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Weekend Thoughts: Relative Value

Every team's fans tend to overrate their own players in terms of value on the open market.  It's a prerogative of fandom.  But I think over the years Portland fans have been especially prone to over-valuing their players.  Maybe it's the one-town, one-team thing.  A massive amount of energy and affection flows towards the team when things aren't falling apart.  Role players who play reasonably well are loved and never forgotten around here.  Sometimes it's hard to remember that they're not necessarily so treasured everywhere, at least not in trade terms.

So to even this out some I wanted to ask you for some general comparisons of trade value for our current players.  The idea is simple:  take any Blazer player you choose and give me another player you think is of the same relative open-market value.

--It doesn't matter if either player is actually on the block. Neither do you have to worry about whether the Blazers would actually take that other player in a trade.  These are not actual trade proposals!  We're just making guesses at theoretical value here.

--This has nothing to do with position, size, skill, or anything like that.  You might think Jarrett Jack has the same relative value as some low-block, defensive center out there.  That's fine.

--Please use only current players in the league and only players from other teams in your comparison.  (No comparing Blazers to Blazers.)  Also make sure it's a one-for-one comparison.

Basically the template is:  "I think [insert name of Blazer here] has about the same relative value on the open market as [insert name of one other player here]."  Let us know what factors into your analysis.

You can pick any Blazers you want.  I am especially interested in Zach and Jarrett, of course, but I'd also love to know what you think of Ime, Travis, and Martell.  Heck, do the whole team if you'd like.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

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My comparisons
Zach Randolph = Jason Terry or Lamar Odom

Jarrett Jack = David Lee or Jameer Nelson

by JasonT on Jun 16, 2007 9:54 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Continuing....
Martell Webster = Gerald Green (ironic isn't it?)

Joel Pryzbilla = DeSagana Diop or Nazr Mohammed

Brandon Roy = Monte Ellis (low) to Luol Deng (high) range

LaMarcus Aldridge = Josh Smith or Marcus Camby

Sergio Rodriguez = Marcus Williams or Derek Fisher

Travis Outlaw = Hakim Warrick

Ime Udoka = Eric Snow

by JasonT on Jun 17, 2007 10:10 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Equal value of Blazers
Randolph is equal to Jermaine, Rashard Lewis, or Marion with a couple second rounders added

Rodriguez is equal to Jason williams

Jack is equal to Jameer Nelson

Webster is equal to Gerald Green

Przybilla is equal to Mohammed

Roy is equal to Josh Howard or Ginnobli

Aldridge is equal to Leou Deng, Kirelinko, Al Harrington, or Channing Fry

Outlaw is equal to Varejao

Ime is equal to Monte Ellis

Dikau is equal to Jaque Vaugn

Magloire is equal to Gadzuik

Fred Jones is equal to Willie Green or Nate Robinson

Darius Miles is equal to a fat, mediocre, middle aged water boy who hates his job, fakes long-term injuries, and doesn't show up for work.

by Julian on Jun 17, 2007 10:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fun!
Great idea, and I agree fans overrate the players on their teams. I'm a fan but I think I can be completley un-biased about this.

LaMarcus Aldridge: Emeka Okafor

Jarett Jack: Rajon Rondo

Travis Outlaw: Kyle Korver

Joel Pryzbilla: Jerome James

Zach Randolph: Marcus Camby

Sergio Rodriguez: Jason Maxiell

Brandon Roy: Jason Terry

Ime Udoka: Renaldo Balkman

Martell Webster: Nate Robinson

Analysis: I know Aldridge is great but I think as a rookie he's still a unproven commodity. His pure upside is currently equal to Okafor's consistency.

Jack has shown flashes, but his inconsistency coupled with lack of media attention brings him to about Rondo's level. Both perhaps underappreciated.

Outlaw's athleticism is about par with Korver's shooting in terms of trade value.

I think everyone outside Portland thinks Joel is just another white stiff. So low trade value.

Randolph's baggage and defense lowers his trade value but his offense is hard to ignore so it about evens out to Camby's defense.

Roy is great but at this point he's more about the intangibles than the numbers. Terry's pretty accomplished so about equal here.

by jayseyfield on Jun 16, 2007 10:08 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

here i go
Brandon Roy: Same value as Chris Paul.. runaway rookie of the year, great young versatile player, and has already shown he can be clutch. He was the CP3 of the 06 rookie class.

