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Game 82 Preview: Warriors vs. Blazers

Well, well, well.  Golden State and the Clippers both won semi-improbable matchups last night, with the Clips squeaking by Phoenix and the Warriors pounding Dallas like they caught them kissing their sisters.  Guess what?  That makes tonight's game mean something.  If the Warriors win they're in the playoffs for the first time since they heyday of the Buffalo Bills, Heidi Fleiss, and the Unabomber.  (Bill Clinton and Conan O'Brien were just beginning their stints as President and late-night host, for comparison's sake.)  If they lose they have to hope the Clippers lose to New Orleans also.  Otherwise it's another year of futility.  Methinks they might be a tad motivated.

A Look at the Warriors

The Warriors are on quite a streak to end the season.  They've won eight out of their last nine games.  And the lowest point total they've had in those eight wins is 110.  Five of them have been in the 120's.  They're like a battleship that got broadside on you and is firing all the guns at once.  One of the main reasons is that Jason Richardson has come back alive.  Slumping and hurt through most of the year, he's scoring in the 20's and 30's again.  So is Stephen Jackson.  So is Baron Davis.  Their big small guys can cause a lot of trouble for opposing teams and with the streak they're on they are devastating.  When those guys aren't racking you, Al Harrington and Mickael Pietrus step in and do it.  Their athleticism is bound to cause us problems even on the best of days, and this ain't the best of days for the Blazers.

"Wait a minute," you say, "Don't they have any big guys?"  Not really.  They traded most of the good ones to Indiana.  But they don't need them.  The run and shoot is perfected here.  Don Nelson may have discovered the only style capable of satisfying the voracious need for shots that plagues all of these players.  You can rebound all you want.  You can try to defend too.  They're simply going to get a ton of shots up no matter what you do.  They attempt more shots than anybody in the league.  They shoot 24 three pointers a game!  They score the second most points in the league and allow more than anybody and right now they...don't...care.  They'll leave the carefully choreographed plan of attack to somebody else.  They're going Rambo on you all game long.

Since their size, skill, and willingness to throw themselves headlong into the fray are all going to play on the weaknesses of our hospital refugees tonight, I don't see much hope of a happy ending for us.

What I'd Like To See:

In theory this is simple:  keep them below 100, they lose.  Right now, though, that's like saying, "If you just keep the rain up in the sky you won't get wet."  At the very least we're going to want to make them work for their buckets.  They're average shooters, not very good at the free throw line, and hit and miss from long range.  Their success should be in direct proportion to the number of dunks they get tonight.  If we could rebound, take care of the ball, make them take time, and make it ugly we could have a chance.  I want to see that happen with six of our best eight players off the floor though.  We're not experienced enough to run that kind of game against them.  Heck, we're probably not capable of running any type of game against them.

Still, if you come out and play with enough heart anything can happen.  But this beleaguered team hasn't shown enough heart to make a difference in quite a while.  Maybe the chance to be spoilers will wake something up in them.  But I'd lay about 99% odds that we're going to watch the Boys from the Bay celebrate pretty big on our home floor tonight.

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

0 recs  |  Comment 12 comments

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Someone isn't taking us lightly...
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18164855/

It's nice to get a little respect, no?  Especially as shorthanded as the Blazers are.

I've got to say, I have mixed feelings about this game.  That's rare for me, I always want to win.

by ken on Apr 18, 2007 6:38 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Nellie is just being nice.
It's standard coachingspeak in any sport to never admit you're going to roll over your opponent like a possum on a dark highway at night.  Even England expressed some doubt about their chances against Andorra(!!) in the Euro '08 qualifiers last month. It's a nice thing to do, doesn't ruffle any feathers, but is not necessarily grounded in reality.  Not to say we don't have a chance to win tonight, but I think it's a longshot at best and Portland would in fact be better off not winning tonight (see my post below).
Bingo, bango, bongo!

by Babyshoes on Apr 18, 2007 9:22 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

tonight's the night
for the alameda/oakland/s.f. warriors and a congradulations to their very very loyal fan base. this was once a vey proud franchise and is very deserving of making the playoffs.i hope we get the warriors feed on the dish tonight to see the locker room celebration.the reason why i say this isno knock on blazers fans but too see the warriors finally make it is great for the nba. 13 years wow if the blazers fans went through a drought like that god knows where they be right now.so blazersedge posters don't worry our time will come by the 08-09 season you'll see.and everybody should give a standing ovation to one of the most loyal fanbases in sports the g.state warriors congradluations again warriors fans you deserve it.as for us blazers loyalist our next get together should be may,22 for the lottery.and dave you should take a 3 week vacation until the week leading up to the lottery.you deseve it..

by fatty on Apr 18, 2007 7:39 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreement.
The Warriors are on a tear right now, they've worked hard and got some good, clutch wins, they've been out of the playoff loop for way too long, they deserve to win tonight.  If the only way to get in is to steamroll over us, so be it-- a win means nothing to us now but a loss would mean great karma that Blazer Nation has not had since before the Chris Dudley Contract Debacle.  What goes around will come around again for us.
I just wish that the L**ers had found a way to lose and knock themselves out of the playoffs.  Imagine in the Clips were in and the L's were out!  Such a topsy-turvy world would be a beautiful place to live in.
Bingo, bango, bongo!

by Babyshoes on Apr 18, 2007 9:17 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Again
"With the first pick of the 2007 NBA Draft the Los Angeles Lakers select...Kevin Durant of Texas."

:::repressing shudders of revulsion:::

--Dave

by Dave on Apr 18, 2007 9:27 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

nooooooo!!!
"With the second pick of the 2006 draft, the Trail Blazers select Adam Morrison."

whew it was just a nightmare.

by jamon51 on Apr 18, 2007 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd settle for the L[xxx]rs being dropped to 8th.
Dallas would just MURDELATE 'em.

And as much as everyone's fascinated with the Nellie subplot of a Worriers/Mavs series,
I'd be STOKED to see a Suns/Worriers series instead!
Talk about entertaining basketball!

Blazers have a five-on-three...and they pull it back and wait for help.

by QualityPie on Apr 18, 2007 10:53 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

dave believe me
i was sweating on sunday night and you're right if the fakers would've missed the playoffs k.durrant would've very easily fell into their laps,because d.stern said so !!!

by fatty on Apr 18, 2007 11:34 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

but i gaurantee
the celtics will be punished for tanking after his comments about r.gomes yesterday and b.simmons campaigning the celtics will finish 3.rd in this years lottery...

by fatty on Apr 18, 2007 11:36 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

hey dave did you get my e-mail
this morning about the sonics in today's seattle p.i.

by fatty on Apr 18, 2007 11:38 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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