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A Bay Area Blazer Fan Perspective on the Sacramento Game

Special correspondent Eric writes in with his game review from California.

This is the first time I have watched a game this pre-season, and the boys in Red, White and Black did not disappoint. I was hoping to provide a fresh point of view, but alas, I will likely reiterate much of what has already been said from previous games. Since the JQ article this Sunday, there has been much controversy regarding the state of Oden. Based on what I saw, I'm not worried at all. He may not have had the most impressive stat line, but make no mistake, he altered the game in ways the box score does not reflect, and not that my view of the game is superior to that of the casual fan, but you really have to watch him to appreciate how he impacts the game. When he starts establishing post position, the weak side defender, or in Sacto's case, their PF, would always be ready to rotate over, in essence, even before GO gets the ball, he has 1.5 guys on him. The beneficiary of this defensive tactic was LMA, and whoa, is this guy a stud or what. More on LMA later, but he's definitely a 20 pt scorer. When GO did get the ball, it was deja vu ala Shaq. The Kings sent 1-2 help defenders, the result either being a Hawes foul, or later in the game, GO was showing his passing prowess. In fact, in two sequences he received passes in the post and immediately, in flow, sent the pass out for wide open looks. He's 5-7 years ahead of Shaq in this respect. And, he's a better FT shooter than Shaq, making the Kings pay for their double-teams. Defensively, he was fine, blocking and altering shots, and on rebounds, though he did not have many defensive rebounds, that I could recall any way, the way he takes up space and occupies would-be offensive rebounders, makes it easy pickings for his teammates. I love this kid, and once he gets in game shape, he'll have an extra 2-3 inches on his vertical, meaning he'll have more swats and alterations, and he'll be able to get more dunks in traffic. I'm terrible at predictions, but I'll go with 16/9/3 for his rookie stats. 

LMA was a beast. He is truly becoming automatic from 12' - 18', and that's either facing up or with his turnaround J. One other GO note: on one play, LMA's man was half rotated toward GO, LMA cuts, Roy recognizes and hits LMA for a layup and one. Beautiful play, and no way LMA gets that with Pryz in the game. Other than his shot being automatic, the biggest improvement I see in LMA's game is his ability to absorb blows and still finish. 

Rudy will be an absolute joy to watch. Not sure how the rotations will work come regular season, but Nate absolutely has to have him on the floor for at least 30 minutes. In the small lineup with Roy and Blake, granted, he had troubles with Kevin Martin's quickness, and when they switched him to Salmons, he had problems with his strength and driving quickness, but again, there's not a lot of teams that have a pair of wing defenders to keep up with those two. Anyhow, other than the ally-oop from Sergio, what impressed me the most was his floor leadership -- the guys respect him greatly already. One nice moment for me was when a FT was being shot, and the camera flashed by Rudy and Roy talking defensive strategy (from what I could tell), the two generals were gesturing and pointing to one another, and it was great to see. The other intriguing lineup was with GO, LMA, Trout, Roy and Rudy, and the Kings announcer opined that this was the Blazers best lineup, and I can definitely see that playing out in the regular season. 

Other quick observations:  Batum will be a nice player in a year or two. His length on defense is telling, but he was schooled big time by Martin on 3 sequences in a row. He's active, and you can see how he could be a thinner version of a Jerome Kersey with his hustle plays. Blake looked his steady self. Trout is still figuring out how he fits in, but there was a sequence with him and Rudy doing some damage on consecutive plays, and that was pretty. Joel and Channing were fine, and they will be steady in their 15 minute stints. Not much more can be said of Roy other than, he's the man. Bayless did not see much action, but one play stuck out to me as to why he's not ready to be a full-time PG just yet. He got the ball from Joel, just off the left block, and started driving to the lane. Help defenders rotated over, and Rudy was wide open for a 3 (Rudy was on fire at this stage). Rudy motioned for the ball, but Bayless thought he could penetrate into the lane, hesitated a second, and then passed to Rudy, but by that time, Rudy's man recognized that other help defenders were cutting off the drive, slid back to Rudy, and was able to get a hand in his face, causing him to miss. If it were Blake, Sergio or Roy, the pass would have been made instantaneously and Rudy likely would have drained the wide open 3. 