Zach Randolph: Lamar Odom. Big contract, but serious talent. Won't win you a title, but could be a piece of the title.

Jarrett Jack: Raymond Felton. Both are young prospects but haven't done enough to warrant being valued to high, but because of their potential their still valuable and require more then a scrub or a 2nd round pick or expiring deal to pry away from the other team.

Martell Webster: Gerald Green. Both came out the same year and haven't done a whole lot. Green would actually be valued quite higher cause of the slam dunk contest and some big games he's had.

Sergio Rodriguez: A healthy Shaun Livingston. Before his freak injury, Livingston was considered a big time prospect, but other injuries had slowed him. He shows great skills, but it wasn't all there. Sergio's the same way. He's shown serious passing skills and court vision, now it's a matter of time and work.

Travis Outlaw: Hakim Warrick. Warrick is really just a 6th man, same as Outlaw, but Warrick had a really good first half of season when starting. I believe he averaged 16-9 for a while. Niether is a consistent performer but both are athletes who can contribute, and occasionally a big time performance.

LaMarcus Aldridge: David Lee. If Lee would be let loose he could be a stud, he still is, as averaging a double double off the bench is nasty.. In another year or 2, and after Zbo is moved, Aldridge will finally be known to the world.

Welcome Greg Oden

by junit3123 on Jun 16, 2007 10:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Give her a try
Zach-Marion, the big thing that hurts both of these players is that they are not overly valuable to their teams.  Marion's underapreciated for what he does for the Suns, and seems to be at odds with the man (amare).  It seems that teams look at these players are looking for deal, and therefore won't deal for the actual trade value.  (For the record I actually think that Zach is undervalued by P-town fans, and is probably the only player which is undervalued).  

Roy-Josh Howard: Only other guy I could think of with the diverse skill set.  Roy isn't as accomplished, but he is probably a better culture guy and is younger.  Both these guys seem to fill holes you didn't know you had.

LMA-Webber:  Here I think what you give up in proven ability and skill in Webber you get potential ability and youth with LMA.  Personally LMA will probably be a Chris Bosh clone (good thing), but he isn't there yet so Bosh isn't his trade value . . . yet.  A deal involving these two players would really be based on the value of experience versus potential to the respective teams.  

Webster-Adam Morrision:  You are given two brown paper bags with holes in them.  You don't know whats inside, but it could be a golden scoring touch, which do you pick?  Both the players are too young, and too new to the league to give up on them, but some people want to.  I don't think you know what you have with either player, could be good, could be fantastic, could be NBDL.  This really comes down to a trade of unknowns.  

Udoka-No comparison: Many local players are overvalued because they are just that local, but Udoka really has no reasonalbe return value from any other team.  There was something like 64 comments on the recent Oden chat because Oden mentioned he liked LA, and this is just a slight indication of how fiercly local the fans are.  This guy is the ultimate hometown player and story.  Everyone can relate a little bit to his story, and this town seems to idolize the gritty player (Maurice Lucas anyone).  For these reasons, I don't think he has nearly the value anywhere else.  

Sergio-Jason Williams circa 98-00:  There is a lot of indicators making sergio the next J williams.  He certainly has the talent to become a better player than that, but it wouldn't suprise me to see he go down that road.  He is still young and any trade including him would be strictly on potential.    

by TearsforDuckworth on Jun 16, 2007 11:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Webber
Unless you're talking about Webber circa 2000, how can you say Aldridge's trade value is even in the same neigborhood as Webber's? Webber was barely starter material with the Pistons, was invisible in the playoffs and is decling rapidly. No GM in their right mind would trade Aldridge for Webber.

I also think Adam Morrison is too high a trade value for Webster. Morrison may not have had the best year but it was only his rookie year and he was traded too high for the Bobcats to give up on him.

by jayseyfield on Jun 17, 2007 12:45 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the thing is
that it was only martell's second year and he's 3 and a half years younger/2 years less experienced than morrison. And we drafted him one pick later in a similar draft. I think that Morrison was actually a pretty good comparison for webster in terms of current value, although I think there's a lower possibility of Morrison being a total bust and he should at worst latch on as a roleplayer somewhere. The floor is higher but the current value is pretty close

by DominicanAvenger on Jun 17, 2007 5:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmm...
Zach Randolph is worth Jermaine O'Neal.  They have both been proven 20 & 10 guys.  Zach's reputation regarding attitude makes up for Jermaine being on the down side of his career, but both can be the piece to push a team who is close over the hump (Cleveland, Golden State, Utah, e.g.).

