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Martellevision?

One of the things we talked about in the recap tonight was the up and down game of Martell Webster.  He was equal parts invisible and brilliant.  I find myself wanting him to come out and dominate in Summer League but I know it's unlikely that he'll do so.  Is that because he's not capable or is that because it's not his role?

I was talking to somebody tonight who works with one of the overseas contingents.  I asked him what, specifically, he thought of Martell.  His answer was long, but basically boiled down to you have to give the guy enough leeway to play and live with his mistakes without coming down on him if you want to see what kind of potential he has.  All the gifts are there but they don't have a chance to come out fully the way things are.  On the other hand I heard that Nate mentioned in an interview that Martell needs to accept mentoring/instruction/help better, meaning there needs to be more control and guidance, not less.

Frankly I'm not sure which is correct, or whethere each is in its own way.  So I thought I'd ask you.  Where do you come down on the Martell question and how to handle him.  Does he need a lot more rope or a little more rein?  Weigh in below.

--Dave

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Martell
It boils down to basic psychology and personality.

 Obviously for Martell to improve he needs to be able to take correction. But his past behavior shows that he really gets down on himself and lacks the confidence and moxy of a professional athlete. His personality can be hard to coach. A successful shooter in the NBA needs to have above all confidence. If they miss a shot they can't wait to take another one because they know they are going to make it. We all know that he has the body, and the shot mechanics, he just lacks the necessary mental qualities at this time.

For Martell to be successful Nate needs to spoon feed him feedback and definitely focus on the positive. Give him one or two things to focus on at a time as to not overwhelm him. Build him up and build him up so that he thinks he his the baddest shooter who ever walked the planet. Once that is accomplished his skin will most likely be a little bit thicker in regards to his weaknesses.

Should a pro coach have to handle a millionaire like this? Well, you drafted a teenager. If you want to bring out Martell the assassin you just might have to.

by jferg on Jul 6, 2007 11:28 PM PDT reply actions  

I think you're right
Whatever approach works, I hope they use it. I like Martell.

by jamon51 on Jul 6, 2007 11:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Me too
the psychology makes total sense, all about personality types.  Martell needs love and encouragement above all else.  A task or two at a time seems like a good approach to not overwhelm and build confidence.

by drawingjeremy on Jul 7, 2007 1:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

Great post...
I was going to say the same thing about positive reinforcment, but you said it better than I could've...nice work.  

by JasonT on Jul 7, 2007 5:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

THAT'S
Pretty much what i was going to say.

Web needs positive reinforcement and freedom to play and make mistakes.  Nate is too much the drill sergeant and eventually that's going to hurt us if he can't learn to change/grow as the team does.  It hurts webster because of his personality.

Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard.

by ratbastird on Jul 7, 2007 5:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

Second Round Steal??
I am not a big Duke Fan, but McRoberts might be a second round steal.  I was reading this blog
http://www.newsfromnosebleeds.blogspot.com

Very interesting, its a must read if you are a Blazers fan

by Courtside on Jul 8, 2007 11:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

Martell
I don't think he is capable of dominating summer league.  I would like to see him be more automatic on kickouts (missed a couple of open looks before he started hitting impossible fadeaways).  I would also like to see him get a kickout, let a defender run by him as they challenge the shot and pull up for a midrange jumper.  In the next game I'd like to see him score about 15 points on a good percentage as he takes advantage of double teams.

by jksnake99 on Jul 6, 2007 11:29 PM PDT reply actions  

It depends (much like the question)
Is he not taking direction about his defense, or is he dying to be aggressive on offense but has no rope (and so he falls into a lull).  

Martell seems to be virtually the same player now that he was when he was drafted.  That tells me that he hasn't addressed his weaknesses and in the association your weaknesses need to be minimized.  If that is the case then Nate is right and Martell is to blame for his own stunted growth.

If on the other hand Martell is able to just roll offensively and drop 20 a night with 3 turnovers and Nate sits him or pulls him from the offense because of the 3 turnovers then Nate is probably the man to blame.  

My gut tells me that the truth is somewhere in between but leaning toward the former.  I think Martell gets discouraged when he does something poorly and hasn't the patience to struggle through something he isn't good at, so he goes back to shooting jumpers.  Another possibility is that his pride is resembling the Goodyear blimp and he doesn't like needing to take direction, so he doesn't.  If it is his communication skills that are killing him, being only 20 can't help.  

I hope something clicks with him this year, because he CAN play, I just don't know if he will figure that out.