All in all, a well controlled game by the Blazers. The Kings kept coming at them, but the Blazers were always in control. The passing was crisp, and everyone was playing unselfishly. Don't be surprised if GO also averages 2-3 assists a game, he's that good. 8 more days!!

Thanks, Eric!

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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The Bedge is on fire today

Great stuff from Dave, great stuff from Eric. Some solid analysis on things beyond the highlight reel and the stats.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Oct 21, 2008 12:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I noticed that Bayless play too

Rudy was calling for the ball for a good sec or two and Bayless totally missed him. He took a extra dribble when he shouldn’t have. This play seems to coincide with Quick’s report about Bayless being too slow with the pass to the wings. Hopefully he’s learning to become a quicker decision maker.

BINGO, BANGO, BONGO

by blzrfan on Oct 21, 2008 1:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

And when he's on the court with Roy

he can be the wing. Hopefully he’ll get a fair chunk of his limited minutes with Brandon. I think they’ll eventually make a very dynamic pair. Roy offsetting Bayless’ lack of PG skills as well as being able to defend the bigger guard.

by as11osu on Oct 21, 2008 1:47 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Roy tended to drift to the left wing in that game

Don’t know if that was the plan or it’s just his tendency.

Odenied: If you're given lemmings—make lemming-ade (Bow4Meow)

by Norsktroll on Oct 21, 2008 9:52 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

TOOOOO BAD FOR A PG.

It is very understable why he fell to pick #11. He has a PG physical body but he is not a PG yet.
Please don’t let Rudy to waste his PT when Bayless is on court. Let him play with Sergio or if Bayless has to play he can do it in the SG position.

by cbp on Oct 21, 2008 7:41 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I disagree

Rudy is a playmaker. Though I want Rudy to play with Sergio, I also want to see Rudy playing the Roy role next to Bayless sometimes, too. Bayless defends the opposing PG, and brings the ball up, but Rudy runs the offense, and Bayless moves to an off-the-ball offensive threat.

The most amazing thing about my amazing ego is I have amazingly little about which to be egotistical.
The pick and roll this year will emphasize "roll" followed by "dunk", followed by the wailings and lamentations of your women.

by jscot on Oct 22, 2008 12:29 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can't wait.. .

Bayless will be an awesome guard (shooting or point). RU-DY, ROY, & Bayless together eventually will be stellar!
We need to sign Roy, Oden, LMA, & Rudy as soon as possible and get the pieces around them! Party on Broadway here we come!
Thank you K.P.

by j-rog on Oct 21, 2008 2:12 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks Friend

Eh, howzit, brah. You get any da kine?

by tominhawaii on Oct 21, 2008 5:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Everyone wants Oden to be "The Man"

And he will be/is … but it is the group around him that makes it all work…

by LetsBlaze on Oct 21, 2008 5:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sounds to me...

That Batum had a VERY Martell type of night! So-so shooting on open shots but contributing in other ways, namely rebounding.
Nothing to be unhappy about!

I didn't mean to turn you on

by dukedee on Oct 21, 2008 7:46 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Actually I think it's just the opposite ...

When Martell’s shot was falling, his whole game was happening. He’d defend better. He’d be active on the glass and get more rebounds. However, when his shot wasn’t falling, or he didn’t get shots, Martell would tend to disappear, and he wouldn’t contribute enough in other ways.

Nic did enough to justify the fact that he should continue to get playing time, and at this point, 15 to 20 minutes seems about right.

Phil

by Philski on Oct 21, 2008 10:26 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey Eric

If you were at the game could you hear Oden yell ALL DAY! as he made the second free throw after being hacked by Mikki Moore?

by tweener on Oct 21, 2008 8:56 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bayless

I remember thinking the same thing on that play with Bayless. Thats OK he has time to develope now that Surg is playing under control.

by Goden on Oct 21, 2008 8:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

More than anything

Bayless just has to learn to trust his teammates. He undoubtedly saw Rudy there but his instinct was to take over and he didnt pass until he had no other choice. I dont think we are ever gonna see a pass first player out of Bayless, but if he turned into a even split of shoot pass I think that would be great.
My hope and comparison for Bayless is Chauncey Billups

"Why would we lie to ourselves dude?"
"Be excellent to each other."
"All we are is dust in the wind, dude."
"Strange things are afoot at the Circle K."

