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An Official Retraction

I'm doing something I don't have to do very often:  retracting something I said before.  No, it's not the playoff thing.  We're just going to have to wait and see on that.  But a couple of weeks ago I said that Brandon Roy and Lamarcus Aldridge weren't going to be All-Stars this year.  This was not so much an assessment of their abilities and contributions as an assessment of how the All-Star process works.  A ton of people in front of them have bigger names, better teams, and/or gaudier stats.  Though most of that remains true, I am changing my tune on half of the equation.  Brandon Roy needs to be an All-Star this year.

Obviously there's less than zero chance he'll be voted in as a starter, which is wholly appropriate.  It will come down to the coaches' votes.  To me the key date is Wednesday, January 9th.  If the Blazers win 3-4 of the nine games between now and then, leaving them right around .500, and Brandon is still averaging around 19, 5, and 6 then he really, really should be there.

I say this not because I'm all fired up to have a Blazer in the All-Star game again.  Frankly I couldn't care less.  I doubt I'll even watch the game even if he does get in.  (Blogging every single day during the season makes you long for breaks when you can get them.)  Nor do I think he will excel in the game.  First he won't get all that much playing time.  Second he won't touch the ball much when he's in, let alone start with it in his possession.  Plus his game is better in the team context than in an individual showcase like that.  I could give a rip about the Blazer marketing circus that would follow his election.  It won't make me feel any better about being a fan or make me watch games more intensely than I do.

No...Brandon should get into the game because of what it would say about the process more than what it would mean about him, the Blazers, or the game.  Yes, there will be guys with flashier stats.  But the NBA is trying to get back to the idea of good, team-oriented basketball.  You need a guy who's simply a good all-around player, a guy who's led his team to a large jump in wins, a guy who fills up the stat line and does so with intelligence, grace, and unflappable poise.  That's a much better statement than sending a guy who scores 26 a night on a 10-24 team.  And let's face it, there will be plenty of huge scorers--well-rounded and single-minded each--there already.  Why not fill that 10th, 11th, or 12th spot with a real player, leader, and yes...gentleman?

Brandon is not as good as he's going to be.  Neither are the Blazers.  But both have done well enough right here, right now to merit him getting in.  It would be nice for him and the team.  It would be even better for the league.

And hey, that winning streak has got to be good for something, right?

--Dave (blazersub@yahoo.com)

P.S. Great minds think alike. Jason Quick gives us an article about the greatness of Brandon this morning.

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Magic Johnson [he called Roy top 3 all around players in the league, whoa] and Charles Barkley definitely agree with you.

by damir on Dec 21, 2007 1:51 AM PST reply actions  

That's actually a convincing argument
why I'm probably wrong.

But oh well.

--Dave

by Dave on Dec 21, 2007 2:12 AM PST up reply actions  

The all-star game
is the NBA's beauty pagent. Brandon is the thinking man's basketball player so I don't think he's going to get in. I mean it'd be great for Brandon but seeing him play like 10 minutes and barely do anything in the game isn't going to interest me much.

by jayseyfield on Dec 21, 2007 2:42 AM PST reply actions  

But that's exactly why he's got a chance.
The beauty pageant part of it is where the fans vote comes in. The thinking man's part of it is where the coaches selection comes in. I've gotta think the coaches that have been watching Brandon - at least the ones we've been playing against - are more than impressed by Roy's bball smarts. Though I won't get too down if he doesn't get it, I'm more and more inclined to think that the coaches might give him the nod. Frankly, he's every coaches dream player - a natural born leader, crunch time clutch scorer, and just all around damn good.
When feeling discouraged about the Blazers' learning process, just remember that at least the Jail Blazer era is over.

by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 6:10 AM PST up reply actions  

Oh, and count me among those...
...who think it's just a matter of time when a second retraction will be needed, regarding the likelihood of making the playoffs this season. I'd be curious Dave, for you (who I really respect as regards all things Blazers), what WOULD it take to make such a retraction? Obviously, it's no good to make it once the team is actually a lock in April (if they are). There needs to be some uncertainty as to the future to make any such anticipatory claim/prediction meaningful.