I got my front court aLaMOde!!

by shenanigans on Jul 6, 2007 11:36 PM PDT reply actions  

I think it's on Martell
because this is not his team.  It's Nate's team.  And as long as Nate has Paul Allen and Kevin Pritchard behind him, it doesn't really matter who's right.  I'm pretty sure there have been players that Jerry Sloan has placed at the end of the bench for little to no reason, and Nate has in the past openly talked about emulating Sloan to some degree.  The key thing is to figure out that hey, it's not working, and to trade Martell, or find some way to make him work.  The Blazers have been slow and patient with this process of figuring out what to do with him.

But it is Martell's fault because if Nate can maximize Zach "no defense" Randolph, that means he is willing to compromise if a player shows skills.  Martell has to help Nate help himself

by ranma on Jul 7, 2007 12:02 AM PDT reply actions  

I think he's destined
to be a star on another team. I just don't think he fits in our team.

by jayseyfield on Jul 7, 2007 12:25 AM PDT reply actions  

you might be right
The majority of Blazer fans may never forgive Martell for being the guy that was drafted instead of C. Paul or D. Williams. He may need to escape the long shadow of that history before he can relax enough to play his best ball.

by knickfan on Jul 7, 2007 12:30 AM PDT up reply actions  

agreed
And I wouldn't be upset because it hasn't worked out here at all, and tonight, after the 3rd quarter, I wanted him out of the game. He was ugly. Then he had that nice little 5 minute run.
Welcome Greg Oden

by junit3123 @ Blazer's Edge on Jul 7, 2007 1:21 AM PDT up reply actions  

re: martell
I don't think the "majority of Blazer fans" are really aware of how Martell's being drafted effected who we could or could not have drafted a couple of years back. Perhaps us guys on the forums can, but your average ticket holder might not even know who Chris Paul or Deron Williams is! Martell's problems seem entirely related to confidence -- I've seen him play in practice and his shot is effortless, smooth, and effective. But as soon as he gets in front of a crowd in a game-situation his shot falls apart -- and Martell's entire game is his shot. How much do you leverage on a guy like that? I'm relatively sure Martell had an absolutely incredible summer league last year, scoring out his ears. But what can a pure shooter, who can't do a great deal less in an NBA situation , give to a franchise going in the direction ours seems to be going in?

by Clay on Jul 7, 2007 5:25 AM PDT up reply actions  

It's not rope OR rein than he needs
I am SO glad to read the above comments, echoes of what I have been saying for months.  I don't think I ever said "positive reinforcement" but it was my underlying intent.  I think I emphasized more what I thought Martell needed to do (gain confidence, not get down on himself, get a pro to help with these), not what the coaches needed to do.  I think I was operating under ranma's observation that it is Nate's team and Martell needed to adjust to him, not vice-versa.  But if the Blazers (and I'm thinking beyond Nate) still think Martell is special, then Nate needs to adapt somewhat too.  I think his "Sarge" persona of the first year put a big boulder in Martell's path and Martell literally has to "get over it."

Additional rope or additional rein will yield the same results : frustrated player, frustrated coach, frustrated fans.

I think Martell needs to be seeing a sports psychologist and Nate needs to be coached on how to get the best from this fragile ego.  Or Martell needs to be traded to Houston or another team with a kinder & gentler coach.

by jorga on Jul 7, 2007 6:40 AM PDT reply actions  

The B-Roy effect
Last year I kept thinking the Brandon Roy hype was killing Martell's confidence.  Martell was looking forward to having a breakout year, and B-Roy got a bunch of his playing time.  Here are a couple telling answers to questions from Charlie Bury of Draft Express:

http://www.draftexpress.com/viewarticle.php?a=2104

Charlie Bury: Last year the Blazers drafted Brandon Roy. Did you feel at all like you were being passed over before you got a chance to come into your own?

Martell Webster: Definitely you feel that, but I see it as my time to prove to the coaches and the organization that I'm ready for that position. I'm not just thinking that because I'm putting in work, they're going to give it to me, but I have to prove it when I go down there to summer league that I'm definitely ready to take this position. They drafted Brandon and, yes he's a great player, but he's a combo guard. He can play point guard, two guard and the 3. I'm more of a 2-3. He's a great addition to our team; he's a franchise player. I'm just really focused on getting a spot in helping out this team and contributing to this organization.

...

Charlie Bury: Well it had to be amazing coming in at only 18 playing against those guys. What was it like being so young playing a grown man's game?