The Wisdom of Bill S Preston Esquire and Ted Theodore Logan

by GreatOden'sRaven on Oct 21, 2008 10:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

As for Bayless

I just wish that the team would put him in a position to succeed. So many times out there he has been asked to initiate the O and much like Jack last year, he does not do that very well.

It was not until the 4th Q when Brandon took over the playmaking duties that Jack came into his own.

Let Roy handle the rock and unleash Bayless to attack the rim which I do not think he has been given the green light to do yet. They are trying to force feed him into the PG spot and that will take a while.

My belief is that you need to put your players in positions that can accentuate their strentghs and hide their flaws and so far Bayless’ strengths have been hidden and his weaknesses have been exposed wide open.

It will come but we have to be patient.

The season cannot get here soon enough.

by SpyderRyder on Oct 21, 2008 11:36 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

It was not until the 4th Q when Brandon took over the playmaking duties that Jack came into his own.

Really? I remember Jack talking to coach mcmillan multiple times because Jack wanted to play point, NOT wing. He said he wasn’t a jump shooter—he wanted to initiate the offense.

I think Bayless is a little different in that he doesn’t mind being catch and shoot, although he’d rather dribble and pop a shot or go to the hole.

He who laughs last thinks slowest.

by prezofdeath on Oct 21, 2008 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

What he wants and what he can do are 2 different things

most of the time in the 4th Jack played off the ball while Roy was the playmaker and then Jack just drove into the lane and did the usual: got fouled or did his patented jump pass in the middle of the lane.

I also agree that Jack was not a jump shooter and was not trying to imply that Bayless does not know how to catch and shoot, but rather that he he is allowed to that more than he can drive now from what I have seen.

The season cannot get here soon enough.

by SpyderRyder on Oct 21, 2008 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with Spyder Ryder on the "wants versus does" thing with Jack

I’m pretty sure I am Jack’s greatest defender here, but even I am struck how non-self aware Jack is.
He was interviewed once last year after a game where his defense and passing were GODAWFUL, but he was something like 9-10 from the FT line, and he said, and I paraphrase: I felt really good about my passing and defense today, but I’d like to improve my free throws, I wasn’t happy about that miss. He wasn’t being sarcastic either. I think if he were more self aware, he could actually work on his weak spots, as he’d actually realize what they were. Moot point for us now, though.

by Section323 on Oct 21, 2008 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Moot point, but a good point.

You guys are spot-on.

He who laughs last thinks slowest.

by prezofdeath on Oct 21, 2008 6:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Bayless at point rested on the assumption that Sergio wasn't up to the job

since it looks like he might be a serviceable backup point, I think that changes the eqation for Bayless, assuming Sergio continues to progress.

by raoulduke on Oct 21, 2008 7:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Stuff - I'm hungry for good analysis like this in the absence of real games.

I agree with Eric’s predictions on Oden’s stat-line for the season.

I’m also on board with SpyderRyder as far as Bayless being better suited to playing the 2 in half court sets. The problem is that, like it or not, we’ve got Steve Blake as our starting PG, and he’s got the experience. And Sergio is looking good with Rudy in that second unit. I think Bayless can do big things, but we’re all going to have to be patient and see how things shake out. It’s up to Jerryd to carve out additional future minutes by making good use of the time he gets early on. That will be a big challenge.

by ajinoregon on Oct 21, 2008 6:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Greg Oden's stats (blocks)

Please stop guessing Greg Oden will block 3 shots per game. Only one player in the entire league blocked that many shots last year, and he played 35 minutes per game. For a nice reference, an elite shot blocker in the NBA, a player that has progressed pretty rapidly as a defender, Dwight Howard played 38 minutes per game last year, and he only averaged 2.1 blocks per game. 3 blocks is a possibility in the same way that 30 points is. Its always nice to shoot for the stars, but lets not put out ridiculous predictions with the hope that he’s just going come along and shatter records his rookie year.

by as11osu on Oct 21, 2008 8:17 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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