Lamarcus Aldridge is worth Gerald Wallace.  This weighs Lamarcus's potential against the proven consistency of Gerald Wallace.  I wasn't high on Gerald Wallace initially, but he has shown the poise and confidence that I hope to see Lamarcus one day exhibiting.

Brandon Roy is worth Deron Williams.  They are both such an important piece for their respective teams.  I believe that execs. around the league have similar feelings about each of these two young players.  They both have the leadership qualities that I think league execs. are looking for.

Jarrett Jack is worth Luke Ridnour.  They have both proven to be solid floor leaders and consistent decision makers.  They seem to know what their teams need and when they need it, whether it be scoring or passing.  Both lack the defensive prowess that is needed to be a complete player.

Sergio Rodriguez is worth Tyrus Thomas.  Both are unproven freakish athletes.  Tyrus can jump and Sergio has the vision.  They both have glaring weaknessnes and need time to improve.  They are both probably very intriguing to execs. around the league and I'm sure they will be watching the maturation of both very closely.

Darius Miles is worth Bonzi Wells (equal to a coupon for a free chalupa).  Well, they are both carcinogenic tumors that will never sign another NBA contract.  They are both nonexistent to their respective teams.  They both flushed their potential down the drain and will live with that regret until long after all of their money is spent.

by GimmeIme on Jun 17, 2007 12:45 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Deron Williams
I love Roy but Deron is coming off a insanely succesful playoffs. His stock right now is off the charts. Roy  had a solid ROY season but hasn't reached that kind of success yet.

Bonzi is worth more than Darius because he can at least still play. (and he's proabably going to stay with the Rockets)

Jermaine has more trade value than Randolph because he is much better athlete as well as a superior defensive player. The downside on Jermaine is his history of injuries as well as his contract which is larger than Randolphs.

Sorry if I sound like I'm being hard on our players but I'm approaching this from what the rest of the NBA thinks of our players.

I think you have to put it this way; would Chicago trade Tyrus Thomas for Sergio and vice versa? Or would Utah trade Roy for Deron Williams and vice versa?

Chicago would never trade Thomas for Sergio, Portland might consider it. With Roy and Deron I think both teams wouldn't trade.

by jayseyfield on Jun 17, 2007 12:54 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zach and Jarrett:
Realistically,
Zach:  Vince Carter
Jack:  Smush Parker

by ranma on Jun 17, 2007 12:59 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Oooooohhhhh that's mean
Comparing Jack to Smush is a low blow my friend!

Smush is a good story but an AWFUL point guard.  If we traded Jack to the Lakers for Smush straight up we would be the laughingstock of the entire UNIVERSE.

I think Jack has pretty good value around the league; he had the 3rd best year for 2nd year PGs.  If we disregard his defense and lack of fast break ability, he had a WONDERFUL, FUNDERFUL year.  

I won't be surprised when he's traded, because he DOES have such good value.  Lotsa teams really need a decent PG, and I hope we don't throw him away for nothing.

But man... Smush... I hope Jack don't see that!

I agree with Z-Bo = Vince, but not with general fans.  Vince is way mad overrated, and Z-bo underrated because of his percieved "rep".  

Mortimer

by Mortimer on Jun 17, 2007 2:39 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't personally think
so negatively of Smush.  He's a combo guard, and his stats are similar, if maybe fewer assists.  Jarrett might be a little more talented.

by ranma on Jun 17, 2007 10:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Uh...
If we're apologizing for Jack's defense and lack of fast break ability (two key components for whoever runs this team long term), where exactly is the impetus for the Blazers to keep him?

by trevor on Jun 17, 2007 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here I go
Martell: Gerald Green

Zach: Rip Hamilton

Roy: Chris Paul

Lamarcus: Dwight Howard (Trust me they'd consider it if we offered, they're both still mostly potential)

Jarrett: Jameer Nelson

I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jun 17, 2007 1:13 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Overvaluing.
Dwight Howard is one of the few untouchable players in the NBA.  The man literally has no ceiling, and despite that, he's already one of the three elite centers in the NBA.  LaMarcus Aldridge had a few good games as a rookie when he wasn't hurt or DNP'ed.