Martell Webster: It's not really tough physically, but mentally...it definitely takes a toll. Because you want to do right all the time, but you have to realize that you're coming out of high school and not everybody gets it, not everybody is LeBron James. You have to take your time and just have fun and experience the life. Once you get those two years under your belt, that's when you begin to take it serious. Knowing what you have to do during the off-season, taking care of yourself, eating right. All those things fall into place and that's when it becomes very serious, but then at the same time you're still having fun. So that's very important to me.

by dgb on Jul 7, 2007 7:17 AM PDT reply actions  

Somebody needs to get him good and mad
Because he plays like a weeny right now.  He shows some rare bursts of fire, he needs more of those.  He should be dominating this summer league - there's no excuse for anything less.

by leeroyjenkins on Jul 7, 2007 7:59 AM PDT reply actions  

Game
We may be overanalyzing Martell here.  From what I've seen, he lacks the physical tools to get free of his man.  He's a pretty good leaper, but isn't athletic in the sense of being able to wind through picks and change direction.  He doesn't have the threat of a drive to create that little extra space or twinge of doubt in his defender.  He's locked-up before he even catches the ball.

Beyond this, Martell isn't off his nut the way great shooters seem to be.  A great shooter is surprised when they look at the boxscore and see 4-15.  Martell isn't.

by Engineering Problem on Jul 7, 2007 8:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Agree
I completely agree. I am a bit of an outsider and Webster looks like a below average athlete, for the NBA. I am not so concerned with his lack of intensity, but in his lack of speed and ball-handling skills, especially for a player of his height. He should very little ability to create his own shot and could not defend Boston's guards. Best case scenario is that turns into a Glenn Rice type of SF... and that's not all that special.    

by PoliSam on Jul 7, 2007 4:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

I personally
think corn rows would solve all of Martell's problems.
Greg Oden Rap

by JTDuck22 on Jul 7, 2007 9:03 AM PDT reply actions  

Yeah!
And if Nate would just let him wear a headband with corn rows...

by tssbro on Jul 7, 2007 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

He just needs to grow up
I read that interview a while ago and seeing it again reminds me he is a kid.  It sounds like for two years he has been star struck as he roams around the court.  He is just happy to be out there running around with the guys he grew up wanting to be like.

I think Leeroy is right.  He needs a reason to play whether it is anger or a drive to be the best or something.  

I have defended him quite a bit on this website but I do think this should be his last year to step up as a Blazer.  Maybe even before the trade deadline.  A trade out of the NW might get him focused on improving his game and proving the Blazers wrong.

by tssbro on Jul 7, 2007 9:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Sorry...
"that interview" is the Charlie Bury interview with Martell mentioned (and linked) in dgb's post in this thread.  It is a revealing interview if you have not read it yet.

by tssbro on Jul 7, 2007 10:09 AM PDT up reply actions  

My friends are generally split
on opinions of whether or not he is a bust.  And I am of course right in the middle.  He never has seemed to have the killer instinct that a deadly shooter has, but maybe he will develop it?  He's still young but in my mind he had plenty of chances last year with Roy out and I can't remember more than about two games that I was anything more than briefly impressed with his game or fire.

Honestly I think that the first 2 months of this next season will be telling.  

by beav on Jul 7, 2007 9:54 AM PDT reply actions  

Euros incoming
This is the time for Martell to make his mark.  If, as planned, Rudy F comes over from Spain and plays close to what he has shown abroad, Martell's future as a Blazer is in serious jeopardy, particularly if the Blazers plan on keeping shooters like Ime and Jame Jones on the roster, who can also contribute to the team in other ways.

Personally, I won't be surprised or disappointed to see him in a packaged deal for another player.  He needs playing time and confidence, and that's going to be tough to get on a loaded Blazer roster, particularly when the Euros start coming over.

I personally think he is not a good fit for this team right now and it seems logical to split ties with him while he still has some trade value.

by VegasNed on Jul 7, 2007 10:09 AM PDT reply actions  

Dale Ellis
The best outcome for Martell would be to turn into Ellis, whose jump shot was so smooth and reliable that he made up for his lack of pure athleticism. He had his break-out season with the Sonics in his age 26 season after spending three so-so years with Dallas. (He played here in college at the old Far West Classic, may it rest in peace, and was an incredible shooter.)

http://basketball-reference.com/players/e/ellisda01.
html

Ellis was very intense on the court. That's what Martell hasn't learned,it seems, and that's what nearly all young guys have to learn -- the advantage Boston had last night (on the boards, fewer turnovers, tougher defense) had to do with intensity level.

