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Deja Blake (RE: last month's "We Want Blake" diary)

Six weeks ago I wrote a diary titled "We Want Blake."  Several people replied with doubts about Steve being a fit with our team and our finances.  And several questioned his talent.  After today's Blake article linked on TrueHoop from the Baltimore Sun (http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/basketball/bal-sp.blake12aug12,0,4108438,full.story) and his re-signing with the Blazers, it's interesting to look back and see if opinions have changed in the last six weeks.  Here's the diary I started six weeks ago.  And I'll include the same poll below.  Still want Jack or Sergio to start over Blake?  I'd like to know if opinions have changed substantially.  Does Taureen Green have a shot in hell of making this roster?

http://www.blazersedge.com/story/2007/7/2/184839/4483

Here are a few of the comments from the July diary in case you'd rather not follow the link.

------------------------------------------------

i don't think we want too many players from
our losing days. Almost all of them sucked. Blake played the season we only won 21 games, as did Pryzbilla and friends. We don't need any of those guys back. The only reason we have fond memories of these guys is because everyone else sucked and Blake may have looked good. Again, thanks to Oden, we're a team with championship aspirations within the next 3-4 years, Blake is not a pg you win championships with. I'd much rather just stick with Jack and see what happens.

Having a 3 pg lineup never works. Evidenced by the Jack, Telfair, Blake trio we had. You can really only have 2 pgs on a team, each with defined roles.

by ssa400 on Mon Jul 02, 2007 at 05:33:48 PM PDT

Steve blake
doesn't have a place here anymore.  KP said that we are building and developing players that fit in our timeline to win a championship.  JJ fits, blake doesn't.

Steve Blake is WAAAY overated, especially by Oregonians.  Because he was a mediocre defender, he became the BEST defender on the Blazers cause the rest of our guards stunk.

by BlazerBandit on Mon Jul 02, 2007 at 05:45:43 PM PDT

agreed
You want Blake is more appropriate.  While he is a fine point guard, he is nothing too special.  I like him, but I would rather see Sergio grow into the starting role eventually.

by clonigro on Mon Jul 02, 2007 at 06:05:05 PM PDT

I don't want Blake.
Why would we want to blow the mid-level exception on a player that can not play the lateral d, ie can not keep the opposing guard from driving to the basket, who is not as good as JJ and does not have the potential of Sergio?

by mrwonderfull on Mon Jul 02, 2007 at 11:48:04 PM PDT

I wouldn't have minded Blake
before the draft, but SIX point guards???  No can do.

--Dave

by Dave on Tue Jul 03, 2007 at 01:09:17 AM PDT

Poll
Who would you rather see as the starting point guard next year?
Jarrett Jack
16 votes
Steve Blake
43 votes
Sergio Rodriguez
3 votes
Taureen Green
3 votes

65 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 24 comments

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Steve Blake starting,
but having four point guards is dumb.  Getting Steve Blake only makes sense if we are trading Jarrett Jack. I am certain that was the plan, but up until now it has fallen through.  The worst case scenario for a roster is to have lots of players of similar but mediocre ability.  I'd prefer to have one actually good point guard and one bench scrub than four mediocre point guards between 21 and 27 years old.

by EnglandDan on Aug 13, 2007 2:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

even I
voted for Blake. Sergio isn't ready to start and Jack . . . well i don't even have basic faith in his ballhandling capabilities. At this point Green won't see much PT, not to mention starting.

by sergioFTW on Aug 13, 2007 3:48 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

A full roster takes time
Blake is not going to make many mistakes and provide the experience that none of our other PG's have.  We are not going to win the championship this year and it is more important that we build a team over the next 3 years than get it done now.  There will be opportunities in the future for trades and free agents to fill the areas of need.

Until then we have a group that will be acceptable for our short term goals and if one of them excels then we stay with them, if not then we have enough cap and trade bait to make a move in the future.

I would rather see them be patient than to make a marginal move now.

by lonevoiceofreason on Aug 13, 2007 3:56 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I stand by my previous read
Blake is useful and doesn't make too many mistakes, but he's also solidly average and has probably peaked. I think he'll be useful to us as a player, as well as by being a vet presence and a guy who wants to be in Portland. Maybe he'll start next year, maybe he'll come off the bench. Whether or not you think he's the best point we have right now, though, if he's still the best point guard we have two years down the road, that's a big trouble sign. This is one of the reasons that I'm not a big advocate of trading Jack just to make a trade--I don't think we should count on Steve Blake being our championship point guard of the future any more than I think we should be counting on Sergio or Koponen. That being said, I think it'll be good to have him for the two guaranteed years on his contract, as the first guard off the bench if nothing else.