No comparison there.

by trevor on Jun 17, 2007 11:31 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wrong
Lamarcus is a better offensive rebounder and with a little more weight can rebound at the same clip Howard does.  LMA is faster, more agile and his offensive game is already more polished than Howards might ever be.  LMA has great range for a player his size, a sweet turn around and can run with gaurds.  Once he learns a little better timing he'll be blocking shots as well as Howard.

Now if you are saying Howard will be better because he dunks harder and can jump very high... that's just ridiculous.  So, why is Howard better or going to be better?

I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jun 17, 2007 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yikes

by Tyrus Thomas on Jun 17, 2007 1:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Relative value... based on efficiency
The POSITION a player plays has added importance in comparing value (i.e. Oden vs Durant - Top potential Center vs Top potential SF). I'm only picking "like" players that play the same position.

Zach - Elton Brand, LAC (without the "blocking" capability)
used: http://www.nba.com/statistics/player/Efficiency.jsp

Jarrett - Delonte West, Bos

Ime - Dahntay Jones, Mem or Marquis Daniels, Ind (healthier & with 3pt capability)

Travis -  Rudy Gay, Mem (older)

Martell -  Fred Jones, Por (same output but taller)

spencer

by Eugenefan on Jun 17, 2007 1:26 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, You said no
Blazer vs Blazer.
Martell - Antoine Wright, NJN
spencer

by Eugenefan on Jun 17, 2007 1:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Threw 'em in a mixer...
...ran 'em through a screen and this is what shook out:

Zach Boozer = Carlos Randolph

Jarrett Bell = Raja Jack

"...though you may fail...aim at something high." Henry David Thoreau

by Dr Dave on Jun 17, 2007 6:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

are you guys serious
roy=b.gordon-nice piece to a championship team
zbo=p.gasol-both compilers not winners
aldridge=no joke r.wallace with class
jack=d.stoudamire in time
webster=d.curry
d.miles=joe barley cares
dickau=s.brooks
lafrentz=charles smith
outlaw=s.swift
f.jones=flip murray
pryzbilla=w.purdue
udoka=pete myers
sergio=t.j.ford with better court vision

by fatty on Jun 17, 2007 7:18 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

umm
I don't think the exercise is who are the players like.  I think it's what they're valued at.

For example... LMA is worth MORE than rasheed to a team and if we traded him ALL teams would take him over rasheed. Skill wise he's not up there yet, but value wise, due to potential, he's worth more.

Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard.

by ratbastird on Jun 17, 2007 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Several nice calls.
"Rasheed with class" would be a phenomenal level for Aldridge to get to -- 'Sheed is undeniably one of the most talented players in the league, he's just hampered by being completely batshit crazy.

The Roy-Gordon comparison is about the most valid I've seen yet.  Gordon is known for hitting huge shots in pressure situations and for doing all the little things.  I can see Roy fitting that exact role for the Blazers once they become playoff fixtures again.

Jarrett Jack may equal Damon Stoudamire in time, but Damon was never a championship point guard.

Przybilla-Perdue and Miles-Carroll:  OUCH.  But true.

by trevor on Jun 17, 2007 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

and for all you guys
comparing roy to c.paul randolph to guys like marion and rip hamilton.remember 1 important fact s.marion is a 5 time all*star 1 with j.kidd.twice with s.marbury which is an accomplishment all on it's own.and twice with s.nash while zbo has been to none.and rip is a ncaa*nba champion zbo is a known complier around the league.and as far as roy goes,he's a nice player but the franchise is coming in 9 days.c.paul is a franchise point guard and like isaid,10 time all nba.and as far as my boy d.williams goes,if a certain moron g.m. would've listened to his young aid,we should've had either williams or paul but that's old news. williams is on a another planet while all the blazers guys need either durant or oden to make them winners.bottom line guys you are who you are. and other than the class of 06-07 the rest of the roster is mediocre at best.but k.pricthard will take care of that problem on draft night.

by fatty on Jun 17, 2007 7:31 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

ok so...
Chris Paul is a franchise point gaurd, and Brandon Roy is a franchise shooting gaurd.  They're very comparible.  Except that Roy is a better shooter (chech Paul's poor percentages).  Paul is obviously a great passer, but Roy does a good job of finding players too.  I think they're very close to equal value.
I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jun 17, 2007 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

My .02
Jack = Devin Harris, Dal: Two young, developing PGs with considerable upside that will need the right sitaution to reach it.

