An Official Retraction
I'm doing something I don't have to do very often: retracting something I said before. No, it's not the playoff thing. We're just going to have to wait and see on that. But a couple of weeks ago I said that Brandon Roy and Lamarcus Aldridge weren't going to be All-Stars this year. This was not so much an assessment of their abilities and contributions as an assessment of how the All-Star process works. A ton of people in front of them have bigger names, better teams, and/or gaudier stats. Though most of that remains true, I am changing my tune on half of the equation. Brandon Roy needs to be an All-Star this year.
Obviously there's less than zero chance he'll be voted in as a starter, which is wholly appropriate. It will come down to the coaches' votes. To me the key date is Wednesday, January 9th. If the Blazers win 3-4 of the nine games between now and then, leaving them right around .500, and Brandon is still averaging around 19, 5, and 6 then he really, really should be there.
I say this not because I'm all fired up to have a Blazer in the All-Star game again. Frankly I couldn't care less. I doubt I'll even watch the game even if he does get in. (Blogging every single day during the season makes you long for breaks when you can get them.) Nor do I think he will excel in the game. First he won't get all that much playing time. Second he won't touch the ball much when he's in, let alone start with it in his possession. Plus his game is better in the team context than in an individual showcase like that. I could give a rip about the Blazer marketing circus that would follow his election. It won't make me feel any better about being a fan or make me watch games more intensely than I do.
No...Brandon should get into the game because of what it would say about the process more than what it would mean about him, the Blazers, or the game. Yes, there will be guys with flashier stats. But the NBA is trying to get back to the idea of good, team-oriented basketball. You need a guy who's simply a good all-around player, a guy who's led his team to a large jump in wins, a guy who fills up the stat line and does so with intelligence, grace, and unflappable poise. That's a much better statement than sending a guy who scores 26 a night on a 10-24 team. And let's face it, there will be plenty of huge scorers--well-rounded and single-minded each--there already. Why not fill that 10th, 11th, or 12th spot with a real player, leader, and yes...gentleman?
Brandon is not as good as he's going to be. Neither are the Blazers. But both have done well enough right here, right now to merit him getting in. It would be nice for him and the team. It would be even better for the league.
And hey, that winning streak has got to be good for something, right?
--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)
P.S. Great minds think alike. Jason Quick gives us an article about the greatness of Brandon this morning.
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The all-star game
by jayseyfield on Dec 21, 2007 2:42 AM PST reply actions
But that's exactly why he's got a chance.
by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 6:10 AM PST up reply actions
Oh, and count me among those...
So, for you, what would you need to see, and by what point in the season would you need to see it, in order to say, "Damn. I'm starting to think the more reasonable thing to believe is that they will in fact make it to the playoffs this year." You've obviously shown a capacity to change your mind on a matter (which I HIGHLY appreciate and think is a virtue that all too many utterly fail to have). So what would it take on the matter of the playoffs?
Lastly, I'm glad to see you're one of the few who know that the correct way to form the expression is "I couldn't care less", not "I could care less." Anyone who thinks for five seconds about the latter formulation should realize it basically says the exact opposite of what the utterer is trying to convey. (If you could care less, that means you care enough for it to be possible to care less than you do!) For whatever it's worth, Roy is quoted in the O-live article today as using the correct formulation as well. I was happy to see that - the boy can play AND speak well.
by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 6:23 AM PST reply actions
I can't answer for Dave
If you didn't think they'd make the playoffs, what would it take to make you change your mind and predict they probably will?
For me, if they keep the streak going throughout this homestand, that would change my mind. And after tonight, they are all in the "should win" category. If we take care of business and win the ones we should win, as well as some of the ones we shouldn't, I'll be a believer that the chemistry is there.
If they lose a couple on the homestand, but can go out and win a few on the road, I'll believe it as well. If they win seven out of their next twelve, I'll see them as more likely in than out.
we're seeing the begginnings of that argument
The earlier wins, where we jump out to a lead, then manage the game, are pretty, but say less about the team.
Playoff ball, in mind, is all about composure. Sure, you've got to handle runs and momentum swings, but that is true any time in the season. In the playoffs, though, as teams adjust and get familiar, force teams to fight their own weaknesses. The last two victories, in my mind, are a direct result of what we learned from that whoppin' in philly.
Now, if we are still within 2 games of a playoff berth at the end of Feb and with no injuries? I likes our chances!
For anyone else who wants to comment on this...
by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 9:50 AM PST up reply actions
I've said it before
Hey Now
by tominhawaii on Dec 21, 2007 11:07 AM PST up reply actions

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