with some recap and analysis of Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semis between the Heat and Pacers. Rumor has it he'll be our point of contact for the Lakers-Thunder series as well. Thanks Ben!

Also, BE denizens, am I correct to assume you all are pulling for the Thunder in that series?
OT, but the Onion does it again...

+ New FanShot All FanShots >


Editors

Kitten_small Dave

Headshotsmall_small Ben Golliver

Lead Moderators

Getfuzzy-satchel_small Timmay!

Bucky3_small Cablinasian

Authors

Plainlc_small Storyteller

Moderators

Lamb_small T Darkstar

Small douglast

Terryporter_small prezofdeath

Small usmcr3049

Lrg_magpie_small Corvid

Wallpaper_small geoffm