Outlaw = Peja Stojakovic, NOK: I think the Hornets would happily swap the injury-prone Peja for a player with Travis' potential.

Randolph = Carlos Boozer, UT: Clones. 20-10 guys with little defensive presence. Seriously doubt that Sloan would be interested, however.

Webster = Ryan Gomes, BOS: Maybe Danny Ainge can once again be persuaded to swap for one of Portland's shaky lottery picks.

 

by knickfan on Jun 17, 2007 8:11 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

MORE overvaluing.
Devin Harris is a lightning-fast, ball-distributing point guard with years of playoff experience.  I would trade Jack for Harris in a heartbeat, but there's no way Dallas would do the same.  Jack is not in Harris' galaxy.

Carlos Boozer puts up his numbers for a playoff-contender against the team's best defenders.  He played his best ball against an excellent Spurs defense.  Zach Randolph puts up his numbers for a lottery team with no offensive flow because of his glaring inefficiency.  The numbers are similar, but their games are completely different.

Ryan Gomes is an excellent hustle player who forces his way onto the court because of his effort and rebounding.  Webster looks good when he's shooting 3s unguarded.

by trevor on Jun 17, 2007 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno....
Supporting cast seems to have a lot to do with the sense of "over-valuing."

I get where this going - in that hometown fans will always put their players on a pedestal. It's natural and definitely part of being a fan.

But I guess, part of "valuing" talent (not over or under valuing) is considering their supporting cast. Carlos Boozer has Deron Williams feeding him the ball, Andrei Kirilenko attracting some sort of defense, and Mehmet Okur stretching out the low-post help defense. If you put Zach in a similar situation, he might even be MORE effective. When the Blazers played the Jazz, Randolph and Boozer had a pretty awesome head-to-head matchup, so it's tough to say if we're actually OVER-VALUING in this situation.

by Champs2009 on Jun 19, 2007 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm gonna try

Jack - Ridnour ( completely different styles, but in my opinion PGs that are more suited for backup roles and may start for bad teams)

Zach - Antawn Jamison ( Big offense, no defense guys,  off court issues and lenght of contract decrease Zachs's value)

Martell - Adam Morrison ( Busts with a chance to redeem themselves)
LMA - Bargnani
Roy - Rudy Gay ( Gay's upside is higher but Roy is a definite winner
Sergio - Gerald Green ( Completely different obviously, but both players showed flashes of tremendous potential but also a lot of inconsistency)
Outlaw - Sasha Pavlovic ( Outlaw's uside is higher , but the downside is lower)

I'd probably choose all the blazers players over the others but this  would be the homer in me choosing.

by Bruno on Jun 17, 2007 8:21 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

the day
zbo=c.boozer in being a ncaa champion,many future all*star apperances,team usa and a class winner on and off the court.plaese let us know.you guys love mediocrity boy i tell yah!!!!still overating these guys.antawn jamison no way,jack is compared to d.harris are you people nuts.the reason why d.harris will be a major player in this league is he's fast,goes strong to the hole,and can stand in front of t.parker*s.nash's of the world something mr.jack can't do.that's why mr.pricthard wants to upgrade the position.like i said though you guys love mediocrity.

by fatty on Jun 17, 2007 10:51 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

A lot of guys
can stand in front of Tony Parker, myself included.

It's finding someone who can stay in front of Parker that's the trick.

by timg56 on Jun 18, 2007 6:14 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay... what the heck
Jack = Ridnour
Zach = Jamison, Carter, Gasol (I think boozer is worth more than zach)
Webster = Smush Parker
Roy = Chris Paul (injured a lot and fall off second year), Josh Smith
Aldridge = Tough... He's potential and it's high, but he showed that he can be VERY good if healthy.  Berganoni seems to be the closest match in value, i think.  That'll change this year as aldridge proves himself more.
Oden = Lebron (valuewise remember.  Neither the cavs nor us would trade but i'm willing to be he's the only player we'd considering trading for)
Ime = ummm... khryapa.  We love him but i don't think he's that valuable to anyone else.
Hard work beats talent when talent fails to work hard.

by ratbastird on Jun 17, 2007 11:36 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

No one else has said it
Fred Jones = Juan Dixon

I can pretty much agree with what was said by everyone else here so no need to reiterate.  But I didn't want to be left out of the conversation.