by abdelnaby on Aug 13, 2007 4:12 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

good points, abdelnaby . . .
. . . though I'm obviously much more a Blake fan than you.  I think he's a very solid, true point guard who has proven his ability to score when needed, particularly in the clutch. And, barring injury, I think he could be the point guard to take Portland to the Finals in 2-4 years.  27 is getting up there, but there have been many great point guards who played at the top of their game into their mid- to late-30's.  And though I don't think he has anywhere near the talent of Steve Nash, I think he does have the same kind of skill set and the same drive/dedication/determination.  And Nash is somebody who didn't even get much respect until 5 or 6 years ago (when he was only a little younger than Blake is now).  In today's Baltimore Sun article, Blake talks about not getting respect, as well.  I feel that guys who have to keep proving themselves into/past their prime are often the most stable, confident, consistent players . . . and the exact kind you want leading you on a playoff run.

by sotis on Aug 13, 2007 4:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was against signing Blake
to be our starting PG, simply because he's a very very average pg who would be taking away minutes from Jack's development. Now that he's signed, I guess there's no point in arguing whether or not he should have been signed in the first place. I hope his role is the backup PG (which he would be good at it). There's no reason for anyone to change their opinions on teh Blake signing until the regular season starts. If he turns out to be amazing, I'd be ecstatic that I was wrong. I think he'll disappoint, or be so exceedingly average that his signing proves to be redundant.

Alot of the arguments for Blake don't make alot of sense. I've read from posters that he's "clutch". I really really do'nt know what they are referring to. He played on a 21 win team, I'm not sure what he could have done back then that was clutch. Brandon Roy is clutch, as is a bunch of other players (Kobe, Carmello, etc.) Blake is not one of them.

Another argument for Blake is that he hasn't peaked yet. And the best evidence of this is to compare his stats to Nash, and then compare ridiculous intangibles like heart and desire. Nash is one of the best point guards to ever play the game. His career arc shouldn't even be looked at, he's on his own level. We should look at all other pgs who have put up medicore numbers throughouut their career and see how they've turned out. Comparing Blake to Nash even slightly is simply amazing.

His defense is another "positive". I know that Jack isn't a good defender, but he's big and has only 2 years under his belt, and only 1 with any consistent playing time. It's severely premature to brand him as a horrible defender, if he's at the same level in 2 years, then we'd be apt in making some conclusions. I have no idea what Blake's value is as a defender, but i can't imagine him instilling fear on any PG in the league.

His jump shot is another huge perceived advantage. His 3% was slightly less than Jack last year. Jack seems to have been working extremely hard on that shot and the percentage jumped dramatically from his rookie year. I don't think it's completely inconceivable that Jack doesn't bring that 3% up a little more.

All in all, until we see the team play, there's no way we can come to any real conclusion about this signing. I'm still disappointed that Jack is going to be losing minutes and might not start. I just think we should have some sort of stability in the lineup, and Jack has had a whole season playing with 2 of our cornerstones. That cohesiveness in itself is worth something. I just hope Blakes role is to be a backup pg and occasionaly backup 2 guard.

by ssa400 on Aug 13, 2007 4:55 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

green*blake
have something sergio*jack do not have,a college championship pedigree.those 2 guys know how to win in critical situatons.the other 2 1 is boring and the other 1 needs a hi tempo system to thrive in. while green*blake playing in big spots is no big deal for those guys pyche.they're already winners in pricthard's mind.

by fatty on Aug 13, 2007 5:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

to be fair
Jack took a decidedly mediocre Ga Tech team (Luke Schenscher is the only other guy from the team to even get an NBA cup of coffee) to the championship game where they fell to the loaded Gordon/Okafor led UConn team.  He was a big time winner in college also, without the benefit of 3 lottery picks on his team.

by jksnake99 on Aug 13, 2007 7:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not to mention...
Spain won the FIBA World Championship against Greece and Sergio Rodriguez was a point guard on that squad...

All of the Blazers point guards come from winning programs, the only question is which will turn the Blazers into a winning program?

by Champs2009 on Aug 14, 2007 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

exactly
Green/Blake's college resumes should not give them a leg up on Jack or Sergio.  College careers are irrelevant.

by jksnake99 on Aug 14, 2007 10:59 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My opinion evolves.
I've been reminded by others here, appropriately, to factor into my calculus Jack's youth, lack of experience and steady improvement by posters here. So I do.

I also accept the logic here that Jack is uncertain of his role here and is insecure, like most of us, and would mostly likely excel in a space where he felt valued.

Let him start.

I think that there's an excellent chance he grows more and more among solid defenders, with starter's minutes and in a coach-assigned leadership role.