Are the Blazers willing to keep Martell around, hoping he will blossom when he's 26? I don't think there's a button for Sarge to push now. I bet he's already tried ALL the buttons he could find. Play him the minutes he deserves to play -- that's really the most important thing you can do.

by barryj on Jul 7, 2007 10:19 AM PDT reply actions  

Let him just play
Why did Roy play so well last year?  I was able to play HIS game, not what the team tried to mold him into.  If they want to see Martell be great let him play the way he knows how.
I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jul 7, 2007 10:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Martell's struggles
I have a soft spot for shooters, and I think that's led me to cut Martell a lot of slack these past two seasons.  The problem - as several others have noted - is that he hasn't really improved since he was drafted.  This is especially evident on the mental side of the game.  Maybe Nate killed his confidence by frequently yanking him after poor defensive possessions; maybe he feels overshadowed by Roy; or maybe he just has an excess of black bile leading him to take on melancholy humors.  I really don't know.  But what I've noticed in watching him play is that he doesn't know what to do with himself when he's out there.  It reminds me of the way Travis struggled before last season: missed defensive rotations, confusion on offense, extended periods of listlessness.  The common link between the two is that both were drafted out of high school.  If Martell had gone to college for a couple of seasons, I think he would have found a way to minimize his weaknesses by now.  As it is, though, he's a pro and needs to show it (after all, the Blazers offer more coaching and opportunities for improvement than any college program would).  He's had two years to just go out and "have fun" (his words); now is the time to "get serious" (").  I still get the urge to blame his problems on youth, inexperience, and inadequate playing time, but eventually, players with skills need to show those skills in games.  Martell's a shooter.  When he gets shots, he has to knock them down, and this year he figures to get plenty of open looks.  If he can't produce in such a favorable situation, we might as well open up a roster spot for Fernandez and see what the Spaniard can offer (as VegasNed suggested).  I like Martell a lot, but it sounds like he's been a poor student of the game since he's been here.  It was much easier to defend him when I thought he was working hard to improve.

When Portland drafted him, I was sure Martell could turn himself into the next Ray Allen.  Now I just hope he can at least be another Wesley Person.  Ouch.

by SabonisFan3386 on Jul 7, 2007 11:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Fernandez
I don't think he is available until next year.  He still is under contract in Europe so Martell has at least this year to get it together.  

I don't think he needs to have a stellar year to deserve more time either.  Just show he is getting better and contributing more consistently.

by tssbro on Jul 7, 2007 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Who wouldnt
feel overshadowed by Roy? I think that it is more of feeling left out with all the talk of the young "core" and his name not being mentioned in it.
Greg Oden Rap

by JTDuck22 on Jul 7, 2007 6:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

Patience is the key with Web just like the others
I'll admit it, i havn't watched a bunch of Martell's play because I've been in Alabama and Blazer broadcasts aren't very common around here.  If you look at his stats at www.basketball-reference.com, and you compare him to other preps-to-pro wing players, he's not off pace of becoming a legit player.  Look at Rashard or T-Mac's second year....if you look at statlines, Web isn't all that far off at all.  I do understand that the main concern by most of the fans in this forum is how Web looks when he plays and his lack of confidence and defense, not his statline.  I have no idea of what type of defense T-mac or Rashard played, but its something that can be learned and developed right?

To date, the only prep-to-pro wings that have made imediate impacts were Kobe and Lebron.  T-Mac and Rashard had marginal 1st & 2nd years, but they clearly blossomed in years 3 and 4.  Lastly, look at Stephen Jackson's prep-to-pro career, he didn't even break into the league until 4 years after he was drafted out of highschool.  He than went on to be the 3rd leading scorer in the playoffs for the championship Spurs.  I know Stephen isn't a player we want Web to emulate, but my point is that it takes time and patience, and when you draft someone at 18 like Web, its almost like your drafting them for their rights in 5 years rather than immediate impact (similar to a Euro like Koponen.)  

Lastly, I think Web's rookie season might have done more harm than good, that was a bad team with bad habits.  He really didn't have a good wing to look up to, and he was around a lot of young/problem guys who were trying to learn themselves- That's a much different experience than T-mac (with his cousin Vince), Kobe (with Eddie Jones, Shaq, and Van Exel) or Rashard's (Payton & later Allen)first years.  With Roy and other good guys around, I think the culture will be much better for Web.  Like many others who have gone down his early entry path, he may very well blossom into a great asset.  Wait until after year 4, and if he isn't atleast a valuable 6th or 7th man (maybe a starting 3), than we can start calling him a bust.

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2007 11:12 AM PDT reply actions  

T-Mac was considered
Toronto's top defender.  They used him as a defensive specialist when he first got in the leauge.
I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jul 7, 2007 6:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think Martell....
needs to figure out that he's getting paid millions to learn and grow into a legit NBA player.  Nate (and Bayno) is the man to get him there if Martell will let him.

Someone said this is Nate's team and that is exactly right.  Nate has to be able to shape the players to his (and to a degree KP's and PA's) vision.  It is on Martell and all the players to buy into that vision.  

Nate has changed over the last two seasons and that is in large part due to the fact that the players have changed.  He doesn't have to be the hardass all the time like he did at first.  This coming season I believe he will have to be much less so.

