Tweener League Stats

by OregonDuckworth on Jan 15, 2008 12:16 PM PST

A few basic stats for your enjoyment:

Team Pts. Margin SOS Home/Away

POR +1.78 .511 20/17
UTA +4.82 .527 19/20
HOU +2.08 .531 16/22
GS +1.39 .518 18/20

All stats from ESPN. If you're looking for an explanation for why people still don't believe in the Blazers, these numbers are a good place to start. Based on Pythagorean expectations (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation)
the team should have about 21 wins right now instead of 23. We also have the lowest strength of schedule, and the most favorable home away split.

This essentially confirms what we already knew. We're outperforming expectations, and taking advantage of home games and a soft spot in our schedule.

These numbers should be more balanced by the time the road trip is over, so we'll have a better idea of where we stand by then.

Note: for an explanation of the Tweener league see: http://www.blazersedge.com/story/2008/1/15/02047/4220

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Comments

We are always ahead of Pythagorean expectation

Pythagoras has an East Coast Bias.

by robrun2 on Jan 15, 2008 12:56 PM PST reply actions

Pythagoras didn't know about Brandon

When you've got Brandon Roy, you win more than your share of close games, so point differential, etc., can't accurately predict your record.

by jscot on Jan 16, 2008 12:43 AM PST up reply actions

Don't know that it matters.

It's all Greek to me.

by timg56 on Jan 17, 2008 7:19 AM PST up reply actions

I would've preferred

Bubble League. Tweener brings up images of short guys or little league.

by jayseyfield on Jan 15, 2008 1:03 PM PST reply actions

I'll try not to take that as a personal insult

Tweener

by tweener on Jan 15, 2008 3:21 PM PST up reply actions

Taint

maybe we could call it the taint league. I think this could be a nice source of jokes for tominhawaii seeing that he may be running out of material.

by jonestr on Jan 15, 2008 8:58 PM PST up reply actions

Nah

I'm not running out of material, I'm just trying to diversify.

Our blog administrator could beat up your blog administrator.

by tominhawaii on Jan 15, 2008 9:05 PM PST up reply actions

lets face it

you are just like Hawaii, slowly sinking into the abyss. Soon both you and Hawaii will be shoulder deep in your own vitriolic filth.

Coincidentally, I will be throwing a party that day.

by jonestr on Jan 16, 2008 12:51 AM PST up reply actions

That's news to me

I checked Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawaii) and there is nothing about the islands sinking.

Our blog administrator could beat up your blog administrator.

by tominhawaii on Jan 16, 2008 10:58 AM PST up reply actions

water rising

island sinking

it is all the same if there is no preferred reference frame.

by jonestr on Jan 16, 2008 1:57 PM PST up reply actions

Actually,

the Hawaian chain is growing.

by timg56 on Jan 17, 2008 7:20 AM PST up reply actions

Almost Pythagorean exercice

Send
More
Money

Each letter is a number from 0 to 9, and ever that number. There is an addition.
I couldn´t understand OregonDuckworth numbers. This is my revenge.

GO BLAZERS!.

From Spain

by amlmart1 on Jan 15, 2008 1:34 PM PST reply actions

I didnt get the SOS

but it looks like it is the opponents winning percentage. This seems misleading as it does not necessarily tell you if you are beating good teams or not. In an extreme example if you play a team that has won all of its games and lose and then play a team that has won none of its games and win, and assuming that each of your opponents has played the same number of games, then your SOS is .5 and you look like you have beaten ok teams, but in reality you lost to a good team and beat a bad team, which is not that big of a deal.

by jonestr on Jan 15, 2008 1:56 PM PST up reply actions

Thanks a lot

It seems something crazy.

From Spain

by amlmart1 on Jan 15, 2008 3:02 PM PST up reply actions

Strength Of Schedule: SOS

by bfan on Jan 15, 2008 5:56 PM PST up reply actions

OK

From Spain

by amlmart1 on Jan 15, 2008 11:21 PM PST up reply actions

Question:

At one point does Denver join this group? I mean, not only are we winning the season series, but we absolutely TROUNCED them in one of those games.

They have a 19/17 home away ration, so no advantage there.

I don't know what their schedule strength is, but a cursory glance at their schedule reveals they still have games left against: Utah x4, Phoenix x3, San Antonio x2, Dallas x2, Houston x2, Toronto x2, Detroit x2, GS x2, LAL, NO, Cleveland, Orlando, and us. I'm no expert, but that doesn't sound like very much fun.

So, you've said they have 2 superstars. BFD. They're no better than us or Utah or GS right now, so doesn't that put them in this tweener group? If not, why not?

by bfan on Jan 15, 2008 1:57 PM PST reply actions

absolutely agree

until Denver proves otherwise, they are in the tweener league.

by jksnake99 on Jan 15, 2008 5:19 PM PST up reply actions

Denver

DEN +3.1 20/17 .493

A nice point differential, but with the 23rd hardest schedule in the league.

20 home games to 17 away.

Oh, and they're down 18 to the Hawks as I type this.

by bfan on Jan 15, 2008 5:53 PM PST up reply actions

Denver

It has become clear that a lot of people want Denver in the league. Apparently my unexplained arbitrary decision isn't good enough ;). I'll put them in the league when they get surpassed by three of the teams in the league, or when they fall behind two and it becomes imminently clear that they are not the team that I thought they were.

by OregonDuckworth on Jan 15, 2008 7:30 PM PST up reply actions

I think...

that if any team merits being "above" Tweener League status, it's Utah not Denver. The Jazz were in the conference finals last year, have had a road heavy schedule thus far and have a great point differential- they just had some unlucky close losses.

I think a 5 member league makes the most sense with your four plus Denver.

by jksnake99 on Jan 15, 2008 8:18 PM PST up reply actions