I hate Sergio's and Martell's defensive games. Their offensive abilities, let alone potential aren't particularly improtant to me without defensive competency. I say give 'em each garbage minutes until they show the ability to be solid guys on the defensive end.

This makes Blake my first backup to Jarret (Jarrett?) and Brandon playing 20 to 25 minutes a night.

In such a role, at his current cost and at his current contract length, he's a great addition.

He significantly can accelerate the development of our three young bigs with solid, consistent (relatively) mistake free play on both ends.

Here's hoping that younger Blazer guards not Named Jack learn to combine Blake's gifts with superior basketball ability and push him down the bench as they watch him and improve.

by ojala on Aug 13, 2007 8:37 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

agreed
This is pretty much exactly my own feeling: Jack is better off starting, but Blake is great as the first guard off the bench, as a presence to push the young developing guards in practice, and (as is so important to KP) as a culture guy. While I think Jack will do fine as a starter, I also agree that he is prone to slipping into a funk--in which case Blake can take more minutes without necessarily taking Jack's entire role away. Blake's contract is ideal in length--unlike similar contracts, it seems like he got a shorter deal not because we're unsure of him, but because we're unsure if any of our projects will be able to take his place. I'm not about to proclaim him as the next Steve Nash, which people seem to want to do (I thought we decided that was going to be Sergio? Or Koponen now? I can't keep up), but for the 2-3 years we have him, I think we'll be glad he's in a Blazers uniform. It's my hope, though, that when his two years are up, we've outgrown him.

As a side note, I am holding out a little hope that Martell becomes adequate on defense--you don't see Ray Allen on the All-Defense team, but he does just fine. Martell looked a little more heads-up on D during Summer League, though yes, I know, grain of salt. That being said, Sergio's defense was awful in Summer League. In Summer League, fer cryin out loud! (yes yes, grain of salt...)

by abdelnaby on Aug 13, 2007 9:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just wondering
Scenario 1:  Steve B. goes in for approximately 8 minutes first quarter, bring in JJ for the remainder of the quarter.  Should he excell for those 4 minutes, keep him another 4, bring Blake back in to give him a breather. for a Minute or two, bring blake back out.  Performance based substitution.  In all positions.  Something to think about.

by coastrider on Aug 14, 2007 1:20 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would see
KP and Nate far more competent to evaluate the worth of Steve Blake than I am. I like that they knew what they wanted and were able to sell Steve on it also. It is not unfair to realize that point guards and bigs don't reach their prime until long after most wings. There are a few exceptions (Magic, Kareem, Shaq) but the point guards who has the similar body type and career progression is Steve Nash. Remember Mark Cuban and Nellie did not want to pay Nash (he offered to give them the same deal as Phoenix was offering him) so they could sign Dampier. That was after Steve became a good point guard but before he became an MVP. It took Steve Nash 5 years before he became an All-Star. It took Nash 8 years before he became a 1st team All-NBA. I don't think we need a Steve Nash with the depth of talent already here. We do need a steady leader and distributer and it helps that we have some championship experience as well. Good players in Denver brought out the best in Blake. Great players in Portland will do even more. There is that very small chance that Steve Blake will become a Steve Nash II and that is frosting on the cake.

by lee3022 on Aug 13, 2007 10:27 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Sergio
Sergio was a big reason why the opinion changed so fast.  As soon as people decided he wasn't ready (first summer league game), Blake became important again.  

by hightide on Aug 13, 2007 11:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Not to be a mean person ...
... but I linked that same article Sunday in the diary I started below.

But thanks for bringing this back up ... because I didn't see it before and never got a chance to respond.

Blake is a young veteran, but he is STILL a veteran. Okay he started most of the year on a team that only won 21 games (2005-06), but also take into consideration who was on that team with him. This time out he'll be playing alongside the likes of Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge -- guys who have great attitudes and WANT to be in Portland. They're also good players. Not to mention what's to say that Blake hasn't grown as a player (and as a gentleman) in the year that he's been away?

That's my piece.

by soonerterp on Aug 14, 2007 1:40 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Well if you are going to quote me in the post...
I guess I should let you know my view is different then my initial reaction.  That fits a pattern with my initial reactions to the Zach Randolf trade and the Steve F. buy out.

The reasons my views can change is usually due to more complete information and better understanding of the CBA.  This leads to understanding what the Blazers are trying to accomplish with the particular move.

With the Steve Blake case the initial report was a 3 year deal but we all now know it's a 2 year deal with the Blazers option on the third. This takes care of my cap concern.

KP has been all over the media stating that he wants competition at all levels. So I now understand the motive and am cool with the signing of Blake. Although I would have preferred to use the mid-level exception to attain a player that is clearly better than a previous starter, that doesn't mean any were available or would have been a good fit.