Martell needs to meet him halfway.  He still has a chance but I agree with the poster who said this is the year for that to happen.

by ken @ Blazer's Edge on Jul 7, 2007 11:54 AM PDT reply actions  

Nate's tough job
As WarEagle pointed out, the common theme among the high schoolers is that in year 3, their respective teams gave Rashard and T-Mac the playing time they needed to develop.  Those teams made a serious commitment to those particular developing players over other players who probably could have been productive, but also had a lower ceiling.

The problem I see with Martell's situation, is that he probably won't see the same minutes on the floor that T-Mac and Rashard saw in year 3.  Martell is going to have show improvement in a much more limited amount of playing time than other players in the same situation.  Martell is part of a handful of other players that need minutes to keep developing.

Barring a trade, coach Mac is going to have the toughest job in the Blazer organization this year as he will be responsible for dividing playing time amongst all the developing players on the roster this year.

Hoopshype posted this today which indicates that Rudy F is getting antsy over in Europe:
Rudy Fernandez: "Barcelona has made me an offer and now I must decide what I want for my future: to play with Barça, with Joventut or to play in the NBA." El Mundo Deportivo

Koponen's coach is also urging the Blazers to take Kopey this year instead of waiting.

by VegasNed on Jul 7, 2007 12:08 PM PDT reply actions  

Last season

Many thought that good things would come for Martell after the 05-06 season, and a successful summer league.  He started off well in preseason:

Then two things happened:

  • He hurt his back.  He seems to have recovered physically, but it derailed his progress.

  • He lost his starting job to a guy (Ime) who coming into camp, was a longshot to make the team, and who had never "stuck" in prior NBA gigs.  No offense to Ime, and I doubt it's nothing personal--but that had to sting.

Oh, and as mentioned above--his good buddy Brandon made the team, became the favorite player, and was given tons of rope by Nate.  Martell, on the other hand, gets yanked after a single mistake.  

Ime may or may not be back next year, but this off season, there's another guy, an NBA journeyman at best (James Jones), fighting for his job.  It may well be the case that taking on Jones was the price to get the #24 pick, rather than an asset the Blazers really wanted--but still.  When the team trades for someone else's benchwarmer to compete for your spot--that's gotta be disturbing.  Some guys view this as a challenge; other guys view it less positively.

Martell may well have a case of Kwame Brown syndrome.  

by EngineerScotty on Jul 7, 2007 1:36 PM PDT reply actions  

Phoenix may not...
have wanted Jones, but its not accurate to call him a benchwarmer.  He started more than half of their playoff games.  Your point regarding Martell is still well taken though.

by jksnake99 on Jul 7, 2007 4:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

Very tightly wound
Martell seems very tightly wound. He rushed into the NBA and certainly should've progressed with his peers in college ball rather than bucking up against the men in the NBA, but it's too late for that so...

First off, I think he's got all the physical talent to be a very good player in the league. He's a little slow footed but certainly there are examples of people with less physical athletic ability who have done very well.

That means it boils down to mental ability. He plays as if he's thinking of what to do next. In this league you have to be able to "see" what's going to happen, anticipate things, and put yourself in the best position to succeed. For example, barrel around a pick, "know" the ball is going to be there, catch and shoot, not go around the pick, look for the ball, put hands up to signal for the ball, etc. at which point that small window of opportunity has slammed shut.

I believe the over-thinking stems from being too sensitive to criticism and worrying about making mistakes. It'd be great if he just "grew up" and wasn't the way he is, but everybody is different.

I vote for giving him a lot of tether, let him makes tons of mistakes (remembering we're supposed to keep expectations of the team low this year, right?) and give him nothing but positive reinforcement. I think then you'd get your best chance at seeing him develop into an impact player.

Or keep crushing his spirit and chalk him up as a bust, that's always an option, because their'll be more where he came from (see R. Fernandez). After all, he wasn't a Pritchard guy, was he.

by jon @ Blazer's Edge on Jul 7, 2007 1:54 PM PDT reply actions  

less and less minutes
Minutes are going to become harder and harder to find as our roster improves. I think that a second PG of quality will soon eat up 20+ backcourt minutes a game, and that JJ will evolve through starting PG/backup SG, then to the third G spot over the next two years. He might be backing up Roy at PG with Fernandez at SG or Sergio/Kopenen alongside Roy.

Right now 1, 2, 4, and 5 have no minutes to give to any of Martell, Trout, Ime, Darius and Jones. I see the SF minutes being divided between a steady hand and sixth man type (Ime, Jones, or a player to be named later) and one project from Martell, Trout and Miles. Personally, I fear all three will fail to grow into a Championship squad caliber starting SF, even where the SF is only a role player among superstars.