Hows this:

Nate McMillan = Byron Scott

"Aloha" is mostly used in customer service, everyone else says, "howzit?"

by tominhawaii on Jun 17, 2007 11:49 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I like Nate McMillan =
... Greg Popovich. :)
I am the master of my fate, I am the Captain of my soul. - Charles Wesley

by Earl on Jun 17, 2007 12:52 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I can see that
In a few years
"Aloha" is mostly used in customer service, everyone else says, "howzit?"

by tominhawaii on Jun 17, 2007 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

trevor
excellent points my man !!!!!

by fatty on Jun 17, 2007 6:42 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

the best thread... thanks
as a bandwagonfan, i can't make these comparisons; hats off to those who can.

i agree with fatty: too many homers in homy portlandville; so this post rocks.

please, all fans be put on notice! we must move fast to win now. the window will open quickly. if we wait (for, say, potential), our franchise player will walk; the  national media will find another cute name for us; and portland will become a ghost town.

i think kp knows this.

by bandwagonfan since 72 on Jun 17, 2007 7:38 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting exposure
For the most part we refrained from beating each other up. Dave did ask for our opinions.

The thing that jumps out at me most is the lack of focus on defense. With Zach that is a non-factor except for Marion comparisons. With Roy at 6-6 able to guard big guards and some smaller and Aldridge playing outstanding defense for a rookie big their values must increase.

We certainly did expose our prejudices. Nice job.

Oh and I would trade Martell for Devin Harris. Both are short-timers with their present team unless they show a lot soon. There are very few players I would trade Aldridge, Roy and Sergio for right now.

I do think the Blazers and their fans (yes, ia m one) need to be patient. I was here when we got the #1 pick and drafted Bill Walton. I was also ready to despair by the spring on 1976. It takes bigs some time to get good and it takes a couple or three years for young teams to learn how to win like the Spurs know. Progress is what I want to see for now.

by lee3022 on Jun 17, 2007 11:00 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow, Id have to say
after reading these posts, that yes we have proved to mostly overvalue our Blazers.

Ill give it my best shot without repeating any previous posts.
1 Zach - Rashard Lewis........mostly one dimensional player who could play a fantastic second fiddle.(like the Antwan Jamison comparison better)

  1. B Roy - Andre Iguadala....promise, but only foolish GM's would build around just them.
  2. Nate McMillon - Lawrence Frank.......Good Young Coaches but, everyone believes that they should be seeing more results than they are getting.
  3. Jarrett Jack - Jose Calderon......Young but has shown glimpses of being a real NBA player.

  4. LaMarcus - Randy Foye........Proven almost nothing but stock just keeps rising.
or Tyson Chandler - just because Tyson has made it up to GM drooling territory and is still young enough to be considered the "next __"

Alright there it is. it may not be pretty but I was trying to go strictly on stock.

jans

by DropstepJ on Jun 17, 2007 11:14 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

You should ask Blog-a-Bull
I would be more curious to see what people from other fan sites think.  Maybe we could do the same for their players.

Anyhow...here's my shot:

Jack - Childress or Pietrus -- decent players at their position, with some flaws; not sure if they're starters or backups.

Aldridge - Bynum -- Tons of potential, talented big man, would bring back a lot in a trade.  Aldridge seems more likely to realize his potential, but Bynum has more value as a true center.

Roy - Tyrus Thomas -- I think Roy is undervalued in the market.  Many in the media view him as the "default" rookie of the year, and those perceptions tend to bleed over.  I think both of these guys are viewed as potential all-star players who are limited in some way (Thomas by lack of an offensive game, Roy by a perceived lack of athleticism).

Zach - Jason Richardson -- Both perceived as selfish, mostly offensive-minded players with knee problems.  Zach gets a knock for his off-court problems, but he plays a more valuable position.

Webster - Adam Morrison -- I tried not to pick players who someone had already picked, but I can't think of anyone else for Webster.  Both highly touted coming in, both are questionable as NBA players at this point.  Maybe you could find some GM who was high on their potential, but otherwise it would be hard to get much of anything for them at this point.

Sergio - Rondo -- Both are young, largely unproven PGs who have shown serious potential.  I don't think either Boston or Portland would part with these guys.  Not sure what the rest of the league would give up for them, but you would get some value.