So, for you, what would you need to see, and by what point in the season would you need to see it, in order to say, "Damn. I'm starting to think the more reasonable thing to believe is that they will in fact make it to the playoffs this year." You've obviously shown a capacity to change your mind on a matter (which I HIGHLY appreciate and think is a virtue that all too many utterly fail to have). So what would it take on the matter of the playoffs?

Lastly, I'm glad to see you're one of the few who know that the correct way to form the expression is "I couldn't care less", not "I could care less." Anyone who thinks for five seconds about the latter formulation should realize it basically says the exact opposite of what the utterer is trying to convey. (If you could care less, that means you care enough for it to be possible to care less than you do!) For whatever it's worth, Roy is quoted in the O-live article today as using the correct formulation as well. I was happy to see that - the boy can play AND speak well.

When feeling discouraged about the Blazers' learning process, just remember that at least the Jail Blazer era is over.

by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 6:23 AM PST reply actions  

I can't answer for Dave
But this would make a good diary.

If you didn't think they'd make the playoffs, what would it take to make you change your mind and predict they probably will?

For me, if they keep the streak going throughout this homestand, that would change my mind.  And after tonight, they are all in the "should win" category.  If we take care of business and win the ones we should win, as well as some of the ones we shouldn't, I'll be a believer that the chemistry is there.

If they lose a couple on the homestand, but can go out and win a few on the road, I'll believe it as well.  If they win seven out of their next twelve, I'll see them as more likely in than out.

by jscot on Dec 21, 2007 6:36 AM PST up reply actions  

we're seeing the begginnings of that argument
the win streak has changed character this week.  The last two wins are the types of games I just expect to lose.  It is so much more impressive to see wins where we struggle but persevere, or let the defense spark the team.  

The earlier wins, where we jump out to a lead, then manage the game, are pretty, but say less about the team.  

Playoff ball, in mind, is all about composure.  Sure, you've got to handle runs and momentum swings, but that is true any time in the season.  In the playoffs, though, as teams adjust and get familiar, force teams to fight their own weaknesses.  The last two victories, in my mind, are a direct result of what we learned from that whoppin' in philly.  

Now, if we are still within 2 games of a playoff berth at the end of Feb and with no injuries?  I likes our chances!

by greyhound9 on Dec 21, 2007 9:09 AM PST up reply actions  

For anyone else who wants to comment on this...
...matter of what it should take to reasonably start expecting that we'll make the playoffs, I've moved the discussion to a new Diary (at the suggestion of Jscot) called "So what would it take, Dave?" Hope to see you there.
When feeling discouraged about the Blazers' learning process, just remember that at least the Jail Blazer era is over.

by kdfkwak on Dec 21, 2007 9:50 AM PST up reply actions  

I've said it before
and I'll say it again. Screw the All Star game. What matters is that Brandon is voted All-NBA at the end of the season. He needs to be 1st, 2nd, or 3rd team.
"Timmy, you eat your vegetables or I'm going to make you watch Channing Frye play interior defense!" (GULP! CHEW-CHEW-CHEW!) - Dave

by jamon51 on Dec 21, 2007 10:37 AM PST reply actions  

Hey Now
Screw the All Star game?  It is the only WNBA action I watch.  I feel guilty for not watching the WNBA but just not guilty enough to watch them.
Randee of the Redwoods '08

by tominhawaii on Dec 21, 2007 11:07 AM PST up reply actions  

WNBA
GO GIRLS!
"Lenny Suckerpunch NEVER bet on me!" - Elizabeth "The Lizzard" Lowblow

by Lizzy Lowblow on Dec 23, 2007 1:40 AM PST reply actions  

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