Additionally Martell and Nate seem like a bad match. It's Nate's team, and mgmt and the core players are complimentary to his personality and preferred playing style. This is bad for Martell.

Let's dangle him and Frye for the right to deposit Darius' and Raef's salaries for an overpriced, over-the hill 3 and a bag of donuts.

Grant Hill at a stupid salary would've done nicely.

I say give Martell every chance to prove his worth in the next nine days, then trade him.

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 5:33 PM PDT reply actions  

I disagree
I really don't think JJ can play the 2 effectively at all.  Saying there are no minutes at the 2 is silly.....Roy is not going to play 48 min/game next year and Rudy is staying in Europe.  I think Web backing up the two and three is exactly where he needs to be right now.  Rudy Fernandez may not be over for not just next season, but 2-3 seasons depending on how stiff a buyout the contract he is about to sign in Spain/Europe will be and how competitive the Blazers truly can be in 2008-2009.

I think giving up on Web as a bust and advocating him being traded "while he still has trade value" is a large mistake.  He is 20 years old, and the Blazers organization hasn't been that stable of a learning environment since he has been drafted(clearly, last year, that started to change quickly.)  We gave up on J. O'Neil (who later developed into an All-Star) because Trader Bob was looking for the last piece (which I guess he thought was Dale Davis) to get us to the finals...But not without those short-term championship asperations, why give up on Web when he has a reasonable contract and tons of time to still get his confidence and NBA skills honed?

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2007 6:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

You may be right
about the recent history of the organization being a significant part of Web's arrested professional development. Powerful point. And it is hard for me to call a near teenager a bust under any circumstances. However playing defense is part athleticism, which he has, and part effort. Effort at learning technique and mostly effort during games.

It is this lack of effort on defense that I find most damning in ZBo's, Webster's and Sergio's games. I don't see them waking up tomorrow to exhausting themselves physically, and even more mentally, trying to grow into good defenders.

While I don't see Martel as a bust, I see him as a career long seeker of the easy path (mentally more than phisically) and underacheiving.

And there will be 12 to 15 minutes at two not played by Roy no doubt. However, I wonder what gives you reason to say JJ can't be a back up two. Please elaborate.

If you aren't sold on JJ being the championship starter, then perhaps we should trade JJ now if he can't back up both guards. And it was silly of you to interpret my post as saying that Roy would play every minute of every game.  

Having said these things, I still think that you can only groom one project player without compromising development of the so called (undeveloped) sure things.

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 7:01 PM PDT reply actions  

Jack is 6'3
JJ is who I believe is hands down the best PG on the team for next year.  His defense in head and shoulders better than Sergio's.  Jack is 6'3 and I guess can play some two in a pinch, but relying on him for backup minutes at the 2 every night is not a good idea.  He can play 2 against some smaller/weaker SG's, but in several situations our defense would suffer (specifically with JJ getting posted up by big guards.)  JJ also has trouble creating his own shot, and that becomes much more of a problem if we have him in at the 2.  JJ should be 100% be developed as a PG and I don't see any indication that he is a future combo guard...just doesn't have the size or the style of play suitable for SG minutes.  As it stands, I would still say that Web has more potential as a 2 than JJ.

As far as your point on defense and mental toughness, I think it has merit.  However, its hard to make that determination so early in these players careers.  There is so much time left with Sergio and Web, and if they are truly winners, they will do what it takes to develop their skills, and defense is a skill that can be developed.  Lastly, its hard to "fall through the cracks" on D when you are surrounded by above average defenders on a winning team, and that looks like what the situation for Web and Serg will be in the near future.

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2007 8:05 PM PDT up reply actions  

Furthering your argument
it was easy to give less than great effort in practice (where game day behaviors are created) when the coach is ignoring you and most of your teammates while screaming/coaxing marginal effort out of your one star. It may be that these young guys will find it hard to avoid be invisible to Nate and staff in team d portions of practice when Roy, Greg, LMA and hopefully Ime are busting a gut around them. That could turn JJ into a star and Web into a marginal defender.

Can you envision JJ as the star PG on a champion Blazer squad in two years? If, as most seem to think, he's not the guy, he's down to ten minutes a game without expanding to back up the 2.

My problem with Web is principally that he and the well known host of others will be competing for 60 minutes a game.

With a core of LMA, Oden, Roy, JJ, Pryz, one of Frye, McRob and Free, there are three slots left in a nine man rotation. One is a PG and two are SG/SF types. Who gets the precious minutes? I think it's Sergio unless somebody pushes himdown the bench, leaving those 60 minutes for the next trade arrival, Ime, Trout, JJones, Rudy?, Kopenen?, Darius, and, of course. Mr. Webster.