Outlaw - Jason Maxiell -- Young guy with potential, but the look of a solid rotation player for years to come.  I think both guys still have some upside that GMs might overpay for, but they are starting to look like known quantities.

by HarryManback on Jun 18, 2007 7:44 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll give my effort.
Jarrett Jack - Smush Parker

Dan Dickau - Rick Brunson

Sergio Rodriguez - Antoine Wright

Brandon Roy - Richard Hamilton

Fred Jones - Juan Dixon

Travis Outlaw - Sasha Vukojic

Ime Udoka - Luke Walton

Darius Miles - Vin Baker

Zach Randolph - Rasheed Wallace

LaMarcus Aldridge - Andrea Bargnani

Raef Lafrentz - Adonal Foyle

Joel Przybilla - Dale Davis

by EnglandDan on Jun 18, 2007 1:38 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Good topic
Some have said JJ = Ridnour and I think that is a good one.  Young PG's who can get hot but who also disappear at times.  Questionable on defense.

Zach is like a Pau Gasol.  You notice how there was all that buzz about him and then nobody really bit?  He's like Zach in that he's overvalued by his own team/city.  On the new-look Blazers, I'd be surprised if Zach's numbers ever approach his 2006-2007 stats.  I think his value is only going to decrease as time passes.    

by leeroyjenkins on Jun 18, 2007 2:14 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Aldridge
Aldridge has to be a less crazy version of Rasheed Wallace.  Would the Pistons take him for Rasheed?  Maybe.  Would the Blazers feel shafted in the trade?  Yes.  So, yeah it works.

by robrun2 on Jun 18, 2007 2:34 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Point proven
Wow.  This thread basically provided proof positive that Blazer fans are eating overvalue sandwiches for breakfast, lunch, and dinner.

Zach = Stephen Jackson.  Selfish head-cases just as likely to put up a double-felony as a double-double.  Marion?  Please.  Matrix is a great defender and rebounder with all-around game.  Multiply Zach's vert by 10 and it still doesn't equal Marion.  Boozer?  Never.  Booze has better post moves, is a rebounding machine, doesn't have a rep for being selfish, and no off-court problems with drugs, hookers, and guns.  Carter?  Odom?  Jermaine?  Rashard?  Homer-goggles are strong, ladies.  Zach's reputation is crap league-wide, as is his trade value.

Roy = Tony Parker.  Funny that the one guy on the team that has great value is the one that seems to be most undervalued here.

Aldridge = Tyrus Thomas.  Flashes here and there, but still hasn't proven squat.  Had exactly 4 games last year of 20+ pts and 7 games of 10+ rebs.  All potential until he proves he can be a consistent force, which he hasn't even come close to doing yet.

Webster = Trajan Langdon.  Langdon is currently starring for CSKA Moscow, which is where Webster will be in 2 years.

Outlaw = James White (SA).  They can jump.  Woop de damn doo.  Barely deserves to be on a roster.

Jack = Jacque Vaughn.  Will never be more than a 3rd PG.  

Ime = Danny Fortson.

Sergio = Travis Diener.

Przybilla = Jeff Foster.

Lafrentz, Miles, Jones, Dickau = Ha Seung Jin, Jalen Rose, Pat Burke, Billy Donovan.

By the way, no player has been more overvalued by Blazer fans than Greg Oden.  You're all setting yourselves up for a big, nasty fall if you actually believe your fantasies about "We'd only CONSIDER Lebron for that pick."

Complete, utter, ridiculous foolishness.  There are at least 15-20 NBA players that Portland should trade the pick for, and another 10 on top of that they should consider.

by wetblanket on Jun 19, 2007 1:28 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Homers?
If you want homers, go take a look at any Celtics blog's comment space regarding the draft lottery. Most expect Seattle to give up number 2 for Ryan Gomes and Gerald Green.

We are pretty iffy though. We'd be lucky to get anything back for Miles, much less a basketball player. I say we ship him to Memphis in a custom Grizzlies jersey and see if they're confused enough to keep him. If we all chip in we can overnight him.

As for Zach, it's rough. Those that compare him to Carlos Boozer are clearly insane and not to be trusted. Gasol would be a good fit if not for the beard. That beard is awfully shady. Also, there's a rumor that he speaks Spanish.

Jack? Did anybody see him play last year? Maybe you could compare him to Eric Snow: slow, seemingly disinterested, with a deadly jumper when he's unguarded from the free-throw line in.

Martell=Whitman's Sampler.

M

by nightbluefruit on Jun 19, 2007 8:31 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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