What I don't understand
Why some fans still say that Blake's signing has to mean that they are not done yet and Jack will be traded soon. They are just not paying attention to what the Blazers are saying.

What it does mean
Parsing KP's words carefully "all levels" instead of "all positions" and looking at the off season moves, especially this one and you'll understand that in the Blazers opinion, Sergio is not competition for Jack, Green was brought in to be competition for Sergio, and that they consider these later two guys at a different level than Jack and Blake are at now. I agree.

The bottom line
The Jack and Blake competition is not just with each other and not just for this year. It's a competition with themselves to be the Blazers best  option when free agency becomes a factor for the  09-10 team.  Steve or Jack have to show they are better than anyone else available that year.   One of them, COULD make the 09 team, but not both. Both will earn too much money for one to be on the bench.  I did read the article mentioned and at this point I wouldn't bet against Blake because of his work ethic but I wouldn't bet against Jack either.  May the best man win and best of luck.

by mrwonderfull on Aug 14, 2007 2:09 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think you all know what I think of Steve Blake.
I have every confidence that Blake can run this team.  Even if he is not the most talented physically (something I believe he's underrated on), he's a heady player.  I'd rather have a PG who can make the right decisions most of the time, than one that can score 30 a game, but makes as many poor decisions as correct ones.

I also have every confidence in Jarrett Jack.  The player I think of most often when Jack's name comes up is Terry Porter.  I believe Jack has a real future in this league and I expect that to be with Portland.

Mrwonderful has what I think is a good perception of what the Blazers are thinking.  I do not see Blake's signing as an indication that Jack's days with Portland are limited.  I think it's up to him to show he's the best option and that he will get every chance to do so.  I like the idea of a three guard rotation of Blake, Roy and Jack - with each getting about 30 minutes.  That doesn't leave much for Sergio or Webster, but so what.  If they want minutes, let them earn them in practice.

by timg56 on Aug 14, 2007 7:05 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Blake will start...
and the 3 young PG's will battle it out in practice for bench play. Not to state the obvious, but Blake has the most experience and, at this point, the steadiest hand... we likely have youngsters at the starting 2, 3, 4, and 5, so it is smart to have SOME vet leadership.

I think having 4 pg's serves a purpose for us, as we don't have a premier player at that position. If someone gets injured (which will happen at some point) we have another body. If we get in foul trouble (which will happen) we have another body. If we package up a trade (which will happen) we have that third guy still.

I think JJ will be a really solid PG... at some point. Same goes with Sergio. And Green will make the roster... he has a contract.

Meanwhile, the team will hack it out and maybe a gem will rise to the surface. We have 15 roster spots, we might as well use them all, right? And it's not like we need more talented bigs, right?

by you'vegottomakeyourfreethrows on Aug 14, 2007 9:53 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

ok
Here is my quote from that post,

"not in love here...
I would only want to sign Blake if we traded JJ, no need to have both of them on the roster, it would just take time away from Sergio who needs this year to impress us and earn his spot on this roster.

by usmcr3049 on Mon Jul 02, 2007 at 04:38:53 PM PDT"

I am still in the same frame of mind.  I don't like having both jack and blake on the roster, as I feel it takes time away from sergio, and if the blazer want to see him develop they need to give him time.  

I think jack will be traded by the deadline, his value is still pretty high, much higher than steve's, imo, as he is still younger and has the potential tag still.  

Green will make the roster, I don't see us giving him a contract and then cutting him and eating it.  Granted it is a small contract by NBA terms, but still, like fatty said, he has the resume of a champion, you don't just cut those guys without giving them a chance.

by usmcr3049 on Aug 14, 2007 10:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I was a huge Blake advocate..
all off season.  My opinion has not changed at all.  He is the model point guard for this team and his experience is going to prove very, very helpful.

by myemic23 on Aug 14, 2007 11:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think that we speak dismissively of
"culture guys." I think that combined with highly talented but young stars, culture guys are hugely important. Perhaps more important that another very young and unproven future star. I think that Pryz and Blake are far more important to the mgmt than we acknowledge here.

Blake getting thirty minutes takes so much pressure off Jack. If we lose it's for not playing him enough instead of being his fault.

And we're gonna lose.

Blake guarding quicks and slashers instead of Sergio means it's Blake's fault that we lost, but it doesn't mean that Oden had four fouls in four minutes. Those extra minutes playing in our defeats is why he'll blossom in year two.

by ojala on Aug 14, 2007 10:07 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Previously...
I think I said something about Blake potentially eating babies.

I pretty much stand by my original comments.

I'd rather we'd have resigned Ime.

BLZRS FRVR

by nightbluefruit on Aug 15, 2007 2:07 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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