It's a pleasure reading your thoughts.

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 8:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great Points
I think Outlaw is going to get resigned unless someother team chooses to overpay him.  Ime will go for the best contract, because hey, he needs to secure his financial future while he has the opportunity.  If there is no market for Ime, I'm sure the Blazers will give him a reasonable 1-2 year contract. (Pritchard alluded to letting him walk if he gets a good offer from another team.)  I think its a slim chance either Kopenen or Rudy are brought over next year.  I think Outlaw may be more apt as a backup PF when the Blazers plan to use a run&gun type unit.  However with Frye and McRob also looking pretty athletic, it seems Outlaw may be the odd man out as well as Web.

I honestly think Web deserves the backup SG role for this year.  That gives him around 15 minutes a night.  I also think that in another 3 or 4 years, Web could develop into a starting caliber 3 with his size and outside shot....clearly he NEEDS to improve his defense to begin to minimize his weaknesses.

Ojala, I apologize for being overagressive at points in my previous posts.  I think as fans, we tend to be too fickle on players and we utlimately give up on players before they are reasonably expected to pan out.  Alot of people on this sight have given up on Webster and have called for him to get dumped. I think letting go of Web for anything less than someone who is a lock as starter and who will be included in the core would be a mistake and bailing out on a long term investment before it has come to fruition. I think a majority of us are really high on Rudy because we've seen an impressive alley-oop filled highlight reel of him (while never seeing him play in a full game) while we've sat and watched numerous games where Web has struggled and made tons of mistakes.  Its easy to overvalue Rudy right now and undervalue Webster.  I think unless we get an offer we can't refuse, we should wait until Webs rookie contract is up to think about letting him go.

by WarEaglePDX on Jul 7, 2007 9:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

No doubt
that the most popular athlete in town is always the backup QB.
I liked the post suggesting that if you're going to grow a project player, give him the p/t. I think backing up BRoy is a 10 to 12 minute gig, not 15, and I think the #1 & #2 PGs need more than 48 minutes between them. Short of not dressing #1 or #2, I'm seeing #3 is a continual dnp.
So if you're establishing a solid 6th man kinda guy to ultimately be the backup SF I'm cool with Ime, Jones, or more likely the next KP special delivery. But who's going to grow into the gamechanger in front of them?
If you're betting on Web then he goes ten minutes a night at 2 and I think you have to give him ten plus more at the 3. I agree with an earlier post that keeping him requires commiting serious steady minutes to him. Like twentyfive a game. But only if he comes to understand that this ain't the nfl and in this league he's a two way player. So let's call him 8th in the 8 man rotation.

Meaning you chose Webster over Ime, Trout, Kopenen and Rudy (probably two nonoptions anyway), and Jones. I'm okay with that if the euros don't come and Web joins our defensive squad at or before BRoy's first full practice invitation.

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 10:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

What I didn't say clearly
is I think that by choosing to invest in Martell, you've effectively given up on Outlaw, Jones, and Darius. Not indefensible, but a hard call.

Option 2 is continue to parse minutes between then and any arriving euros, but is dating more than one of them going to leave you old and single?

All this presupposes a steadying hand (Ime or KP part next) getting nost of the time next year at three.

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Darius is probably a lost cause

whether you like Martell/Ime/Outlaw or not.

Ime's a role player; neither Martell nor Outlaw can replace his skills; nor he theirs.  (Assuming Martell develops his offensive game further).

And I don't think Outlaw/Martell is necessarily an either-or proposition.  One is a 2/3, one is a 3/4.  They can be effectively on the court together.

by EngineerScotty on Jul 7, 2007 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Scotty
I don't see many minutes at 4 slipping past LMA, then Frye, then the winner of McRob/Free third stringer to Outlaw. I think there are too many bodies. Bad for Mr. Outlaw's development there. I think he shares time at 3 pretty much exclusively. If we go with a steady defender at starter (think of Nate's game style at the Sonics) like Ime, Jones or someone newly acquired, then I suspect there are thirty some minutes left backing up 2 and 3 for everybody else. Obviously this presupposes that Nate and KP find that steady defensive vet for starting SF.

I suppose that Trout could be the #3 PF, but does he develop without p/t?

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 6:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

Too intellectual
Martell needs to be set free to screw-up in game situations. Maybe not the whole game, but continuous chuncks. Why? Simple; he thinks too much.

As I've said on other posts, he can't seem to marry his innate skills with his mental game. He's trying to think while he's playing, instead of freeing his mind. In the words of Ben Kenobi, "Let go, Martell. Use the force." Or Bruce Lee, "Don't think. Feeeeeeel. Like a finger pointing at the moon; don't focus on the finger, or you will miss all the radiant gloooory." My suggestion would be to stick him into as many game situations as possible and as frequently as possible. That way he'll be able to repetatively learn things until they become instinctive reactions. For Martel, individual drills are the wrong thing. He needs to be in game situations to see where he fits in with the rest of the team. Individual drills (where he excells) don't require him to mesh with a unit, or think. He can turn off his brain and just react. That's where we need to get his whole game; instinctively reacting within a team frame.

Personally, I think it's too late for him to learn that with the Blazers. If he doesn't have his game straightened out by October, I don't think he'll make it past the trade deadline in February.

by Steve The Hedge on Jul 7, 2007 7:05 PM PDT reply actions  

Nice explanation of
the hole in his offense, but I still think his pineriding is due to treating defense as a break between offensive opportunities. Ovethinking doesn't stop his slowness to mirror in his consistent man-on lapses. It is good to be sharpening my opinions with all of you. TY

by ojala on Jul 7, 2007 7:10 PM PDT reply actions  

Yet another reason
I'm glad we have KP as GM. Let's let him make the call and then second guess him afterward when we have 20/20 hindsight. Not fair, but our right. :) Enjoy it.

by jamon51 on Jul 8, 2007 12:51 AM PDT reply actions  

There is
no one I'd rather entrust the decision to, but yes Jamon, I do enjoy speculating.

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 6:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

Too easy
to start getting complacent. We can end up with a roster dotted with guys that may or may not develope. I would say right now that Trout is that guy that we develope. He has that speed and physical presence. Webster can walk with absolutely no talent drain on our team.

Maybe we find a better role player, or savy vet. Someone interested in playing a little D with the streaky shooting. An Ime Udoka.

Re: I am here speculating. This is the fun of it. KP has a passion for this stuff. So do I. I personally have nothing against Webster except that he cannot play. KP has has that ability to find talent so lets parlay Webster into ????

by irishda on Jul 8, 2007 9:25 AM PDT reply actions  

I say that
Webster has one week to show professional quality EFFORT on defense. If not, I vote for Trout to get the project's minutes and practice attention.

Roy and that savvy vet/defensive presence eat up most of the SG/SF minutes.

Check out the two articles about Mr. Frye. Sounds like Nate plans to give some SF time to the bigs too.

Fun, fun things to think about.

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 9:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Not sure travis is any better at defense
and if I have to see travis shoot a 2 pointer with his heels touching the 3 line I might scream. Take a step back or a step in please!!!

Anyway, I recorded the first summer league game and checked websters stats.  I counted 21 points on 7of13 shooting. I didnt keep track of 3pt%, but I know he made at least 3 and missed at least 3. To me, 21 points on 50% shooting is getting it done offensively for webster. His defense needs to improve, but thats why I dont think he is a sg.  I think he can learn to stay with a lot of the sf's in the league, but most sg's are a little too quick for him.

by myemic23 on Jul 8, 2007 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'm hoping that
we get 40 minutes of game tape this afternoon to try and prove you right.

I think Martell is smart and Travis is not. Basketball IQ as a tiebreaker works for me.

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 11:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

If we believe
that in the near future (next year or the year after) we will bring in the last pieces if necessary (sf and/or pg), it seems that the best scenario for now would be that Ime gets a good contract elsewhere, and we give equal time to Travis and Web at the 3. This will help them develop and will show us if either should remain in our long term plans. Both players could also pick up minutes at other positions. I agree w/ previous posters that Fry will probably beat out Travis at the backup 4, and there won't be many minutes at the backup 2 unless Roy becomes the backup 1, which would seriously slow Sergio's development. This is a year for team building, player development, and deciding who is the future. We should enjoy a few more victories this year, but it's not really the main point. When we drafted Martell we admitted it would take time, that it would be a project. Same with Travis. So this year should be partly devoted to those projects.

by crakarjack on Jul 8, 2007 10:28 AM PDT reply actions  

Does five starting
projects developmore slowly then four raw works in progress and a steadying veteran hand?

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

5 guys always on the floor together
who barely know what they are doing may mean less development than four greenies with a calming, steadying experienced resource among them.

I don't know which applies here, but I think Oden, LMA, JJ and Roy are subject to slumps and minor short term set backs. If someone like Ime or a Grant Hill type if you will, might acelerate the Fab Four coming of age in a way another marginal influence like a two headed Trout/Webster wouldn't.

I wonder if the net gain to growing the two head cases 60 minutes a night is many, many more help fouls on the bigs and a no flow offense.

by ojala on Jul 8, 2007 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

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